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不仅是缺钱!仅46%美国人有暑期旅行计划,国际游客也在减少
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-04-25 07:56
Group 1: Consumer Sentiment and Travel Plans - Only 46% of Americans plan to travel this summer, a decrease from 53% last year, indicating a decline in consumer confidence [1][2] - Among those not planning to travel, 65% cite financial reasons, with 68% specifically mentioning high daily living expenses as a concern [2][3] - The percentage of respondents uncertain about their travel plans increased from 18% in 2024 to 23% this year [2] Group 2: Economic Factors Impacting Travel - Concerns over tariffs and potential economic recession are leading to a more cautious approach to summer travel among Americans [1][2] - A report from Bank of America indicates that domestic accommodations, flights, and travel activities are below previous years, reflecting a drop in consumer confidence [1][4] - Low-income households are cutting travel spending more significantly than wealthier families, who may opt for international travel instead [5] Group 3: International Travel Decline - Interest from international travelers, particularly from Canada and Western Europe, is decreasing due to U.S. trade policies and border issues [6][7] - Canadian visitors to the U.S. dropped by 12.5% in February and 18% in March, while visitors from the UK and Germany also saw a decline of approximately 30% [7] Group 4: Airline Industry Response - Airlines like United Airlines and Delta Airlines reported first-quarter earnings that met or exceeded expectations but anticipate a weaker outlook for 2025 due to declining travel demand [10] - United Airlines provided two profit forecasts for the year, one assuming a recession, predicting adjusted earnings per share between $7 and $9 [10] - There has been a reduction in flight schedules due to decreased demand, with bookings for flights originating in Europe and Canada down by 6% and 9% respectively [10]
【福利】建行数币,约惠2025
中国建设银行· 2025-04-24 06:32
使用建行数字人民币 出行、消费享满减优惠 满9元 立减3元 建行数币 约约惠惠22002255 瑞幸咖啡 Part 01 the state 19元立底5元 可享它次 I luckin coffee luckin coffee 活动时间 2025年4月23日至6月30日 活动对象 已开通建行一、二类数字人民币个人钱包用户 活动地区 北京,天津,河北省,大连,上海,江苏省,浙江(杭州、宁波、温州、湖州、绍兴、金华),福 建(福州、厦门),山东(济南、青岛),长沙,广东省,广西(南宁、防城港),海南省,重庆,四川 省,云南(昆明、西双版纳),西安等数字人民市试点地区,以用户GPS定位为准。 活动内容 活动期间,用户在 瑞幸咖啡APP 使用建行数字人民币一、二类钱包支付,可享满9元立减3元优 惠。活动期间,每位用户单日限享1次优惠,每人最多可享2次优惠。每日优惠总次数10000次, 总优惠400000次,活动名额有限,额满即止。 瑞幸数币快付开通使用流程 何开通钱包快付 打开数字人民币APP,点击"我的",再点击 "钱包快付管理",在搜索框输入"瑞幸咖啡",点 击可开通栏中的"瑞幸咖啡",选择"建设银行钱 包",点 ...
【福利】建行数币,约惠2025
中国建设银行· 2025-04-24 06:32
使用建行数字人民币 出行、消费享满减优惠 满9元立减3 元 建行数币 约约惠惠22002255 瑞幸咖啡 Part 01 活动对象 已开通建行一、二类数字人民币个人钱包用户 活动地区 北京,天津,河北省,大连,上海,江苏省,浙江(杭州、宁波、温州、湖州、绍兴、金华),福建(福州、厦门),山东(济南、青岛),长沙, 广东省,广西(南宁、防城港),海南省,重庆,四川省,云南(昆明、西双版纳),西安等数字人民市试点地区,以用户GPS定位为准。 活动内容 活动期间,用户在 瑞幸咖啡APP 使用建行数字人民币一、二类钱包支付,可享满9元立减3元优惠。活动期间,每位用户单日限享1次优惠, 每人最多可享2次优惠。每日优惠总次数10000次,总优惠400000次,活动名额有限,额满即止。 品 19元立成5元 可享cix I luckin coffee luckin coffee 活动时间 2025年4月23日至6月30日 确认订单 确认订单 < n 稳认订单 立即自歌,约14:07可取 ! 照 大原中框盒 at W14 (2 取学) ွေ့ရွာ၊ 备注特殊要求 LI 折盒墙饮品得 > 超付 ¥19 度付 ¥19 击变付 选 ...
美联航(UAL.US)“双情景”指引惊艳华尔街 高盛看涨至92美元
智通财经网· 2025-04-17 07:24
智通财经APP获悉,美国航空业领军者美联航(UAL.US)在美东时间周二美股盘后公布2025年第一季度业绩,华尔街金融巨头高盛在 该公司公布业绩与最新展望指引后发布研报称,截至3月的第一季度调整后每股收益(EPS)0.91 美元,远远高于FactSet 华尔街共识预 期以及高盛预估的 0.74/0.60 美元,也好于管理层最近给出的业绩指引区间低端数值(0.75美元至1.25美元)。 高盛在研报中表示,此次美联航业绩意外大超预期主要得益于单位成本表现优于预期(部分受益于运力增速高于FactSet共识以及高盛 预测)以及单位营收数据表现向好,有一部分被更高的燃油成本抵消。 美联航Q1详细的业绩数据显示,第一季度总营收约为 132 亿美元,同比增长 5.3%;净利润为3.87亿美元,上年同期净亏损为1.24亿美 元;调整后的每股收益为91美分,高于FactSet 共识预期所显示的74美分。更重要的是,该航空公司预计即使在关税政策导致的经济低 迷时期也能实现颇具韧性的盈利,这无疑令投资者们松了一口气。 投资者们普遍对于美联航全年EPS指引关注度很高——在特朗普关税政策压顶的悲观需求环境以及充满巨大不确定的全球宏观经 ...
美国联合航空:航空旅行需求或将遭遇2020年以来最大降幅
美股研究社· 2025-04-14 13:03
美国联合航空 ( NASDAQ: UAL ) 在 2025 年开局惨淡,市值缩水约三分之一,2024 年的大部分 涨幅也已抹去。此次暴跌导致 美国联合航空的预期估值非常低,市盈率为 6.3 倍,但 空头仓位 略有上升,约为 5%。从根本上讲,市场开始消化航空旅行需求下降带来的美国经济衰退风险。 航空业普遍低迷,美国喷气机今年已下跌约 25%。 美国联合航空将于4月15日(周二)收盘后公布其第一季度每股收益。 其每股收益预期 为0.74美 元,营收预期为131.8亿美元,这将较其2024年第一季度的负每股收益大幅增长。航空公司第一 季度的宏观经济状况良好。上周,达美航空 ( DAL ) 公布了其第一季度业绩,每股收益和营收均 超出预期;然而,达美航空并未重申其先前的2025年业绩指引,其首席执行官预计经济将面临暂 时且不确定的波动。 话虽如此,如果美国经济衰退真的发生,尤其是长期衰退, 美国联合航空的处境可能会比达美航 空更糟。与所有美国主要航空公司相比, 美国联合航空的处境通常比达美航空差,但比美国航空 ( AAL ) 和 西南航空 ( LUV ) 的 处境 要好。纵观旅游休闲行业,关键问题不在于美国 经济是 ...
下降!特朗普政策“劝退”国际游客
第一财经· 2025-04-13 13:47
上述数据未包括赴美加拿大游客人数和经陆路入境美国的墨西哥游客人数。 对于这一下降,牛津经济研究院11日发布的报告分析称,这是"美国优先"立场强化带来的全球影响, 复活节假期推迟也是原因之一。 该报告解释称,特朗普政府的政策和声明加剧了潜在国际游客对美国的负面情绪、美国日益强化的边 境安全措施和移民执法行动以及美元走强阻碍了游客赴美旅行。报告预计特朗普4月2日宣布的对等 关税计划可能会招致国际游客的进一步抵制。 2025.04. 13 本文字数:1606,阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 程程 特朗普近期的争议性政策与言论正在"劝退"全球旅行者——最近数据显示,3月份赴美的国际旅行者 数量显著下降。 第一财经记者查阅美国商务部国际贸易管理局(ITA)的最新数据发现,3月份赴美海外游客数量同 比下降11.6%。占国际游客80%的西欧、亚洲和南美洲地区均出现不同程度的下降。来自西欧的旅客 人数3月同比17.2%,其中来自英国和德国的游客数量下降尤为显著。亚洲和南美洲地区的数据分别 下降3.4%和10.4%。 游客在美国首都华盛顿的国家广场游览。(图源:新华社) 国际游客赴美预测遭下调 去年,赴美国际游客数量大 ...
标普纳指低开高走惊险收涨,Q1仍创近三年来最大季跌!特斯拉一季度跌近36%,英伟达跌近20%!黄金创38年来最大季涨幅
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-01 01:50
Market Overview - Global investors' risk aversion led to an increase in prices of safe-haven assets like gold and U.S. Treasuries [1] - As of the latest close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 417.86 points, closing at 42001.76, a gain of 1.00% [1] - The S&P 500 index increased by 30.91 points, closing at 5611.85, a rise of 0.55% [1] - The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 23.70 points, closing at 17299.29, a decline of 0.14% [1] Quarterly Performance - The S&P 500 index experienced a quarterly decline of 4.59% and a monthly drop of 5.75% [4] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average saw a quarterly decrease of 1.28% and a monthly decline of 4.20% [5] - The Nasdaq Composite Index recorded a quarterly drop of 10.42% and a monthly decrease of 8.21% [6] Sector Performance - The healthcare sector ETF rose over 6.5%, while the energy sector ETF increased by 9.94% during the quarter [12] - The technology sector, represented by the "Magnificent 7" index, fell by 14.83% in the first quarter [13] - The semiconductor sector, as indicated by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, declined by 14.25% in the first quarter [17] Economic Outlook - Goldman Sachs raised the probability of a U.S. economic recession in the next 12 months from 20% to 35% [29] - The report indicated a lower economic baseline expectation and a significant decline in consumer and business confidence [29] - The forecast for the U.S. GDP growth rate for this year is now expected to be 1%, the lowest since 2020 [29] Stock Specifics - Tesla's stock fell by 35.83% in the first quarter, while Nvidia dropped by 19.29% [14] - Berkshire Hathaway's Class B shares rose by 1.19%, with a quarterly increase of 17.49% [26] - Canadian airline Air Canada saw a drop of over 3% due to a 10% decline in U.S. orders attributed to tariffs [27]
多重不确定因素,美股或延续震荡下行
citic securities· 2025-03-12 03:24
Investment Rating - The report suggests a cautious outlook for the US stock market, predicting continued volatility and a downward trend until late March or early April 2025, with a focus on sectors such as healthcare, consumer services, traditional telecommunications, and utilities [6][14]. Core Insights - The US stock market is facing significant pressure due to uncertainties surrounding tariffs and economic indicators that have fallen short of expectations, leading to a potential rotation of funds out of the market [6][14]. - The report highlights the resilience of the US labor market, as indicated by an increase in job vacancies and resignation rates, which may alleviate recession fears [6][26]. - The copper industry is expected to see price increases due to anticipated tariffs on imports, which could create supply shortages in the US market [14][26]. - The pharmaceutical sector is poised for valuation recovery, supported by government policies aimed at optimizing drug pricing and promoting innovative drug development [14][19]. Summary by Sections US Market Dynamics - The US stock market has retraced all gains since the Federal Reserve's rate cuts in September 2024, with consumer discretionary and industrial sectors facing significant impacts from tariff uncertainties [6][14]. - Major US indices experienced declines, with the Dow Jones dropping 1.14% and the S&P 500 down 0.76% [8][10]. European Market Dynamics - European markets also faced declines, with the Stoxx 600 index down 1.7%, driven by concerns over economic growth and tariff announcements from the US [10][14]. Asian Market Dynamics - The Asian markets showed mixed results, with the Thai market gaining 0.9%, while other markets like the Philippines and Singapore experienced declines [21][22]. Sector Performance - In the US, the industrial sector was notably affected by tariff announcements, leading to a 1.54% drop in the industrial index [10][14]. - In the Hong Kong market, sectors such as consumer goods and technology showed positive performance, with notable gains in companies like China Resources Beverage [10][11]. Individual Company Insights - Snowflake reported better-than-expected revenue performance, with AI products contributing to growth, and the company is viewed positively for its long-term investment potential [8][19]. - The copper sector is recommended for investment due to expected price increases driven by tariff-related supply constraints, with specific companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum highlighted [14][19].