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东吴证券:首予遇见小面(02408)“买入”评级 精准定位成就中式面食黑马
智通财经网· 2025-12-10 01:57
Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities initiates coverage on "Yujian Xiaomian" (02408) with a "Buy" rating, highlighting its rapid expansion and clear growth strategy in the Chinese noodle restaurant sector [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Yujian Xiaomian is positioned as a leading brand in the Chinese noodle restaurant market, focusing on Sichuan-Chongqing flavors and standardized operations [1] - The company plans to increase its store count to 465 by November 2025, with over 100 new stores in preparation, indicating a strong expansion momentum [1] - Revenue is projected to grow from 418 million yuan in 2022 to 1.154 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 66% [1] Group 2: Market Position and Performance - In 2024, Yujian Xiaomian is expected to hold a market share of 0.5% in the Chinese noodle restaurant sector and 0.14% in the broader Chinese fast food market [1] - The company’s adjusted net profit is forecasted to reach 63 million yuan in 2024, with a net profit margin of 5%, indicating a turning point in profitability [1] - The proportion of directly operated restaurants is expected to increase from 65% in 2022 to 78% in 2024, showcasing a shift towards a more controlled operational model [1] Group 3: Industry Insights - The chain fast food market is projected to reach 12.6 trillion yuan by 2025, with a CAGR of 11% from 2019 to 2024, while the global Chinese cuisine market is expected to reach 8.1 trillion yuan [2] - The Chinese noodle restaurant segment is anticipated to grow to 286.6 billion yuan in 2024, with Yujian Xiaomian's transaction volume expected to reach 1.348 billion yuan, reflecting a CAGR of 58.6% from 2022 to 2024 [2] - Key success factors for Yujian Xiaomian include a focus on differentiated high-potential markets, early adoption of standardization and digitalization, and a successful shopping mall store model [2] Group 4: Expansion Strategy - The company aims to expand its store count to approximately 500 by the end of 2025, with plans to surpass 680 stores by 2026 and 900 by 2027 [3] - Expansion strategies include entering new cities, densifying existing locations in major cities, and increasing presence in Hong Kong and overseas markets [3]
遇见小面上市即破发 仍处加速扩张期
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-12-09 13:41
中经记者 刘旺 北京报道 近日,遇见小面(02408.HK)在港交所主板正式挂牌,成为"中式面馆第一股"。不过,公司股价开盘 即低开近29%,最终收盘报5.08港元/股,较发行价7.04港元下跌27.84%,对应总市值约36.1亿港元。 实际上,在此前,遇见小面引入了包括高瓴资本旗下HHLR Advisors、海底捞新加坡公司等基石投资 者,这些机构合计认购2200万美元股份,约占募集资金总额的25%。 首日破发 12月5日,遇见小面在香港交易所上市。上市首日破发,股价跌27.84%,收盘报5.08港元/股,总市值为 36.1亿港元。 据披露,公司全球共发行9736.45万股H股,占发行后总股本的13.7%,发行价定为每股7.04港元,总发 行规模约6.85亿港元。其中香港公开发售973.65万股,实现425.97倍的超额认购;国际发售8762.8万股。 在本次发行中,遇见小面基石投资者分别为高瓴旗下HHLRA、国泰君安证券、君宜香港基金、 Shengying Investmen、Zeta Fund及海底捞新加坡,一共认购2200万美元。 对于遇见小面的上市破发,业内人士的关注点更多在其业务上。凌雁管理咨询首 ...
12月5日港股挂牌!遇见小面冲刺上市,争当中式面馆第一股
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 09:22
Core Viewpoint - The successful listing of "Yujian Xiaomian" on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange marks a significant milestone for the company and reflects the rise of the Chinese fast-food sector, particularly in the noodle restaurant segment [1][13]. Group 1: IPO and Market Reception - On its first day of trading, "Yujian Xiaomian" achieved a remarkable oversubscription rate of 426 times, with approximately 97.36 million shares issued at an offering price of HKD 7.04, raising a total of HKD 685 million [3]. - The public offering received over 60,000 valid applications, and the international placement was oversubscribed by five times, indicating strong market enthusiasm for the stock [3]. - Notable investors, including Hillhouse Capital and Haidilao, participated in the cornerstone subscription, contributing a total of USD 22 million, which accounted for 25% of the total fundraising [3][5]. Group 2: Business Performance and Expansion - "Yujian Xiaomian" has demonstrated impressive growth, with revenue increasing from RMB 418 million in 2022 to RMB 1.154 billion in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 66.2% [9][11]. - The company plans to expand its store count from 465 to over 500 by the end of the year, with 115 new stores in preparation, showcasing a strategic and rapid expansion approach [7][11]. - The brand's successful entry into the Hong Kong market, achieving a 1050.57% year-on-year increase in transaction volume, highlights its ability to adapt and thrive in competitive environments [7]. Group 3: Operational Model and Future Strategy - The company's standardized operational model has been key to its success, ensuring consistent taste and quality across different locations, which is crucial for customer retention [11]. - Future plans include opening 520 to 610 new stores between 2026 and 2028, focusing on lower-tier cities and international markets, indicating a clear growth strategy [11][13]. - Funds raised from the IPO will be allocated to store expansion, digital system upgrades, brand building, and upstream investments, all aimed at supporting sustainable growth [13].
遇见小面上市首日市值蒸发近三成,高瓴等明星机构浮亏超千万
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 02:54
12月5日,港交所的铜锣为"中式面馆第一股"敲响——遇见小面正式挂牌上市。 它几乎具备了所有"爆款IPO"要素,七轮融资百倍回报,高瓴等明星机构联合站台基石投资者,公开发售获426倍超额认购,与此形成强烈反差的是上市首 日破发下跌27.84%的资本市场冷遇。 承载着资本"中国麦当劳"叙事故事的中式快餐标杆上市即遇冷,是资本市场的偶然波动,还是估值泡沫的回调?亦或是对"千店一面"的标准化中式快餐的资 本化路径的质疑? 招股书显示,截至2025年上半年,遇见小面拥有465家门店,其中广州148家、深圳96家,"粤港"两地合计321家,约占总门店数七成。 从店铺的分布来看,广东市场是绝对的大本营,但在小面发源地"川渝"市场仍是空白,这也引发对遇见小面全国化能力的质疑。 在深圳,遇见小面是Monica工作日中午经常光顾的餐厅之一,"这里无论点的是什么菜品,它都能在10分钟内给你上齐,非常适合我这种午休时间紧张的'牛 马'。" 遇见小面并不避讳谈到预制菜,有店员表示"所有都是预制的,(饮品)就是用粉冲的。"从面,到汤,再到小食,统统都是预制品。 上市前夕,有媒体报道遇见小面客服称"加盟只要准备剪刀和微波炉即可,明厨会被 ...
“中式面馆第一股”上市遇冷:遇见小面首日破发近30% 高速扩张难掩模式隐忧
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 10:38
Core Viewpoint - The debut of "Yujian Xiaomian," known as the first Chinese noodle restaurant stock, on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was marked by a significant drop in share price, reflecting market skepticism about the company's fundamentals and industry prospects [1][7]. Financial Performance - On its first trading day, Yujian Xiaomian opened at 5 HKD per share, down 28.98% from the issue price of 7.04 HKD, closing at 5.08 HKD, a total decline of 27.84%, resulting in a market capitalization of 3.61 billion HKD [1][7]. - The company reported a decrease in average daily sales per store for both direct-operated and franchised restaurants, with declines of 888 HKD and 1,035 HKD respectively in the first half of 2025 [1][8]. - The turnover rate for direct-operated and franchised restaurants fell from 3.8 and 3.6 in the first half of 2024 to 3.4 and 3.1 in the first half of 2025 [1][8]. Pricing Strategy - The company's strategy of "exchanging price for volume" has failed, as the average order value has consistently declined from 36.1 HKD in 2022 to 32.0 HKD in 2024, and further to 31.8 HKD (direct-operated) and 30.9 HKD (franchised) in the first half of 2025 [2][8]. - The market questions the sustainability of the company's approach to lowering menu prices to attract customers [2][8]. Industry Context - The Chinese noodle restaurant sector is experiencing a capital retreat, with many previously successful brands now facing growth challenges. In the past year, 241,600 new noodle restaurants opened, but the net increase was only 12,100, indicating a high industry elimination rate [2][8]. Business Model - Yujian Xiaomian's business model heavily relies on franchising, with 74.3% of its 374 stores being franchised, contrasting sharply with competitors like Xiangcunji, which operates over 99% of its stores as direct-operated [3][9]. - While franchising allows for rapid expansion, it also presents risks, including quality control issues, as evidenced by three franchised stores being penalized for quality problems in 2024 [4][10]. Expansion Plans - The company plans to aggressively expand, aiming to open approximately 150 to 180 new restaurants in 2026, 170 to 200 in 2027, and 200 to 230 in 2028, which could effectively double its current store count [5][10]. - However, the ongoing decline in same-store sales poses a significant challenge to this expansion strategy, with direct-operated and franchised same-store sales dropping by 3.1% and 2.9% respectively in the first half of 2025 [5][10]. Conclusion - The case of Yujian Xiaomian illustrates the difficulty of balancing traditional brand values with the demands of capital efficiency, providing valuable insights for the broader Chinese fast-food industry's path to capitalization [11].
IPO周报 | 摩尔线程成「国产GPU第一股」;遇见小面成「中式面馆第一股」
IPO早知道· 2025-12-07 12:26
Group 1: IPO Developments - Moer Thread officially listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board on December 5, 2025, under the stock code "688795," becoming the first full-function GPU company to enter the capital market in China [3][7] - Guangzhou Yujian Xiaomian Restaurant Co., Ltd. listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 5, 2025, under the stock code "2408," marking it as the first stock of a Chinese noodle restaurant [8][10] - HashKey Holdings Limited passed the hearing for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to become a comprehensive digital asset company [11][13] Group 2: Company Highlights - Moer Thread focuses on the independent research and design of full-function GPUs, integrating AI computing acceleration, graphics rendering, physical simulation, and scientific computing into a single chip, which enhances market adaptability and technological extensibility [4][5] - Yujian Xiaomian plans to open approximately 520 to 610 new restaurants over the next three years, aiming to exceed 500 total locations by the end of the current year [8][9] - HashKey is recognized as the largest regional onshore platform in Asia by trading volume and the largest on-chain service provider by staked assets [11][12] Group 3: Financial Performance - Moer Thread achieved a revenue of 702 million yuan in the first half of the year, nearly 1.6 times the projected full-year revenue for 2024, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 200% from 2022 to 2024 [6] - Yujian Xiaomian's total revenue from 2022 to 2024 was 418 million yuan, 800 million yuan, and 1.154 billion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate of 66.2% [9] - 51WORLD's revenue from 2022 to 2024 was 170 million yuan, 256 million yuan, and 287 million yuan, with a 63.6% increase in the first half of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023 [22][23]
一碗面撑起一个IPO
投中网· 2025-12-07 07:04
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the successful IPO of "Yujian Xiaomian," which has become the first Chinese-style noodle restaurant listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, achieving a market capitalization of over HKD 38 billion at its opening [6][11]. Company Overview - Founded in 2014 by Song Qi and his partners, Yujian Xiaomian has grown from a single restaurant to 440 locations in mainland China and 11 in Hong Kong, leveraging a standardized and data-driven operational model [9][10]. - The company has completed eight rounds of financing, with significant backing from investors such as Hillhouse Capital and Haidilao, leading to substantial returns for early investors [7][17]. Financial Performance - Yujian Xiaomian's revenue has tripled from 4.18 billion CNY in 2022 to 11.54 billion CNY in 2024, with a notable shift towards direct sales, which accounted for 86.7% of total revenue by 2024 [13][14]. - The company turned a profit in 2023, reporting a net profit of 607 million CNY, following a loss of 359.73 million CNY in 2022 [13]. Market Position and Competition - The Chinese noodle restaurant market is highly fragmented, with the top five players holding only 2.9% of the market share, leading to intense competition and price wars [15]. - Yujian Xiaomian has seen a decline in average order value from 36.1 CNY in 2022 to 32.0 CNY in 2024, indicating the impact of competitive pricing strategies [15]. Investment and Growth Strategy - The company employs a dual model of direct operation and franchising, which has facilitated rapid expansion, with 120 new stores opened in 2024 alone [14]. - Early investors, particularly angel investor Gu Dongsheng, have seen returns of nearly 130 times their initial investment, highlighting the potential for significant financial gains in the restaurant sector [16][19].
遇见小面上市即破发 ,中式面馆赛道突围难在哪?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-06 03:56
Core Viewpoint - The initial public offering (IPO) of "Yujian Xiaomian," the first listed Chinese noodle restaurant, faced a significant drop in stock price, opening at 5 HKD, down 28.98% from the issue price of 7.04 HKD, indicating a cooling market sentiment towards the restaurant sector [1][4][11]. Company Overview - Yujian Xiaomian began its journey in 2014 in Guangzhou, founded by three graduates from South China University of Technology, focusing on standardized management to support future expansion [4][6]. - As of November 2025, the company operates 465 restaurants across 22 cities and Hong Kong, with a rapid expansion from 170 locations in 2022 to 252 in 2023, and projected to exceed 360 by 2024 [6][8]. Financial Performance - Revenue growth has been notable, increasing from 418 million RMB in 2022 to 1.15 billion RMB in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 66.2% [8][15]. - The company turned a profit in 2023 with a net income of 45.91 million RMB, following a loss of 35.97 million RMB in 2022 [15]. Market Position - Yujian Xiaomian's products, particularly its Chongqing noodles, have achieved significant market recognition, ranking first in offline sales for three consecutive years from 2022 to 2024 [8][11]. - The company holds a 0.5% market share, making it the fourth largest operator in the Chinese noodle restaurant sector [8]. Challenges and Concerns - Despite rapid expansion, the sustainability of single-store profitability is under scrutiny, with average daily sales per store declining [9][11]. - The rising costs of raw materials, labor, and rent have pressured profit margins, with total costs exceeding 69% of revenue in the first half of 2025 [14][15]. Industry Context - The noodle restaurant sector has faced challenges due to increased competition and a soft consumer environment, leading to a cautious investment climate [11][12]. - The industry remains fragmented, with many small players, making standardization and scalability difficult [12][19]. Strategic Insights - Yujian Xiaomian aims to use 60% of its IPO proceeds to expand its restaurant network, planning to open 150 to 230 new locations annually over the next three years [11][17]. - The company emphasizes the importance of supply chain management and product innovation to enhance profitability and customer experience [17][19].
中式面馆的大浪,终于淘出“第一股”
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-05 14:13
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the listing of "Yujian Xiaomian," the first Chinese noodle restaurant stock on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, highlighting its rapid growth and the challenges faced by the industry as a whole [2][3][4]. Company Overview - Yujian Xiaomian was founded in 2014 and has expanded to nearly 500 stores across 22 cities in mainland China and Hong Kong, with plans to open 150 to 230 new stores annually from 2026 to 2028 [4]. - The company has achieved a revenue growth from RMB 418 million in 2022 to RMB 1.154 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 66.16% [2][4]. - In the first half of 2025, Yujian Xiaomian reported a revenue of RMB 703 million, a year-on-year increase of 33.8%, and an adjusted net profit of RMB 52.175 million, up 131.56% [2]. Industry Context - The Chinese noodle restaurant sector has experienced significant fluctuations since 2012, with many brands facing challenges such as over-reliance on capital and lack of profitability [3][6]. - The industry has seen a shift from rapid expansion to a more competitive environment, with many brands closing stores and facing financial difficulties since 2022 [6][10]. - Yujian Xiaomian stands out as one of the few brands achieving sustained profitability and expansion during this challenging period [6][10]. Competitive Strategy - Yujian Xiaomian differentiates itself by offering a diverse menu that includes not only traditional noodle dishes but also innovative products and other food categories, enhancing customer experience and increasing average spending [7]. - The company has established a strong standardization system, reducing labor costs by over 30% while maintaining product quality through centralized kitchen operations [7]. - The brand targets urban young consumers with a modern aesthetic and a pricing strategy that balances quality and affordability [7]. Future Challenges - The company faces ongoing challenges, including balancing the need for standardization with the demand for fresh, authentic flavors, as well as addressing consumer complaints about inconsistent taste [10][12]. - The noodle restaurant sector is also grappling with limited dining occasions, as most consumption occurs during lunch hours, which may hinder growth compared to other dining categories [10]. - As competition intensifies, Yujian Xiaomian must develop a robust membership system to enhance customer loyalty and mitigate rising customer acquisition costs [10][12].
遇见小面正式登陆港交所 未来三年预加速拓店
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-05 07:42
Core Viewpoint - Guangzhou Yujian Xiaomian Restaurant Co., Ltd. successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, becoming the first "Chinese noodle restaurant" stock in the market [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Yujian Xiaomian has grown into a representative brand in the modern Chinese noodle restaurant sector since its establishment in 2014, driven by unique brand positioning and continuous product innovation [1] - The company has developed a diversified product matrix, including specialty noodles, hot pot dishes, dumplings, rice sets, and snacks to meet diverse consumer needs [1] - According to Frost & Sullivan, Yujian Xiaomian's core products have ranked first in offline sales among Chinese chain restaurants for three consecutive years from 2022 to 2024 [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - From 2022 to 2024, Yujian Xiaomian's revenue increased from 418 million yuan to 1.154 billion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate of 66.2% [2] - In the first half of 2025, the company's adjusted net profit reached 52.175 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 131.56% [2] Group 3: Market Expansion - The company has rapidly expanded its store count from 133 in 2022 to 465, with 115 new stores in preparation, expecting to surpass 500 restaurants by 2025 [2] - Yujian Xiaomian has opened 14 stores in Hong Kong since its first store launch in 2024, with a year-on-year transaction growth of 1050.57% in the first half of 2025 [2] - The company is also advancing its international expansion, with its first store in Singapore expected to open in December 2023 [2] Group 4: Use of IPO Proceeds - The funds raised from the IPO will be used to expand the restaurant network, enhance market penetration, upgrade technology and digital systems, strengthen brand building and customer loyalty programs, and pursue strategic investments or acquisitions in the upstream food processing sector [3]