总体来看，工业硅供需基本面有小幅改善的迹象，下游需求增加对价格有一定支撑，同时多晶硅价 格上涨对工业硅现货价格有一定的带动作用，预计工业硅现货价格仍有一定的上涨空间，需要持续关注 供应端减复产情况和下游市场变动。 （李敏） 本周工业硅现货价格上涨。过去一周（2025年7月10日-16日），主力合约收盘价从8470元/吨震荡 波动至8685元/吨，涨幅为2.54%。全国综合价格为8851元/吨，上涨108元/吨，其中分牌号来看，553为 8602元/吨、441为8852元/吨、421为9425元/吨，分别上涨100元/吨、100元/吨和128元/吨，新疆、云南 和四川的综合价格为8749元/吨、9734元/吨和9600元/吨。FOB价格整体持稳。 本周工业硅现货市场价格在多晶硅价格上涨、大厂继续减产和下游需求增加的影响下，价格上涨， 市场情绪回暖。供应端，南方地区在丰水期来临时，开工率逐渐上涨，产量增加；北方地区大厂暂无复 产计划，其余厂家生产较为稳定，整体产量变动较小，总体全国产量基本持稳。需求端，有机硅单体厂 前期检修装置重启，开工率逐步提高，对工业硅需求增加；多晶硅整体开工较为稳定，对工业硅需求变 动较小 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant information provided in the reports. 2. Core Views of the Reports Glass and Soda Ash - Yesterday, the soda ash futures market sentiment weakened, with the 09 contract dropping about 30 points. Although the overall market sentiment had improved earlier, the supply - demand pattern of soda ash remains in surplus, with continuous inventory accumulation. It is recommended to watch for opportunities to short on rebounds [1]. - The glass futures market sentiment declined yesterday, while the spot market remained strong. Currently, it is the off - season, and the industry needs capacity clearance. It is advisable to wait and see for now [1]. Logs - Yesterday, the log futures market fluctuated slightly stronger. The market is in a situation of weak supply and demand due to the off - season for demand and seasonal reduction in supply from New Zealand. The 09 contract is expected to fluctuate weakly, and attention should be paid to market sentiment and policy expectations [2]. Industrial Silicon - The spot price of industrial silicon increased by 150 - 200 yuan/ton, and the futures price rose by 90 yuan/ton. The supply is expected to increase. In the short - term, the price will fluctuate strongly, but attention should be paid to the risk of price decline due to the increase in warehouse receipts [3]. Polysilicon - The polysilicon spot price stabilized, and the futures price increased. There is still room for the futures price to catch up with the spot price. The market has a wait - and - see attitude, and there are both positive and negative factors. Attention should be paid to the risk of price decline [4]. Natural Rubber - The natural rubber price rebounded due to macro - sentiment, but the fundamental situation is still weak. It is recommended to short at the price range of 14,000 - 14,500 yuan/ton, and pay attention to raw material supply and US tariff changes [5]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Glass and Soda Ash Price and Spread - Glass: The prices in North China, East China, and South China remained unchanged, while the price in Central China increased by 30 yuan/ton with a 2.80% increase. The 2505 and 2509 contracts decreased by 1.35% and 2.81% respectively. The 05 basis increased by 17.53% [1]. - Soda Ash: The prices in North China, East China, Central China, and Northwest China remained unchanged. The 2505 and 2509 contracts decreased by 0.53% and 2.06% respectively. The 05 basis increased by 17.95% [1]. Supply - Soda ash: The operating rate and weekly output remained unchanged. The float glass daily melting volume increased by 0.38%, and the photovoltaic daily melting volume remained unchanged [1]. Inventory - Glass factory inventory decreased by 2.87%, while soda ash factory inventory and delivery warehouse inventory increased by 2.98% and 4.39% respectively. The glass factory's soda ash inventory days remained unchanged [1]. Real Estate Data - New construction area increased by 2.99%, construction area decreased by 7.56%, completion area increased by 15.67%, and sales area increased by 12.13% [1]. Logs Futures and Spot Prices - Log futures: The 2509, 2511, and 2601 contracts increased slightly, while the 2507 contract decreased slightly. The basis of the 09, 11, and 01 contracts decreased [2]. - Spot prices: The prices of most spot logs remained unchanged, except for a 1.39% decrease in the price of 4A small radiata pine in Taicang Port [2]. Supply - Monthly supply: Port shipments increased by 2.12%, and the number of ships from New Zealand to China, Japan, and South Korea decreased by 8.62% [2]. Inventory - Weekly inventory: The national inventory decreased by 0.31%, with a 1.66% decrease in Shandong and a 1.93% increase in Jiangsu [2]. Demand - Weekly demand: The daily average outbound volume decreased by 12% nationwide, with a 9% decrease in Shandong and a 14% decrease in Jiangsu [2]. Industrial Silicon Spot Price and Basis - The prices of East China oxygen - passed S15530 and Xinjiang 99 - grade industrial silicon increased, while the basis of some varieties decreased [3]. Monthly Spread - The spreads of 2508 - 2509, 2509 - 2510, and 2512 - 2601 increased significantly, while the spread of 2511 - 2512 decreased significantly [3]. Fundamental Data - In April, the national output and operating rate decreased, while the output and operating rate in Yunnan and Sichuan increased. In May, the output of organic silicon DMC, polysilicon, and recycled aluminum alloy increased [3]. Inventory Change - The inventory in Xinjiang decreased by 17.46%, and the social inventory decreased slightly. The warehouse receipt inventory increased by 0.34% [3]. Polysilicon Spot Price and Basis - The prices of N - type granular silicon decreased slightly, and the basis of N - type and cauliflower - type decreased [4]. Futures Price and Monthly Spread - The PS2506 contract increased by 1.69%. Some monthly spreads changed significantly [4]. Fundamental Data - Weekly: The output of silicon wafers and polysilicon decreased. Monthly: The polysilicon output increased, and the import and export volumes changed [4]. Inventory Change - The polysilicon inventory increased by 1.47%, and the silicon wafer inventory decreased by 5.67% [4]. Natural Rubber Spot Price and Basis - The prices of some rubber varieties increased slightly, and the basis and non - standard spread changed [5]. Monthly Spread - The 9 - 1 spread increased by 1.69%, and the 1 - 5 spread decreased by 16.67% [5]. Fundamental Data - In May, the output in Thailand, Indonesia, India, and China increased. The operating rates of semi - steel and all - steel tires increased, and the domestic tire output decreased slightly. The tire export volume increased [5]. Inventory Change - The bonded area inventory increased slightly, and the warehouse receipt inventory in the Shanghai Futures Exchange increased significantly [5].

从中证香港100工业指数持仓样本的行业来看，快递占比56.33%、工业集团企业占比11.17%、物流综合 占比11.01%、商用车占比7.85%、航运占比7.33%、航空运输占比6.32%。 资料显示，指数样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。权重因子随样本定期调整而调整，调整时间与指数样本定期调整实施时间相同。在下一个定期 调整日前，权重因子一般固定不变。特殊情况下将对指数进行临时调整。当对应的母指数调整样本时， 行业指数样本将相应调整。当样本公司有特殊事件发生，导致其行业归属发生变更时，将对指数进行相 应调整。当样本退市时，将其从指数样本中剔除。样本公司发生收购、合并、分拆等情形的处理，参照 计算与维护细则处理。 本文源自：金融界 作者：行情君 金融界7月16日消息，上证指数低开震荡，中证香港100工业指数 (H100工业，L11182)报148.81点。 数据统计显示，中证香港100工业指数近一个月上涨12.33%，近三个月上涨16.66%，年至今上涨 9.65%。 据了解，中证香港100行业指数系列将中证香港100指数样本按中证行业分类标准进行分类，再 ...

7月16日，国内期市有色金属板块多数飘红。其中，工业硅期货主力合约开盘报8740.0元/吨，今日盘中 低位震荡运行；截至发稿，工业硅主力最高触及8770.0元，下方探低8585.0元，跌幅达1.08%附近。 华联期货指出，上周工业硅市场开炉总数增加。其他地区个别硅厂有部分增减炉子情况，整体供应变量 不大；下游端，近日关于光伏行业反内卷消息较多，情绪驱动盘面价格持续拉涨。铝合金持货商反馈下 游采购能力减弱明显，出货整体弱于上周，铝棒现货市场交投氛围冷清，铝合金实际需求有限；综合来 看，厂家挺价情绪较浓，使得下游低价采购不易，但终端淡季需求下下游市场高价同样不接，供需双方 僵持。操作上建议09逢低做多，企业考虑买入套期保值。 建信期货分析称，7月第2周工业硅产量继续保持在7万吨之上，西南产区丰水期复产弥补新疆大厂减 产，月度产量仍将保持在31万吨以上。需求端，多晶硅7月排产增至10-11万吨，有机硅开工率小幅增 加，但总体月需求增量不足2万吨。期货仓单开始转增，需要关注持续性，前期仓单进入持续减产区间 在8800-9000之间，目前产业政策面形成利多预期，现货市场提价仍在刺激盘面走强，短期偏强震荡为 主。 目前来 ...

Economic Growth - In the first half of 2025, China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year, an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to 2024[2] - In Q2 2025, GDP growth was 5.2% year-on-year, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from Q1[7] - The industrial added value in June increased by 6.8% year-on-year, significantly above the market expectation of 5.5%[3] Investment and Consumption - Fixed asset investment growth in the first half of 2025 was 2.8%, below the expected 3.7%, and down 1.4 percentage points from Q1[3] - Retail sales in June showed a nominal year-on-year growth of 4.8%, lower than the expected 5.6%[12] - The contribution rate of final consumption expenditure to economic growth was 52% in the first half of 2025, indicating strong domestic demand[4] Sector Performance - The contribution of the tertiary sector (services) to GDP reached 60.1% in the first half of 2025, the highest in two years[4] - Manufacturing investment growth was 7.5%, while real estate investment saw a decline of 11.2%[3] - The trade surplus in June was $114.8 billion, with a cumulative surplus of $586 billion in the first half, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 35%[11] Risks and Outlook - Risks include potential underperformance due to economic growth, industry competition, external economic conditions, and policy changes[5] - Despite a stable unemployment rate of 5.0% in June, the youth unemployment rate remains high, indicating ongoing labor market challenges[29]

Core Viewpoint - In June, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 6.8% year-on-year, indicating a robust growth trend in the industrial sector [1] Group 1: Industrial Growth - In June, the industrial added value increased by 0.50% month-on-month, while the growth for the first half of the year was 6.4% year-on-year [1] - By sector, mining increased by 6.1%, manufacturing by 7.4%, and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply by 1.8% in June [1] - State-owned enterprises saw a 5.7% increase, joint-stock enterprises 7.1%, foreign and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan-invested enterprises 5.5%, and private enterprises 6.2% in June [1] Group 2: Industry Performance - Out of 41 major industries, 36 reported year-on-year growth in added value in June [2] - Notable growth sectors included coal mining and washing (6.5%), agricultural and sideline food processing (8.2%), and automotive manufacturing (11.4%) [2] - The electronics manufacturing sector also performed well, with computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing growing by 11.0% [2] Group 3: Product Output - In June, 379 out of 623 major industrial products saw year-on-year output growth [3] - Steel production reached 12.784 million tons (up 1.8%), while cement production fell by 5.3% to 15.547 million tons [3] - Notably, new energy vehicle production increased by 18.8% to 1.234 million units, contributing to an overall automotive production increase of 8.8% [3] - The industrial enterprises' product sales rate was 94.3%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year, with export delivery value reaching 1.3676 trillion yuan, a nominal increase of 4.0% [3]

然后我这边第二个问题就是关于那个矿产木的然后我看一季度我们矿产木产量之后完成度比较高这块主要是什么原因然后后续的话能够继续超产是这样就是我们全年那个矿产木也就是大概在四千五到五千亿左右嘛然后就是一季度就是也不是超产而是跟去年同期相比然后是增加的比较多 就是我们矿产量的矿产量相对来说是比较稳定的然后还有就是关于千新的一个情况我看一记录千新矿产量环比是有增长的二五年生产计划也是增长的然后千新的增长是主要来自于哪些矿商啊然后后续的话是不是还有一些破产的安排 迁兴的资源主要是来源于内蒙的西部铜业霍克齐铜矿它就是半城的迁更新因为我们去年的时候对它的迁兴全场进行了一些改造然后今年因为会增加一些迁更新方面的产出明白最后还有一个问题是关于矿山检修我们今年后续是不是还有一个比较重大的矿山检修计划然后还是 是不是还是会安排在四季度啊?是这样,就是一般情况下就是说因为四季度我们几个特别艰苦的矿山环境就天气环境都是比较恶劣的嘛就是所以我们一般是有检修的话基本上都会安排在第四季度然后去年就是郁农这边可能检测期是相对来说比前几年要稍微多了几天 所以就是他那个第四季度的产量就是是比较小的嗯好然后以他矿源的话呃一般情况下就是说在完成年度生产 ...

涉嫌违反上述情形的我们将保留追究法律责任的权利感谢您给予的理解和配合谢谢各位投资者晚上好我是东吴策略的林玉辉本期周末一课中的这个汇报主题呢就是中报前瞻有哪些景气的这个方向我们可以看到就是说这几周市场这个整体的活跃度也是明显起来了上周互指也是冲破了这个三千五百点但是在这个关键的这个时刻呢我们要注意到就是当前其实已经来到了这个七月中旬 很多上市公司其实已经披露这个业绩预告7月15号就截止披露这个业绩预告从这个时间点开始之后呢中道也就会陆陆续续这个披露因此就是说纪录面景气又会成为了这个市场交易的这样一个关键线索 一年之中其实有三次业绩披露的时期,分别是年报、中报以及三级报。三级报的时候,因为是在年底,市场可能更加去关注,比方说十月底的政治局会议对于经济这种解读,包括年底的政治局会议以及中央经济会议去交易来源的预期,因此可以说是日面定价,因此对于整体市场的交易可能影响没有那么大,但是在年报和中报这个阶段, 其实业绩对于市场这个交易还是非常关键的我们其实也可以看到就是说在近两周一些比较强势的业绩披露了比较好业绩的这个行业龙头比方说就是有工业互联包括就是北方稀土在这个业绩披露了一个比较好的业绩之后各股是走出了涨停板这样的 ...

今天的说明会将重点介绍以下几方面的内容第一部分是公司基本情况介绍第二部分是主营业务分类介绍第三部分是2024年度财务情况分析上海宝信软件股份有限公司是中国宝五实际控制宝钢股份控股的上市软件企业 保信软件依托钢铁及先进材料业雄厚产业基础和丰富应用场景坚持以创新为驱动提供以钢铁业为代表的流程型制造数字化智慧化综合解决方案历经40多年的发展公司在推动数实融合赋能产业数字化转型升级等方面做出了重要的贡献 成为中国领先的工业软件行业应用解决方案和服务提供商产品与服务业绩涵盖了钢铁、有色、化工、矿山、交通等多个行业保信软件的使命是产业智慧化、智慧产业化公司的愿景是成为产业智慧化的领先者 各位投资者好欢迎参加宝信软件2024年度暨2025年第一季度业绩说明会非常荣幸能够在此与各位分享我们公司的最新业绩和未来发展规划在过去的2024年里公司底力奋进文件发展在各个业务条件都取得了一定的进展感谢各位股东对公司的支持和信任 智慧产业化的创新者员工和企业共同发展的示范者公司的核心价值观是沉浸、创新、绿色、协同公司的核心能力主要体现在以下四个方面首先是独实的国家战略推进能力作为央企旗下信息高科技公司及国产软件提供商公司深入践行国家战略 ...

未经合法授权严禁录音转发及相关解读涉嫌违反上述批评的我们将保留追究法律责任的权利感谢您给予的理解和配合谢谢呃各位领导晚上好呃然后我是动物机械的分析师田荣天啊然后也是非常感谢各位领导在这么晚的时间来啊就是收听我们对于通用自动化包括人形机器人的一个年报和一报总结 啊那么呃我这边就不多说直接开始讲我们最核心的一个观点啊那么呃首先先讲一下整体通用速冻化的一个情况那么呃结论就是说整体我们观察到的现在通用速冻化整体板块还是处在注底啊顶级度注底回升的一个阶段那么呃如果从业绩端来看的话大家可以看一下我们这边列的这个公司的话就足及集成道具的一个数据啊 那么我们可以发现了24年整体啊这些板块除了住宿机以外的整体的一个业绩相对来说是比较差的啊收入端虽然龙头企业他通过自己的一个这个份额提升啊他能够维持住这个收入端的一个增长啊但其实整个24年尤其是从二季度以来这个价格战的行业价格战的一个现象还是非常明显的所以我们可以看到虽然收入端是还是维持维持着一个个位数的增长啊但利润端的基本上都是一个呃显著的一个下滑那么这个趋势呢在这个二五QE啊就是有所改善 那么首先还是看一下这个通话的一个中高频数据啊大家简单过一下那么我们可以看到其实整个三月份其 ...