以下文章来源于财经图解 ，作者止于月影 财经图解 . 财经大事早知道，关注东方财富股票！ 7 东方财富 权威 · 考生 · 及时 · 互动 12車加拿收 - KX K2 近日,央行公布了 7 月金融统计数据,其中 M1、M2 分别同 比增长 5.6% 和 8.8%，二者剪刀差进一步收窄。 Q 图解财经 东方财富APP - M1-M2(%) 沪深300指数 6000 20 15 5000 10 4000 5 3000 2000 1000 -10 -15 物 东方财富 图解财经 数据来源: 东方财富 Choice 数据 制图时间: 8月15日 2015年牛市之前，M1-M2剪刀差从2014年10月的-9.4%逐渐收窄，到2015年5月牛市巅峰收窄到-6.1%。 目前，M1-M2剪刀差已经从2024年9月的-10.1%收窄到今年7月的-3.2%。而股票市场亦有表现，截至今日收盘，沪深300指数报收4202点，已超去年9月末 的4017点，上证指数更是突破去年10月8日高点。 仅供投资者参考，不构成投资建议 免责声明 文章转载自公众号"财经图解"，以上观点来自相关机构，不代表天天基金的观点，不对观点 的准确性和完整性 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the positive trends in China's financial data as of July, indicating a stable growth in social financing and improvements in credit structure, driven by effective financial policies and increased support for the real economy [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Data Overview - As of July, the year-on-year growth rates for social financing scale, broad money M2, and RMB loans were 9%, 8.8%, and 6.9% respectively, reflecting a stable growth in social financing and an optimized credit structure [1]. - The narrowing of the M1-M2 gap to 3.2 percentage points, down 11 percentage points from last September's peak, indicates enhanced liquidity and economic vitality, with M1 growing by 5.6% year-on-year [1][2]. Group 2: Factors Influencing M1 Growth - The recent increase in M1 is attributed to a lower base effect from previous negative growth and a trend of fund activation, driven by accelerated fiscal spending and improved efficiency in fund allocation [2]. - The active performance of the capital market and rising equity asset prices have encouraged entities to convert some fixed deposits into demand deposits for more flexible market participation [2]. Group 3: Social Financing and Credit Growth - The growth rate of social financing has outpaced that of RMB loans by 2.1 percentage points, primarily due to ongoing fiscal policy efforts, with government bond net financing significantly contributing to social financing [3]. - The RMB loan balance grew by 6.9% year-on-year as of July, with seasonal factors and regulatory measures impacting credit demand, particularly in the traditional off-peak season for credit issuance [3]. Group 4: Structural Changes in Financing - The diversification of corporate financing channels has made traditional loan metrics less reflective of financial support effectiveness, necessitating a broader analysis using indicators like social financing and M2 [4]. - The ongoing optimization of structural monetary policy tools has effectively enhanced financial support for key sectors, with significant growth in loans for technology, green initiatives, and small and micro enterprises [4][5]. Group 5: Policy Measures to Boost Consumption - Recent policies aimed at subsidizing personal consumption and service industry loans are designed to lower financing costs and direct credit towards key areas, thereby stimulating consumption and service sector recovery [5]. - The implementation of interest subsidy policies is expected to improve consumer repayment capacity and enhance the profitability of service industry entities, promoting credit demand and job creation [5].

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China reported that in the first seven months of the year, RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan, and the total social financing scale increased by 23.99 trillion yuan, which is 5.12 trillion yuan more than the same period last year, indicating strong financial support for the real economy [1] Group 1: Loan and Financing Data - In July, the new social financing maintained a year-on-year increase, supported by government bond financing, despite fluctuations in new credit data due to credit overdraft and hidden debt replacement [1][2] - The increase in loans is subject to seasonal characteristics, with July typically being a "small credit month," and historical data shows that manufacturing and construction PMI averages are lower in July compared to June [2] - The growth of social financing in July was primarily driven by government special bonds and corporate bond financing, with new government bonds amounting to 1.24 trillion yuan, an increase of 555.9 billion yuan year-on-year [2] Group 2: Monetary Supply and Economic Outlook - The difference in growth rates between narrow money supply (M1) and broad money supply (M2) narrowed to 3.2%, indicating improved liquidity and efficiency in the financial system [3] - It is expected that after short-term disturbances subside, new credit in August will return to positive values, and social financing will remain at a high level, with M2 continuing to grow rapidly and M1's growth rate accelerating [3] - The monetary policy is anticipated to maintain a supportive stance in the second half of the year, focusing on reducing financing costs and increasing credit availability to stimulate domestic demand [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the acceleration of M2 growth and the sustained high level of social financing, indicating strong financial support for the real economy and effective coordination of monetary and fiscal policies [1][5][10] - As of the end of July 2025, the broad money (M2) balance reached 329.94 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8%, reflecting a 0.5 percentage point increase from the previous month and a 2.5 percentage point increase from the same period last year [5] - The total social financing stock was 431.26 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9%, indicating a robust financing environment for the real economy [5][10] Group 2 - The increase in social financing is primarily attributed to a favorable issuance pace of government bonds, with over 17 trillion yuan issued from January to July 2025, averaging a net increase of 1.27 trillion yuan per month [5][12] - Direct financing's share in the total social financing stock is gradually rising, reflecting an ongoing optimization of the financing structure in China [7][11] - The M1-M2 gap has narrowed to 3.2%, indicating an improvement in the liquidity and efficiency of fund circulation, which aligns with the trend of economic activity recovery [7][10] Group 3 - The RMB loan balance reached 268.51 trillion yuan by the end of July, with a year-on-year growth of 6.9%, although this growth rate has slowed down due to seasonal factors [8][10] - The balance of inclusive small and micro loans was 35.05 trillion yuan, growing by 11.8% year-on-year, while medium to long-term loans in the manufacturing sector reached 14.79 trillion yuan, with an 8.5% year-on-year growth [10][12] - The overall downward trend in bond issuance rates in July has stimulated corporate bond financing demand, with an increase of 755 billion yuan year-on-year [6][12] Group 4 - The article emphasizes the importance of observing broader indicators such as social financing scale and M2, rather than solely focusing on loan balances, to better understand the financial support for the real economy [9][11] - The shift towards direct financing and the diversification of corporate financing channels are seen as beneficial for meeting the varied financing needs of enterprises [7][11] - The ongoing efforts to improve local debt management and promote financing platform reforms are expected to enhance the efficiency of fund utilization and support economic activity [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The financial statistics for July 2025 indicate a continued strong support from the financial sector to the real economy, with significant year-on-year growth in social financing scale, broad money (M2), and RMB loans, all exceeding economic growth rates [1][4]. Group 1: Financial Statistics - As of the end of July 2025, the social financing scale reached 431.26 trillion yuan, growing by 9% year-on-year, which is 0.1 percentage points higher than the previous month and 0.8 percentage points higher than the same period last year [4]. - The broad money (M2) balance was 329.94 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.8%, while the narrow money (M1) balance was 111.06 trillion yuan, growing by 5.6% [3]. - RMB loan balance stood at 268.51 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [7]. Group 2: Economic Context - The GDP growth rate for the first half of the year was 5.3%, which is an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year, supporting the reasonable growth of financial totals [1]. - The government has adopted a more proactive fiscal policy, with a significant increase in the issuance of government bonds, which has positively influenced the social financing scale and monetary credit [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The M1-M2 growth rate difference has narrowed to 3.2 percentage points, indicating improved fund circulation efficiency and market confidence due to effective policies [3]. - The financing cost for loans has decreased, with new corporate loan rates around 3.2% and new personal housing loan rates around 3.1%, reflecting a more favorable lending environment [9]. Group 4: Sectoral Insights - The balance of inclusive small and micro loans reached 35.05 trillion yuan, growing by 11.8%, while medium to long-term loans for the manufacturing sector increased by 8.5% to 14.79 trillion yuan, both outpacing overall loan growth [9]. - Financial institutions are shifting focus from scale and growth to service quality and precision, enhancing the effectiveness of financial support to the real economy [8].

Core Viewpoint - The financial statistics for July 2025 indicate a robust support from the financial sector to the real economy, with significant year-on-year growth in social financing, broad money (M2), and RMB loans, reflecting a stable economic development trend in China [1][4][5]. Group 1: Financial Indicators - As of the end of July 2025, the social financing scale reached 431.26 trillion yuan, growing by 9% year-on-year, which is 0.1 percentage points higher than the previous month and 0.8 percentage points higher than the same period last year [4][5]. - The broad money (M2) balance was 329.94 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.8%, while the narrow money (M1) balance was 111.06 trillion yuan, growing by 5.6% [4][5]. - The M1-M2 growth rate difference narrowed to 3.2 percentage points, indicating improved liquidity and efficiency in fund circulation [4][6]. Group 2: Loan Growth and Characteristics - The RMB loan balance stood at 268.51 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.9%, reflecting a stable support for the real economy despite seasonal fluctuations in loan demand [7][9]. - The growth in loans is influenced by structural economic transformations, increased direct financing, and the efficiency of special bonds, with estimates suggesting that debt replacement and risk management measures have significantly impacted loan growth [7][8]. - The balance of inclusive small and micro loans reached 35.05 trillion yuan, growing by 11.8%, while medium to long-term loans for the manufacturing sector increased by 8.5% [8]. Group 3: Financial Environment and Policy - The current monetary policy remains moderately accommodative, providing a suitable financial environment for the real economy, with a focus on social financing scale and M2 growth aligning with economic growth targets [5][6]. - The comprehensive financing cost has decreased, with new corporate loan rates around 3.2% and personal housing loan rates at approximately 3.1%, reflecting a more favorable lending environment [9].

Core Insights - The central viewpoint of the articles indicates that China's financial support for the real economy remains robust, with significant growth in social financing, broad money supply (M2), and RMB loans, all outpacing economic growth [1][3]. Financial Statistics - As of the end of July 2025, the social financing scale reached 431.26 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9%, which is 0.1 percentage points higher than the previous month and 0.8 percentage points higher than the same period last year [2]. - The broad money supply (M2) stood at 329.94 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.8%, while the narrow money supply (M1) was 111.06 trillion yuan, growing by 5.6% [2]. - RMB loans amounted to 268.51 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [4]. Economic Context - China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year, which supports the reasonable growth of financial totals [1]. - The narrowing gap between M1 and M2 growth rates indicates improved liquidity and efficiency in fund circulation, reflecting the effectiveness of policies aimed at stabilizing market expectations [2][3]. Loan Dynamics - The growth in loans is influenced by seasonal characteristics, with July typically being a month of lower credit activity due to various factors, including the end of the first half of the year [4][5]. - The shift towards bond financing for infrastructure projects is noted, with many governments and enterprises preferring this method over traditional bank loans [5][6]. Financial Quality and Cost - The quality of financial support is emphasized, with a focus on providing precise and efficient services rather than merely increasing loan volumes [6]. - The average interest rates for new corporate loans and personal housing loans have decreased to approximately 3.2% and 3.1%, respectively, reflecting a more favorable borrowing environment [7].

Core Insights - The central bank's financial data report for July 2025 indicates a significant increase in monetary supply and social financing, reflecting improved market confidence and economic activity [1] Monetary Supply - As of the end of July, M2 balance reached 329.94 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points from the previous month [1] - M1 balance stood at 111.06 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 5.6%, up by 1 percentage point from last month [1] - M0 balance experienced a year-on-year growth of 11.8% [1] Social Financing - The cumulative increase in social financing for the first seven months of 2025 was 23.99 trillion yuan, which is 5.12 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [1] - In July, the social financing increment was 1.13 trillion yuan, exceeding last year's figure by 361.3 billion yuan [1] Loans and Deposits - During the first seven months, new RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan [1] - New RMB deposits rose by 18.44 trillion yuan [1] Efficiency of Fund Circulation - The difference in growth rates between M1 and M2 was 3.2 percentage points, significantly narrowing compared to the peak in September of the previous year, indicating improved fund circulation efficiency [1] - Experts suggest that the narrowing "scissors difference" between M1 and M2 reflects enhanced liquidity and market confidence, aligning with the trend of economic recovery [1]

今日，中国人民银行公布7月金融数据。数据显示，2025年7月末，广义货币（M2）余额329.94万亿 元，同比增长8.8%。狭义货币（M1）余额111.06万亿元，同比增长5.6%。前七个月净投放资金4651亿 元。 社融方面，2025年7月末社会融资规模存量为431.26万亿元，同比增长9%。其中，对实体经济发放的人 民币贷款余额为264.79万亿元，同比增长6.8%。2025年1-7月，社会融资规模增量累计为23.99万亿元， 比上年同期多5.12万亿元。 "7月是传统信贷小月，主要是因为6月末是银行上半年业务考核关键时点，为了追求更好的数据表现， 银行往往倾向于推动信贷增量前移。"权威专家对智通财经记者表示，把6、7月贷款数据合并起来看较 为合理。 "贷款数据存在季节特征，对月度贷款读数要综合分析。"权威专家举例，比如，年初开门红的时候贷款 就会增长较旺，而7月则是明显的信贷小月，历史上每年7月制造业、建筑业PMI平均水平分别比6月低 1.2个、1.1个百分点。" "新发放贷款是一个流量指标，也值得关注。"上述专家认为，新发放贷款反映的是当期银行实际发放和 回收的情况。如果一段时期内，贷款发放量很大，同 ...

5月15日，大盘未能保住昨日站上3400点的战果，截至收盘，报收3380.82点，全天下跌0.68%， 沪深两市有3800多家个股下跌。 文/曹萌 就4月M2增速上行，中国民生银行首席经济学家温彬表示，去年同期整顿存款"手工补息"，金融数 据"挤水分"较为明显，企业活期存款向非银体系转移，当月M2新增-3.6万亿元，同比多减近3万亿 元，形成较低的基数效应。此外，今年以来，债券市场双向波动，没有出现去年的单边上涨态势，存 款也未出现去年大量"搬家"情况，4月对公和居民存款同比少减超1万亿元，对M2同比增速也形成一 种正向上拉作用。后续随着低基数效应的递减，未来M2同比增速会恢复到今年前几个月的正常增长 水平。 同时，需要注意的是4月M1-M2剪刀差出现扩大，而该指标直接反映的是社会经济活力。进一步分 析，当M1增速小于M2增速时，普遍意味着市场上的"死钱"增多，人们更倾向于储蓄，而非投资和 消费，这便潜在预示着消费者和企业对未来缺乏信心。 4月M1-M2剪刀差负向增大暗示消费者与企业对未来经济信心不足扩大的同时，当 月信贷数据对这 一趋势也有相应佐证。具体来看，4月企（事）业单位贷款增加6100亿元，同比少增 ...