Group 1 - COMEX gold futures have surpassed the $4,510 mark, with an increase of over 1%, while COMEX silver futures rose over 4%, reaching a peak of $71.79 per ounce, marking the first time silver has crossed the $70 per ounce threshold [1][2] - Year-to-date, gold prices have surged approximately 70%, driven by geopolitical tensions, U.S. interest rate cuts, strong central bank purchases, and robust investment demand [1][2] - The market has been in a deficit for five years, with increasing industrial demand contributing to the price rise, alongside factors such as safe-haven demand, a weak dollar, and declining yields [3] Group 2 - Analysts predict that the long-term theme of central bank diversification of foreign exchange reserves is a major factor driving gold prices [3] - A forecast suggests that gold prices could reach $5,000 per ounce next year [3] - As international gold prices continue to rise, domestic gold jewelry prices have also increased, with some brands' prices for 24K gold jewelry exceeding 1,400 yuan per gram for the first time [2][3]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 | | | | | | No. of the Real Pro- | | of the first of the results of | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股指 | 上证50期货 | 3025.6 | 0.24% | 0.64% | 2.25% | 1.22% | 12.98 | | | 中证500期货 | 7133.2 | 0.14% | 110% | 4.88% | -2.16% | 25.30 | | | 中证1000期货 | 7197.4 | -0.09% | 0.78% | 2.44% | -2.82% | 23.06 | | 国债 | 2年期国债期货 | 102.526 | 0.06% | 0.04% | 0.14% | 0.23% | -0.44 | | | 5年期国债期货 | 106.025 | 0.16% | 0.05% | 0.26% | 0.48% | -0.48 | | | 10年期国债期货 | 108.22 | 0.22% | 0.06% | 0.2 ...

国际金价延续连日来的涨势。受此带动，以人民币计价的黄金价格再创新高。 12月23日，有品牌足金 饰品报价首次站上每克1400元上方。 与此同时，受美联储降息、供应紧缺、投资需求和工业需求显著增加等因素综合影响， 白银期价也延 续强劲涨势。 摩根大通在其2026年黄金市场展望报告中认为，由于驱动因素依然强劲， 黄金市场在2026年或将延续 上涨势头。与此同时，一些市场分析人士预计2026年白银需求也将继续增长。 来源：新华社、央视财经 编辑：乐丹娜 校对：冯卓盈 12月23日，伦敦现货黄金盘中一度接近每盎司4490美元，突破10月底每盎司4381美元的高点。受此影 响，上海黄金交易所现货黄金价格23日盘中来到每克1014元，上海期货交易所上市的黄金期货主力合约 一度涨至每克1018元，均创新高。 今年以来，国际现货黄金涨幅已超70%， 以人民币计价的现货黄金价格累计上涨超64%。 瑞银财富管理投资总监办公室认为，黄金已扳回10月跌幅，有望创下1979年以来最佳年度变现。美联储 料将在未来数月继续保持宽松政策，同时随着主权国家继续降低美元储备比重，全球央行对黄金的需求 有望保持强劲，对金价构成一定支撑。 ...

国际金价延续连日来的涨势。受此带动，以人民币计价的黄金价格再创新高。12月23日，有品牌足金饰 品报价首次站上每克1400元上方。 12月23日，伦敦现货黄金盘中一度接近每盎司4490美元，突破10月底每盎司4381美元的高点。受此影 响，上海黄金交易所现货黄金价格23日盘中来到每克1014元，上海期货交易所上市的黄金期货主力合约 一度涨至每克1018元，均创新高。 今年以来，国际现货黄金涨幅已超70%，以人民币计价的现货黄金价格累计上涨超64%。 与此同时，受美联储降息、供应紧缺、投资需求和工业需求显著增加等因素综合影响，白银期价也延续 强劲涨势。截至22日收盘，纽约商品交易所明年3月交割的白银期价收于每盎司68.565美元，涨幅为 1.59%。 来源：央视新闻（ID：cctvnewscenter） 题图：视觉中国 编辑：婉嘉 摩根大通在其2026年黄金市场展望报告中认为，由于驱动因素依然强劲，黄金市场在2026年或将延续上 涨势头。与此同时，一些市场分析人士预计2026年白银需求也将继续增长。 ...

Group 1: Precious Metals - The main focus is on precious metals, particularly silver and gold, with silver experiencing a 40% increase since late November, making it a highly elastic investment [1] - Gold has recently surged past the $4500 mark after fluctuating around $4400 for about six trading days, indicating an accelerating trend [1] - The rise in gold prices is attributed to the strong performance of silver, leading investors to shift their focus to gold due to fear of missing out on potential gains [1] - There is a growing belief among investors that a bull market for precious metals is underway, driven by low future interest rate expectations for the dollar [1] - Caution is advised against increasing investment proportions significantly at this time, suggesting a more prudent approach of observing market conditions before making large purchases [1] Group 2: Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace sector experienced a notable decline, with the China Securities Military Industry Index dropping by 2% and related ETFs falling over 4% [2] - The current market sentiment indicates that many investors are considering adding to their positions during this downturn, although the strength of capital in this sector appears to be weak [2] - The previous hype around commercial aerospace has largely been driven by speculative stocks, and there is a recommendation to focus on opportunities led by institutional investors in the future [2] Group 3: A-Share Market - The A-share market showed an upward trend but experienced a significant pullback in the afternoon, with the index reaching a high of 3937 points before declining [4] - The market's upward movement seems somewhat passive, with funds showing reluctance to engage actively, leading to a drop in the index [4] - The afternoon decline is interpreted as a potential "washout" to digest pressure near the 3950-point resistance level, indicating a strategic retreat rather than a panic sell-off [4] - If market conditions remain stable, there is potential for the index to challenge today's high again, with a possibility of a pullback to the 20-day moving average for consolidation [5]

国际金价延续连日来的涨势。受此带动，以人民币计价的黄金价格再创新高。12月23日，有品牌足金饰品报价首次站上每克1400元上方。 与此同时，受美联储降息、供应紧缺、投资需求和工业需求显著增加等因素综合影响，白银期价也延续强劲涨势。截至22日收盘，纽约商品交易所明年3 月交割的白银期价收于每盎司68.565美元，涨幅为1.59%。 来源 | 新华社、央视财经 12月23日，伦敦现货黄金盘中一度接近每盎司4490美元，突破10月底每盎司4381美元的高点。受此影响，上海黄金交易所现货黄金价格23日盘中来到每克 1014元，上海期货交易所上市的黄金期货主力合约一度涨至每克1018元，均创新高。 今年以来，国际现货黄金涨幅已超70%，以人民币计价的现货黄金价格累计上涨超64%。 瑞银财富管理投资总监办公室认为，黄金已扳回10月跌幅。美联储料将在未来数月继续保持宽松政策，同时随着主权国家继续降低美元储备比重，全球央 行对黄金的需求有望保持强劲，对金价构成一定支撑。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that silver prices are experiencing a bullish trend, driven by a combination of macroeconomic factors and industrial demand, with significant inflows into the silver market [1][1][1] - The largest silver ETF, iShares Silver Trust (SLV), saw an increase in holdings by 533.01 tons, marking the largest single-day increase since January 2023, bringing total holdings to 16,599.25 tons [1][1][1] - Industrial demand for silver has risen to 55%, driven by sectors such as photovoltaics and electric vehicles, while global visible inventories remain below safe levels, supporting the price recovery of silver [1][1][1] Group 2 - A survey conducted by Kitco News among 352 retail investors indicated that over 50% of respondents expect silver to be the best-performing metal again by 2026 [1][1][1] - In the latest trading session, silver prices surged, indicating a short-term bullish trend, supported by positive signals and trading above the 50-day EMA, which suggests potential for further gains [1][1][1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that silver prices have surged, breaking the $68 per ounce mark, reaching a historical high, with a cumulative increase of nearly 130% since late August [1] - Guotai Junan Futures believes that silver is becoming a high-quality asset for allocation, predicting an even more impressive market in 2026 [1] - The long-term allocation direction and logic for precious metals remain unchanged, supported by a loose monetary background [1] Group 2 - The current situation of silver's spot market has become a norm, with high elasticity in performance when risk sentiment improves marginally [1] - The logic of improving macro liquidity overseas is currently more favorable than economic demand, suggesting that commodity allocation should focus on assets less tied to economic fundamentals, with silver being a prime example [1] - China Silver Group (00815) has seen its stock price increase by over 5%, currently trading at 0.73 HKD with a trading volume of 772.27 million HKD [2]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Bullish: Copper, Aluminum, Nickel, Stainless Steel, Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Lithium Carbonate [1] - Bearish: Palm Oil, Soybean Oil, No. 05 Contract of Rapeseed Oil, Benzene Ethylene [1] - Neutral (Oscillation): Stock Index, Treasury Bond, Alumina, Zinc, Industrial Silicon, Polysilicon, Rebar, Hot Rolled Coil, Iron Ore, Ferrosilicon, Glass, Soda Ash, Coking Coal, Coke, High - Ash Coal, Cotton, Sugar, Wheat, Corn, Pulp, Log, Live Pig, Fuel Oil, Asphalt, Ethylene Glycol, Short - Fiber, Steam, PP, PVC, LPG, Shipping [1] Core Views - After the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike, the risk appetite of global equity assets is gradually recovering, and the stock index is oscillating and rebounding. However, further breakthrough requires volume support, and the market sentiment is expected to be cautious by the end of the year [1]. - Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial to bond futures, but the central bank has recently warned of interest - rate risks, and attention should be paid to the Bank of Japan's interest - rate decision [1]. - The macro - sentiment has improved, and the prices of some metals such as copper, aluminum, and nickel are showing upward trends, while the fundamentals of some metals like alumina remain weak [1]. - In the non - ferrous metal industry, the production plan of Indonesian nickel ore in 2026 is expected to be reduced, which has an impact on the market [1]. - In the stainless - steel industry, raw material prices are stable, inventory is decreasing, and production cuts are increasing [1]. - In the precious - metal and new - energy sectors, gold has reached a new high, and silver, platinum, and palladium are also bullish, but there are risks of volatility [1]. - In the black - metal industry, the black - metal sector has experienced a resonance decline, but there are signs of stabilization [1]. - In the agricultural - product market, different products have different supply - demand situations and price trends, and attention should be paid to various factors such as policies, weather, and inventories [1]. - In the energy - chemical industry, different products are affected by factors such as supply - demand, cost, and production plans, showing different price trends [1]. Summaries by Related Categories Macro - Financial - Stock Index: After the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike, the risk appetite of global equity assets is gradually recovering, and the stock index is oscillating and rebounding. Further breakthrough requires volume support, and the market sentiment is expected to be cautious by the end of the year, with the stock index mainly oscillating [1]. - Treasury Bond: Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial to bond futures, but the central bank has recently warned of interest - rate risks, and attention should be paid to the Bank of Japan's interest - rate decision [1]. Non - Ferrous Metals - Copper: The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike has led to a recovery in market risk appetite, and copper prices are running strongly [1]. - Aluminum: With limited industrial drive and improved macro - sentiment, aluminum prices are oscillating strongly [1]. - Alumina: The domestic fundamentals remain weak, and the price will remain low in the short term [1]. - Zinc: The fundamentals have improved, and the cost center has moved up, but the zinc price is under pressure due to news such as LME position limits. Attention can be paid to low - buying opportunities [1]. - Nickel: The US inflation has slowed down more than expected, and the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike has warmed the macro - sentiment. The production plan of Indonesian nickel ore in 2026 is expected to be reduced, and the global nickel inventory is still high. The Shanghai nickel has rebounded significantly recently and may run strongly in the short term. The long - term primary nickel market remains in a surplus pattern [1]. - Stainless Steel: The price of raw material nickel - iron has stabilized, the social inventory of stainless steel has decreased slightly, and steel mills have increased production cuts in December. The stainless - steel futures continue to rebound, and short - term long - position operations are recommended, waiting for high - selling hedging opportunities [1]. - Tin: The situation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo is still tense. The short - term macro - sentiment has improved, and coupled with capital speculation, the tin price has strengthened [1]. Precious Metals and New Energy - Gold: Due to loose liquidity and rising geopolitical tensions, the gold price has reached a new high and may run strongly in the short term, but there are risks of volatility [1]. - Silver: Macro - drive, supply - demand imbalance, and ETF position increase are beneficial to silver, but there are risks of short - term sharp fluctuations [1]. - Platinum and Palladium: Driven by macro - factors, supply - demand imbalance, and capital sentiment, they may maintain a bullish pattern in the short term, but there are risks of market fluctuations, and investors are advised to participate cautiously [1]. Black Metals - Rebar and Hot Rolled Coil: The basis and production profit are not high, indicating that the price valuation is not high, and short - selling is not recommended [1]. - Iron Ore: The near - month contract is restricted by production cuts, but the commodity sentiment is good, and the far - month contract still has upward opportunities [1]. - Ferrosilicon: The direct demand is weak, the supply is high, and the price is under pressure [1]. - Glass: The supply - demand situation provides support, the valuation is low, and the price fluctuates strongly in the short term due to sentiment [1]. - Soda Ash: It follows the trend of glass, with acceptable supply - demand and low valuation, and may be under pressure and oscillate [1]. - Coking Coal and Coke: After the negative news was released, there are signs of stabilization, and attention should be paid to whether downstream enterprises will start winter - storage replenishment [1]. - High - Ash Coal: Although high - frequency data have improved, it is difficult to change the expectation of loose supply in the origin, and short - selling on rebounds is recommended [1]. Agricultural Products - Palm Oil: Affected by the decline of CBOT and other domestic oils, it is running weakly [1]. - Soybean Oil: Affected by the weak performance of related markets, it is running weakly [1]. - Rapeseed Oil: The short - term raw - material shortage theme is expected to be fully priced, and short - selling the 05 contract is recommended due to the expected high yield in the global main production areas [1]. - Cotton: There is support from the purchase price of seed cotton, and there is rigid replenishment demand in the downstream. The cotton market is currently in a situation of "having support but no drive", and attention should be paid to policies, planting area, and demand in the future [1]. - Sugar: There is a consensus on short - selling in the market. If the price continues to fall, there is strong cost support below, but there is a lack of continuous drive in the short - term fundamentals [1]. - Wheat and Corn: The market supply - demand tension has eased, but farmers are reluctant to sell, and the inventory is at a low level. There is expected to be some replenishment demand before the Spring Festival, which limits the decline of the price [1]. - Pulp: Affected by weak demand and strong supply expectations, it fluctuates greatly. Unilateral operations are recommended to wait and see, and 1 - 5 reverse spreads can be considered for the spread [1]. - Log: Affected by the decline of external quotes and spot prices, the 01 contract is under pressure and is expected to oscillate weakly [1]. - Live Pig: The spot price is gradually stabilizing, but the production capacity still needs to be further released [1]. Energy and Chemicals - Fuel Oil: It follows the trend of crude oil in the short term, and the supply of raw - material Marey crude oil is sufficient [1]. - Asphalt: The profit is relatively high, and it is affected by factors such as production - demand and cost [1]. - Ethylene Glycol: It is affected by factors such as inventory increase, cost decline, and policy changes [1]. - Short - Fiber: It closely follows the cost fluctuations [1]. - Steam: It is affected by factors such as supply - demand, cost, and production plans, and the market expectation is weak [1]. - PP: The supply pressure is large, the downstream improvement is less than expected, and the market expectation is weak [1]. - PVC: The supply pressure is increasing, the demand is weak, and the price is oscillating within a range [1]. - LPG: After the price correction, it maintains range - bound oscillation, and attention should be paid to the impact of natural gas on the near - month price and the decline of the far - month spread [1]. - Shipping: The price increase in December was less than expected, the supply of shipping capacity was relatively loose, and the market was affected by various factors [1].

记者丨张欣 编辑丨肖嘉 视频丨曾婷芳 见习编辑陈泽锴 延续本周一的上涨热潮，截至12月23日12：43，黄金期货与现货黄金价格双双暴涨并再创历史新高。 | 国际贵金属 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | 年初登今 | | NYMEX铂 | 2211.3d | 121.9 | 5.83% | 142.89% | | NYMEX征 | 1904.50d | 73.60 | 4.02% | 109.40% | | 现货铂金(美元/盎司) | 2178.90 | 49.20 | 2.31% | 141.03% | | 现货把金(美元/盎司) | 1807.00 | 32.90 | 1.85% | 98.90% | | COMEX日银 | 69.730d | 1.165 | 1.70% | 138.07% | | COMEX黄金 | 4519.2d | 49.8 | 1.11% | 71.23% | | 伦敦金现 | 4484.460 | 41.250 | 0.93% | 70.89% | | 伦敦金(人民币/克) | 1 ...