AI 春季攻势展望 20151223 为什么认为 2026 年的海外算力板块具有投资价值？ 预计 2026 年海外算力板块将有显著增长，相关上市公司的利润平均增长率可 能达到 150%。例如，中际旭创、新易盛、盛弘科技、东山精密等公司在光模 块等领域有望实现 200%甚至 300%的增速。这些公司的估值普遍在 15 倍到 20 倍之间，非常便宜。展望 2027 年，这些公司的估值可能进一步降低至 7 倍 光通信行业未来几年将高速发展，2026-2027 年 1.6T 光模块需求量预 计达 6,000 万只左右，即使 800G 价格下降，整体行业增速仍可维持 50%-60%。硅光、LPO 等新技术将打开市场空间。 国产大模型如 Minimax、智谱具有全球竞争力，个性化助手方案将推动 存储与算力需求增长，未来两年应重点关注其在全球竞争中的表现。 到 10 倍，同时保持高增长。因此，该板块值得高度关注。 光纤光缆行业未来的发展趋势如何？ 光纤光缆行业近期已经开始涨价，这反映了 AI 需求启动后带动整体需求上升的 趋势。目前供给略微过剩，但预计半年后将出现供不应求的情况，从而导致价 格大幅上涨。因此，虽然短期内业绩 ...

聚焦内容新供给，把握 AI 新动能——传媒互联网行业 2026 年度投资策略 20151223 摘要 游戏行业在 2025 年经历政策转向和基本面修复，预计 2026 年业绩持 续性将得到验证，交易范式将从周期股转向 PEG 等于一，生命周期更长 的细分赛道将提升整体业绩持续性。 AI 应用在传媒行业前景广阔，中国 CSP 大厂有望在 2026 年复制海外路 径，看好增速快且利润丰厚的 AI 漫剧以及不受模型及应用冲击影响的 AI 加广告。 影视行业政策迎来 180 度逆转，各项边际放宽措施逐步落地，优质内容 供给将带动需求增长，预计 2026 年底至 2027 年初影视板块将迎来 EPS 与 PE 双升过程。 AI 是一个具有 5 到 10 年长周期的赛道，漫剧市场规模接近千亿，各大 平台给予政策支持和流量扶持，工具侧成本相对可控，成为高速增长且 各环节都能盈利的细分赛道。 AI 加广告是大模型变现的重要方式之一，Meta 和谷歌通过生成式 AI 技 术提升 ECPM 并延长用户沉淀时间，推动广告增速上移，国内互联网企 业也在验证这一趋势。 Q&A 2026 年的投资策略有哪些主要方向？ 2026 年的投资 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of a "new normal" in A-share cash dividends, highlighting an increase in quarterly cash dividends and multiple distributions within a year, which reflects a shift in the market towards enhancing investor returns [1][2]. Group 1: Increase in Quarterly Cash Dividends - As of December 23, 2025, the number of companies in the A-share market that conducted cash dividends in the third quarter reached 270, with expectations for further growth [3]. - The trend of quarterly cash dividends has been increasing over recent years, with a significant rise noted since 2024 [3]. - In 2019, fewer than 10 companies paid cash dividends in the third quarter, but this number grew to 12 in 2019, 21 in 2020 and 2021, 30 in 2022, and doubled to 60 in 2023, with projections to exceed 300 in 2024 [3]. Group 2: Generosity in Dividend Payments - Many listed companies have shown substantial generosity in their third-quarter cash dividends, with companies like G-better announcing a cash dividend of 6.00 yuan per share, totaling approximately 431 million yuan [4]. - Several companies reported cash dividend yields exceeding 2% for the third quarter of 2025 [4]. Group 3: Increase in Frequency of Dividends - The number of companies conducting multiple cash dividends within a year has also significantly increased, indicating a developing ecosystem for more frequent distributions [6]. - As of 2025, several companies have already executed two or more cash dividends, with examples including Yuyin Co. and 37 Interactive Entertainment, both of which have announced multiple distributions in 2025 [6]. Group 4: Impact on Market Ecology - Analysts believe that the increase in cash dividends will fundamentally change the A-share market's previous focus on "heavy financing, light returns," optimizing the market ecology and promoting balanced development in investment and financing [8]. - The enhancement of cash dividends is expected to reduce speculative trading and encourage long-term value investment, creating a virtuous cycle of financing, development, and returns [8]. - Increased cash dividends are seen as a sign of good cash flow and asset quality in companies, potentially serving as a benchmark for assessing corporate health [9].

Core Insights - The China Audio-Video and Digital Publishing Association's Game Committee announced the 2025 Top Ten Game Awards, with Mu Tong recognized as an outstanding game operation enterprise [1][3] - Mu Tong's flagship product, "Mobile Legends: Bang Bang," has been operating for 9 years, with global registered players exceeding 1.5 billion and monthly active users surpassing 110 million by the end of 2024 [1] - Mu Tong has launched several other games, including "Mobile Legends: Adventure," "Tide Watcher," "Magic Chess: Go Go," "Silver and Crimson," and "Clockwork Mobilization," diversifying its offerings across various genres [1] Company Achievements - Mu Tong received the 2025 Top Ten Game Awards for outstanding game operation enterprise [3] - The company was nominated for the 2025 Top Ten Game Awards as an excellent "going out" game enterprise [1] - The game "Silver and Crimson" received nominations for outstanding game music design and outstanding game art design in the 2025 Top Ten Game Awards [1]

Core Viewpoint - The "Annual Innovation Award" was awarded to 37 Interactive Entertainment (002555.SZ) during the "Technology Empowerment · Capital Breakthrough" online sharing session held by Gelonghui, recognizing its significant contributions to innovation in the capital market [1] Group 1 - The "Annual Innovation Award" aims to honor companies that demonstrate breakthrough and innovative capabilities in the capital market [1] - Innovation is highlighted as the core competitive advantage for companies, necessitating advancements in technology research and development, products, and business models [1] - Awarded companies are selected based on multiple dimensions of innovation, including breadth and depth, and are committed to exploring cutting-edge technologies and paving new development paths [1]

Core Insights - Ding Shenghao, a prominent figure in the gaming industry, transitioned from miHoYo to establish Youyi Technology, focusing on developing an AI narrative engine for games [6][8][28] - The narrative engine aims to enhance storytelling in games, allowing for more dynamic and player-responsive narratives compared to traditional linear storytelling methods [33][40] - Youyi Technology's first game demo, "Yingge," showcases the potential of this new narrative approach, emphasizing player agency and interaction [28][34] Company Background - Ding Shenghao's background includes significant achievements at miHoYo, where he demonstrated exceptional technical skills despite initially having a high school education [3][6] - After leaving miHoYo in 2023, he secured funding to create Youyi Technology, which has since developed its first game demo [6][28] - The company is located in the Caohejing incubation base, collaborating with several independent studios [6] Technology and Innovation - The AI narrative engine developed by Youyi Technology utilizes "storylets," allowing for a more flexible narrative structure that adapts to player choices and actions [33][40] - This approach contrasts with traditional narrative methods, which often lead to "narrative dissonance" when player actions conflict with the intended story [34][40] - The engine is designed to facilitate collaboration among multiple writers, enabling them to create interconnected narratives that can be dynamically adjusted by AI [40][42] Market Context - The gaming industry is projected to surpass $200 billion in global revenue by 2024, yet many companies still struggle with efficient narrative integration in gameplay [27][28] - The current market lacks robust tools for narrative design, often leading to inefficient and disjointed storytelling processes [27][28] - Youyi Technology aims to fill this gap by providing a comprehensive toolset for narrative creation, potentially revolutionizing how stories are crafted in games [28][40] Future Prospects - The narrative engine is expected to be publicly available by mid-2024, allowing more creators to experiment with its capabilities [42] - Youyi Technology envisions itself as a technology company in the long run, focusing on the intersection of AI and game development [42][44] - The company is committed to continuous development and adaptation, believing that the essence of gaming lies beyond mere industrialization [44]

Core Insights - The "Top 100 Mini Game Companies in China 2025" list was released, highlighting significant growth in the mini game sector, with a projected revenue increase of 40% year-on-year in the first half of 2023 [1][9] - The mini game market is expected to become highly competitive by 2026, especially after a new agreement between Apple and Tencent regarding a 15% commission on payments within WeChat mini games [1] Company Highlights - 37 Interactive Entertainment ranked first in the list, attributed to its ability to adapt to industry changes and continuously refine its positioning [2][5] - The year 2023 marked a breakthrough for 37 Interactive, with successful game launches like "Seeking the Dao" and "Soul Chapter," which solidified its competitive edge in the mini game market [4] - 37 Interactive has a strong product matrix with 14 games listed in the top 100, showcasing its capability as a "hit-making machine" [4][12] Competitor Analysis - Second place was taken by Dream Dragon Path, known for its popular game "Shoot the Zombie," with five games listed in the top 100 [6] - BoKe Technology emerged as a dark horse, jumping from 15th to 3rd place, indicating a successful year with multiple products entering the top ranks [7][8] - Tencent, ranked 7th, focuses on adapting its classic games into mini game formats, achieving notable success despite a smaller number of releases [8] Market Trends - The mini game market in Guangdong is projected to generate significant revenue, with expectations of reaching 283.61 billion RMB in 2025, accounting for 80.85% of the national revenue [9] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with a notable concentration of top companies in Guangdong and Shenzhen, indicating a robust regional advantage in the mini game sector [9]

Core Viewpoint - The "Golden Award" annual excellence company selection by Gelonghui recognized 37 Interactive Entertainment (002555.SZ) as the "Annual Outstanding New Quality Productive Enterprise" for its significant contributions to the development of new quality productivity [1] Group 1 - The "Annual Outstanding New Quality Productive Enterprise" award aims to honor companies that excel in promoting the development of new quality productivity [1] - New quality productivity emphasizes the enhancement of total factor productivity, with such companies often pursuing specialized, refined, and distinctive development paths [1] - These enterprises are considered important forces in driving economic transformation and upgrading [1]

Core Viewpoint - The gaming sector experienced a decline of 0.92% on December 24, with Kaiying Network leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.53% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.88% [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The gaming sector's main stocks showed mixed performance, with Youzu Network closing at 12.57, up by 6.44%, while Kaiying Network closed at 21.81, down by 4.09% [1][2]. - The total trading volume for the gaming sector was significant, with Youzu Network achieving a transaction amount of 748 million yuan, while Kaiying Network had a transaction amount of 1.818 billion yuan [1][2]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The gaming sector saw a net outflow of 941 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 674 million yuan [2][3]. - Specific stocks like Giant Network had a main fund net inflow of 53.18 million yuan, while Youzu Network experienced a net outflow of 59.87 million yuan from retail investors [3]. Group 3: ETF Performance - The gaming ETF (product code: 159869) tracking the China Animation and Gaming Index increased by 6.08% over the past five days, with a net inflow of 200 million yuan [5].

编者荐语： 《智能手机新法》 ，将于2025年12月18日在日本正式施行。 日经Gaming是2025年7月创刊的"以商业视点出发的游戏媒体"。日经BP利用在经营、技术、消费、营销 各领域培养的采访力、信息发布力，从商业角度出发，发布游戏及其周边产业的最新动向、商业模式。 以下文章来源于日经Gaming ，作者佐野正弘 日经Gaming . 商业视角的日本游戏媒体。日经BP旗下。 对提供智能手机操作系统等基础软件的平台运营商进行规制的所谓 该法律将对日本国内智能手机游戏的未来产生深远影响。本期日经Gaming将聚焦于影响最大的应用商 店相关制度，分析手机新法给游戏App发行商带来的变化。 引自日本公正交易委员会《手机软件竞争促进法》概要 出处：日本公正交易委员会 2025年12月18日，一部将对日本IT行业整体产生重大影响的法律正式生效。 这部法律名为《关于促进 智能手机特定软件相关竞争的法律》，俗称"智能手机新法"。 该法律主要针对提供智能手机所必需的"特定软件"（如操作系统、网络浏览器、搜索引擎、应用商店 等）并达到一定规模的企业，规定了禁止行为和应采取的措施。欧盟已先行实施了治理此类平台运营商 的《数字 ...