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2025年工业企业利润同比增长0.6% 半导体产业链实现“加速跑”
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2026-01-27 11:31
针对高技术制造业利润增速较快的现象,张新原认为,这表明我国制造业转型升级成效显著。该领域受 益于政策重点支持、研发投入加大以及市场需求升级,尤其在智能消费设备、半导体、生物医药等细分 行业表现突出,成为拉动工业增长、提升价值链的关键力量。 苏商银行特约研究员付一夫也对记者表示,这体现了创新驱动发展战略的成效。细分领域中,智能消费 设备(如无人飞行器、智能车载设备)、半导体等行业利润增速突出,说明相关领域正成为经济增长的 新引擎;这既受益于消费升级与技术迭代带来的需求拉动,也离不开政策对研发投入和产业链协同的支 持。 中经记者 谭志娟 北京报道 2025年工业企业利润实现小幅增长。 2026年1月27日,国家统计局发布数据显示,2025年,全国规模以上工业企业利润比上年增长0.6%。其 中,12月份规模以上工业企业当月利润由11月份下降13.1%转为增长5.3%,增速回升18.4个百分点。 科方得咨询机构负责人张新原在接受《中国经营报》记者采访时表示,这反映出我国工业经济在结构调 整与政策支持下逐步企稳回升:一方面,宏观政策持续发力,稳定了市场需求和产业链供应链;另一方 面,企业通过技术创新与效率提升增强了盈利 ...
利润修复来自何处?——12月工业企业利润数据解读【陈兴团队·华福宏观】
陈兴宏观研究· 2026-01-27 09:45
Core Viewpoint - December saw a decline in revenue for industrial enterprises, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.2%, while profits improved with a year-on-year growth of 5.3%, marking a significant turnaround from the previous month's -13.1% [2][11] Group 1: Profit and Revenue Analysis - The profit margin growth in December was a key support for the overall profit improvement, with a notable recovery in profit rates [11][16] - The revenue decline was slightly offset by a narrowing of price drag, but overall revenue contraction still impacted profitability [11][16] - The year-on-year profit growth of 5.3% in December was a significant increase of 18.4 percentage points from the previous month, marking the first year-end profit increase since 2018 [11][14] Group 2: Currency Impact - The appreciation of the RMB since late 2025 has led to a return of overseas profits, with the bank's foreign exchange settlement and sales differences indicating a trend towards repatriating profits [5][11] - The expectation of RMB appreciation has historically been associated with an increase in the ratio of bank foreign exchange settlement differences to trade balances, reaching 25.9% in 2025, the second-highest since 2015 [5] Group 3: Industry Performance - The equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors showed strong profit growth, significantly outpacing the overall profit growth of large-scale industrial enterprises [6][14] - In December, the mining, raw materials, and processing assembly industries saw improvements in profit, while the consumer goods manufacturing sector continued to face pressure [14][16] - The high-tech manufacturing sector reported a profit growth of 13.3% year-on-year, exceeding the average growth rate of large-scale industrial enterprises by 12.7 percentage points [14] Group 4: Inventory and Demand - The nominal inventory growth rate declined to 3.9% in December, with actual inventory growth also falling, indicating weak domestic demand [9][17] - The consumer goods manufacturing sector is actively reducing inventory, while the equipment manufacturing sector is primarily focused on replenishing stock, reflecting the contrasting performance of these industries [9][17] - The production turnover days for industrial enterprises decreased to 19.9 days, suggesting ongoing operational pressures despite seasonal improvements in sales rates [17]
——12月工业企业利润数据解读:利润修复来自何处?
Huafu Securities· 2026-01-27 09:29
Group 1: Profit and Revenue Trends - In December, the revenue of industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by 3.2% year-on-year, with the decline expanding by 3.0 percentage points compared to the previous month[3] - Industrial enterprise profits increased by 5.3% year-on-year in December, reversing from a -13.1% decline in the previous month, marking the first year-end profit increase since 2018[3] - The profit margin growth in December was a significant support for profit improvement, while the price drag slightly narrowed, contributing to the overall profit recovery[3] Group 2: Currency and Economic Factors - The appreciation of the RMB since late November has led to a repatriation of overseas profits, with the bank's foreign exchange settlement and sales difference reaching 25.9% of the trade surplus for the year, the second-highest since 2015[4] - Weak domestic demand continues to constrain revenue and profit improvements for enterprises, although the RMB appreciation may temporarily support profit growth by encouraging the repatriation of overseas profits[3][4] - In the long term, the RMB appreciation could help curb excessive reliance on price competition among export enterprises, promoting a shift towards quality development driven by technology upgrades and brand building[3] Group 3: Industry Performance - The equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors showed strong profit growth, significantly outpacing the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises[4][5] - For the year 2025, the profit of the equipment manufacturing sector increased by 7.7%, contributing 2.8 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises[5] - High-tech manufacturing profits grew by 13.3% year-on-year, exceeding the average growth rate of all industrial enterprises by 12.7 percentage points, with notable performance in smart consumer devices, semiconductors, and medical-related manufacturing[5]
2025年1-12月工业企业盈利数据的背后:新质引领工业利润,传统仍有承压
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-01-27 09:22
Group 1: Industrial Profit Trends - In 2025, industrial enterprises' profits grew by 0.6% year-on-year, a recovery from the previous 0.1%[2] - December 2025 saw a profit increase of 5.3% compared to a 13.1% decline in November 2025[2] - The average two-year profit growth rate for December was -1.35%, indicating a narrowing decline[2] Group 2: Sector Performance - High-tech manufacturing profits increased by 13.3%, outperforming the overall industrial growth by 12.7 percentage points[4] - The equipment manufacturing sector contributed 39.8% to total industrial profits, a 2.6 percentage point increase from the previous year[6] - Profits in the smart consumer device manufacturing sector surged by 48.0%, with specific industries like smart drones and automotive devices seeing increases of 102.0% and 88.8% respectively[4] Group 3: Traditional Industries and Challenges - Traditional industries are experiencing a split, with sectors like biochemical pesticides and bio-based energy showing significant profit growth, while textiles and furniture remain under pressure[6] - The profit growth in traditional sectors with new productivity characteristics was notably higher, with biochemical pesticides growing by 20.7% and bio-based energy by 47.9%[6] Group 4: Market Dynamics and Policy Implications - The "anti-involution" policy aims to curb low-quality, low-price competition, supporting a stabilization of industrial profits[7] - The PPI for December 2025 recorded a year-on-year decline of 1.9%, but showed a slight month-on-month increase of 0.2%[3] - The forecast for 2026 suggests a gradual recovery in industrial profits, with an expected annual growth rate of 3.6%[9]
大转折!2025年制造业利润大幅回升,反“内卷”改善价格预期
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-01-27 09:05
21世纪经济报道记者冉黎黎 北京报道 1月27日,国家统计局发布数据显示,2025年全国规模以上工业企业利润增长0.6%,扭转了连续三年下降态势。三大 门类中,制造业实现利润总额56915.7亿元,增长5.0%,增速较2024年大幅回升8.9个百分点。装备制造业、高技术制造业等新动能支撑作用明显。其中, 2025年,规模以上装备制造业利润较上年增长7.7%,拉动全部规模以上工业企业利润增长2.8个百分点,是对规模以上工业企业利润增长拉动作用最强的板 块。 从2025年全年走势来看,中国民生银行首席经济学家温彬对21世纪经济报道记者表示,全年利润增速波动较大,但中长期向好趋势未变,企业盈利基础仍在 稳步修复。 对于全年工业企业利润扭转连续三年下降态势,远东资信研究院副院长张林对21世纪经济报道记者表示,2025年工业企业利润的止跌回升,意味着内需与外 需的恢复效应开始显现。 展望2026年,温彬表示,工业企业利润有望延续修复态势。需求端,国内消费平稳增长,投资逐步止跌回稳,出口有望量稳质升,总体需求稳中向好;物价 端,反"内卷"政策作用下,物价降幅收窄,企业成本压力有所缓解,进一步支撑利润改善。此外,随着新型工 ...
权威数读丨新动能支撑带动明显 制造业利润增速大幅回升8.9个百分点
Xin Hua Wang· 2026-01-27 08:58
国家统计局27日发布数据显示,2025年全国规模以上工业企业利润增长0.6%,其中装备制造业、高技术制造业等新动能支撑作用明显, 传统产业利润结构持续优化,工业经济发展向新向优。跟随海报,一起了解。 制造业增长5.0% 增速较2024年大幅回升8.9个百分点 电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业增长9.4% 权威数读 / 13 8 装备制造业为工业向优升级提供坚实支撑 规上装备制造业利润较上年增长7.7% 拉动全部规上工业企业利润增长2.8个百分点 是拉动作用最强的板块 8个大类行业中有7个行业利润较上年增长 权威数读 / 220 2013 高技术制造业为工业高质量发展注入强劲动力 规上高技术制造业利润较上年增长13.3% 高于全部规上工业12.7个百分点 智能无人飞行器制造、智能车载设备制造行业 利润分别增长102.0%、88.8% 集成电路制造行业利润增长172.6% 基因工程药物和疫苗制造行业利润增长72.7% 权威数读 / 传统产业提质升级不断壮大工业新动能 新质生产力发展成效继续显现 利润明显高于行业平均水平 生物化学农药及微生物农药制造行业利润 较上年增长20.7% 生物基化学纤维制造行业利润增长88 ...
大转折!2025年制造业利润大幅回升 反“内卷”改善价格预期
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-01-27 08:49
Core Viewpoint - In 2025, the profits of large-scale industrial enterprises in China increased by 0.6%, reversing a three-year decline, with manufacturing profits rising significantly due to new growth drivers [1][5]. Group 1: Profit Growth and Industry Performance - The total profit of large-scale industrial enterprises reached 73,982 billion yuan in 2025, with manufacturing profits totaling 56,915.7 billion yuan, marking a 5.0% increase, a significant rebound of 8.9 percentage points from 2024 [4][6]. - The equipment manufacturing sector saw a profit increase of 7.7%, contributing 2.8 percentage points to the overall profit growth of large-scale industrial enterprises, making it the strongest driving force [1][7]. - High-tech manufacturing profits grew by 13.3%, outperforming the overall industrial profit growth by 12.7 percentage points, indicating a strong momentum for high-quality industrial development [8]. Group 2: Monthly and Yearly Trends - In December 2025, profits for large-scale industrial enterprises increased by 5.3%, recovering from a 13.1% decline in November, reflecting a significant turnaround [4]. - The profit margin for industrial enterprises improved from 4.53% in early 2025 to 5.31% by December, indicating reduced competitive pressure and improved industrial product prices [5][6]. Group 3: Sectoral Insights - Among the three major sectors, mining profits fell by 26.2%, while electricity, heat, gas, and water supply industries saw a profit increase of 9.4% [6]. - In the manufacturing sector, profits from upstream raw materials grew rapidly, while downstream consumer goods manufacturing saw a decline in profits [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - For 2026, industrial profits are expected to continue their recovery, supported by stable domestic consumption, investment stabilization, and improved export quality [2][9]. - The ongoing implementation of anti-"involution" policies is anticipated to alleviate cost pressures on enterprises, further supporting profit improvements [2][8].
2025年规上工业企业利润增长0.6%,一举扭转下降态势
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-01-27 08:49
Core Insights - In 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size in China reached 73,982 billion yuan, marking a 0.6% increase from the previous year, reversing a three-year decline [1] - December 2025 saw a monthly profit increase of 5.3%, recovering from a 13.1% decline in November, representing an 18.4 percentage point rebound [1] Industry Performance - The mining industry reported a total profit of 8,345.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 26.2% year-on-year [3] - The manufacturing sector achieved a total profit of 56,915.7 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 5.0% [3] - The electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply industry recorded a profit of 8,721.2 billion yuan, with a growth of 9.4% [3] Sector-Specific Profit Growth - The black metal smelting and rolling processing industry saw profits increase by 3.0 times year-on-year [4] - The non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing industry grew by 22.6% [4] - The computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing industry experienced a profit increase of 19.5% [4] - The power and heat production and supply industry grew by 13.9% [4] - The specialized equipment manufacturing industry saw a profit increase of 5.7% [4] - The electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing industry grew by 4.9% [4] - The general equipment manufacturing industry increased by 4.2% [4] - The agricultural and sideline food processing industry grew by 3.2% [4] - The automotive manufacturing industry saw a slight profit increase of 0.6% [4] - The petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing industry reduced losses compared to the previous year [4] - The non-metallic mineral products industry declined by 1.7% [4] - The chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing industry decreased by 7.3% [4] - The textile industry saw a decline of 12.0% [4] - The oil and gas extraction industry decreased by 18.7% [4] - The coal mining and washing industry experienced a significant decline of 41.8% [4] Emerging Industry Trends - In 2025, the profit of the equipment manufacturing industry increased by 7.7%, contributing 2.8 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises [4] - The equipment manufacturing sector accounted for 39.8% of total industrial profits, an increase of 2.6 percentage points from the previous year [4] - The high-tech manufacturing sector's profits grew by 13.3%, surpassing the overall industrial profit growth by 12.7 percentage points [4] Traditional Industry Developments - Traditional industries showed significant profit growth, with the biochemical pesticide and microbial pesticide manufacturing industries growing by 20.7% and 15.2%, respectively, exceeding the average profit growth in the chemical industry [5] - In the chemical fiber and power industries, the bio-based chemical fiber manufacturing and biomass power generation industries saw profits increase by 88.6% and 47.9%, respectively, significantly above their respective industry averages [5] Overall Economic Outlook - The chief statistician of the National Bureau of Statistics indicated that overall profit growth in industrial enterprises is evident, supported by new industrial dynamics, while acknowledging challenges from external environmental changes and the need for continued technological and industrial innovation [5]
2025年规上工业企业利润增长0.6% 一举扭转下降态势
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-01-27 08:48
1月27日,国家统计局发布数据显示,2025年,全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额73982.0亿元,比上年增长0.6%,扭转了连续三年下降态势。 单月来看,2025年12月份,规模以上工业企业当月利润由11月份下降13.1%转为增长5.3%,回升18.4个百分点。 需要注意的是,2025年,装备制造业、高技术制造业等新动能支撑作用明显。 其中,2025年,规模以上装备制造业利润较上年增长7.7%,拉动全部规模以上工业企业利润增长2.8个百分点,是对规模以上工业企业利润增长拉动作用最 强的板块。规模以上装备制造业利润占全部工业企业利润的比重达39.8%,较上年提高2.6个百分点,工业企业利润结构进一步优化。 各月累计营业收入与利润总额同比增速。(国家统计局/图) 2025年,规模以上高技术制造业利润较上年增长13.3%,高于全部规模以上工业12.7个百分点。 分三大门类看,2025年,采矿业实现利润总额8345.1亿元,比上年下降26.2%;制造业实现利润总额56915.7亿元,增长5.0%;电力、热力、燃气及水生产和 供应业实现利润总额8721.2亿元,增长9.4%。 另外,2025年,传统产业新质生产力发展 ...
工业利润转正背后:高技术、装备制造业拉动显著 智能消费与半导体领域“加速跑”
Yang Shi Wang· 2026-01-27 07:10
2025年,规模以上高技术制造业利润较上年增长13.3%,为工业高质量发展注入强劲动力。从行业看,智能电子产品创造消费 新潮流,带动智能消费设备制造行业利润较上年增长48%,其中智能无人飞行器制造、智能车载设备制造行业利润分别增长 102%、88.8%;半导体领域产业链实现"加速跑",相关的集成电路制造、半导体器件专用设备制造行业利润分别增长172.6%、 128%;医疗领域高质量发展效果显现,基因工程药物和疫苗制造、生物药品制造制造行业利润分别增长72.7%、37.1%。 国家发展改革委国家信息中心产业经济研究室主任 魏琪嘉:2025年全年规上工业企业利润的表现,呈现出一个逐渐恢复稳健 向好的发展态势。产业链的配套完善支撑,内需逐渐回升,供给和需求的动态平衡能力进一步加强,对企业的利润的提升起到了 一个很强的促进作用。 央视网消息:国家统计局1月27日发布的最新数据显示,2025年,全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额73982亿元,比上年增 长0.6% ,扭转了连续三年下降态势。 2025年,全国规模以上工业企业利润较上年增长0.6%。三大门类中,制造业增长5%,增速较2024年大幅回升8.9个百分点。其 中 ...