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小米业绩创历史新高,不参与汽车价格战,全年将交付35万台小米汽车
21世纪经济报道· 2025-08-19 12:13
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group reported a record high revenue of RMB 115.96 billion for Q2, marking a 30.5% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of RMB 11.9 billion and an adjusted net profit of RMB 10.83 billion, up 75.4% year-on-year [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for Q2 reached RMB 115.96 billion, compared to RMB 88.89 billion in the same period last year, reflecting a 30.5% increase [2]. - Gross profit was RMB 26.10 billion, up 41.9% year-on-year [2]. - Operating profit surged to RMB 13.44 billion, a 128.2% increase from the previous year [2]. - The adjusted net profit of RMB 10.83 billion represents a 75.4% increase year-on-year [2]. Automotive Business - In Q2 2025, revenue from Xiaomi's smart electric vehicles and AI-related businesses was RMB 21.3 billion, with smart electric vehicle revenue at RMB 20.6 billion [3]. - The gross margin for the smart electric vehicle segment was 26.4%, but the segment incurred an operating loss of RMB 300 million [3]. - Xiaomi has invested over RMB 30 billion in automotive and innovative businesses from 2022 to the first half of 2025, leading to significant losses in new business segments [5]. Research and Development - Xiaomi's R&D expenditure in Q2 was RMB 7.8 billion, a 41.2% increase year-on-year, with a total of 22,641 R&D personnel, the highest in the company's history [6][7]. Smartphone and IoT Business - Revenue from the smartphone segment was RMB 45.5 billion, with a gross margin of 11.5%, and global smartphone shipments reached 42.4 million units, a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year [9]. - The IoT and lifestyle products segment achieved record revenue of RMB 38.7 billion, up 44.7% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 22.5%, an increase of 2.8 percentage points [9]. Stock Performance - As of August 19, Xiaomi's stock price closed at HKD 52.4, down 1.23%, with a total market capitalization of HKD 1.36 trillion, reflecting a nearly 14% decline from its recent high of HKD 61.45 on June 27 [11][12].
小米-2025 年第二季度预览 - 核心业务季节性利润率下降,评级中性Q225 preview_ seasonal margin decline expected for core business; reiterate Neutral
2025-08-11 02:58
Summary of Xiaomi's Q225 Preview and Key Insights Company Overview - **Company**: Xiaomi - **Industry**: Smartphone and Internet-of-Things (IoT) home-lifestyle company - **Mission**: To build high-quality products at reasonable prices, capping hardware net margin at 5% per year [14][15] Key Financial Metrics - **Q225 Smartphone Sell-Through**: 41 million units, up 0.5% YoY and 1.5% QoQ [2] - **Q225 Estimated Sell-In**: 42.4 million units, in line with sell-through due to lean channel inventory [2] - **Full Year Unit Growth Forecast**: 175 million units, slightly revised down from 176 million [2] - **Q225 Smartphone Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: Expected to be flat QoQ at 11.6% [2] Regional Performance - **China**: Sell-through grew 8% YoY, driven by subsidies and the 618 shopping festival [2] - **Europe and Rest of World (RoW)**: Recorded declines of -1% and -4% YoY, respectively, due to competition from Samsung and market share gains in emerging markets [2] AIoT Business Insights - **Q225 AIoT Sales Forecast**: RMB 36.6 billion, up 37% YoY; 2025E forecast at RMB 140.6 billion, up 35% YoY [3] - **Margin Expectations**: Seasonal decline expected due to 618 promotions, with a forecasted 3.7 percentage points QoQ decline from Q125's peak [3] - **Challenges**: Receding subsidy impacts and intensified domestic competition may suppress margin upside [3] Electric Vehicle (EV) Segment - **Q225 EV Deliveries**: 82,000 units, up 8% QoQ [4] - **Average Selling Price (ASP)**: Expected to rise to RMB 240,000, with a margin increase of 0.7% [4] - **Future Capacity**: Second EV plant ramp-up is critical for 2H25/2026 shipment forecasts, with expectations of 398,000 and 720,000 units in 2025 and 2026, respectively [4] Valuation and Price Target - **Revised Price Target**: Lowered from HK$62.0 to HK$60.0, maintaining a Neutral rating [5] - **Earnings Forecast Adjustments**: Q225 and 2025 earnings forecasts reduced by 10.4% and 5.5%, respectively [5] - **Valuation Methodology**: Sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) approach, with smartphone, AIoT, and internet segments valued at 22.5x 2026E PE [5] Profitability and Financial Metrics - **Revenue Projections**: Expected revenues for 2025E at RMB 483.4 billion, growing to RMB 929.7 billion by 2029E [6] - **Net Earnings**: Projected net earnings for 2025E at RMB 42.0 billion, increasing to RMB 92.2 billion by 2029E [6] - **Debt Management**: Net cash position expected to improve significantly by 2029E [6] Risks and Opportunities - **Downside Risks**: Include raw material price hikes, competition in the premium smartphone market, and potential declines in IoT demand as subsidies fade [15] - **Upside Risks**: Faster-than-expected adoption of edge-AI smartphones, earlier monetization of IoT products, and higher EV shipments could drive growth [16] Market Position - **Market Capitalization**: Approximately HK$1,348 billion (US$172 billion) [7] - **Free Float**: 59% of shares [7] - **Average Daily Volume**: 151,813 shares [7] Conclusion Xiaomi is navigating a complex landscape with mixed performance across its segments. While the smartphone and AIoT businesses show growth potential, challenges from competition and market dynamics necessitate careful monitoring of margins and capacity expansions, particularly in the EV sector. The revised price target reflects a cautious outlook amid these developments.
花旗:Xiaomi_1810HK_2Q25_Preview_A_Strong_Quarter_but_Largely_In-line-Xiaomi_1810HK
花旗· 2025-08-11 01:21
Investment Rating - The report maintains a Buy rating for Xiaomi shares, with a target price of HK$69, down from HK$73, reflecting a long-term growth thesis intact [5][11][28]. Core Insights - Xiaomi is expected to report strong 2Q25 results, with adjusted net profit projected at RMB 10.4 billion, representing a 68% year-over-year increase, despite a slight decline from the previous quarter [2][3]. - The company anticipates total revenue of RMB 114 billion for 2Q25, a 47% year-over-year increase, driven by robust IoT and EV sales [3][9]. - The smartphone segment is expected to remain flat year-over-year, with revenue of RMB 46.3 billion, while IoT revenue is projected to grow by 35% year-over-year to RMB 36 billion [3][8]. - The report highlights upcoming catalysts, including 3Q25 guidance, Phase 2 EV capacity ramp, and new product launches, which could positively impact the stock [11][28]. Revenue and Profitability - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at RMB 483.5 billion, with adjusted net income expected to reach RMB 44.5 billion, reflecting a 63.3% growth [4][11]. - The gross margin for the overall business is projected to be 22.6% in 2025, with smartphone gross margin narrowing to 11.9% due to competitive pressures [4][8]. - EV sales are expected to contribute approximately RMB 20.7 billion in revenue for 2Q25, with gross margin improving to 24% [9][11]. Market Position and Strategy - Xiaomi's market share in the global smartphone market is reported at 14.5%, with a slight increase in the Chinese market share to 15.1% [8]. - The company is focusing on expanding its IoT and EV segments, with a strong emphasis on product mix and pricing strategies to maintain competitiveness [2][9][28]. - The report indicates a positive outlook for Xiaomi's smartphone business, driven by subsidy-driven demand in China and normalized component costs [28][29].
研报掘金丨中金:下调小米目标价9%,维持“跑赢行业”评级
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-08 07:58
本文源自:金融界AI电报 中金发表报告,下调小米集团(1810.HK)目标价9%至70港元,对应2025及2026年经调整净利润市盈率 34.4倍及25.1倍,维持"跑赢行业"评级。 中金预期小米第二季经调整净利润同比增64.84%至101.79亿 元,营业额料升32.71%至1179.67亿元,预计手机收入跌1.6%至457.92亿元,考虑拉美等低毛利市场占 比提升及竞争因素,手机毛利率或将同比及环比下降0.6个百分点及0.9个百分点,至11.5%。 中金又预 计IoT收入升36%至363.94亿元,毛利率同比增3.3个百分点至23%,环比下降2.2个百分点,因618大促产 品价格下降及行业竞争加剧。互联网业务收入升11%至91.75亿元;毛利率跌至76%。 至于次季小米SU7 交付量料达8.1万辆,对应收入259.2亿元,毛利率环比升 1个百分点至24.2%。展望下半年随汽车工厂二 期产能释放,YU7量产速度加快,看好汽车交付量持续增长。 ...
小米集团-W(1810.HK):关注“反内卷”的影响
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-08 02:31
Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to see significant revenue growth in Q2 2025, driven by its automotive and IoT businesses, despite challenges in the smartphone segment due to rising storage prices [1][3]. Automotive Business - The company anticipates approximately 81,000 vehicle shipments in Q2 2025, generating revenue of 20.4 billion RMB, a 10% increase quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The gross margin for the automotive segment is expected to improve by 0.5 percentage points to 23.7% as production ramps up [2]. - The company projects total vehicle sales of 436,000 units for the full year 2025, benefiting from economies of scale [2]. - The recent government initiatives to promote high-quality development in the electric vehicle sector are expected to enhance long-term profitability for industry participants [2]. Smartphone, IoT, and Internet Business - The company's smartphone shipments in China are projected to reach approximately 10.4 million units in Q2 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.4% and an increase in market share from 14.1% to 15.1% [3]. - Smartphone revenue is expected to remain flat year-on-year, with gross margin potentially declining by 0.9 percentage points to 11.5% due to rising storage costs [3]. - The IoT business is forecasted to grow by 37% year-on-year in Q2 2025, with gross margin expected to remain above 22% [3]. - Internet business revenue is anticipated to grow by 15% year-on-year, maintaining a strong gross margin of around 75% [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 downwards by 0.9%, 1.6%, and 1.2% respectively, and net profit forecasts down by 1.3%, 1.7%, and 1.5% to 40.45 billion, 50.47 billion, and 62.29 billion RMB [3]. - The target price for the company is set at 67.8 HKD, down from 71.2 HKD, based on a sum-of-the-parts valuation method, corresponding to a 40 times PE ratio for 2025 [3].
XIAOMI(1810.HK)2Q25 PREVIEW:EXPECT STRONG EARNINGS BACKED BY IOT/EV MOMENTUM AND SOLID SMARTPHONE
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-08 02:31
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi is expected to report strong 2Q25 results with revenue and adjusted net profit growth of 32% and 66% YoY, respectively, driven by solid smartphone performance, strong EV demand, robust IoT growth, and stable gross profit margins across all segments [1] Group 1: Smartphone Performance - Xiaomi's global smartphone shipment for 2Q25 is reported at 42.4 million units, remaining flat YoY, while its market share stands at 15%, ranking No.3 globally [2] - In China, Xiaomi's smartphone shipment grew by 3% YoY, outperforming the overall market which declined by 4% YoY [2] - The average selling price (ASP) is expected to increase by 6% YoY in 2Q25 due to a higher mix of mid-to-low-end smartphone shipments [2] - Gross profit margin (GPM) for smartphones is estimated at 11.5%, impacted by BOM cost pressures and competition from Apple and Samsung [2] - Forecasted shipments for FY25-27E are 178 million, 190 million, and 200 million units, reflecting growth rates of 5%, 7%, and 5% YoY, respectively [2] Group 2: Smart EV Segment - The EV segment is expected to see strong demand with a backlog of orders and capacity ramp-up, estimating 81,000 shipments in 2Q25 with an ASP of RMB250,000, reflecting a 9% YoY increase [3] - For FY25E, the forecast for EV shipments is 396,000 units, exceeding the guidance of 350,000 units, supported by strong YU7 orders and rapid capacity growth [3] Group 3: IoT and Internet Services - IoT and Internet revenue is projected to grow by 36% and 10% YoY, reaching RMB36.4 billion and RMB9.1 billion in 2Q25E, driven by favorable China subsidies and seasonal demand [3] - The GPM for IoT and Internet is expected to slightly decline QoQ to 23% and 75% in 2Q25E, respectively, due to seasonality and product mix shifts [3]
港股异动丨小米一度跌超5%,大和预计Q2智能手机出货量或低于预期
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-07 03:37
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group's stock price fell over 5% to HKD 51.2, marking a new low since June 13, 2023, ahead of its Q2 2025 earnings announcement on August 19, 2023 [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecast - Daiwa forecasts Xiaomi's Q2 2025 smartphone shipments to be slightly below previous estimates, primarily due to a 25% year-on-year decline in the Indian market [1] - Despite achieving a historical high global market share of 15% in Q2 2025, this was at the cost of declining gross margins [1] - Total revenue for Q2 2025 is projected at RMB 112.6 billion, slightly below market expectations, while adjusted net profit is expected to be RMB 10.2 billion, in line with market expectations [1] Group 2: Adjustments and Ratings - Daiwa has revised down its IoT revenue forecast for the second half of 2025, reflecting changes in national subsidy policies [1] - Due to the downward revision of smartphone gross margin forecasts, Daiwa has lowered Xiaomi's earnings per share estimates for 2025-2027 by 2%-7% [1] - The target price has been adjusted from HKD 78 to HKD 72, based on an average P/E ratio of 36 times for 2025-2026, down from 38 times, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 3: Risks - Key risks include macroeconomic headwinds and slower-than-expected ramp-up in electric vehicle production capacity [1]
BeWhere Holdings Inc. and California Freight Drive Smarter Asset Tracking
Newsfile· 2025-07-22 12:30
Toronto, Ontario--(Newsfile Corp. - July 22, 2025) - BeWhere (TSXV: BEW) (OTCQB: BEWFF) ("BeWhere" or the "Company"), a leading provider of low-power IoT tracking solutions, is pleased to announce the release of a new case study featuring California Freight, a prominent U.S. logistics company specializing in the transport of dairy and other liquid food products. This new case study follows BeWhere's June spotlight on Emergency Medical Services (EMS) and highlights the growing adoption of scalable, real-time ...
7月港股金股:利好落空后的利好
Soochow Securities· 2025-07-01 08:27
Group 1 - The report indicates that the influx of funds into Hong Kong since May has not significantly boosted the stock market, as these funds have primarily flowed into deposits, bond trading, and other areas rather than equities, leading to a negative sentiment shift [1][2] - Investors who previously sold stocks are now considering re-entering the market, believing that a significant downturn in Hong Kong stocks is unlikely, which could create new incremental capital [2][3] - The report suggests that returning investors are likely to favor undervalued stocks rather than high-flying thematic stocks, focusing on those with lower price-to-earnings ratios [2] Group 2 - The report lists a selection of recommended stocks, including Tencent Holdings (market cap: 470.47 billion, 2025 EPS: 22.9), Xiaomi Group (market cap: 152.97 billion, 2025 EPS: 1.5), and others across various sectors [3][8] - Tencent Holdings is highlighted for its strong competitive position in gaming and advertising, with expected EPS growth driven by AI integration and a robust ecosystem [11][12] - Xiaomi Group is noted for its innovative automotive segment and strong performance in the smartphone market, with a focus on high-margin products and AI applications [19][20] - Sunny Optical Technology is recognized for its growth in the automotive sector and advancements in optical technology for smartphones, projecting significant revenue increases [27][28] - Anta Sports is expected to benefit from strong brand performance and strategic acquisitions, enhancing its market position [33][34] - Greentown Service is identified as a quality property management company with strong growth potential and high dividend yields [39][40] - Yuehai Investment is focusing on core water supply operations, with expectations for stable cash flow and high dividends following the divestment of non-core assets [44][45] - Jiufang Zhitu Holdings is positioned for growth in the online investment space, leveraging technology to enhance its service offerings [49][50] - Dashih Holdings is expanding its store network significantly, with a focus on delivery services and menu optimization [56][57] - Far East Pharmaceutical is projected to see rapid growth in its nuclear medicine segment, with several innovative products in the pipeline [62][63] - Haitian International is expected to benefit from domestic upgrades and international expansion, with a focus on high-end markets [68][69] Group 3 - Financial data for the recommended stocks shows projected revenues and net profits for 2025, with Tencent Holdings expected to generate 716.55 billion in revenue and 210.26 billion in net profit [75] - Xiaomi Group is projected to achieve 491.83 billion in revenue and 39.60 billion in net profit for 2025 [75] - Sunny Optical Technology is expected to generate 42.68 billion in revenue and 3.32 billion in net profit in 2025 [75] - Anta Sports is projected to achieve 78.17 billion in revenue and 13.23 billion in net profit for 2025 [75] - Greentown Service is expected to generate 19.98 billion in revenue and 898 million in net profit in 2025 [75] - Yuehai Investment is projected to achieve 18.54 billion in revenue and 4.27 billion in net profit for 2025 [75] - Jiufang Zhitu Holdings is expected to generate 3.58 billion in revenue and 1.29 billion in net profit in 2025 [75] - Dashih Holdings is projected to achieve 5.37 billion in revenue and 129 million in net profit for 2025 [75] - Far East Pharmaceutical is expected to generate 12.20 billion in revenue and 2.08 billion in net profit in 2025 [75] - Haitian International is projected to achieve 18.25 billion in revenue and 3.52 billion in net profit for 2025 [75]
Lantronix Named the 2025 Industrial IoT Company of the Year by Leading Market Research Firm CompassIntel
Globenewswire· 2025-06-24 11:00
Core Insights - Lantronix Inc. has been awarded the 2025 Industrial IoT Company of the Year by CompassIntel, recognizing its leadership and innovation in the IoT sector [1][2][3] Company Overview - Lantronix is a global leader in compute and connectivity IoT solutions, focusing on high-growth markets such as Smart Cities, Enterprise, and Transportation [5] - The company provides customizable solutions that enable AI Edge Intelligence, including Intelligent Substations infrastructure, Infotainment systems, and Video Surveillance [5] Industry Recognition - The CompassIntel Awards celebrate companies that demonstrate innovation, leadership, and excellence in the mobile, IoT, business tech, and emergency technology industries [2] - Winners are selected by a panel of industry experts, including press, editors, and analysts [2] Leadership Statements - The CEO of Lantronix expressed honor in receiving the award and emphasized the company's commitment to innovation and customer success through advanced IoT technologies [3] - The partnership with Qualcomm and other industry leaders is highlighted as a key factor in delivering groundbreaking IoT solutions [3]