Group 1: Profit Growth Analysis - Profit growth for industrial enterprises from January to October 2025 is 1.9%, down from 3.2% in the previous period[1] - The main reasons for the narrowing profit growth are the weakening low base effect and declining production[1] - Industrial production in October 2025 decreased by 4.9%, a drop of 1.6 percentage points compared to the previous month[1] Group 2: Price and Profit Margin Trends - The Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a slight improvement in October 2025, increasing by 0.1% compared to a decline of 2.1% in the previous month[1] - Profit margins slightly decreased to 5.25% from 5.26% in the previous month[1] - Mining industry profit margins improved slightly, while manufacturing and utility sectors saw a decline compared to September[1] Group 3: Demand and Inventory Dynamics - Weak demand has led to passive inventory accumulation, with inventory levels increasing by 6.82% in October 2025[1] - The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell by 1.2 percentage points to 47.3% in October 2025, indicating contraction in manufacturing activity[1] Group 4: Future Outlook and Investment Implications - Future profit trends are expected to stabilize after short-term fluctuations, supported by domestic demand expansion policies[2] - External demand and geopolitical risks will also influence future profit trajectories[2] - Equipment and high-tech manufacturing sectors remain the main drivers of profit growth[1]

Core Insights - National fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 4,089.14 billion yuan from January to October 2025, showing a year-on-year decline of 1.7% on a comparable basis [1][4] - Private fixed asset investment decreased by 4.5% year-on-year [1][4] - In October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) fell by 1.62% month-on-month [1] Investment by Industry - First industry investment totaled 807.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.9% [3][4] - Second industry investment reached 14,841.1 billion yuan, growing by 4.8% year-on-year, with industrial investment specifically increasing by 4.9% [3][4] - Third industry investment was 25,242.9 billion yuan, showing a decline of 5.3% year-on-year [3][4] - Within the second industry, mining investment grew by 3.8%, manufacturing investment increased by 2.7%, and investment in electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply surged by 12.5% [3][4] Investment by Region - Eastern region investment decreased by 5.4% year-on-year, while central region investment fell by 0.5% [3] - Western region investment saw a slight increase of 0.4%, and northeastern region investment dropped significantly by 11.7% [3] Investment by Registration Type - Domestic enterprises' fixed asset investment declined by 1.7% year-on-year [4] - Investment from Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan enterprises decreased by 1.8% [4] - Foreign enterprises' fixed asset investment experienced a notable decline of 12.1% [4]

从"量"、"价"角度看，1-10 月工业生产活动维持活跃，但价格端表 现仍较弱势。一方面，1-10 月工业增加值同比增长 6.1%，增速较前三季 度微幅下滑 0.1 个百分点，生产端仍能对当期工业企业盈利形成支撑。 另一方面，1-10 月 PPI、生产资料 PPI 同比增速仍为负，分别下降 2.7% 和 3.2%，但降幅均较 9 月微幅收窄 0.1 个百分点，工业品出厂价格表现 仍对工业企业盈利有所掣肘。 原材料价格仍是当前工业企业盈利能力的主要拖累。1-10 月生产资料 PPI 同比降幅仍较明显。在此前深度报告《我们如何理解国内"低通 胀"？》中，我们指出，国内工业品价格弱势受到国际大宗商品价格震 荡、国内地产投资不振等因素的共同影响，从 10 月的状况看： 首先，10 月煤炭开采和洗选业的进口价格指数（环比）为 73.7，低于 100 的上月基线水平，环比延续负增长，煤炭进口价格持续不振，1-10 月煤炭开采及洗选业对工业企业利润总额同比增速的负贡献为 4.2 个百 分点。 其次，地产投资仍对我国固定资产投资表现有所拖累，1-10 月累计同比 下降 14.7%，拖累当期固投增速 3.0 个百分点，仍是需求 ...

1—10月份，规模以上工业企业实现营业收入113.37万亿元，同比增长1.8%；发生营业成本97.00万亿 元，增长2.0%；营业收入利润率为5.25%，同比提高0.01个百分点。 10月末，规模以上工业企业资产总计187.23万亿元，同比增长4.7%；负债合计108.59万亿元，增长 5.0%；所有者权益合计78.64万亿元，增长4.3%；资产负债率为58.0%，同比上升0.2个百分点。 1—10月份，采矿业实现利润总额7123.3亿元，同比下降27.8%；制造业实现利润总额45050.3亿元，增 长7.7%；电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业实现利润总额7329.3亿元，增长9.5%。 1—10月份，主要行业利润情况如下：有色金属冶炼和压延加工业利润同比增长14.0%，电力、热力生 产和供应业增长13.1%，计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业增长12.8%，农副食品加工业增长8.5%， 电气机械和器材制造业增长7.0%，通用设备制造业增长6.2%，专用设备制造业增长5.0%，汽车制造业 增长4.4%，非金属矿物制品业增长1.0%，黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业同比由亏转盈，石油、煤炭及其 他燃料加工业同比减亏，化学 ...

Core Viewpoint - The profit of industrial enterprises in China showed a slight increase of 1.9% year-on-year for the first ten months of the year, but a decline of 5.5% was observed in October due to high base effects and rising financial costs [1][3]. Group 1: Profit Performance - From January to October, the total profit of industrial enterprises reached 59,502.9 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.9% [1]. - In October alone, the profit of industrial enterprises decreased by 5.5% year-on-year, influenced by a high base from the previous year and increased financial expenses [3]. - Cumulative profit growth has been positive since August, with mining industry profits down by 27.8%, manufacturing up by 7.7%, and utilities up by 9.5% [3]. Group 2: Traditional Industry Development - The development of new productive forces in traditional industries has begun to show results, with profits significantly exceeding the industry average [2][4]. - In the chemical and building materials sectors, specific industries such as graphite and carbon products, biochemicals, and cultural chemicals saw profit increases of 77.7%, 73.4%, and 19.1%, respectively, outperforming their industry averages [4]. Group 3: Structural Optimization - The profit of the equipment manufacturing sector grew by 7.8% year-on-year, contributing 2.8 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises [5]. - High-tech manufacturing also performed well, with profits increasing by 8.0%, surpassing the average growth of all industrial enterprises by 6.1 percentage points [5]. - Among the eight major categories in equipment manufacturing, seven reported year-on-year profit growth [5]. Group 4: High-Quality Development - The intelligent unmanned aerial vehicle and intelligent vehicle-mounted equipment manufacturing sectors experienced remarkable profit growth of 116.1% and 114.9%, respectively [6].

Core Insights - The report indicates that China's economy is expected to achieve its annual growth target of around 5% for 2025, with a stable performance in the first three quarters, where the actual GDP grew by 5.2% year-on-year, surpassing the previous year's level [1][11][24] - However, the economic growth rate slowed in the third quarter to 4.8%, down 0.4 percentage points from the second quarter, primarily due to the implementation of "anti-involution" policies, reduced policy intensity, and ongoing weakness in the real estate sector [1][11][24] - The report highlights a divergence between domestic and external demand, as well as between supply and demand, with manufacturing investment experiencing rare negative growth due to external uncertainties and "anti-involution" policies [1][11][24] Economic Performance - In the first three quarters, the actual GDP growth was 5.2%, with the third quarter showing a slowdown to 4.8%, reflecting a "high first, low second" trend [1][11][24] - The manufacturing sector faced negative growth for the first time since Q3 2020, influenced by "anti-involution" policies and a decline in real estate demand [1][11][24] - Service consumption and emerging export categories demonstrated resilience, becoming significant supports for economic growth [1][11][24] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment saw a year-on-year decline of 0.5% in the first three quarters, with a significant drop to -6.2% in Q3, driven by weak real estate sales and reduced local government spending on infrastructure [1][11][15] - The report anticipates a recovery in manufacturing and infrastructure investment in Q4, supported by new policy measures and a more favorable external environment [1][11][15] - Real estate investment remains a major drag on fixed asset investment, with a decline from -12.1% in Q2 to -19.2% in Q3 [1][11][15] Consumption Insights - Social retail sales growth slowed to 4.5% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with Q3 showing a further decline to 3.5% [1][11][14] - Service consumption maintained strong resilience, with service retail sales growing by 5.2%, outperforming goods retail growth [1][11][14] - Online retail sales increased by 9.8%, with non-physical goods online retail sales surging by 26.7% [1][11][14] Export Performance - Exports grew by 6.1% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with Q3 growth rising to 6.5% [1][11][16] - The growth was bolstered by a 12.6% increase in exports to non-US markets, effectively offsetting declines in exports to the US [1][11][16] - High-end manufacturing and green product exports showed significant growth, with integrated circuit exports rising by 31.4% and electric passenger vehicle exports increasing by 51.2% [1][11][16] Policy Focus - The report emphasizes a shift in policy focus towards high-quality development, with an emphasis on innovation and domestic demand [1][11][6] - Recent macroeconomic policies have aimed to stabilize domestic demand, with significant financial tools and local debt issuance to support project construction and debt repayment [1][11][6] - The implementation of the "14th Five-Year Plan" highlights the direction for the next five years, focusing on building a modern industrial system and enhancing innovation efficiency [1][11][6]

Core Viewpoint - In October, the profit growth of industrial enterprises above designated size in China experienced a decline after two months of rapid growth, with a year-on-year decrease of 5.5% due to high base effects and rising financial costs [1][2]. Summary by Sections Industrial Profit Growth - From January to October, the profit of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 1.9% year-on-year, maintaining growth for three consecutive months since August [1]. - In August and September, the profits saw significant increases of 20.4% and 21.6% respectively [2]. Revenue and Sector Performance - The operating income of industrial enterprises above designated size grew by 1.8% year-on-year from January to October, creating favorable conditions for profit recovery [4]. - By sector, mining profits fell by 27.8%, while manufacturing profits rose by 7.7%, and profits in the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply sector increased by 9.5% [4]. High-Tech and Equipment Manufacturing - High-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors were the main drivers of profit growth, with profits in this category rising by 7.8%, contributing 2.8 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises [4]. - High-tech manufacturing profits increased by 8.0%, outperforming the average industrial profit growth by 6.1 percentage points [5]. Traditional Industries and Upgrading - Traditional industries showed signs of quality improvement, with profits significantly exceeding the industry average [5]. - In specific segments, profits in the chemical and building materials sectors saw substantial increases, with graphite and carbon products manufacturing up by 77.7% and biochemical pesticides up by 73.4% [6]. Future Outlook and Policy Implications - The National Development and Reform Commission is addressing issues of price competition in various industries to maintain a stable market order, which is expected to support high-quality development [7]. - Analysts suggest that ongoing policies to expand domestic demand and manage price competition will be crucial for the sustained improvement of industrial profits [6][7].

Core Insights - In October, the profit growth of industrial enterprises at or above designated size declined due to high base effects from the previous year and rising financial costs, with a year-on-year decrease of 5.5% [1][3] - From January to October, the profit of industrial enterprises increased by 1.9%, maintaining growth for three consecutive months since August [1][3] - The mining sector saw a profit decline of 27.8%, while the manufacturing sector experienced a profit increase of 7.7%, and the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply sector grew by 9.5% [3][4] Industry Performance - High-tech manufacturing showed strong performance, with profits increasing by 8.0% year-on-year, surpassing the overall industrial average by 6.1 percentage points [4] - Specific sectors within high-tech manufacturing, such as smart electronic manufacturing and semiconductor manufacturing, reported significant profit growth, with increases of 116.1% and 89.2% respectively [4] - Traditional industries are also seeing improvements, with certain sectors like chemical and building materials showing profit growth significantly above the industry average, such as graphite and carbon products at 77.7% [5] Future Outlook - The National Development and Reform Commission is addressing issues of price competition in various industries to maintain a stable market environment, which is expected to support high-quality development [6] - Analysts suggest that for sustained profit improvement, policies to expand domestic demand and optimize supply structures are crucial, along with monitoring the balance between inventory replenishment and end-user demand [5][6]

工业企业利润稳定增长。1—10月份，规模以上工业企业利润同比增长1.9%，自今年8月份以来累 计增速连续三个月保持增长。从三大门类看，1—10月份，采矿业下降27.8%，降幅较1—9月份收窄1.5 个百分点；制造业增长7.7%；电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业增长9.5%。10月份，受上年同期基 数有所抬高、财务费用增长较快等因素影响，规模以上工业企业利润同比下降5.5%。 下阶段，在国际环境复杂严峻，国内周期性结构性矛盾交织的背景下，要深入学习贯彻党的二十届 四中全会精神，继续精准落实党中央、国务院决策部署，推动各项政策协同发力，进一步扩内需、优结 构、育新能，推动工业经济量质齐升、动能焕新，不断筑牢实体经济根基。 工业企业营收保持增长。1—10月份，规模以上工业企业营业收入同比增长1.8%，营业收入持续保 持增长，为工业企业盈利恢复创造有利条件。 中新网11月27日电 据国家统计局网站27日消息，国家统计局工业司首席统计师于卫宁对2025年1— 10月份工业企业利润数据进行解读。 高技术制造业效益增势良好。1—10月份，规模以上高技术制造业利润同比增长8.0%，高于全部规 模以上工业平均水平6.1个百分点 ...

北京商报讯（记者 和岳）11月27日，国家统计局发布数据，1—10月份，全国规模以上工业企业实现利 润总额59502.9亿元，同比增长1.9%。1—10月份，规模以上工业企业中，国有控股企业实现利润总额 18490.2亿元，同比持平；股份制企业实现利润总额44328.3亿元，增长1.5%；外商及港澳台投资企业实 现利润总额14848.6亿元，增长3.5%；私营企业实现利润总额16995.6亿元，增长1.9%。1—10月份，采 矿业实现利润总额7123.3亿元，同比下降27.8%；制造业实现利润总额45050.3亿元，增长7.7%；电力、 热力、燃气及水生产和供应业实现利润总额7329.3亿元，增长9.5%。 ...