首家获批在我国境内展业的外资信用评级机构发生高管变更。 5月20日，标普信用评级（中国）有限公司（下称"标普信评"或"标普中国"）发布公告，因业务发展需要，公司董事、高级管理 人员、法定代表人将于近日发生变更。 自2025年7月1日起，原标普信评首席执行官、总经理及法定代表人黄直升任公司董事长，原职务由郭振伟接任，郭振伟同时出 任标普信评董事。 原公司董事长Lynn Elizabeth Maxwell（琳恩·伊丽莎白·麦克斯韦）女士卸任董事长一职，但将继续担任标普信评董事。原公司董 事Dennis Martin OSullivan（丹尼斯·奥沙利文）先生卸任董事一职。 21世纪经济报道记者了解到，新出任标普信评CEO的郭振伟，是标普旗下市场财智业务——标普财智在中国的负责人，标普财 智旗下Capital IQ数据库目前是继彭博金融终端后，全球市场占有率第二的头部金融数据终端。 事实上，虽然信用评级业务（Ratings）依然是标普全球的核心业务之一，但其市场财智业务（Market intelligence）的收入从 2022年开始就超过信用评级带来的营收。 在资深信评从业人士看来，如今标普信评在中国的业务转向进 ...

5月20日，标普信用评级（中国）有限公司发布公告，因业务发展需要，公司董事、高级管理人员、法 定代表人将于近日发生变更。 ...

标普信用评级(中国)有限公司宣布因业务发展需要，公司董事、高级管理人员、法定代表人将于近日变 更。自2025年7月1日起，原首席执行官黄直升任公司董事长，郭振伟接任首席执行官。郭振伟此前担任 标普旗下市场财智业务在中国的负责人，其领导的Capital IQ数据库为全球市场占有率第二的金融数据 终端。标普信评在中国的业务转向非评级服务，凸显了评级行业科技业务成为新增长点的趋势。(21世 纪经济报道) ...

Group 1 - The event "Breaking the Financing Dilemma of Sci-tech Innovation: A Dual-Driven Approach of Credit Rating and Financial Tools" was successfully held in Guangzhou, integrating resources from credit rating agencies, financial institutions, and industry associations to create a financing service platform for enterprises [1][3] - The event focused on the financing challenges faced by sci-tech enterprises and the characteristics of the biomedical industry, providing systematic solutions through policy interpretation, model breakdown, and practical case simulations [3][5] - The event featured a presentation by Zhang Jiali, Deputy Director of the Credit Rating Committee at Dongfang Jincheng, who introduced a quantitative model for integrating technology, industry, and finance, specifically addressing differentiated credit assessment indicators for the biomedical hard technology sector [3][5] Group 2 - Dongfang Jincheng has actively responded to national policies supporting sci-tech innovation enterprises by developing credit rating methods and models for these companies, contributing to their high-quality development [3][5] - The Guangzhou International Biological Island, a core carrier of the national biological industry base, has over 600 biotechnology-related enterprises established as of now [5] - Dongfang Jincheng has conducted similar events in multiple locations, forming a replicable regional service model, and will continue to leverage its expertise in credit rating to support sci-tech enterprises in accessing capital markets [5]

Group 1 - Spot gold prices broke the $3,300 mark for the first time since May 9, reaching $3,290.40 per ounce as of 9:37 AM on May 21 [1] - The Shanghai Gold ETF (159830) opened with a surge of over 2%, with a current increase of 2.49% [2] - Moody's downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 due to rising government debt and interest payments, impacting U.S. Treasury securities [2] Group 2 - Short-term factors such as tariff negotiations may suppress gold prices, but medium to long-term outlook remains positive due to high real yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries and a trend towards stagflation in the U.S. economy [3] - Long-term forecasts suggest that after a phase of price correction, gold prices are expected to maintain an upward trend due to declining dollar credit and ongoing purchases by global central banks [3]

Core Viewpoint - Moody's downgraded the U.S. debt rating due to the increasing deficit, rising debt interest, and declining debt affordability, which has led to significant market volatility in U.S. stocks and bonds [1][2][6] Group 1: Reasons for Downgrade - The downgrade was primarily driven by the expansion of the U.S. deficit and anticipated increases in debt interest payments, with Moody's projecting the federal deficit to reach nearly 9% of GDP by 2035, up from 6.4% in 2024 [2] - The backdrop of the downgrade includes rising U.S. Treasury yields since 2021, which have contributed to a decrease in debt affordability [2] - The potential passage of Trump's tax cut plan, which could exacerbate the deficit, is also a significant factor in the downgrade [2][3] Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the downgrade, there was a brief but significant fluctuation in U.S. stocks and bonds on May 19, which was later stabilized by remarks from U.S. government and Federal Reserve officials [1][6] - Historical data indicates that sovereign rating downgrades have a more pronounced short-term negative impact on U.S. stocks, lasting about 1-2 weeks, while the long-term U.S. Treasury yields experience only temporary effects [5] Group 3: Legislative Developments - On May 19, Trump's tax cut plan passed the House Budget Committee vote, with expectations of further legislative progress, which could intensify fiscal pressures [3][6] - The tax cut plan includes measures that would permanently reduce personal income taxes and extend estate tax exemptions, contributing to an estimated $3.8 trillion increase in the deficit by 2034 [3]

【资讯导读】 ·央行：要实施好适度宽松的货币政策满足实体经济有效融资需求 ·美国桥水投资公司创始人瑞·达利欧19日警告，国际信用评级机构穆迪对美国主权信用评级的下调，是 对美国国债风险的"轻描淡写"；穆迪未计入美国可能印美元自购美债的风险。 ·澳洲联储将基准利率下调25个基点至3.85%，为今年第二次降息，符合市场预期。澳洲联储在货币政策 声明指出，国际形势将对经济构成压力，同时通胀风险已趋于平衡。该行准备在必要时采取进一步行 动，并透露此前曾讨论过降息50基点的可能性。 ·欧元区5月消费者信心指数初值录得-15.2，预期-16，前值-16.7。 ·德国4月PPI月率-0.6%，预期-0.3%，前值-0.7%。 ·欧洲央行管委诺特表示，"不能排除"6月再次降息的可能性，但在未看到最新季度预测的情况下，目前 做出决定还"为时尚早"。欧洲央行管委温施称，欧元区经济可能需要"温和支持性"的利率水平，以确保 在一系列冲击后通胀不会跌破目标水平。 ·加拿大通胀率回落至去年9月份以来最低，原因是消费者碳税取消及油价下跌。加拿大统计局数据显 示，4月份CPI同比上涨1.7%，低于3月份的2.3%。但两项核心通胀指标均值加速 ...

申万宏源证券（000562）首席经济学家赵伟对《证券日报》记者表示，5月份，长端美债收益率在5月16 日前主要由美国通胀端驱动，5月16日后由美国财政因素驱动。5月16日之前，美债曲线趋于平坦化，短 端涨幅大于长端，2年期美债收益率上涨38个基点，10年期美债收益率上涨26个基点。5月16日，穆迪下 调美国主权信用评级后，10年期美债收益率出现较大上涨，两个交易日内由4.4%突破4.53%；长短端月 度涨幅开始持平。 中信证券首席经济学家明明表示，10年期美债收益率近期持续上行，预计其后续仍将在4.0%以上高位 运行。短期来看，美国经济韧性仍存及美联储不急于降息等因素，将支撑10年期美债收益率维持高位。 美国国债遭遇大规模抛售，数据显示，5月19日，30年期美债收益率飙升，盘中一度突破5%，最高达到 5.04%。被视作"全球资产定价之锚"的10年期美债收益率在5月19日盘中也突破4.5%，最高达到4.56%。 截至5月20日记者发稿时，30年期美债收益率、10年期美债收益率均有所回落，分别报4.897%、 4.436%。 陕西巨丰投资资讯有限责任公司高级投资顾问朱华雷在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示，近期30 ...

特朗普政府自今年1月以来，向全球挥舞"关税大棒"。在亚洲地区，日本和韩国是受到"特朗普衰退"影响最严重的两个国家，这表明特朗普政府发起的关税 战对美国的传统盟友造成了严重伤害。 ▲特朗普 当地时间5月19日，日本媒体刊登评论文章指出，特朗普"1.0时期"就高举关税大棒，让全球贸易遭受严重冲击，这一趋势在特朗普"2.0时期"变本加厉。从 2025年第一季度的经济数据看，日本GDP同比萎缩了0.7%，韩国GDP也环比下降0.2%。严格来说，这段时间世界各国还未遭遇特朗普政府关税政策的最严 重冲击，因为今年4月2日白宫宣布加征关税方案时第一季度已经结束。但从另一个角度讲，当时仅是从白宫传出的混乱的政策信号，在3月份已经让亚洲一 些地区的经济信心受到打击。 对于日本来说，25%的汽车出口税和24%的对等关税对其优势产业造成了显著冲击，日本经济在二季度后将面临巨大下行压力，这也会影响投资者对日本经 济前景的信心。据环球网报道，瑞银经济学家发表报告称："关税和不确定性冲击可能导致日本出口暴跌，消费者信心将进一步下降，日本GDP增长自第二 季度起可能出现彻底的疲软。" 目前，日本自民党距离参议院选举还有约两个月时间，随着首 ...

Core Viewpoint - Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating reflects concerns over rapidly expanding debt and fiscal deficits, which may increase borrowing costs and affect the US's status as a global capital destination [1][3][9] Group 1: Reasons for Credit Rating Downgrade - The primary reason for Moody's downgrade is the rapid expansion of US debt and fiscal deficits, with the national debt reaching $36 trillion [3] - Moody's believes that the ongoing deterioration of fiscal conditions will harm the US's position as a global capital destination and increase borrowing costs [3] Group 2: Impact on Borrowing Costs - The downgrade is expected to raise borrowing costs, as investors will reassess the risk associated with US Treasury and other government bonds, potentially leading to higher bond yields [4] - Increased borrowing costs could further impact economic growth by raising financing costs for both the government and corporations [4] Group 3: Attractiveness of High-Grade Corporate Bonds - As US credit ratings decline and bond yields rise, high-grade corporate bonds may become more attractive to fund managers, serving as a safer investment option amid market uncertainty [5][9] - High-grade corporate bonds typically offer higher credit ratings and relatively stable returns, making them appealing during times of increased market volatility [5] Group 4: Investor Sentiment and Market Dynamics - Investors are uncertain about how the downgrade will affect Treasury valuations in the short term, with potential structural changes in demand leading to a "bear steepening" of the yield curve [6] - Short-term market volatility may result from the downgrade, with funds potentially flowing into high-grade corporate bonds, which could increase their prices and lower yields [7] Group 5: Long-Term Market Trends - In the medium to long term, the downgrade may have more profound effects on the market, necessitating close monitoring of US fiscal policy adjustments, debt management measures, and global economic conditions [8] - These factors will collectively influence market valuations of US Treasuries and other bonds [8]