每经AI快讯，12月15日，港股黄金股盘中震荡上涨，紫金黄金国际涨超6%，赤峰黄金涨近5%，山东黄 金、灵宝黄金等涨近2%。 ...

12月15日，港股黄金股盘初拉升走强，其中，紫金黄金国际涨超6%领衔，赤峰黄金涨5.8%，潼关黄金 涨近3%，灵宝黄金、山东黄金、招金矿业均涨超1%。 消息上，亚洲早盘黄金小幅走高。现货黄金上涨0.6%，报每盎司4,324美元，不断逼近历史新高位。 Tickmill执行董事Joseph Dahrieh表示，金价继续受益于市场对美联储将进一步放松货币政策的坚定预 期、各国央行的持续买入，以及不断扩大的地缘政治风险，这些风险正维持着避险资金流。本周市场焦 点可能将是美国的主要政府数据，例如将于周二公布的11月就业报告和将于周四公布的11月CPI数据。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 02259 | 紫金黄金国际 | 156.200 | 6.26% | | 06693 | 赤峰黄金 | 32.180 | 5.79% | | 00340 | 漳关黄金 | 2.950 | 2.79% | | 03330 | 灵宝黄金 | 18.100 | 1.86% | | 01787 | 山东黄金 | 34.740 | 1.64% | | 01818 | 招 ...

每经AI快讯，A股贵金属板块走强，招金黄金涨近5%，赤峰黄金涨超3%，西部黄金、中金黄金等跟 涨。 每日经济新闻 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，黄金股逆市走高。截至发稿，紫金黄金国际(02259.HK)涨5.78%，报155.4港元；赤峰黄金 (06693.HK)涨4.87%，报31.9港元；潼关黄金(00340.HK)涨2.79%，报2.95港元；灵宝黄金(03330.HK)涨 1.69%，报18.07港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices opened strongly on December 15, with COMEX gold futures trading around $4,355 per ounce, supported by a rise in gold-related ETFs and stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Gold ETFs such as Huaxia (518850) rose by 0.94%, while the Nonferrous Metals ETF (516650) increased by 0.34%, and the Gold Stock ETF (159562) gained 1.06% [1] - The holdings of gold-related stocks saw significant increases, with Gold International rising over 5%, and other stocks like Zhaojin Gold, Chifeng Gold, and Western Gold also performing well [1] - Over the past five days, the gold ETF products experienced a net subscription of 102 million yuan [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - According to Polymarket, the probability of former Federal Reserve Governor Waller becoming the next Fed Chair surged to 39%, while Hassett's probability stands at 52% [1] - Trump indicated that Waller's views on monetary policy align closely with his own, emphasizing the need to lower interest rates [1] Group 3: Macro Factors - Jinrui Futures noted that a potential rate cut by the Fed in December would lower the opportunity cost of holding gold [1] - The Fed's announcement to purchase approximately $40 billion in short-term Treasury bills to ease market liquidity pressures also supports gold prices [1] - Increased demand for safe-haven assets and ongoing central bank gold purchases further strengthen the trend of "high volatility and upward price movement" in the gold market [1]

12月15日，三大股指早盘小幅低开，而黄金板块逆势上涨。截至上午9:50，黄金ETF华夏(518850)涨0.94%、黄金股ETF(159562)涨0.78%。相关成 分股赤峰黄金涨2.53%、中金黄金涨1.55%、湖南黄金涨1.23%，山东黄金、招金矿业等小幅跟涨。 消息面上，上周五金价表现出色，现货黄金上涨0.48%，收报每盎司4300美元附近。随着美联储第三次降息25个基点后，市场对宽松货币政策的 预期进一步升温。尽管美联储暗示在更多数据出炉前对进一步降息持谨慎态度，但投资者仍预期明年美联储进一步降低利率持乐观态度，这为黄 金提供了强劲的支撑。 展望后市，东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青，国新政府上台后，全球政治、经济形势出现新变化，国际金价有可能在相当长一段时间内易涨难跌。 从控制成本角度看，暂停增持黄金的必要性下降；从优化国际储备结构角度看，增持黄金的必要性上升。从优化国际储备结构、稳慎扎实推进人 民币国际化，以及应对当前国际环境变化等角度出发，未来央行增持黄金仍是大方向。 ...

消息面上，国家外汇管理局最新统计显示，截至11月末，我国黄金储备达到7412万盎司，较上月增加3 万盎司。此外，从全球央行购金趋势观察，第三季度全球黄金需求总量达到1313吨，需求总金额高达 1460亿美元，创下单季度黄金需求的历史最高纪录。 平安证券发布研报称，12月美联储降息或将推动金价逐步上移，长期来看，美国债务问题未解，美元信 用走弱的主线逻辑持续，央行购金以及黄金投资需求增长，贵金属价格重心或继续抬升。 智通财经APP获悉，黄金股逆市走高，截至发稿，紫金黄金国际(02259)涨5.78%，报155.4港元；赤峰黄 金(06693)涨4.87%，报31.9港元；潼关黄金(00340)涨2.79%，报2.95港元；灵宝黄金(03330)涨1.69%，报 18.07港元。 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the financial data and economic conditions in China, particularly focusing on the banking sector and macroeconomic indicators [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Loan Growth and Economic Trends** - In January, new loans amounted to 5.1 trillion yuan, indicating a typical credit peak season, but a slight decrease in loan growth is expected in the coming months, aligning with nominal economic growth trends [1][9]. - The demand for household credit remains weak due to multiple factors including a sluggish real estate market, stock market volatility, and declining consumer data [1][10]. 2. **Monetary Supply and Policy Environment** - M1 money supply growth has decreased to 4.9% year-on-year, while M2 growth remains stable at 8%, reflecting a relatively stable policy environment with no urgent need for adjustments [1][4]. - The central bank's financial data shows a year-on-year growth in social financing scale of 8.5%, with loan growth at 6.3%, indicating a stable overall performance but with some discrepancies from market expectations [2]. 3. **ETF Fund Flows and Market Sentiment** - Dividend ETFs continue to attract funds for low-positioning, while the technology sector shows weak liquidity. The CSI 500 ETF saw a net inflow close to 10 billion yuan, while tech-themed ETFs like AI, military, and semiconductors experienced significant net outflows [1][5][6]. - The banking sector is experiencing a daily net outflow of about 500 million yuan, but its fundamental improvement is considered highly certain, suggesting potential investment value [6]. 4. **Future Market Expectations** - An interest rate hike is anticipated around mid-2026 to address potential economic downturn risks. The banking sector's fundamentals are improving, but the overall upward potential is limited to about one or two percentage points [7][8]. - The consumer sector remains a market highlight, and the performance of innovative pharmaceutical stocks in Hong Kong is also noted [8]. 5. **Investment Policy and Economic Recovery** - Attention is required on the implementation of policies from the Central Economic Work Conference, particularly regarding "investment stabilization." Current market reactions are relatively muted, and there is a lack of new directions to boost investment growth [11]. - The potential for large-scale infrastructure projects or new monetary tools to support the economy is acknowledged, but the effectiveness may not match past initiatives like the 4 trillion yuan stimulus plan [11]. 6. **Market Dynamics and Risks** - The overall economic activity is showing signs of weakening, which is viewed as a healthy adjustment. The stock market requires strong policy signals to break out of its current stagnation [12]. - The impact of US-China competition is discussed, indicating that China is not at a disadvantage, which supports the RMB exchange rate and foreign capital allocation [13]. Additional Important Insights - The early loan disbursement by banks in October rather than December may influence corporate project growth [3]. - The current financial data suggests that without unexpected policy support, the stock market may struggle to maintain upward momentum [12]. - The debt market may see recovery opportunities following the Central Financial Conference, as high interest rates currently hinder fiscal debt issuance costs [12].

百利好特约智昇研究资深分析师辰宇认为，当前黄金牛市未改，后续存在进一步走高机会。 黄金方面：美国总统特朗普已经不装了，其近期表示前理事沃勒是下一任美联储主席的头号候选人，白宫国家经济委员会主任哈塞特也很出色。不过，特朗 普强调下任美联储主席应该在制定利率政策时候咨询他的意见。特朗普已经在明目张胆地干预美联储的独立性。 地缘摩擦方面，俄罗斯方面表示俄乌和平谈判将是漫长的过程；乌克兰泽连斯基表示，旨在解决俄乌冲突的和平计划不会令所有人满意，暗示地缘摩擦仍然 存在较大的不确定性。 技术面：周线上，上周行情收阳线，显示短期金价偏强势。日线上，行情破位上行，多头占优势。日内关注下方4280美元一线支撑，上方关注4346美元一线 压力。 综合来看，原油市场供给过剩的风险将令油价承压。 技术面：周线上，上周行情下行且收阴线，显示行情短期偏弱。日线上，油价反弹在20日均线遇阻后再度下行，短期维持弱势将是大概率事件。日内关注上 方58.82美元一线压力，下方关注56.85美元一线支撑。 黄金小时图 原油方面：近期乌克兰对俄罗斯炼油设施的袭击已经变成常态化，消息人士表示，乌克兰无人机袭击了俄罗斯Yaroslavl地区的斯拉夫炼油 ...

Group 1 - Hong Kong gold stocks experienced a strong rally at the beginning of trading, with Zijin Mining International leading the gains, rising over 6% [1] - Other notable performers included Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining up 5.8%, Tongguan Gold up nearly 3%, and Lingbao Gold, Shandong Gold, and Zhaojin Mining all rising over 1% [1][2] - The spot gold price increased by 0.6%, reaching $4,324 per ounce, approaching historical highs [1] Group 2 - Joseph Dahrieh, Executive Director of Tickmill, indicated that gold prices are benefiting from strong market expectations for further easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, ongoing purchases by central banks, and escalating geopolitical risks [1] - This week, the market focus will be on key U.S. government data, including the November employment report to be released on Tuesday and the November CPI data on Thursday [1]