中辉能化观点 中辉能化观点 | | 中辉能化观点 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 核心观点 | 主要逻辑 | | | PTA | 加工费整体偏低，装置复产延期叠加检修力度有所提升（虹港石化检 修、逸盛宁波本月下旬检修、英力士检修中，威联化学降负），供应端压 | | PX/PTA | | 力有所缓解；需求略显改善，终端订单短期企稳，但稳定性有待跟踪。成 | | | 谨慎看多 本端 | PX 国内外均有所降负（上海石化、中化泉州停车，越南 NSRP 降负）， | | ★ | | 走势偏强。TA12 月存累库预期。短期来看，基本面有所改善，但原油承 | | | | 压，反弹高度或将有限。策略：单边关注逢低布局多单机会；套利关注做 | | | 扩 | ta 加工费（即多 pta，空 px）。 | | | | 近期国内煤制装置检修有所增加，开工负荷下行（红四方临停、正达凯检 | | | | 修、广汇降负、河南能源延后重启）、海外装置略有提负（台湾南亚 1#重 | | 乙二醇 | | 启），新装置投产（裕龙石化投产；宁夏畅亿、襄矿泓通计划投产）叠加 | | ★ | 谨慎看空 | 检修装置恢复 ...

直 播 嘉 宾 作为企业出海的热门目的地之一，中东地区（尤以阿联酋、沙特为聚焦）吸引了越来越多的中资消费品企业进行布局，特别是借力跨境电商等新渠道驱动增长突 围。然而，在着手走出第一步时，一系列问题仍有待企业家准确把脉： 面对以上一系列关键问题，《首席商业评论》特邀两位重磅嘉宾万凌、华晓亮先生，为企业掌舵人带来独家的中东地区市场前景、政策导向、营商环境及跨境电 商等机遇解读。可点击下方预约直播，我们直播间见！ 如您的企业正在谋划或进入中东及其他海外市场，希望获得更深入的一手市场洞见及实践解码，欢迎通过微信联系我们，说明您的行业与需求，经审核后我们将 邀请您加入"出海专题交流群"，与我们特邀的出海领域专家直接交流探讨。 直 播 议 程 中东消费市场到底前景是怎样的？对我所从事的消费品类意味着什么？ 中东重点国别市场的营商环境有哪些不同？如何趋利避害？ 怎样利用好中东重点国别市场的发展战略及政策导向顺势而为？ 市场进入的本地化模式与跨境电商切入应该如何考虑？ 如何抓住本地消费文化与人群的差异化特点助力自身快速破局？ 先期实现高增长的出海企业有何经验借鉴？是否能够复制中国市场的成功经验？ | 时间段 | 主题 | ...

Core Insights - The petrochemical industry is transitioning from "scale competition" to "value competition" during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with digital intelligence technology playing a crucial role in driving new growth [1][2] - The industry faces challenges such as insufficient self-sufficiency in high-end materials and increasing pressure for green and low-carbon solutions, making the shift towards high-end, intelligent, and green transformation a core task [2][3] Digital Intelligence as a Key Driver - Digital intelligence technology is identified as a key lever for transformation, providing comprehensive solutions covering the entire lifecycle from design to operation and maintenance [2] - Schneider Electric's solutions have enabled companies like Wanhua Chemical to create process twin models for operator training and optimize operational processes using AI technology, resulting in significant economic benefits [2][3] Intelligent Production and Operations - AI technology can significantly shorten R&D cycles by quickly screening data and predicting molecular properties and catalytic activity, enhancing the success rate and efficiency of pilot tests [3] - In production, digital intelligence technologies improve safety, environmental protection, and energy efficiency, with Schneider Electric's systems ensuring maximum availability and reliability in operations [3][4] Smart Factory as a Core Strategy - Building smart factories is emphasized as a core strategy for the transformation and upgrading of petrochemical enterprises, with the potential for Chinese chemical companies to become future lighthouse factories [5] - Schneider Electric's sustainable lighthouse factory in Wuxi exemplifies the use of digital technologies across procurement, production, and delivery processes, achieving efficient resource utilization and reduced time-to-market [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no specific investment rating for the industry provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - The strength - weakness pattern of high - sulfur and low - sulfur fuel oil is changing marginally, with the spread between high - sulfur and low - sulfur fuel oil continuing to rebound. The crude oil price is in a weak oscillation state, and the expectation of oversupply in the oil market is gradually being realized, which suppresses the unilateral price of fuel oil. The high - sulfur fuel oil's previously strong fundamentals are marginally loosening, but there are still support factors below. The supply of low - sulfur fuel oil in Nigeria and Kuwait is marginally tightening due to device maintenance changes, and the strong overseas gasoline and diesel also boost the valuation of low - sulfur fuel oil. However, in the medium term, the state where low - sulfur fuel oil is stronger than high - sulfur fuel oil is difficult to form a trend, and the upside space of the high - low sulfur spread may be limited [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Analysis - The main contract of Shanghai Futures Exchange fuel oil futures closed down 0.92% at 2593 yuan/ton during the day session, while the main contract of INE low - sulfur fuel oil futures closed up 0.43% at 3236 yuan/ton. The crude oil price is in a weak oscillation state, and the expectation of oversupply in the oil market is suppressing the unilateral price of fuel oil. The high - sulfur fuel oil's fundamentals are marginally loosening, and the low - sulfur fuel oil's supply is marginally tightening in some regions, with overseas gasoline and diesel boosting its valuation. But the medium - term trend of low - sulfur being stronger than high - sulfur is hard to form, and the high - low sulfur spread's upside space is limited [1]. Strategy - High - sulfur fuel oil: Neutral in the short term and bearish in the medium term. Low - sulfur fuel oil: Neutral in the short term and bearish in the medium term. For cross - variety, the previous long LU - FU spread positions can be appropriately stopped for profit. There are no strategies for cross - period, spot - futures, and options [2]. Charts - There are multiple charts including those showing Singapore high - sulfur 380 fuel oil spot price, Singapore low - sulfur fuel oil spot price, Singapore high - sulfur and low - sulfur fuel oil swap near - month contracts, near - month spreads, and the closing prices, trading volumes, and open interests of fuel oil FU and low - sulfur fuel oil LU futures contracts [3].

液化石油气日报 | 2025-11-18 市场支撑仍存，盘面延续震荡偏强 市场分析 1、\t11月17日地区价格：山东市场，4330-4460；东北市场，4010-4110；华北市场，4300-4450；华东市场，4250-4350； 沿江市场，4520-4810；西北市场，4200-4250；华南市场，4300-4450。（数据来源：卓创资讯） 2025年期货市场研究报告 第1页 请仔细阅读本报告最后一页的免责声明 2、\t2025年12月上半月中国华东冷冻货到岸价格丙烷561美元/吨，涨2美元/吨，丁烷553美元/吨，涨3美元/吨，折 合人民币价格丙烷4374元/吨，涨15元/吨，丁烷4311元/吨，涨23元/吨。（数据来源：卓创资讯） 3、\t2025年12月上半月中国华南冷冻货到岸价格丙烷555美元/吨，涨2美元/吨，丁烷547美元/吨，涨3美元/吨，折 合人民币价格丙烷4327元/吨，涨15元/吨，丁烷4264元/吨，涨22元/吨。（数据来源：卓创资讯） 随着基本面边际收紧，外盘价格上涨，近期LPG现货与盘面呈现震荡偏强走势。现货方面，昨日华北、东北及沿 江区域延续上涨，其余区域维稳，当前市场需求尚 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Unilateral: Neutral, waiting for the market bottom to consolidate [2] - Inter - period: None [2] - Inter - variety: None [2] - Spot - futures: None [2] - Options: None [2] Core View - The asphalt market is experiencing low - level fluctuations on the disk with limited positive factors. The downward pressure on asphalt prices has eased, but there is a lack of clear positives and the upward driving force remains insufficient [1] Market Analysis - On November 17, the closing price of the main BU2601 contract of asphalt futures in the afternoon session was 3,032 yuan/ton, up 4 yuan/ton or 0.13% from the previous day's settlement price. The position was 194,477 lots, up 1,726 lots from the previous day, and the trading volume was 156,039 lots, down 111,877 lots from the previous day [1] - The spot settlement prices of heavy - traffic asphalt from Zhuochuang Information are: Northeast 3,156 - 3,700 yuan/ton; Shandong 2,990 - 3,620 yuan/ton; South China 3,110 - 3,210 yuan/ton; East China 3,300 - 3,400 yuan/ton. The spot prices of asphalt in the Northwest, North China, South China, and Sichuan - Chongqing regions declined yesterday, while those in other regions were relatively stable [1] - The market bottom signal has emerged. The refinery operating rate and production have shown a downward trend. After the previous concentrated release of resources, there is a shortage of limited - quantity提货 in northern refineries. However, there is no clear sign of the release of winter - storage demand. The market sentiment is relatively flat, and the rebound momentum is insufficient [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The report suggests a cautious and slightly bullish stance on PX, PTA, PF, and PR. However, due to fundamental pressures, the upside potential of the 01 contract may be limited. In the long - term, attention should be paid to the 05 contract. [4] - For PX, China's PX load has returned to a relatively high level. Supported by polyester production, PXN has support, but its upside space is restricted by high PX load and capacity expansion of some units. The focus is on the gasoline blending situation. [4] - Regarding TA, there are many maintenance plans in November, so the inventory accumulation pressure is not significant. But after December, as demand weakens, the inventory accumulation pressure will gradually emerge. The market has abundant spot supply, limiting the upside of the 01 contract. In the long - term, as the cycle of concentrated capacity release ends, PTA processing fees are expected to gradually improve. [4] - For PF, the load is high, factory inventories have been reduced to a low level, and the fundamentals provide some support. Processing fees are expected to remain stable. [4] - For PR, the fundamentals of bottle chips have not changed significantly. Maintenance continues, but the off - season demand is average. It is expected that the spot processing fees of bottle chips will fluctuate within a range, and attention should be paid to raw material price fluctuations. [4] Summary by Directory I. Price and Basis - The report presents figures on TA and PX's main contract, basis, and inter - period spread trends, as well as PTA's East China spot basis and short - fiber basis. [8][11][13] II. Upstream Profits and Spreads - It includes figures on PX processing fees (PXN), PTA spot processing fees, South Korean xylene isomerization profits, and South Korean STDP selective disproportionation profits. [16][19] III. International Spreads and Import - Export Profits - The report shows figures on toluene's US - Asia spread, toluene's South Korean FOB - Japanese naphtha CFR spread, and PTA export profits. [24][26] IV. Upstream PX and PTA Start - up - It provides figures on PTA load in China, South Korea, and Taiwan, as well as PX load in China and Asia. [27][30][32] V. Social Inventory and Warehouse Receipts - The report includes figures on PTA's weekly social inventory, PX's monthly social inventory, PTA's total warehouse receipts + forecast volume, PTA's warehouse receipt inventory, PX's warehouse receipt inventory, and PF's warehouse receipt inventory. [35][38][39] VI. Downstream Polyester Load - It presents figures on filament sales, short - fiber sales, polyester load, direct - spinning filament load, polyester bottle - chip load, filament factory inventory days, and the operating rates of weaving, texturing, and dyeing in Jiangsu and Zhejiang. [47][49][53] VII. PF Detailed Data - The report shows figures on polyester staple fiber load, factory equity inventory days, physical and equity inventories of 1.4D, recycled cotton - type staple fiber load, spreads between original and recycled fibers, and the operating rates and production profits of pure polyester yarn and polyester - cotton yarn. [68][72][79] VIII. PR Fundamental Detailed Data - It includes figures on polyester bottle - chip load, bottle - chip factory inventory days, bottle - chip spot and export processing fees, bottle - chip export profits, and bottle - chip inter - month spreads. [87][89][100]

Core Insights - The energy sector is accelerating its digital transformation from "point breakthroughs" to "system reconstruction" and from "technology application" to "ecosystem co-construction" under the guidance of multiple strategies like "Artificial Intelligence+" [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - The oil and petrochemical industry, as a pillar of the national economy, is becoming a core area for digital transformation due to its rich AI application scenarios [2] - A heterogeneous computing system composed of various chips has become mainstream, but insufficient interconnect efficiency is hindering deeper intelligence development in the industry [2] - The industry consensus is that addressing the bottleneck of efficient collaboration between heterogeneous chips is a key challenge [2] Group 2: Company Solutions - Haiguang Information showcased its "CPU+DCU" heterogeneous computing architecture solution, which significantly enhances processing efficiency by providing bandwidth far exceeding PCIe and lower latency [2] - The "CPU+DCU" solution, powered by the DeepAI intelligent engine, enables full-chain optimization from basic operators to upper-layer applications, lowering the AI application threshold with over 100 scenario modules and 300 fine-tuned models [2] - Haiguang's solutions have accumulated rich practical experience in the petrochemical industry [2] Group 3: Case Studies - Sinopec has adopted Haiguang's "CPU+DCU" liquid cooling computing cluster to support over 200 AI scenarios across nine categories, significantly improving exploration success rates, production efficiency, and reducing safety incident rates [3] Group 4: Security Challenges - The collaboration between CPU and GPU in the oil and petrochemical industry faces security challenges, including tightly coupled security and business functions and a lack of unified security standards [4] - Haiguang's CSV3.0 technology establishes a hardware-level secure data transmission channel between CPU and DCU, effectively defending against side-channel attacks and ensuring data is "available but not visible" throughout processing [4] - The company aims to solve issues like scattered application scenarios and data silos by building a comprehensive technology ecosystem with over 6,000 partners [4]

s 加安期货 沥青早报 | | 指标 | 10/16 | 11/11 | 11/13 | 11/14 | 11/17 | 日度变化 | 팀 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 山东县差(+80)(弘润) | 171 | -30 | -9 | -27 | -2 | 25 | | | | 华东基差(镇江库) | 71 | 100 | 121 | 113 | 118 | 5 | | | 基差&月差 | 华南基差(佛山库) | 71 | 80 | 101 | 93 | 88 | -5 | | | | 12-01 | 35 | | -1 | 12 | 20 | 8 | | | | 12-03 | 6 | -39 | -44 | -33 | -29 | 4 | | | | 01-02 | -11 | -14 | -16 | -19 | -19 | 0 | | | 4:11 | BU主力合约(01) | 3279 | 3050 | 3029 | 3037 | 3032 | -5 | | | | 成交量 | 269344 | 314162 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) has been actively repurchasing its shares, indicating a strategy to enhance shareholder value and potentially signal confidence in its stock performance [1][2]. Share Buyback Details - On November 17, Sinopec repurchased 3.788 million shares at a price range of HKD 4.390 to HKD 4.440, totaling HKD 16.7384 million [1]. - The stock closed at HKD 4.430 on the same day, reflecting a slight increase of 0.23%, with a total trading volume of HKD 403 million [1]. - Since October 30, the company has conducted buybacks for 13 consecutive days, acquiring a total of 52.356 million shares for a cumulative amount of HKD 22.5 million, during which the stock price increased by 4.98% [2]. Year-to-Date Buyback Summary - Year-to-date, Sinopec has executed 43 buybacks, totaling 270 million shares and an aggregate repurchase amount of HKD 1.261 billion [3]. - The detailed buyback transactions include various dates, share quantities, and prices, showcasing a consistent approach to share repurchase throughout the year [3].