Core Insights - The article discusses the development trends of venture capital institutions in Shenzhen over the past year, particularly focusing on the impact of the new "National Nine Articles" implemented in 2024 on the fundraising, investment, and exit cycles of private equity and venture capital [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Trends - Shenzhen's private equity and venture capital funds have shown a significant increase in investments in "hard technology" sectors, with notable growth in aerospace and defense (up 25.46%), semiconductors (up 12.17%), and biotechnology (up 6.46%) [1][7]. - The total number of projects in the "hard technology" category has reached 10,900, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.71%, with a three-year average annual growth rate of 11.14% [7]. Group 2: Exit Performance - The number of exit projects for Shenzhen's private equity and venture capital funds reached 1,954 in 2024, marking a new three-year high and a year-on-year increase of 96.42% [2]. - The actual exit amount for 2024 was 588.31 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 70.28% compared to 2023 [2]. - Public market exits have also seen significant growth, with 331 projects exiting through this channel, a nearly 90% increase, and an actual exit amount of 222.41 billion yuan, up 104.50% [2][3]. Group 3: Funding Sources - The participation of long-term funds in Shenzhen's private equity and venture capital sector has increased, with the number of long-term fund investors rising by 16.74% to 2,381.06 billion yuan in 2024 [4]. - The number of guiding fund investors increased by 24.32% to 624, with a total investment of 909.47 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 14.11% [4]. Group 4: Fund Management Growth - As of the end of 2024, there were 801 private equity and venture capital fund managers in Shenzhen, managing a total of 3,429 funds with a combined scale of 4,103.42 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.13% in fund numbers and 1.13% in scale [6]. - The number of private equity and venture capital funds has increased by 165% since the end of 2018, with an average annual growth rate of 24.09% [6].

Core Viewpoint - The Shenzhen private equity and venture capital industry is experiencing a comprehensive recovery in fundraising, investment, and exit activities, driven by a favorable policy environment and a focus on early-stage, small, and hard technology investments [2][3]. Fundraising - In 2024, there has been a notable increase in medium- and long-term capital entering Shenzhen's private equity and venture capital funds, with the number of institutional investors rising to 17,110 and total contributions reaching 835.86 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 0.76% and 0.41% respectively [3]. - The participation of medium- and long-term funds has increased, with contributions from government funds, pension and social security funds, insurance funds, and bank funds totaling 238.11 billion yuan, a 16.74% increase from 2023 [3]. - Resources are increasingly concentrating among large institutions, with the top 10% of institutions managing approximately 74% of the total private equity and venture capital fund size in Shenzhen [3][4]. Investment - The industry has focused on "investing early, investing small, and investing in hard technology," with investments in seed and startup enterprises reaching 9,462 projects, a year-on-year increase of 4.28% [5]. - Investments in small and medium-sized enterprises have also increased, with 13,732 projects funded, reflecting a growth of 3.87% [5]. - Investment in high-tech enterprises has continued to lead, with 10,899 projects funded, a year-on-year increase of 5.71%, and an average annual growth rate of 11.14% over the past three years [5][6]. Exit - The exit channels for the Shenzhen private equity and venture capital industry have become increasingly accessible, with 1,954 exit projects in 2024, marking a three-year high, and actual exit amounts reaching 58.83 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 70.28% [7]. - The primary exit methods remain agreement transfers and corporate buybacks, with 1,369 projects exited through these means, totaling 33.84 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year increases of 107.11% and 81.25% respectively [7]. - The number of exits via public markets has also surged, with 331 projects exiting through IPOs and other means, amounting to 22.24 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 89.14% and 104.50% [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - The development of patient capital is crucial for adapting to the new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation, as well as for nurturing new productive forces [1] Group 1: Patient Capital and Market Development - Patient capital can provide continuous funding support for technological innovation and emerging industries, promoting a virtuous cycle in private equity and venture capital [4] - Suggestions to enhance patient capital include government-led investment funds to guide investments towards strategic emerging industries, reducing administrative interference, and optimizing incentive mechanisms [4][5] - Expanding funding sources by encouraging financial institutions to innovate products and services, and lowering entry barriers for long-term investments from insurance companies and pension funds [4][5] Group 2: Risk Management and Investment Focus - To focus capital on long-term projects, policy guidance and financial support are necessary, including tax incentives and special funds [6] - Establishing a robust risk management and evaluation system for new productive forces, ensuring scientific investment decisions [6][12] - Strengthening collaboration among government, banks, and insurance sectors to enhance market transparency and investor protection [6] Group 3: Government Investment Funds - Government investment funds face challenges such as fundraising difficulties and a lack of market-oriented operations, which affect their effectiveness [12] - Recommendations include relaxing restrictions on financial institutions participating in government funds and enhancing the market-oriented operation mechanism [12][13] - Establishing a dynamic evaluation mechanism to adjust investment strategies and ensure continuous support for new productive forces [11][13] Group 4: Monetary Policy Tools - The central bank's structural monetary policy tools have improved liquidity and market stability, but there is still room for optimization [15] - The establishment of a stabilization fund is deemed necessary to mitigate market volatility, especially in uncertain external environments [16] - The central bank should expand its macro-prudential and financial stability functions, introducing new financial tools to address systemic risks [17] Group 5: Coordination of Fiscal and Monetary Policies - The shift towards a balanced focus on investment and consumption will significantly impact macro fiscal and monetary policy [18] - Fiscal policies will aim to boost domestic demand, particularly consumption, while monetary policies will focus on reducing financing costs [18][19] - Enhanced coordination between fiscal and monetary policies is essential to maximize policy effectiveness and ensure timely execution [19]