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平安证券:26年2月利率债月报:震荡格局下的结构性机会-20260130
Ping An Securities· 2026-01-30 05:50
1. Report Industry Investment Rating The document does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The domestic bond market sentiment has improved with the weakening of the US dollar and the sharp rise of precious metals. In January, the yield of the 10Y bond showed a trend of first rising and then falling, with the 5Y - 7Y varieties favored by allocation investors showing a significant decline [2]. - The calendar effect of the bond market around the Spring Festival is not obvious, and the direction depends on the capital market and fundamental expectations. In February, bond market volatility is likely to increase, and there are potential risks both overseas and domestically. From the perspective of supply and demand, the pressure on the liability side of banks is not large, and the supply in February is expected to increase but the pressure may be limited. Other institutions such as insurance and wealth management may still have the ability to allocate, while small - scale banks among the trading investors may face some pressure, but funds with light positions may start to gradually deploy [3]. - The 10Y Treasury bond is still in the range of 1.80% - 1.90% since November 2025, and it is expected to remain so in February. Attention should be paid to structural opportunities, such as short - term gaming of ultra - long - term spread compression when the 10 - year Treasury yield approaches 1.80%, focusing on the carry trade opportunities of medium - and short - term credit bonds, especially financial bonds, and seizing the convex points on the yield curve [4]. 3. Summary by Directory PART1: The weakening of the US dollar and the sharp rise of precious metals have led to an improvement in the domestic bond market sentiment Overseas - In January, Hassett was likely to be out of the race for the Fed chair, leading to a downward revision of the expected interest rate cut within the year and an adjustment in US Treasury bonds. The 10 - year US Treasury yield first rose and then fell, and the term spread first flattened and then rebounded [7][8]. - Major asset classes followed Trump's trade policies. The US dollar weakened, and precious metals and industrial metals rose. Gold prices exceeded 5000 points, and the US stock market fluctuated [11][13]. Domestic - Due to the cross - year period and tax payment period in January, the capital market tightened marginally, and the bond market leverage ratio dropped to around the median. However, the central bank actively injected over one trillion yuan of long - term liquidity [16]. - The historic bullish start of the stock market in January suppressed the bond market, but later the bond market sentiment improved. The 10Y bond yield first rose and then fell, with the 5Y - 7Y varieties favored by allocation investors showing a decline [20][21]. - In terms of institutional behavior: - Large - scale banks reduced their bond - allocation scale but increased the duration, mainly increasing their allocation of 5 - 10Y Treasury bonds [25]. - Insurance companies increased their bond - allocation scale in January but slightly reduced the duration, mainly increasing their allocation of inter - bank certificates of deposit [31][33]. - Small and medium - sized banks mainly allocated inter - bank certificates of deposit, with a relatively conservative trading style [38]. - Funds reduced their positions and mainly allocated credit bonds [41]. - Wealth management products' bond - allocation scale in January was in line with the seasonal pattern, mainly increasing their allocation of short - term policy - financial bonds within 1 year [48][51]. PART2: Outlook for the bond market around the Spring Festival - The calendar effect of the bond market around the Spring Festival is not obvious, and the direction depends on the capital market and fundamental expectations. However, bond market volatility tends to increase in February. The factors leading to increased volatility in February in previous years include domestic liquidity tightening, economic recovery expectations, and improved risk appetite, as well as the upward risk of US Treasury yields overseas [59][64]. - Current potential risks include overseas short - term inflation risks, better - than - expected AI performance in US stocks, and ongoing trade and geopolitical frictions; domestic potential disturbances include January's credit and inflation data and the resurgence of risk appetite in the equity market [64]. - From the supply - demand perspective, the pressure on the liability side of banks is not large, and the supply in February is expected to increase but the pressure may be limited. Other institutions such as insurance and wealth management may still have the ability to allocate, while small - scale banks among the trading investors may face some pressure, but funds with light positions may start to gradually deploy [3][72]. PART3: Bond market strategy for February 2026 - The 10Y Treasury bond is still in the range of 1.80% - 1.90% since November 2025, and it is expected to remain so in February. Bullish investors need aggregate stimuli such as reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts to break through the range downward, while bearish investors need scenarios such as improved risk appetite, better - than - expected economic data, and renewed pressure on the liability side of banks [4]. - Structural opportunities include: - When the 10 - year Treasury yield approaches the lower limit of 1.80%, short - term gaming of ultra - long - term spread compression may be more cost - effective, but the timing needs to be well - grasped [4][77]. - Focus on the carry trade opportunities of medium - and short - term credit bonds, especially financial bonds. Currently, the carry trade space for 1 - 3Y credit bonds is about 30BP, and the supply of credit bonds in February may decline year - on - year [80]. - Seize the convex points on the yield curve, such as 20Y local bonds, 10Y Export - Import Bank bonds, and 5Y China Development Bank bonds [84].
了解证券账户多元功能|筑牢投资合规防线
申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部· 2026-01-30 02:31
筑军投资合规历线 近期A股市场活跃度攀升,不少新投资者通过线上渠道开户入场。 数投资者对证券账户的认知,仍局限于"买卖股票"这一基础功能 未全面了解其多元化的金融服务属性。事实上,证券账户是专业的织 财富管理工具,可适配不同风险偏好的理财需求。 投资者若仅将证券账户用作股票交易,难免会忽略其多元价值。为帮助 家打破认知边界,充分发挥账户的财富管理作用,我们将逐一 学账户的十大核心功能,同时同步明确各功能的开通条件、适, 合规要点,让大家在读懂功能的同时,做好风 手卖股票 在二级市场买卖流通股,是大家最熟悉的功 能。 打新股 北交所:无需市值,但需全额预缴资金(现 金申购) 打新债 申购新股需满足一定条件: 沪市深市申购前20个交易日(含申购日)日 均持有沪市股票市值≥1万元; 创业板新股申购需单独开通权限,权限开通 需满足: 2 (1) 申请权限开通前20个交易日证券 账户及资金账户内的资产日均不低于人 民币10万元(不包括通过融资融券融入 的资金和证券); 2 (2) 参与证券交易24个月以上: ८ (3) 有较强的险承受能力和风险控制 能力。普通投资者险承受能力测评结果 为C3(稳健型)(含)以上; 2 ...
2026年1月IPO中介机构排名(A股)
梧桐树下V· 2026-01-30 01:56
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - In January 2026, the number of new companies listed on the A-share market decreased by 25% year-on-year, with a total of 9 new listings, while the net fundraising amount increased by 33.79% to 8.425 billion yuan compared to the same period last year [1]. Group 1: IPO Performance - A total of 8 underwriting institutions were involved in the IPO business for the 9 new listed companies in January 2026 [2]. - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) ranked first with 2 IPOs, while 7 other securities firms, including Shenwan Hongyuan, Guotou Securities, Dongwu Securities, Dongxing Securities, CITIC Securities, Guojin Securities, and Guotai Junan, each handled 1 IPO [3][4]. Group 2: Legal Services - Six law firms provided legal services for the 9 new listed companies' IPOs in January 2026 [5]. - Shanghai Jintiancheng, Beijing Zhonglun, and Beijing Kangda ranked jointly first, each with 2 IPOs, while Beijing King & Wood Mallesons, Guohao (Shanghai), and Beijing Deheng each handled 1 IPO [6][7]. Group 3: Audit Services - Six accounting firms provided auditing services for the 9 new listed companies' IPOs in January 2026 [8]. - Rongcheng ranked first with 3 IPOs, followed by Zhonghui with 2 IPOs, and Xinyong Zhonghe, Lixin, Tianjian, and Zhongxinghua each handled 1 IPO [9][10].
方正证券股份有限公司2025年年度业绩预增公告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-01-29 19:47
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 408,000万元,同比增长75%到85%;预计归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益的净利润350,000万 元到377,000万元,同比增长25%到35%。 一、本期业绩预告情况 (一)业绩预告期间 证券代码:601901 证券简称: 方正证券 公告编号:2026-001 方正证券股份有限公司2025年年度业绩预增公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: ● 本期业绩预告的适用情形:实现盈利,且净利润与上年同期相比上升 50%以上。 ● 公司预计2025年实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润386,000万元到 三、本期业绩预增的主要原因 2025年1月1日至2025年12月31日 (二)业绩预告情况 1、经财务部门初步测算,预计2025年实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润386,000万元到408,000万元,与 上年同期相比将增加165,260万元到187,260万元,同比增长75%到85%。 2、经财务部门初步测算,预计2025 ...
INVESTOR NOTICE: Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP Investigates Claims on Behalf of Investors of Smart Digital
Prnewswire· 2026-01-29 14:10
Core Viewpoint - The complaint against Smart Digital Media (SDM) alleges violations of federal securities laws, including false statements and failure to disclose significant risks related to market manipulation and fraudulent activities [2]. Group 1: Allegations and Violations - The complaint claims that SDM was involved in a market manipulation scheme that included misinformation on social media and impersonation of financial professionals [2]. - It is alleged that insiders used offshore accounts to facilitate the dumping of shares during a price inflation campaign [2]. - SDM's public statements failed to mention the risks of fraudulent trading and market manipulation, which could lead to a suspension of trading by the SEC and NASDAQ [2]. - The positive statements made by the defendants regarding SDM's business and prospects were misleading and lacked a reasonable basis [2]. Group 2: Stock Price Impact and Trading Suspension - On September 26, 2025, SDM's stock price dropped by 86.4%, closing at $1.85 per share, following a trading halt by NASDAQ due to volatility [3]. - The SEC suspended trading in SDM securities from September 29, 2025, to October 10, 2025, due to potential manipulation linked to social media recommendations [3]. - After the SEC suspension, NASDAQ also suspended trading in SDM securities pending further information, with no clear end to the suspension [3]. Group 3: Legal Proceedings - A court-appointed lead plaintiff will represent the interests of the class in the litigation, and any member of the class can move to serve as lead plaintiff [4]. - The law firm Faruqi & Faruqi encourages individuals with information about SDM's conduct to come forward, including whistleblowers and former employees [5].
国泰海通|固收:债券ETF规模跃升之后:业绩归因、策略优化与未来挑战——2025年回顾与2026年展望
国泰海通证券研究· 2026-01-29 14:05
Core Insights - The bond ETF market is expected to experience significant growth in both scale and trading volume by the end of 2025, with total market size reaching 829 billion yuan, an increase of over 655 billion yuan from 2024, representing a 377% year-on-year growth [1] - The average weekly trading volume of bond ETFs is projected to exceed 150 billion yuan, marking a 311% increase compared to the previous year [1] Group 1: Market Performance - By the end of 2025, the sizes of credit bond ETFs, interest rate bond ETFs, and convertible bond ETFs are expected to be 615.2 billion yuan, 152.8 billion yuan, and 61 billion yuan respectively [1] - The pricing dynamics of various bond ETFs show that government bond ETFs are mostly at a premium, while local government bond ETFs are generally at a discount, and credit bond ETFs have shifted from premium to discount [1] - The introduction of benchmark market-making credit bond ETFs has led to increased demand, pushing secondary market prices higher, but a bearish bond market and the launch of sci-tech bond ETFs have caused a shift to discount territory [1] Group 2: Redemption Trends - The redemption patterns of interest rate bond ETFs exhibit a "government bond vs. policy financial bond seesaw" effect, with government bond ETFs and policy financial bond ETFs showing negative correlation in monthly net subscriptions [2] - The launch of sci-tech bond ETFs has rapidly diverted funds from benchmark market-making ETFs, leading to a significant reduction in subscription activity for the latter [2] - Convertible bond ETFs experienced net outflows for most months in 2025, with a shift to net subscriptions during periods of heightened equity sentiment in July and August [2] Group 3: Performance Outlook - The overall performance of interest rate bond ETFs in 2025 is expected to be poor, with maximum drawdowns larger than in 2024, and short-duration products outperforming long-duration ones [2] - The annualized returns of three existing credit bond ETF products are expected to decline, but the drop is smaller compared to interest rate bond ETFs [2] - The first batch of sci-tech bond ETFs is expected to have an optimal annualized return of 0.75% and a Calmar ratio of 1.24, while the second batch is projected to achieve an annualized return of 1.82% and a Calmar ratio of 8.02 [2] Group 4: Future Strategies - In 2026, the introduction of multi-asset ETFs is anticipated, with a focus on maintaining a constant stock-bond ratio, primarily with over 70% in bonds [3] - The performance of bond ETFs is likely to align with the overall bond market, with increasing congestion in sci-tech bonds and a preference for short-duration products [3] - A shift towards more diversified trading strategies is expected, including internal rotation within bond ETFs and arbitrage opportunities between credit ETFs and individual bonds [3]
华泰证券(06886)完成发行25亿元短期公司债券
智通财经网· 2026-01-29 13:00
智通财经APP讯,华泰证券(06886)公布,华泰证券股份有限公司 2026 年面向专业投资者公开发行短期 公司债券(第一期)发行工作已于 2026 年 1 月 29 日结束。本期债券最终发行规模为 25 亿元,票面利率 为 1.67%,认购倍数为 4.18 倍。 ...
华安证券:2025年净利润21.04亿元,同比增长41.64%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 10:51
华安证券公告,2025年营业总收入为50.64亿元,同比增长30.94%;净利润为21.04亿元,同比增长 41.64%。2025年,国内资本市场向新向优发展,韧性和活力明显增强,A股主要指数均实现上涨。公司 坚持稳中求进工作总基调,加大主营业务打基础、拓市场、调结构、谋创新力度,较好地把握了市场机 遇,财富管理、证券投资、投资银行等业务实现较快增长。 ...
US SEC Confirms Tokenized Securities Are Subject to Federal Laws
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-29 09:14
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is weighing in on a newly emerging asset class known as tokenized securities. The move follows joint guidance from the SEC’s Division of Investment Management, Division of Corporation Finance, and Division of Trading and Markets. US SEC Says Tokenized Securities Fall Under Its Umbrella The SEC stated that tokenized assets will fall under its regulatory oversight and will be subject to similar disclosure, registration, and compliance requirements. In its ...
X @CoinMarketCap
CoinMarketCap· 2026-01-29 08:55
🇻🇳 VietnamLicensing opened Jan. 20, requiring $380M capital, 65% institutional ownership, 49% foreign cap. SSI Securities, VIX, Military Bank, Techcombank, VPBank announced readiness. No approvals yet. Five-year pilot bans fiat-backed stablecoins. Framework 600x stricter than Hong Kong's $640K requirement.8/9 ...