Group 1: Acquisition Details - Tencent Music is acquiring Ximalaya for $1.26 billion in cash and approximately 5.2% equity, totaling around $2.7 to $2.8 billion [1] - Tencent Music was already a shareholder in Ximalaya, holding about 5.33% of its shares [1] - Ximalaya has raised nearly 10 billion RMB over 12 funding rounds but has struggled to go public, leading to the decision to sell to Tencent [1] Group 2: Market Context - The acquisition comes at a significant discount compared to Ximalaya's peak valuation of approximately 30 billion RMB (over $4 billion) in 2021, representing a nearly 30% decline [6] - Ximalaya's monthly active users (MAU) have decreased to under 200 million, down about one-third from its peak in 2021, due to competition from short video platforms and aggressive commercialization [8][6] Group 3: Strategic Implications for Tencent Music - The acquisition will enhance Tencent Music's product offerings, filling a gap in the long audio content segment, which includes podcasts and audiobooks [8][9] - Tencent Music aims to integrate audio content into its existing platforms, potentially offering a unified membership service that includes music and audio content [10][11] - The acquisition positions Tencent Music to better compete against rivals like NetEase Cloud Music and ByteDance, which are disrupting the market with free models [12][14] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - ByteDance's free music streaming app, Soda Music, has rapidly gained 60 million MAU, posing a direct challenge to Tencent Music's paid subscription model [12][14] - The competition between Tencent and ByteDance spans multiple content areas, including short videos, long videos, literature, and audio [15] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards mixed monetization models, balancing subscription services with free content to attract a broader user base [16][17]

Core Viewpoint - Tencent Music has announced a merger agreement with Ximalaya, which will make Ximalaya a wholly-owned subsidiary after the transaction closes [1][5]. Group 1: Transaction Details - The transaction involves the cancellation of equity securities held by Ximalaya's shareholders and employee stock plan participants in exchange for $1.26 billion in cash and Tencent Music shares [2][5]. - Tencent Music will issue Class A common stock not exceeding 5.1986% of the total shares outstanding as of five business days before the transaction closes, along with an additional issuance of up to 0.37% of total shares to founding shareholders post-transaction [5]. - The completion of the transaction is subject to regulatory approvals and other closing conditions [5]. Group 2: Market Reaction - Following the announcement, Tencent Music's stock surged over 11% in pre-market trading, and by the end of the trading day, it had increased by 2.43% in Hong Kong [4]. Group 3: Ximalaya's Future Plans - Ximalaya will undergo a restructuring of certain existing businesses related to the transaction, while maintaining its brand, product independence, core management team, and strategic direction [6]. - Ximalaya has committed to fulfilling all contracts with partners and ensuring customer rights are protected [6]. - The company aims to embrace AI to lead industry transformation [7]. Group 4: Tencent Music's Market Position - Tencent Music is the largest online music platform in China, holding approximately 70% market share, and has developed a comprehensive music entertainment ecosystem [8]. - In Q1, Tencent Music reported total revenue of 7.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%, with adjusted net profit rising by 22.8% to 2.23 billion yuan [8]. - Online music service revenue grew by 15.9% to 5.80 billion yuan, with the number of paying users increasing by 8.3% to 12.29 million [8].

Core Viewpoint - Tencent Music has finalized the acquisition of Ximalaya for a total cash consideration of $1.26 billion, which includes the issuance of Class A ordinary shares [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition involves a total cash payment of $1.26 billion, with Tencent Music issuing Class A ordinary shares not exceeding 5.1986% of the total shares outstanding prior to the transaction [1] - Ximalaya will undergo a restructuring of certain existing businesses related to the transaction [1] - The completion of the transaction is subject to regulatory approvals and other closing conditions [1] Group 2: Recent Transactions - On May 30, HYBE sold its entire stake in SM Entertainment to Tencent Music's Hong Kong entity for approximately 243.3 billion KRW, equivalent to about 1.29 billion RMB, representing 9.38% of SM Entertainment [2][3] Group 3: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Tencent Music reported revenue of 7.356 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%, and an adjusted net profit of 2.226 billion RMB, up 22.8% [5] - Online music revenue grew by 15.9% year-on-year to 5.8 billion RMB, with subscription revenue increasing by 16.6% to 4.22 billion RMB [6] - The number of online paid users rose by 8.3% to 122.9 million, with average revenue per paying user (ARPPU) increasing by 0.3 RMB to 11.4 RMB [6] Group 4: User Engagement Challenges - Monthly active users (MAUs) for Tencent Music's online music services declined by 4.0% year-on-year to 555 million [7] - The decline in MAUs poses a direct constraint on Tencent Music's revenue potential [8] Group 5: Strategic Focus - Tencent Music is shifting its focus towards paid users, a strategy common among Tencent's subsidiaries [8] - The company has decided to no longer separately disclose operational metrics for its social entertainment segment, which saw a revenue decline of 11.9% to 1.55 billion RMB in Q1 [9] Group 6: Potential Benefits of Acquisition - The acquisition of Ximalaya is expected to provide Tencent Music with significant traffic, as Ximalaya reported 303 million MAUs in 2023, with 133 million being mobile users [13] - Ximalaya has developed a unique UGC content ecosystem and holds numerous audiobook copyrights, which could offer substantial monetization opportunities [13] - Tencent Music has a history of successful acquisitions, which have been pivotal in establishing its current market position [13]

点评：这一并购不仅将强化腾讯在内容生态领域的地位，更凸显出音频赛道在流量红利见顶背景下的稀 缺价值。通过将头部播客平台纳入麾下，腾讯音乐可有效补足其"听"场景的短板，构建"音乐+有声内容 +社交"的全链条服务体系，与网易云音乐等竞品形成差异化竞争。 丨 2025年6月11日星期三丨 NO.1腾讯音乐：拟以12.6亿美元收购喜马拉雅 6月10日，腾讯音乐在港交所发布公告称，腾讯音乐娱乐集团与喜马拉雅控股及若干其他订约方就其拟 议收购喜马拉雅订立并购协议及计划。腾讯音乐称，交易交割后，喜马拉雅将成为公司的全资附属公 司。据公告，此次交易总价为12.6亿美元现金，喜马拉雅相关股东及喜马拉雅的雇员持股计划参与者持 有的喜马拉雅权益性证券须予以注销。此外，根据并购协议，喜马拉雅将进行与交易有关的若干现有业 务的重组。 NO.3Siri的AI升级功能短期内不会推出 当地时间6月10日，苹果在WWDC上宣布了Apple Intelligence的一系列新功能，并向开发者开放苹果的 基础模型。据悉，苹果此次推出全新的软件界面设计"液态玻璃"，应用于iPhone等旗下多种硬件设备的 操作系统，iPhone迎来2013年来首次O ...

Core Viewpoint - Tencent Music Entertainment Group announced a merger agreement to acquire Ximalaya for $1.26 billion in cash and stock, aiming to enhance user experience and creator revenue through resource sharing and joint development [1][3][4]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition will involve a total payment of $1.26 billion in cash and the issuance of Class A common stock, not exceeding 5.1986% of Tencent Music's total shares outstanding prior to the transaction [2]. - Ximalaya will become a wholly-owned subsidiary of Tencent Music upon completion of the transaction, which is subject to regulatory approvals and other conditions [2][4]. Group 2: Ximalaya's Operations Post-Acquisition - Ximalaya will maintain its brand, product independence, core management team, and strategic direction after the acquisition [3][4]. - The company aims to continue its mission of sharing human wisdom through sound and providing high-quality audio products and services to users, creators, and partners [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Ximalaya's revenue for 2021, 2022, and 2023 was reported at 5.86 billion yuan, 6.06 billion yuan, and 6.16 billion yuan respectively, with a gross margin of 54%, 51.9%, and 56.3% [5]. - The adjusted net profit for Ximalaya was -718 million yuan in 2021, -296 million yuan in 2022, and 224 million yuan in 2023, indicating a turnaround in profitability [5]. - Tencent Music reported a total revenue of 28.401 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.34%, with a net profit of 6.644 billion yuan, up 35.04% [5].

纳指小幅高开 腾讯音乐涨超4% 智通财经6月10日电，美股三大指数开盘涨跌互现，道指跌0.04%，纳指涨0.15%，标普500指数涨 0.11%。腾讯音乐涨超4%，公司拟议收购喜马拉雅控股。台积电涨超2%，5月营收同比增长39.6%。食 品巨头斯马克跌超6%，Q4营收不及预期。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the company has raised its adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 6% and 9% to 1.93 billion and 2.20 billion RMB respectively, based on better-than-expected cost optimization [1] - The target price for the next 12 months has been increased to 240 HKD from 184 HKD, with the core business contributing 223 HKD based on an average P/E ratio of 20 times for quality content and copyright companies [1] - The cash contribution to the target price is 17 HKD, reflecting a 30% discount [1] Group 2 - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.86 billion RMB, a year-on-year decline of 8%, which is a larger drop compared to a 2% decline in the second half of 2024, primarily due to a decrease in social entertainment revenue [1] - The gross margin improved to 36.7%, up 3.7 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from growth in subscription revenue and optimization in live streaming revenue sharing [1] - For 2025, online music revenue is expected to grow by 15% year-on-year, with subscription revenue projected to increase by 16%, driven by membership expansion [2] - Non-member business revenue is anticipated to rise by 11%, although advertising revenue growth may slow due to a high base effect [2] - Social revenue expectations have been lowered by 7% to 1.8 billion RMB, corresponding to a year-on-year decline of 31%, but profit is expected to remain stable due to optimized revenue sharing costs [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International raises the target price for NetEase Cloud Music (09899.HK) to HKD 240, maintaining a "Buy" rating due to faster-than-expected cost optimization and growth potential in long-term membership revenue [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been increased by 6% and 9% respectively [1] - The gross profit margin for the first quarter of this year increased by 3.7 percentage points year-on-year to 36.7%, surpassing both the bank's and market expectations [1] Revenue Drivers - The growth in membership subscription revenue, increased income from various professional services, and optimization of live streaming revenue sharing are key contributors to the improved financial performance [1] Market Outlook - There is significant operational space for the paid wall and ARPPU (Average Revenue Per Paying User), indicating a positive long-term outlook for membership income growth [1]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Strong Buy" rating for Tencent Music [1][7]. Core Insights - Tencent Music, backed by Tencent, has a solid content copyright advantage and is leveraging innovative technologies like AIGC to enhance member benefits, which is expected to further increase the paid user rate and ARPU [1][7]. - The company is projected to achieve revenue growth from 310 billion to 376 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, with adjusted net profits expected to rise from 89 billion to 110 billion CNY during the same period [7][8]. Company Overview - Tencent Music Entertainment Group was established in 2016 through the merger of Tencent and China Music Corporation (CMC), which had long-term agency agreements with nearly 100 record companies, holding a vast library of over 20 million licensed songs [7][13]. - The company has built a strong content barrier by integrating QQ Music and CMC, covering most core copyright resources and maintaining deep collaborations with major labels [7][13]. Core Business - The core business is divided into online music services and social entertainment services, with online music becoming the main growth driver, accounting for over 54% of total revenue in 2024 [7][24]. - Online music service revenue is expected to reach 217.4 billion CNY in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 25.5%, driven by an increase in paid users and average revenue per user (ARPU) [24][30]. Industry Analysis - Tencent Music is positioned as a leader in the online music market, holding approximately 70% market share, and is compared to global leaders like Spotify and Apple Music, with significant room for growth in paid user rates [7][49]. - The report highlights the increasing maturity of domestic users' willingness to pay, which, combined with diversified member benefits, is expected to drive further growth in paid user rates and ARPU [7][62]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts total revenue for Tencent Music to reach 30,957 million CNY in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 9%, and adjusted net profit to reach 8,897 million CNY, reflecting a 16% increase [8][24]. - The PE ratio is projected to decrease from 22.8 in 2025 to 18.4 by 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [8][24].

Core Viewpoint - NetEase Cloud Music has filed a lawsuit against Tencent Music Entertainment and its subsidiaries for abusing market dominance, with the case set to be heard on June 5 in the Zhejiang Provincial High Court [1] Company Summary - The lawsuit involves multiple parties, including Hangzhou NetEase Cloud Music Technology Co., Ltd. and Hangzhou LeDu Technology Co., Ltd. as plaintiffs, and Dongyang Huanyu Film and Television Culture Co., Ltd., Tencent Music Entertainment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd., and Tencent Music Entertainment Technology (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. as defendants [1] - Dongyang Huanyu Film and Television Culture Co., Ltd. was established in August 2012, with a registered capital of 30 million RMB, and is co-owned by Yu Zheng, Yang Yin Feng, and a limited partnership [1]