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碳酸锂数据日报-20250819
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-08-19 12:15
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core View - The market has basically digested the suspension of lithium mines in Jiangxi, and the spot price has risen. If the scope of production cuts does not further expand, the futures price is expected to fluctuate [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Compound Prices - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price is 84,600 yuan/ton, up 1,900 yuan/ton; SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price is 82,300 yuan/ton, up 1,900 yuan/ton [1] Lithium Futures Contracts - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2509 is 89,300 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 4.86%; lithium carbonate 2510 is 89,280 yuan/ton, up 4.64%; lithium carbonate 2511 is 89,240 yuan/ton, up 4.67%; lithium carbonate 2512 is 89,240 yuan/ton, up 4.86%; lithium carbonate 2601 is 89,040 yuan/ton, up 4.95% [1] Lithium Ore Prices - Lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) is 978 yuan/ton, up 38 yuan/ton; lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) is 1,385 yuan/ton, up 65 yuan/ton; lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) is 2,185 yuan/ton, up 85 yuan/ton; phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%) is 7,700 yuan/ton; phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%) is 8,850 yuan/ton, up 410 yuan/ton [1][2] Price Spreads - The price spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2,300 yuan/ton; the price spread between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 4,640 yuan/ton, down 440 yuan/ton; the price spread between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is 20 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan/ton; the price spread between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is 60 yuan/ton, up 40 yuan/ton [2] Inventory - The total weekly inventory is 142,256 tons, down 162 tons; the weekly inventory of smelters is 49,693 tons, down 1,306 tons; the weekly inventory of downstream is 48,283 tons, up 124 tons; the weekly inventory of others is 44,280 tons, up 1,020 tons; the daily registered warehouse receipts are 23,555 tons, up 70 tons [2] Production Profit - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate is 82,343 yuan/ton, and the profit is 1,069 yuan/ton; the cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate is 86,253 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 4,968 yuan/ton [2] Company News - Ganfeng Lithium announced on the evening of August 12 to jointly develop the Pozuelos - Pastos Grandes salt lake basin in Argentina with Lithium Argentina AG, with a planned annual production capacity of up to 150,000 tons of LCE lithium products [2] - Albemarle's lithium plant in Chile resumed normal operation after an accident last week [2] - Jiangte Motor announced on August 13 that it has multiple mining and exploration rights in Yichun, with lithium ore resources of over 100 million tons. The Qikeng lithium mine, with a mining license, has an ore resource reserve of 72.93 million tons at a Li20 average grade of 0.44%, and 126.67 million tons at a Li20 average grade of 0.39% [2]
多个扰动预期仍未落地,碳酸锂高位区间偏强波动
Tong Hui Qi Huo· 2025-08-19 11:19
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - Over the next 1 - 2 weeks, the lithium carbonate futures market may shift to a wide - range, volatile, and bullish pattern. Although supply disturbances have boosted market bullish sentiment, the impact of current mine shutdowns on actual production is yet to be seen, and lithium salt plants maintain high operating rates, so the spot market still faces inventory pressure. On the demand side, the growth rate of new energy vehicle sales is slowing down, and the "anti - involution" initiative in the battery industry chain restrains the mid - stream's impulse to expand production, so there is a risk of revising the peak - season expectations. Attention should be paid to the marginal changes in policy implementation and the progress of mine rectification in Jiangxi [3]. Group 3: Summary According to the Table of Contents 1. Daily Market Summary - **Analysis of Lithium Carbonate Futures Market Data** - On August 18, the price of the lithium carbonate main contract rose to 89,240 yuan/ton; the basis weakened from - 3,600 yuan/ton to - 5,940 yuan/ton, indicating that the market's pricing of the supply - tightening expectation increased [1]. - The open interest of the main contract increased by 19,967 lots to 421,106 lots, and the trading volume increased to 1.036328 million lots. The simultaneous expansion of volume and open interest shows that the divergence among funds on the direction of lithium prices has intensified, and the market's gambling sentiment has heated up [1]. - **Analysis of Industrial Chain Supply - Demand and Inventory Changes** - **Supply side**: The shutdown of Ningde Times' Jianxiawo Mine in Jiangxi has triggered market concerns about the shortage of lithium mica supply. Coupled with the regulatory pressure on local mines to complete the re - application of ore types by September 30, the uncertainty of lithium ore supply has increased. However, the prices of spodumene concentrate and lithium mica concentrate are stable at 940 yuan/ton and 990 yuan/ton respectively, and the weekly capacity utilization rate of lithium carbonate remains flat at 63.92%. The short - term actual supply has not significantly shrunk [2]. - **Demand side**: The retail performance of new energy vehicles is moderate, with the year - on - year growth rate dropping to 6% from August 1 - 10, indicating marginal weakening pressure on demand. However, the price of lithium hexafluorophosphate increased by 0.54% week - on - week to 55,500 yuan/ton, and the price of power ternary materials slightly increased by 0.42% to 119,695 yuan/ton, indicating that there is still some support for downstream inventory - building demand [2]. - **Inventory and warehouse receipts**: Lithium carbonate inventory decreased slightly by 162 physical tons to 142,256 tons (a decrease of 0.11%), and the absolute value is still at a high level this year. The number of warehouse receipts has not changed abnormally, and the overall inventory pressure has not been substantially relieved [2]. - **Market Price** - Future 1 - 2 weeks, the lithium carbonate futures market may enter a wide - range, volatile, and bullish pattern. Although supply disturbances have boosted market bullish sentiment, the impact of current mine shutdowns on actual production is yet to be seen, and the spot market still faces inventory pressure. On the demand side, the growth rate of new energy vehicle sales is slowing down, and the "anti - involution" initiative in the battery industry chain restrains the mid - stream's impulse to expand production, so there is a risk of revising the peak - season expectations. Attention should be paid to the marginal changes in policy implementation and the progress of mine rectification in Jiangxi [3]. 2. Industrial Chain Price Monitoring - From August 15 to August 18, the price of the lithium carbonate main contract rose from 86,900 yuan/ton to 89,240 yuan/ton, an increase of 2,340 yuan or 2.69%. The basis weakened from - 3,600 yuan/ton to - 5,940 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2,340 yuan or 65%. The open interest of the main contract increased from 401,139 lots to 421,106 lots, an increase of 19,967 lots or 4.98%. The trading volume of the main contract increased from 868,811 lots to 1,036,328 lots, an increase of 167,517 lots or 19.28% [5]. - The market price of battery - grade lithium carbonate remained unchanged at 83,300 yuan/ton. The market prices of spodumene concentrate and lithium mica concentrate remained unchanged at 940 yuan/ton and 990 yuan/ton respectively. The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate increased from 55,200 yuan/ton to 55,500 yuan/ton, an increase of 300 yuan or 0.54%. The price of power ternary materials increased from 119,195 yuan/ton to 119,695 yuan/ton, an increase of 500 yuan or 0.42%. The price of power lithium iron phosphate increased from 35,655 yuan/ton to 36,170 yuan/ton, an increase of 515 yuan or 1.44% [5]. - From August 8 to August 15, the capacity utilization rate of lithium carbonate remained unchanged at 63.92%. Lithium carbonate inventory decreased from 142,418 physical tons to 142,256 physical tons, a decrease of 162 physical tons or 0.11%. The price of 523 cylindrical ternary cells increased from 4.31 yuan/piece to 4.32 yuan/piece, an increase of 0.01 yuan or 0.23%. The price of 523 square ternary cells increased from 0.38 yuan/Wh to 0.39 yuan/Wh, an increase of 0.00 yuan or 0.26%. The price of 523 soft - pack ternary cells remained unchanged at 0.40 yuan/Wh. The price of square lithium iron phosphate cells remained unchanged at 0.32 yuan/Wh. The price of cobalt - acid lithium cells increased from 5.53 yuan/Ah to 5.55 yuan/Ah, an increase of 0.02 yuan or 0.36% [5]. 3. Industry Dynamics and Interpretation - **Spot Market Quotation (August 18)**: The SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate index price was 84,794 yuan/ton, a increase of 2,069 yuan/ton compared with the previous working day. The price range of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 82,500 - 86,700 yuan/ton, with an average price of 84,600 yuan/ton, a increase of 1,900 yuan/ton compared with the previous working day. The price range of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 81,600 - 83,000 yuan/ton, with an average price of 82,300 yuan/ton, a increase of 1,900 yuan/ton compared with the previous working day. Affected by the news that a lithium salt production enterprise in Qinghai may face shutdown due to the mining license issue, the futures price continued to rise, breaking through the 90,000 - yuan/ton mark at the highest. The downstream purchasing enthusiasm continued to increase, and the market activity increased. Due to the rigid - demand purchasing needs of some downstream enterprises and the general reluctance - to - sell sentiment of upstream and traders, the center of the spot transaction price of lithium carbonate continued to move up significantly. Under the dual effects of the supply - tightening expectation and the peak - demand season, the spot price of lithium carbonate is expected to have room for an upward movement, and the price center may continue to move up in the short term. The trading sentiment factor of lithium carbonate on this day was 2.31, the upstream shipping sentiment factor was 2.67, and the downstream purchasing sentiment factor was 2.05. The downstream purchasing sentiment factor increased compared with the previous working day, and the upstream shipping sentiment factor remained relatively stable [6]. - **Downstream Consumption Situation (August 13)**: According to the data of the Passenger Car Association, from August 1 - 10, the retail sales of new energy vehicles in the national passenger car market were 262,000 units, a year - on - year increase of 6% and a month - on - month increase of 6%. The retail penetration rate of the national new energy market was 57.9%. The cumulative retail sales this year were 6.717 million units, a year - on - year increase of 28%. From August 1 - 10, the wholesale sales of new energy vehicles by national passenger car manufacturers were 229,000 units, a year - on - year increase of 15% and a month - on - month decrease of 2%. The wholesale penetration rate of new energy manufacturers was 56.8%. The cumulative wholesale sales this year were 7.862 million units, a year - on - year increase of 35% [6]. - **Industry News** - August 15: Ningde Times' Jianxiawo Mine, one of the largest lithium mica mines in Yichun, announced a shutdown due to the expiration of the mining license, which will directly affect the change in lithium carbonate prices. Local mines in Yichun mainly mine ceramic soil and tantalum - niobium ore, but the new mining law revision tends to determine the ore type based on the actual economic behavior. There are a total of eight mines in the same situation, and local authorities require them to re - apply before September 30 this year [8]. - August 13: An "anti - involution" storm is sweeping through the entire lithium - battery industry chain. On August 12, the Lithium Industry Branch of the China Non - Ferrous Metals Industry Association issued an initiative for the healthy development of the lithium industry, calling on the entire industry chain to jointly resist vicious competition and promote the high - quality development of the lithium industry. The initiative includes strengthening upstream - downstream collaboration, maintaining industrial safety, adhering to the principle of fair market competition, and actively assessing market trends to reasonably plan new production capacities [8]. - July 23: On July 22, Yang Hongxin, the chairman of Hive Energy, revealed that Hive Energy is fully promoting the R & D and mass - production process of solid - state batteries. It plans to trial - produce the first - generation 140Ah semi - solid batteries on its 2.3GWh semi - solid mass - production line in the fourth quarter of 2025. These batteries will be used exclusively for the next - generation models of BMW MINI and are expected to be supplied on a large scale starting in 2027 [9]. 4. Industrial Chain Data Charts - The report provides data charts including the main contract and basis of lithium carbonate futures, lithium concentrate prices, hexafluorophosphate and electrolyte prices, ternary precursor prices, ternary material prices, lithium iron phosphate prices, lithium carbonate operating rate, lithium carbonate inventory, and cell selling prices, with data sources including iFinD, SMM, Shanghai Steel Union, and the R & D department of Tonghui Futures [10][13][15][17][18][21][22][24].
赣锋锂业今日大宗交易平价成交5.17万股,成交额201.37万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 08:52
| 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 | 成交量 | 成交全额 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (元) | (万股/万份) | (万元) | | | | 2025-08-19 | 002460 | 竟锋锂业 | 38.95 | 5.17 | 201.37 | 中信证券股份有限 | 中信证券华南股份 | | | | | | | | 公司上海分公司 | 有限公司佛山分公 | | | | | | | | | 리 | 8月19日,赣锋锂业大宗交易成交5.17万股,成交额201.37万元,占当日总成交额的0.17%,成交价38.95元,较市场收盘价 38.95元持平。 ...
再度上涨,看遍所有熟悉板块,依旧不打算下手!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 07:44
Group 1 - The A-share market continues to rise, but there is a lack of investment opportunities that appeal to the company [1][2] - The company expresses frustration over holding cash without suitable investment options, comparing the situation to being in a KTV without finding suitable companions [2][3] - The company emphasizes the importance of being selective in investments, avoiding poor choices despite the urge to invest [4] Group 2 - In the securities sector, a high position was reached with a doji candlestick pattern, leading to a reluctance to invest at this level [5][6] - The liquor sector has shown unexpected strength, but the company remains cautious due to fundamental concerns, despite the potential short-term bottom for a leading brand at 1400 yuan [7][8] - The new energy sector has displayed lackluster performance recently, with no significant movements in lithium, silicon materials, or wind power equipment [9]
供应端影响仍在,碳酸锂盘面偏强运行
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-08-19 05:04
Report Industry Investment Rating - Unilateral: Cautiously bullish; Inter - term: None; Cross - variety: None; Spot - futures: None; Options: None [4] Core View - The lithium carbonate futures market is mainly affected by supply - side disturbances. With the current mine stoppages, it is expected that domestic lithium carbonate will start to significantly reduce inventory in September. If subsequent production cuts are substantial and last for a long time, the oversupply pattern of lithium carbonate may reverse, and the futures price may still have upward potential with certain consumption support [2] Market Analysis Summary - On August 18, 2025, the main lithium carbonate contract 2511 opened at 88,160 yuan/ton and closed at 89,240 yuan/ton, with a 4.67% change from the previous day's settlement price. The trading volume was 1,036,328 lots, and the open interest was 421,106 lots, up from 401,139 lots the previous day. The current basis was - 4,160 yuan/ton, and the number of lithium carbonate warehouse receipts was 23,555 lots, a change of 70 lots from the previous trading day [1] - According to SMM data, the price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 82,500 - 86,700 yuan/ton, up 1,900 yuan/ton from the previous day; the price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 81,600 - 83,000 yuan/ton, also up 1,900 yuan/ton. The price of 6% lithium concentrate was 1,035 US dollars/ton, up 45 US dollars/ton from the previous day. Downstream procurement enthusiasm continued to increase, and market activity enhanced. Due to the rigid demand of some downstream enterprises and the reluctance of upstream and traders to sell, the spot transaction price of lithium carbonate continued to rise significantly [1] - According to the latest weekly data, the weekly output increased by 424 tons to 19,980 tons, with the output from salt lakes and spodumene increasing and the output from mica decreasing. The weekly inventory decreased by 162 tons to 142,256 tons, with an increase in intermediate - link inventory and a decrease in smelter inventory [1] Strategy Summary - The lithium carbonate futures market is mainly affected by supply - side disturbances. The mining end in Jiangxi is greatly affected, with large factories having stopped production and the resumption progress unknown. Other mines are required to complete relevant report writing by September 30, and the subsequent impact on production is uncertain. In addition, a lithium salt production enterprise in Qinghai may face the possibility of shutdown due to mining license issues. Based on the current mine stoppages, it is expected that domestic lithium carbonate will start to significantly reduce inventory from September. If subsequent production cuts are large and last for a long time, the oversupply pattern of lithium carbonate may change, and the futures price may still have upward potential with certain consumption support [2]
碳酸锂期货日报-20250819
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-19 01:52
Group 1: Report Information - Report Name: Carbonate Lithium Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: August 19, 2025 [2] - Researchers: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [3][4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Performance**: Carbonate lithium futures rose significantly, with the main contract breaking through 90,000 yuan during the session. The spot price of electric carbon increased by 1,900 yuan to 84,600 yuan, Australian ore rose by 45 to 1,035, lithium mica ore rose by 85 to 2,185, 5-series power-type ternary materials rose by 500, and lithium iron phosphate rose by 515. The production profit of salt plants purchasing lithium spodumene narrowed to 1,069, and the production loss of salt plants purchasing lithium mica expanded to 4,968. The current futures price has a premium of over 4,000 yuan over the spot price [12]. - **Main Drivers**: The rise was mainly due to the news that the mining license of Qinghai Xitai Jinaier Salt Lake of CITIC Guoan expired, and short - term disturbances in the resource side were the main cause of lithium price fluctuations [12]. - **Outlook**: The high supply is expected to remain unchanged in the short term, but the market's short - term trading sentiment is still concentrated on the production cuts and suspensions in the lithium resource sector. It is expected that the price of carbonate lithium is likely to rise and difficult to fall [12]. Group 3: Industry News - **Ganfeng Lithium**: On August 18, Ganfeng Lithium stated on the interactive platform that the future reversal of lithium prices depends on the intensity of supply - side clearance and the pace of demand growth. The company is optimistic about long - term lithium demand, will adjust production capacity flexibly and optimize hedging strategies, and the current volume of carbonate lithium futures hedging is low [13]. - **India's Policy Proposal**: India proposed to reduce the goods and services tax for entry - level two - wheelers, small cars, and hybrid passenger cars, and the proposal is expected to be implemented before October [13]
外资锂矿山二季度财报梳理-20250819
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-08-19 00:42
| œ | I | 4 | | --- | --- | --- | | œ | | | | 第一部分 | 概要 | 2 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 2 | | | | 2 | | | | 2 | | | 第二部分 | 澳洲、美洲矿山财报梳理 3 | | | | 3 | | | | 8 | | | | 10 | | | 第三部分 | 后市展望及策略推荐 11 | | | | 免责声明 | 13 | 有色板块研发报告 外资锂矿山二季度财报梳理 第一部分 概要 银河期货 第 2 页 共 13 页 有色板块研发报告 第二部分 澳洲、美洲矿山财报梳理 第 3 页 共 13 页 有色板块研发报告 第 4 页 共 13 页 有色板块研发报告 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Greenbushes 2023 2024 2025 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Pilbara 2023 2024 2025 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Mt Marion 2023 2024 2025 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Q1 Q2 Q3 ...
盛新锂能集团股份有限公司 关于回购股份实施结果暨股份变动的公告
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao - Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-08-19 00:11
截至目前,公司已通过集中竞价方式回购股份数量27,351,330股,占公司总股本的2.99%;最高成交价 为17.74元/股,最低成交价为15.32元/股,支付的总金额为44,494.45万元(不含交易费用)。本次回购 金额不低于回购方案中的回购资金总额下限,且未超过回购资金总额上限,公司本次回购股份方案已实 施完毕,本次回购符合公司的回购股份方案及相关法律法规的要求。 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整,没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗 漏。 盛新锂能集团股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于2025年6月23日召开第八届董事会第二十次会议,审 议通过了《关于回购公司股份方案的议案》,同意公司使用自有资金及回购专项贷款以集中竞价方式回 购公司部分已发行的人民币普通股(A股)股票用于维护公司价值及股东权益。本次拟用于回购的资金 总额为不低于人民币40,000万元且不超过人民币50,000万元,回购价格不超过人民币17.75元/股,回购 股份的实施期限为自公司董事会审议通过本次回购方案之日起三个月内。具体情况详见公司分别于2025 年6月25日 ...
碳酸锂期货创阶段新高!后市关注供需面改善的持续性
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-18 23:34
曾宇轲也认为,矿山停产对锂盐产量的拖累略有滞后,考虑到今年7月国内锂云母提锂产量约1.8万吨, 若宁德时代枧下窝矿山持续停产,锂云母提锂产量可能回落至1万吨附近,这将影响国内10%的碳酸锂 供给,届时国内供需或出现缺口。 从库存数据来看,当前碳酸锂的周度库存呈现小幅去化态势。据SMM数据,截至8月14日当周,碳酸锂 周度库存为14.23万吨,环比减少162吨,且下滑主要集中在冶炼厂。 对此,王美丹认为,碳酸锂市场呈现"增产去库"态势,表明随着"金九银十"旺季的临近,下游补库动作 陆续启动。 记者注意到,随着碳酸锂价格反弹,锂辉石价格也随之抬升,部分澳矿拍卖价格突破1000美元/吨。 "锂辉石价格上涨对当前碳酸锂期货价格有较强支撑。"余烁解释称,在当前现货市场供需维持强劲的格 局下,碳酸锂期货价格有望保持偏强震荡态势。但需要注意的是,7月份以来,新能源汽车销量边际走 弱。据中汽协数据,7月份,新能源汽车国内销量103.7万辆,环比下降7.8%,同比增长16.9%,环比走 弱明显。后续可重点关注终端需求的表现,若增速放缓,可能会进一步压制碳酸锂价格上行的空间。 8月18日,碳酸锂期货再度上行,主力合约LC2511 ...
久吾高科拟发行可转债募资;龙佰集团上半年净利润同比降约两成 | 新能源早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-18 23:19
8月18日,久吾高科公告称,公司拟发行可转债募资不超过5.04亿元,扣除发行费用后用于"班戈错盐湖 年产2000吨氯化锂中试生产线BOT项目""特种无机膜组件及装置生产线项目""补充流动资金"。 点评:久吾高科拟发行可转债募资,募投项目展现其在新能源和环保领域的战略布局。此举有望增强公 司竞争力,提升市场份额,对相关行业产生积极影响。 NO.2 蔚蓝锂芯:控股子公司拟以8388万美元在马来西亚投建LED项目 8月18日,蔚蓝锂芯公告称,公司控股子公司淮安澳洋顺昌光电技术有限公司拟在马来西亚进行LED项 目建设投资,项目总投资8388万美元,新建LED CSP项目(CSP意为芯片级封装)。项目全部建成达产 后,预计将形成700KK(1KK即1百万)芯片点测分选及CSP月产能。蔚蓝锂芯同日披露2025年半年 报,公司上半年实现归母净利润3.33亿元,同比增长99.09%。 点评:蔚蓝锂芯控股子公司在马来西亚投资建设LED CSP项目,表明蔚蓝锂芯积极拓展国际市场,希望 增强全球竞争力,这会对LED行业产生积极影响。 每经记者|朱成祥 每经编辑|文多 丨 2025年8月19日 星期二丨 NO.1 久吾高科:拟发行可 ...