永赢黄金股ETF及其联接基金（A类:020411 / C类:020412）紧密跟踪中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数 (931238.CSI)，精选沪深港三地优质黄金产业链上市公司。通过投资这只基金，或可高效捕捉金价上行 红利，充分分享优质黄金矿企的成长收益，并能有效分散个股风险，布局整个黄金产业赛道。 基金有风险，投资需谨慎。本文所包含的分析基于各种假设，不同假设可能导致分析结果出现重大不 同。在任何情况下，本文中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议。 消息面上，周五晚，美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊尔全球央行年会上表示，形势表明美国就业下行风险上 升，而风险平衡的变化可能构成调整政策的理由；同时，美联储一致通过新的政策框架，采用灵活的通 胀目标制，并取消了通胀"补偿"策略。该发言的温和程度好于市场预期，交易员加大对美联储9月降息 的押注，并恢复、消化美联储年底前降息两次的预期。降息预期+滞胀逻辑，贵金属下方支撑强、上涨 逻辑硬 东北证券认为，在波动率低位+无人问津的情况下，黄金反而行情容易发生变化，第二，经济走弱+通 胀走强+降息，行情变化的方向更可能是向上而非向下，第三，宽松只是金价向上的第一推动力，但金 ...

Group 1 - The long-term outlook indicates that the dollar credit system is under challenge due to excessive monetary issuance and the monetization of fiscal deficits, leading to increased demand for gold as a safe asset amid global geopolitical instability [1] - The trend of "de-dollarization" globally suggests that gold may become a new pricing anchor, providing upward momentum for precious metals [1] - The People's Bank of China continues to increase its gold reserves, reporting a total of 73.9 million ounces as of the end of June, with an increase of 70,000 ounces month-on-month, marking the eighth consecutive month of gold accumulation [1] Group 2 - The gold stock ETF (code: 517400) tracks the SSH Gold Stock Index (code: 931238), which is compiled by China Securities Index Co., Ltd., selecting 50 large-cap listed companies involved in gold mining, smelting, and sales from the mainland and Hong Kong markets [1] - The index constituents include gold mining companies and jewelry firms, reflecting significant industry concentration characteristics [1] - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Cathay CSI Shanghai-Shenzhen-Hong Kong Gold Industry Stock ETF Initiated Link C (021674) and Initiated Link A (021673) [1]

Group 1 - The situation has rapidly escalated following Israel's attack on Iran, leading to increased risk aversion and a rise in gold prices, which have once again surpassed 3400 [1] - Market sentiment is being affected by trade negotiations and geopolitical developments, resulting in increased volatility in gold prices; a "double top" pattern has formed, indicating potential resistance at the previous high of 3430 [1] - In the medium to long term, factors such as the Federal Reserve entering a rate-cutting cycle, increasing uncertainty in overseas macro policies, and a global trend towards de-dollarization are expected to provide support for gold prices, suggesting opportunities for strategic buying during pullbacks [1] Group 2 - The gold stock ETF (code: 517400) tracks the SSH Gold Stock Index (code: 931238), which is compiled by China Securities Index Co., Ltd., selecting 50 large-cap companies involved in gold mining, smelting, and sales to reflect the overall performance of the gold industry [1] - The index constituents include gold mining companies and jewelry firms, showcasing significant industry concentration [1] - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Guotai CSI Shanghai-Shenzhen-Hong Kong Gold Industry Stock ETF Initiated Link C (021674) and Link A (021673) [1]