Group 1: Market Performance - Energy sector ETFs rose by 2.69%, while semiconductor ETFs increased by 1.33%. Other sectors such as biotechnology, regional banks, and the banking sector saw gains of at least 0.7%, whereas consumer discretionary ETFs fell by 0.34%, internet stock indices dropped by 0.77%, and financial sector ETFs decreased by 0.89% [1] - In the S&P 500 energy sector, companies like Devon Energy, Halliburton, APA, Occidental Petroleum, Hess Corporation, and Baker Hughes saw increases of at least 4.21%, with Diamondback Energy ranking fifth among Nasdaq 100 constituents [1] Group 2: ETF Details - Energy ETF closed at $88.50, up by 2.68%, with a total market value of $22.163 billion, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 4.97% [2] - Semiconductor ETF closed at $283.48, up by 1.33%, with a total market value of $3.351 billion, showing a year-to-date increase of 17.06% [2] - Biotechnology ETF closed at $129.33, up by 0.94%, with a total market value of $10.269 billion, down by 2.09% year-to-date [2] - Regional bank ETF closed at $63.15, up by 0.91%, with a total market value of $5.270 billion, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 6.06% [2] - Banking sector ETF closed at $58.46, up by 0.69%, with a total market value of $4.525 billion, showing a year-to-date increase of 6.87% [2] - Consumer discretionary ETF closed at $217.66, down by 0.34%, with a total market value of $27.339 billion, reflecting a year-to-date decrease of 2.51% [2] - Financial sector ETF closed at $52.21, down by 0.89%, with a total market value of $58.112 billion, showing a year-to-date increase of 8.79% [2]

本文字数：3705，阅读时长大约6分钟 2025.07. 08 作者 | 第一财经 周艾琳 高雅 关税风云进入第二季，但对于全球市场的影响在减弱。 据新华社消息，美国总统特朗普7日表示，将从8月1日起分别对来自日本、韩国等14个国家的进口产品 征收25%至40%不等的关税。 但此次关税风暴的冲击不及4月，美国三大指数7日跌幅不到1%；亚太股市7月8日表现更令人意外，日 韩股市并没有明显受到影响，日经225指数、韩国Kospi指数分别上涨0.25%、1.81%；上证综指和恒 生指数8日分别涨0.7%和1.09%；截至记者发稿，欧洲股市主要指数走势平稳，英国富时100指数、德 国DAX指数8日盘中小幅上涨。 截至北京时间7月8日21时20分，亚太主要股市当日收盘均出现上涨，欧洲主要股指当日盘中走势平稳，多数上涨。 接受第一财经记者采访的投资经理和策略师表示，市场对关税的担忧有所下降。高盛认为，欧美贸易谈 判达成协议的可能性在变大。同时，机构对股市的配置热度普遍升温，投行更是逆势上调美股目标价， 投资者亦敢于加码包括中国在内的亚太股市。唯独对于美债，各界依然保持担忧，全球央行增配黄金的 趋势仍将继续。 全球经济分析 ...

就主要航空公司而言，摩根士丹利认为，西南航空(LUV.US)在本财报季的风险最大，因其今年迄今的 强劲表现和待实施的内部举措。达美航空预计将交出稳健业绩，其国际航线和高端舱位表现突出。捷蓝 航空(JBLU.US)被认为面临压力，但如果管理层语气改善，可能会有意外惊喜.美联航(UAL.US)是投资 者预期最高的，但这可能导致其业绩指引令人失望。 瑞银则预计，航空业第二季度整体财报将基本符合预期，达美航空被视为主要航空公司中处境最佳。虽 然第二季度需求已经企稳，但国内休闲旅行和经济舱的持续疲软与温和预期相符。达美航空被认为比同 行处于更具建设性的环境中，部分原因是竞争格局以及纽瓦克航空交通中断的影响。 展望未来，瑞银预计，第三季度每可用座位英里收入(RASM)的指引将偏软，行业计划显示运力同比增 长将从第二季度的3%放缓至1.8%;需求仍然疲软，预计航空公司将对RASM持谨慎态度。该行分析师 Thomas Wadewitz警告称，如果需求未能复苏，可能需要进一步削减运力以支持RASM改善。 达美航空(DAL.US)将于7月10日率先拉开航空业第二季度财报季序幕。分析师表示，随着航空公司为下 半年定下基调，投资者需 ...

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of new tariffs by the Trump administration has significantly impacted global financial markets, leading to sharp declines in major stock indices and increased volatility in currencies and commodities [1][3][6]. Tariff Impact - Starting August 1, the U.S. will impose a 25% tariff on all goods imported from Japan and South Korea, with additional punitive tariffs ranging from 25% to 40% on 12 other countries, including South Africa and Kazakhstan [3][6]. - The average tariff rate is expected to exceed the current baseline of 10%, raising concerns about the potential for further trade tensions [3]. Market Reaction - Following the tariff announcement, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 422 points (0.94%), while the S&P 500 index dropped below 6230 points, indicating a widespread sell-off in the markets [1][3]. - The VIX index, a measure of market volatility, surged by 1.77, reflecting heightened investor anxiety [1]. Sector Performance - The technology sector faced significant losses, with major companies like Tesla, Apple, and Google experiencing declines of over 1.5%, while the automotive sector was particularly hard hit, with Nissan and Toyota ADRs dropping nearly 4% [3][4]. - The "Trump Tariff Losers" index, which tracks companies sensitive to tariffs, fell by 1.35%, highlighting the broader impact on affected industries [3]. Capital Movements - In contrast to the overall market downturn, Chinese concept stocks showed resilience, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising by 0.59%, driven by significant gains in companies like CloudMi Technology and BitOrigin [4]. - Gold prices experienced volatility, initially dropping below $3,300 before recovering, indicating a flight to safety among investors [6]. Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve's likelihood of interest rate cuts has increased, with probabilities exceeding 50% for a September reduction, as economic indicators suggest that the impact of tariffs may be less severe than initially feared [7]. - Analysts are closely monitoring the potential for further tariff escalations, particularly from the EU and India, which could exacerbate market volatility [7].

智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研报称，维持对航空行业的"推荐"投资评级。2025年上半年民航业呈 现需求快增、客座率提升、票价承压但Q2企稳的特征，预计2025-27年行业供需关系将持续改善。随着 飞机引进放缓及利用率提升，供给增速收缩至年均6%，而需求端在国内线稳健增长(复合增速3.6%)及 国际线加速恢复(2025年超2019年水平)驱动下，年均复合增速达6.8%，行业盈利修复趋势明确。油价下 行预期进一步利好成本端改善，暑运旺季收益指标有望企稳回升。 招商证券主要观点如下： 2025-26年行业供需改善、中期向上趋势明确 行业处在疫情后修复阶段，出行消费需求有一定的韧性，经济和消费刺激政策利好国内出行需求增长， 国际出行需求正常化后有望持续增长。受全球供应链不畅影响，供给释放偏紧。同时随着OPEC+组织 增产的推进，油价同比有望持续下降，直接降低成本，利好需求恢复及盈利增长;展望未来行业供需再 平衡、盈利回升的趋势明确。从中长期角度看，行业盈利的持续爬升将为市值的修复提供支撑。短期来 看，24年暑运旺季运力已经大幅释放、同时票价水平较23年大幅回落，今年暑运有望实现主要收益指标 的企稳回升。 风险提示 ...

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of new tariffs by Trump on Japan, South Korea, South Africa, and four other countries has reignited concerns over trade tensions, leading to declines in both U.S. stocks and bonds, as well as significant depreciation in emerging market currencies [1][2]. Market Reactions - U.S. stock indices experienced significant declines, with the S&P 500 dropping by 49.37 points (0.79%) to close at 6229.98 points, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling by 422.17 points (0.94%) to 44406.36 points [3][8]. - The Nasdaq Composite Index also saw a decline, closing down 188.59 points (0.92%) at 20412.52 points [4]. - The Russell 2000 Index fell by 1.55% to 2214.23 points [5]. - The VIX, a measure of market volatility, increased by 1.77% to 17.79 [6]. Sector Performance - The biotechnology ETF dropped by 1.45%, while the semiconductor ETF fell by 1.36%. Other sectors such as global airlines and banking also saw declines of around 1.29% [7]. - The "Magnificent 7" tech stocks index decreased by 1.03%, with Tesla experiencing a notable drop of 6.79% [10]. Currency and Commodity Movements - Emerging market currencies faced their largest decline since April, with the Colombian, Brazilian, and Chilean currencies each dropping over 1.2% [1]. - The U.S. dollar strengthened, with the ICE dollar index rising by 0.31% to 97.479 points [20]. - Gold prices experienced a V-shaped reversal, initially dropping below $3300 before stabilizing [26]. International Market Impact - The European stock indices showed mixed results, with the Eurozone STOXX 50 index rising by 1.00% to 5341.54 points, while the UK FTSE 100 index fell by 0.19% [12][13]. - Oil prices fluctuated, with WTI crude oil futures closing up nearly 1.4% at $67.93 per barrel [25].

Core Viewpoint - A flight operated by American Loyal Airlines had to return to its departure airport due to a bomb threat made by a passenger, which was triggered by an altercation between two passengers [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Incident Details - The incident occurred on July 6, when a flight from Clearwater International Airport in Florida to Roanoke, Virginia was disrupted by a passenger claiming there was a bomb on board [1] - The altercation between two passengers led to the bomb threat, prompting the flight to turn back [1] Law Enforcement Response - Law enforcement was notified of the threat, and the aircraft returned to Clearwater International Airport [1] - The suspect responsible for the threat has been apprehended and is currently in custody [1] - Following an investigation, authorities found no bomb on the aircraft [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that a rumor about a catastrophic earthquake in Japan on July 5 has caused significant concern among foreign tourists, leading to cancellations of travel plans and a negative impact on Japan's tourism industry [1][2][9] - The Japanese government and experts have actively refuted the rumor, emphasizing that it lacks scientific basis and urging the public to approach such information rationally [9][10] - The Japan Meteorological Agency has labeled the earthquake prediction as a scam, stating that current scientific technology does not allow for accurate predictions of earthquakes in terms of time, location, and magnitude [10][12][13] Group 2 - The rumor has led some airlines to reduce the number of flights to Japan due to the anticipated decrease in foreign visitors, casting a shadow over the tourism sector [2] - Some tourists, despite hearing the rumors, have expressed skepticism and indicated that they will not change their travel plans based on unfounded claims [4][6] - Experts, including a retired professor from the University of Tokyo, have reiterated that there is no scientific evidence to support the earthquake prediction, reinforcing the notion that predicting earthquakes is currently impossible [12][13]

法国工业部长：10%的美国关税将是航空业的噩梦。 ...

Group 1 - Major industry ETFs in the US stock market experienced an overall increase, with regional bank ETFs rising by 1.59%, global airline ETFs by 1.51%, and bank ETFs by 1.27% [1][2] Group 2 - Regional bank ETF (KRE) is currently priced at $63.51, with a gain of $0.99 (+1.59%) and a total market value of $5.3 billion, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 6.66% [2] - Global airline ETF (JETS) is priced at $24.15, up by $0.36 (+1.51%), with a market value of $760.725 million, showing a year-to-date decline of 4.73% [2] - Bank ETF (KBE) is trading at $59.00, gaining $0.74 (+1.27%), with a market capitalization of $4.567 billion and a year-to-date increase of 7.86% [2]