Meeting Overview - The third extraordinary general meeting of shareholders was held on August 21, 2025, with a combination of on-site and online voting methods [3][4][5] - The meeting was convened by the company's third board of directors and presided over by Chairman Tang Kaijian [4] Attendance - A total of 150 shareholders and their representatives attended the meeting, representing 119,459,739 shares with voting rights, accounting for 49.02% of the total voting shares [5][7] - Among them, 144 were small shareholders, representing 19,920,132 shares, or 8.17% of the total voting shares [5] Voting Results - The meeting reviewed and voted on several proposals, including amendments to the company's articles of association and various internal regulations [10][12][21] - Proposal 1 regarding the amendment of the articles of association received 99.79% approval from the total voting shares present [10] - Proposal 2 regarding the amendment of the board meeting rules also received 99.79% approval [12] - Proposal 3 concerning the independent director's appointment system was approved with 99.79% [15] - Proposal 4 regarding the amendment of shareholder meeting rules received 99.79% approval [17] - Proposal 5 concerning the voting counting system was approved with 99.79% [19] - Proposal 6 regarding the related party transaction decision-making system received 99.79% approval [21] - Proposal 7 concerning non-routine transaction decision-making system was approved with 99.79% [24] - Proposal 8 regarding external guarantee management system received 99.78% approval [26] - Proposal 9 concerning external investment management system was approved with 99.79% [28] - Proposal 10 regarding the prevention of fund occupation by controlling shareholders was approved with 99.79% [30] - Proposal 11 concerning the management system for directors and senior management shareholding received 99.79% approval [33] - Proposal 12 regarding the fundraising management system was approved with 99.79% [35] Legal Compliance - The meeting's procedures and voting results were confirmed to comply with relevant laws and regulations, ensuring the legality and validity of the resolutions passed [37]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future investment returns [8]. Core Insights - The company reported a 10.12% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, reaching 81.039 billion yuan, and a 35.02% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, totaling 12.361 billion yuan [5][6]. - The revenue from major products showed growth in both volume and price, with aluminum alloy products generating 51.878 billion yuan (up 5.2%), alumina products at 20.654 billion yuan (up 27.5%), and aluminum alloy processing products at 8.074 billion yuan (up 6.5%) [6]. - The company has initiated a new round of share buybacks, planning to repurchase shares worth no less than 3 billion HKD, which reflects confidence in its long-term development [7]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a sales volume of 2.906 million tons for aluminum alloy products (up 2.4%), 6.368 million tons for alumina products (up 15.6%), and 392,000 tons for aluminum alloy processing products (up 3.5%) [6]. - The average selling price for aluminum alloy products was 17,853 yuan/ton (up 2.7%), and for alumina products, it was 3,243 yuan/ton (up 10.3%) [6]. - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 23.229 billion yuan, 24.167 billion yuan, and 25.053 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.0, 8.7, and 8.4 [8].

Group 1 - The US and EU have finalized a framework trade agreement that outlines plans to potentially lower European auto tariffs and initiate discussions on reducing steel and aluminum tariffs [1][2] - The agreement includes specific benchmarks for tariff reductions in the automotive, pharmaceutical, and semiconductor sectors, as well as new commitments regarding EU digital services regulations [1][2] - The US has agreed to lower the tariff on European car imports from 15% to a lower rate, contingent upon the EU formally proposing legislation to eliminate its tariffs on US industrial products [2] Group 2 - The US is exploring the possibility of reducing tariffs on steel and aluminum through a quota system, contrasting with previous assertions that these tariffs would remain at 50% [3] - The EU has committed to investing $600 billion in the US by 2028 and purchasing approximately $750 billion in US energy resources, including liquefied natural gas and oil [3] - The EU plans to significantly increase its procurement of military and defense equipment from the US, including a minimum of $40 billion in AI chips [3] Group 3 - The agreement addresses digital trade barriers, with the EU agreeing not to adopt or maintain network usage fees [4] - The EU has committed to providing more flexibility regarding its carbon-intensive import tariffs and ensuring that sustainability due diligence requirements do not impose undue restrictions on transatlantic trade [4] - Potential adjustments may include easing compliance requirements for small and medium-sized enterprises [4]

Core Insights - The article discusses the import and export trends of aluminum-related products in China for July 2025, highlighting the resilience of aluminum exports despite global trade tensions and tariffs imposed by the United States [1]. Group 1: Bauxite Imports - Bauxite imports reached 20.06 million tons in July, marking a month-on-month increase of 10.7% and a year-on-year increase of 34.2% [2]. - Imports from Guinea accounted for 15.94 million tons, up 19.6% month-on-month and 52.0% year-on-year, while imports from Australia were 3.13 million tons, up 3.9% month-on-month but down 19.4% year-on-year [2]. - The average import price of bauxite fell to $74.9 per ton, down 4.9% month-on-month but up 13.5% year-on-year [2]. Group 2: Alumina Trade - China maintained a net export position for alumina, with a net export volume of 104,000 tons in July, up 48.5% month-on-month [4]. - Alumina imports totaled 126,000 tons, up 24.4% month-on-month and 78.2% year-on-year, primarily from Indonesia and Australia [4]. - Cumulative alumina exports from January to July reached 1.572 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 64.3% [4]. Group 3: Primary Aluminum Trade - Primary aluminum imports in July were 248,000 tons, up 29.1% month-on-month and 91.2% year-on-year [6]. - Exports of primary aluminum reached 41,000 tons, marking a significant increase of 108.9% month-on-month and 116.7% year-on-year [6]. - Cumulative imports from January to July totaled 1.498 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 11.0% [6]. Group 4: Aluminum Alloy Trade - Aluminum alloy imports decreased to 69,000 tons in July, down 10.6% month-on-month and 28.4% year-on-year [7]. - Exports of aluminum alloys were 25,000 tons, down 3.3% month-on-month but up 38.3% year-on-year [7]. Group 5: Scrap Aluminum Imports - Scrap aluminum imports reached 160,000 tons in July, up 3.1% month-on-month and 18.7% year-on-year [10]. - Cumulative imports from January to July totaled 1.173 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 8.3% [11]. Group 6: Aluminum Product Exports - Aluminum product exports in July were 475,000 tons, up 7.4% month-on-month but down 13.2% year-on-year [14]. - The top five export destinations included Mexico, India, Vietnam, South Korea, and Thailand, with varying month-on-month growth rates [14]. - Cumulative aluminum product exports from January to July totaled 3.181 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 10.5% [14]. Group 7: Aluminum Wheel Exports - Aluminum wheel exports reached 88,000 tons in July, up 1.5% month-on-month and 15.2% year-on-year [19]. - The United States, Japan, and Mexico were the primary importers, accounting for 56.3% of total exports [19]. - Cumulative exports from January to July totaled 579,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 6.6% [20]. Group 8: Overall Export Trends - The combined exports of aluminum materials and products from January to July totaled 5.211 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.4% [22]. - The impact of U.S. tariffs on global aluminum trade is expected to gradually manifest, affecting China's aluminum product exports [22].

摩根士丹利发表研报指，鉴于9月和10月进入消费旺季的更好价格展望，该行上调了铝价假设；将铝价 按市值调整为每吨平均3287元，导致氧化铝板块的盈利贡献改善。大摩对中国宏桥2025至2027年的每股 盈利预测分别上调6%，目标价从24.8港元上调至26.4港元，维持"增持"评级。大摩又提高联营公司的盈 利贡献，反映出几内亚铝土矿合资企业以及电厂的更好盈利，并预计这一趋势将在2025年下半年持续。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 225.4 billion, 230.9 billion, and 238.7 billion CNY for the years 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.7%, 2.5%, and 3.4% [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 810.4 billion CNY, an increase of 10.1% year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders reached 123.6 billion CNY, up 35% year-on-year [2] - The net profit is a historical high, driven by increased sales prices and volumes of aluminum alloy and alumina products, leading to higher gross margins [2] Business Segmentation 1. **Aluminum Alloy**: - Sales volume of 2.906 million tons, up 2.4% year-on-year; revenue of 518.8 billion CNY, an increase of 5.2%; average selling price of 17,853 CNY/ton, up 2.7%; unit cost of 13,347 CNY/ton, up 1.9%; unit gross profit of 4,506 CNY/ton, up 5.4% [3] 2. **Alumina**: - Sales volume of 6.368 million tons, up 15.6% year-on-year; revenue of 206.55 billion CNY, an increase of 27.5%; average selling price of 3,243 CNY/ton, up 10.3%; unit cost of 2,310 CNY/ton, up 5.3%; unit gross profit of 933 CNY/ton, up 24.7% [3] 3. **Aluminum Alloy Processing**: - Sales volume of 392,000 tons, up 3.5% year-on-year; revenue of 80.7 billion CNY, an increase of 6.5%; average selling price of 20,615 CNY/ton, up 2.9%; unit cost of 15,800 CNY/ton, up 0.01%; unit gross profit of 4,815 CNY/ton, up 13.9% [3] Cost Management - The company achieved capital expenditure of 98.93 billion CNY, up 77.9% year-on-year, primarily for quality assurance deposits and new project developments; despite increased capital expenditure, the company improved cost efficiency with a significant reduction in expense ratios [4] - Total sales and management plus financial expenses amounted to 39.6 billion CNY, down 10% year-on-year, with reductions in sales, management, and financial expenses contributing to this improvement [4] Strategic Initiatives - The company is recognized as a leading global aluminum alloy producer, leveraging its integrated supply chain and scale advantages to create a competitive edge; high self-sufficiency in bauxite and power reduces production costs [5] - The company has repurchased shares totaling 26.12 billion CNY since 2025 and plans to continue repurchases of at least 30 billion CNY, reflecting confidence in future growth [5]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Aluminum: Cautiously bullish [11] - Alumina: Cautiously bearish [11] - Aluminum alloy: Cautiously bullish [11] Core Views - The spread between aluminum alloy and primary aluminum has narrowed [1] - In the electrolytic aluminum market, the spot market trading sentiment has improved, and downstream buyers are replenishing stocks at low prices. Although consumption is still in the seasonal off - peak, there are signs of improvement, and the long - term supply is restricted [7] - For alumina, the rapid increase in warehouse receipt inventory reduces the risk of a short squeeze, and the supply is becoming more abundant. The price of bauxite is difficult to rise, and the supply is increasing. The situation of tight supply in the south and loose supply in the north will continue [8][9] - In the aluminum alloy market, the price spread in the spot market and the smelting profit of aluminum alloy enterprises show a seasonal repair trend, and the spread arbitrage of the 11 - contract can still be concerned [10] Summary by Related Catalogs Aluminum Spot - The price of East China A00 aluminum is 20,520 yuan/ton, down 70 yuan/ton from the previous trading day, and the spot premium is 0 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The price of Central China A00 aluminum is 20,440 yuan/ton, and the spot premium is - 80 yuan/ton, up 40 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The price of Foshan A00 aluminum is 20,480 yuan/ton, down 70 yuan/ton from the previous trading day, and the spot premium is - 35 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan/ton from the previous trading day [2] Aluminum Futures - On August 20, 2025, the main contract of Shanghai aluminum opened at 20,540 yuan/ton, closed at 20,535 yuan/ton, down 40 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The highest price was 20,540 yuan/ton, and the lowest price was 20,430 yuan/ton. The trading volume was 128,168 lots, and the open interest was 228,028 lots [3] Aluminum Inventory - As of August 20, 2025, the domestic social inventory of electrolytic aluminum ingots was 607,000 tons, up 1.9 tons from the previous period. The warehouse receipt inventory was 62,938 tons, down 2,529 tons from the previous trading day. The LME aluminum inventory was 479,525 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day [3] Alumina Spot Price - On August 20, 2025, the SMM alumina price in Shanxi was 3,220 yuan/ton, in Shandong was 3,205 yuan/ton, in Henan was 3,225 yuan/ton, in Guangxi was 3,325 yuan/ton, in Guizhou was 3,340 yuan/ton, and the FOB price of Australian alumina was 372 US dollars/ton [3] Alumina Futures - On August 20, 2025, the main contract of alumina opened at 3,130 yuan/ton, closed at 3,147 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan/ton from the previous trading day, with a change of 0.03%. The highest price was 3,159 yuan/ton, and the lowest price was 3,081 yuan/ton. The trading volume was 441,227 lots, and the open interest was 176,803 lots [3] Aluminum Alloy Price - On August 20, 2025, the purchase price of Baotai civil raw aluminum was 15,500 yuan/ton, and the purchase price of mechanical raw aluminum was 15,600 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day. The Baotai quotation of ADC12 was 19,900 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day [4] Aluminum Alloy Inventory - The social inventory of aluminum alloy was 49,400 tons, and the in - factory inventory was 60,600 tons [5] Aluminum Alloy Cost and Profit - The theoretical total cost was 20,112 yuan/ton, and the theoretical profit was - 112 yuan/ton [6] Strategies - Unilateral: Bullish on aluminum, bearish on alumina, and bullish on aluminum alloy [11] - Arbitrage: Long Shanghai aluminum calendar spread, long AD11 and short AL11 [11]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huachuang Securities indicates that China Hongqiao (01378) is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 22.54 billion yuan, 23.09 billion yuan, and 23.87 billion yuan for the years 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 0.7%, 2.5%, and 3.4% [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 81.04 billion yuan, an increase of 10.1% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.36 billion yuan, up 35% year-on-year, achieving a historical high [2][3] - The company’s earnings per share for the first half of 2025 reached 1.314 yuan, representing a 36% increase year-on-year [1] Business Segments 1. **Aluminum Alloy**: - Sales volume reached 2.906 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, generating revenue of 51.88 billion yuan, up 5.2% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 17,853 yuan/ton, a 2.7% increase [3] 2. **Alumina**: - Sales volume was 6.368 million tons, up 15.6% year-on-year, with revenue of 20.655 billion yuan, a 27.5% increase, and an average selling price of 3,243 yuan/ton, up 10.3% [3] 3. **Aluminum Alloy Processing**: - Sales volume reached 392,000 tons, a 3.5% increase year-on-year, with revenue of 8.07 billion yuan, up 6.5%, and an average selling price of 20,615 yuan/ton, a 2.9% increase [3] Cost Management - The company achieved capital expenditures of 9.893 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 77.9% increase year-on-year, primarily for various projects [4] - Despite increased capital expenditures, the company improved cost efficiency, with total sales and management expenses decreasing by 10% year-on-year to 3.96 billion yuan [4] Strategic Initiatives - The company is recognized as a leading global aluminum alloy producer, leveraging its integrated supply chain and scale advantages to create a competitive edge [5] - The company has repurchased shares totaling 2.612 billion yuan since 2025 and plans to continue repurchasing shares with a total amount of no less than 3 billion yuan, reflecting confidence in future growth [5]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities reaffirms "Buy" rating for China Hongqiao (01378) with a target price of HKD 26 [1] Company Summary - China Hongqiao's net profit for the first half of 2025 is projected to be RMB 12.36 billion, representing a 35% year-on-year increase, in line with expectations [1] - The profit composition for the first half of 2025 is estimated to be 63% from aluminum alloys, 29% from alumina, and 9% from aluminum products [1] - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of 65% for the fiscal year 2025, resulting in a dividend yield of 8% [1] - China Hongqiao intends to repurchase at least HKD 3 billion of its shares [1] Industry Summary - Bank of America Securities forecasts aluminum prices in China to be RMB 20,500 per ton for the fiscal years 2025-2026, with a long-term price of RMB 20,000 per ton [1] - Due to a cost advantage of approximately 5% compared to global peers, Chinese aluminum companies are expected to achieve profits of RMB 3,000 to RMB 4,000 per ton, significantly above historical averages of RMB 1,000 to RMB 2,000 per ton [1] - Given the low cyclicality, strong cash flow, and attractive dividend yield, Chinese aluminum companies are projected to attain a price-to-earnings ratio of at least 10 times, comparable to the global average [1] - The West Mound project is expected to commence production by the end of 2025, contributing positively to the company's outlook [1]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities reaffirms "Buy" rating for China Hongqiao (01378) with a target price of HKD 26 [1] Company Summary - China Hongqiao's net profit for the first half of 2025 is projected to be RMB 12.36 billion, representing a 35% year-on-year increase, which aligns with expectations [1] - The gross profit composition for China Hongqiao in the first half of 2025 is estimated to be 63% from aluminum alloys, 29% from alumina, and 9% from aluminum products [1] - The company plans to repurchase at least HKD 3 billion of its shares [1] Industry Summary - Bank of America Securities forecasts aluminum prices in China to be RMB 20,500 per ton for the fiscal years 2025-2026, with a long-term price of RMB 20,000 per ton [1] - Due to a cost advantage of approximately 5% compared to global peers, Chinese aluminum companies are expected to achieve profits of RMB 3,000-4,000 per ton, significantly above the historical average of RMB 1,000-2,000 per ton [1] - Given the low cyclicality, strong cash flow, and attractive dividend yield, Chinese aluminum companies are projected to attain a price-to-earnings ratio of at least 10 times, comparable to the global average [1]