中化新网讯 6月20日，以"AI赋能，驱动油气产业数智跃迁"为主题的2025海南油气行业发展交流会在海 口举行，活动汇聚海南省油气行业和相关领域的行业学者和企业代表，共同探讨数智技术与油气产业融 合发展。 "AI作为石化行业数智化升级的重要赋能技术，正加速向石化行业新材料研发、炼化生产、安全环保、 设备管理、经营管理等各业务领域融合。"石化盈科智能制造板块专家高瑞建议，石化企业在AI探索、 试点和推广应用过程中，应结合自身的企业规模、业务需求、数据基础、IT基础设施能力和投资预算等 方面，围绕"能力—效率—成本"进行统筹考虑，系统谋划AI大、小模型的部署和应用方向，与石化工艺 和装备的深度融合，更好推动企业数智化升级。 华为油气行业人才发展解决方案专家陈浩泉在《数字化人才转型实践经验分享》中系统介绍了华为人才 发展理念、数字化人才培养实践以及油气行业人才培养实践案例。他表示，数智化人才队伍建设是数智 化战略落地的重要保障力量，需要面向管理人才、业务人才、技术人才开展体系化培养。面向不确定性 场景，企业需要通过训战结合的模式，探索业务新模式，打造数智化人才特种兵队伍，孵化企业数智化 转型落地应用的战略能力。 华 ...

2025.06. 25 内需消费或有潜力，但资金更关注落地细节。流动性适度宽松格局不改，指数难有深度调整。宽货币 +稳财政结构，利好市场局部轮动，半导体、军工、固态电池等低位科技机会相对较多。 深圳高平聚能资本基金经理谢爱民认为，六月底开始，随着中报预告陆续披露，市场将迎来新的业绩 预期，估值有望随增长而提升。哪些行业、哪些领域能够超预期表现，将成为点燃市场情绪的关键。 推荐阅读 盘面上，军工股掀涨停潮；大金融概念走强，券商、金融科技方向领涨；固态电池、算力题材涨幅靠 前。油气、IP经济、白酒、医药板块调整。 | 板块名称 | 涨幅量 | 主力金额 | 板块名称 | 涨幅备 | 主力金额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 兵装重组概念 | +8.76% | +9.63 7. | 油气开采及服务 | -3.21% | -1.60 Z. | | 多元金融 | +4.93% | +13.01亿 | 可燃冰 | -1.78% | -1.08 Z | | 军工装备 | +4.83% | +34.26 7. | 影视院线 | -1.75% | -3.66 Z | | 国产 ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant rally, with the ChiNext Index rising by 1.34%, driven by strong performances in the military and diversified financial sectors [1] - Northbound capital saw a substantial inflow of 8.1 billion yuan, indicating increased foreign interest in A-shares [1] External Market Influence - U.S. stock markets rose over 1%, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increasing by 3.31%, positively impacting A-shares [3] - The easing of tensions in the Middle East and a 6% drop in international oil prices contributed to a more favorable market environment [3] Technical Analysis - The ChiNext Index broke through the critical resistance level of 2050 points, indicating a strong upward momentum [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index showed potential to challenge the 3450-point mark, contingent on volume support [3] Capital Flow - Northbound funds were actively purchasing, with over 4 billion yuan each in both the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock connects, reflecting foreign optimism towards A-shares [4] - Domestic capital showed a net outflow overall, but focused on military, financial, and solid-state battery sectors [4] Sector Performance - The military sector saw significant gains, with over ten stocks hitting the daily limit, supported by a 7.2% increase in defense budgets and geopolitical risk hedging [4] - The financial sector's surge was attributed to favorable policies announced at the Lujiazui Forum, including the establishment of a digital RMB international operation center in Shanghai [4] - The solid-state battery sector is gaining traction, with companies like Xiangtan Electrochemical achieving five consecutive trading limits, driven by advancements in technology and upcoming production milestones [5] Underperforming Sectors - The oil and gas extraction sector faced declines, with companies like Zhun Oil Co. hitting the daily limit down, linked to the drop in international oil prices [6] - The port shipping and film industry are also experiencing adjustments due to economic cycles and market capital flow [6] - The liquor sector remains sluggish, with prices for premium products like Moutai dropping significantly due to seasonal consumption declines and industry de-financialization [6] Investment Strategy - For long-term investors, the military and financial sectors present ongoing opportunities, particularly in military stocks supported by policy and earnings expectations [6] - Caution is advised in the solid-state battery sector due to high short-term volatility, emphasizing the need to identify companies with genuine technological breakthroughs [6] - The ChiNext Index's ability to maintain above 2100 points could lead to a challenge of 2200 points, with a focus on technology and new energy sectors [6]

本文节选自彭博终端NSNSY0TTBDWRGG1。如您还不是终端用户，您可在文末" 阅读原文 "联系我们预约产品演示。 彭博行业研究 年中展望：亚太油气生产商 （彭博行业研究）——观点：亚洲油气生产商下半年或将面临油价大幅波动的局面。OPEC+增 产、美国页岩油出口以及经济体间的关税博弈，这些都对石油的长期需求和定价构成威胁，但 中东地缘政治紧张局势升级可能使原油短期内的风险溢价扩大。这些因素的综合作用意味着， 油价可能在下半年上探每桶90美元，但长期来看，需求下滑的长期阴影可能导致油价回落至每 桶40美元的低点。截至6月10日，MSCI亚太能源板块的市净率为1.1倍，与10年平均水平相 当，表明投资者尚未充分考虑油价的上行空间。 长按或扫描二维码 阅读完整报告 " 精彩内容节选 以色列与伊朗冲突令亚洲石油和天然气市场面临动荡 1月1日至6月13日，亚洲油气指数的表现跑输股市大盘，原因是全球贸易和工业活动因美国关税而 放缓，导致石油需求前景黯淡。然而，6月亚洲石油板块表现的落后程度有所收窄，反映出投资者 对以色列和伊朗冲突及其可能引发的供应中断和下半年油价上涨的担忧日益加剧。 亚洲能源板块表现的落后程度或将收 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed a positive trend in the morning session, with the ChiNext index rising over 1%, driven by strong performances in the military industry sector [1] Market Performance - All three major A-share indices rose in the morning, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.28%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.64%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.34% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeded 920 billion [1] Sector Performance - The military industry sector led the market gains, indicating strong investor interest [1] - Financial sectors, including securities and banking, also performed well, contributing to market stability [1] - The stablecoin concept saw a pre-lunch surge, reflecting growing interest in digital currencies [1] - The oil and gas extraction sector experienced a continuous decline, with Huai Oil shares hitting the daily limit down [1] - The port and shipping sector showed weak performance, indicating potential challenges in that area [1]

Core Insights - The "Deep Sea No. 1" gas field is China's most challenging deep-water gas field, characterized by the deepest operational water depth, highest formation temperature and pressure, and significant exploration and development difficulties [1] Industry Development - China's deep-water oil and gas engineering capabilities have significantly improved in recent years, achieving a transition from shallow to ultra-deep water operations [1] - The equipment technology has reached a world-class advanced level, indicating a strong competitive position in the global market [1] Project Specifications - The second phase of the "Deep Sea No. 1" project features a maximum operational water depth of nearly 1000 meters, with the highest formation temperature reaching 138 degrees Celsius and the highest pressure exceeding 69 MPa [1] - The total designed well depth exceeds 60,000 meters, and the main production facilities span a geographical distance of over 170 kilometers, making it the deepest and most extensive deep-water gas field developed independently by China [1] - The project faces extreme challenges due to the combination of "deep water, deep layers, high temperature, and high pressure" [1]

Group 1: Market Performance - The NASDAQ, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average changed by 0.21%, -0.15%, and 0.02% respectively, while the NASDAQ China Technology Index fell 1.26% and the Hang Seng Index dropped 1.52% from 20250616 - 20250622 [2] - Most A - share sectors declined, with the banking sector leading the gain. The wind All - A Index changed - 1.07%, and among 30 CITIC industries, only 4 rose and 26 fell, with the banking sector having a weekly gain of over 3% [3] - Interest - rate bond prices rose slightly and the yield curve shifted downward. The 10 - year Treasury bond futures rose 0.12%, and the yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond active bond fell 0.44 BP to 1.6396% [4] - The US Treasury bond yield decreased and the curve shifted downward. The 10 - year US Treasury bond yield dropped 3 BP to 4.38% as of June 20, 2025 [7] - The US dollar appreciated and the gold price fell. The US dollar index increased 0.63%, and the London gold spot price dropped 1.95% to $3,368.25 per ounce [8][9] Group 2: Market Liquidity and Policy - The capital price was divided, and the central bank's open - market operations had a net injection of 102.1 billion yuan from 20250616 - 20250622 [5] - The bond market leverage level increased, with the 5 - day average of inter - bank pledged repurchase volume rising from 7.95 trillion yuan on June 13 to 8.32 trillion yuan on June 20, 2025 [6] - The Fed's June FOMC meeting did not cut interest rates, maintaining the rate in the 4.25 - 4.50% range. The median forecast for the 2025 interest rate is 3.9%, equivalent to two rate cuts [10] - The loose monetary policy at the Lujiazui Forum did not materialize. The central bank governor announced eight financial opening - up measures but no specific monetary policy operations [11] Group 3: Geopolitical Situation - The conflict between Israel and Iran may continue, which could affect the improvement of market risk preference [12] - The US attacked Iranian nuclear facilities on June 21, 2025. The conflict may be limitedly escalated, and its duration may be extended [13][14] Group 4: Investment Outlook - The report is optimistic about the oil and gas and banking sectors in A - shares, as well as opportunities in the bond market and gold. A - shares are at a relatively high level in the shock range, and the yield of domestic interest - rate bonds has limited decline [15][16]

Core Viewpoint - OPEC+ is resuming production increases, putting pressure on oil supply, while US oil production growth remains limited, suggesting global oil prices may stabilize within a mid-range [1] Investment Opportunities - Five major investment themes are recommended: 1. Low-volatility dividend-leading oil and gas state-owned enterprises 2. Large refining companies and other chemical sectors showing signs of recovery 3. Companies with overseas production bases 4. Sectors benefiting from supply-demand improvements 5. Emerging demand in high-growth potential new materials industry [1] Capital Expenditure Insights - Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and ongoing projects in the large chemical sector are projected to decline from 984.8 billion to 897.1 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 8.9% year-on-year, indicating a significant reduction in supply pressure and potential for industry recovery [1] Chemical Industry Profitability - The profitability of oil-based olefins is currently at a low point due to high oil prices, with ethane-based ethylene having a cost advantage of approximately 2000-2500 yuan/ton over oil-based and coal-based ethylene [3] Sector-Specific Opportunities - Certain chemical sub-sectors are showing signs of improvement, such as: - Pesticides: Prices may enter a recovery phase as supply stabilizes and seasonal demand returns - Refrigerants: A pricing cycle may begin following quota implementation - Civil explosives: Expected to benefit from national strategies like the Western Development [4] Globalization and Resource Opportunities - In the context of geopolitical instability, Chinese chemical companies with overseas bases may gain strategic advantages, while limited supply of quality mineral resources and rising extraction costs could push prices higher [5]

港股走强，香港恒生指数开盘涨0.62%，恒生科技指数涨0.9%。截至发稿，恒指涨幅扩大至0.9%，恒生科技指数涨超1.2%。港股半导体板块走强。 券商股拉升，国盛金控（002670）开盘后垂直涨停。港股国泰君安国际直线拉升，盘中大涨超80%。 6月25日，三大指数开盘涨跌不一，沪指低开0.04%，深证成指高开0.22%，创业板指高开0.44%。截至发稿，沪指翻红，创业板指涨幅扩大至逾1%。 无人驾驶概念活跃 无人驾驶概念盘初活跃，瑞玛精密（002976）、永安行（603776）、浙江世宝（002703）涨停，万马科技（300698）、兴民智通（002355）跟涨。 中信建投（601066）指出，近期L4自动驾驶行业催化不断，特斯拉于6月22日在美国推出基于FSD的Robotaxi试运营服务，Robovan龙头九识、新石器和白 犀牛订单加速放量，L4自动驾驶行业今年迎来拐点。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生指数 | 24395.15 | 218.08 | 0.90% | | 恒生科技 | 5366.31 | 68.35 | 1.29% ...

Group 1 - The A-share oil and gas extraction sector continues to show weakness, with companies like Beiken Energy and Huai Oil Co. hitting the daily limit down [1] - Tongyuan Petroleum experienced a decline of over 7%, while other stocks such as Zhongman Petroleum and Intercontinental Oil & Gas also followed the downward trend [1]