Group 1 - The first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism is being held in London, attended by He Lifeng, a member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council [1] - The Suzhou Artificial Intelligence Industry Association plans to collect innovative products and solutions that empower the Suzhou football team with AI technology to enhance training levels and competitive performance [3] - The State Council has issued opinions to further guarantee and improve people's livelihoods, focusing on solving urgent issues, including improving the minimum wage standard adjustment mechanism and the basic medical insurance drug catalog [4] Group 2 - Guangkang Biochemical's product Chlorantraniliprole has not yet been put into production [5] - Zhongke Shuguang is undergoing a stock swap merger with Haiguang Information, and its stock has resumed trading [5] - Changshan Pharmaceutical's application for marketing authorization of Abemaciclib injection for type 2 diabetes has been accepted, but the timeline for approval remains uncertain [5] - He Sheng Silicon Industry responded that it has never engaged in discussions regarding equity transfer with Tebian Electric and its affiliates [5] - Gongchuang Turf, which has seen six consecutive trading limit increases, stated that the impact of domestic football events on its operations and performance is minimal [5]

投资咨询业务资格 证监发【2014】217号 纯碱玻璃周报——2025.06.09 中原期货研究所：化工组 | 作者：刘培洋 | 研究助理：申文 | | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号：F0290318 | 执业证书编号： F03117458 | | 投资咨询编号：Z0011155 | 0371-58620081 | | liupy_qh@ccnew.com | shenwen_qh@ccnew.com | 01 周度观点汇总 3 1.1 纯碱周度观点——供应压力回升 品种 主要逻辑 策略建议 风险提示 纯碱 1.供应 装置开工率80.76%（+2.19%），氨碱法75.65%（环比+4.24%），联碱法80.41%（+3.87%)；周 产量70.41万吨（+1.91万吨），轻碱产量32.18万吨（+0.66万吨），重碱产量38.22万吨（+1.25 万吨）。 2.需求 纯碱表需70.14万吨（-3.61万吨），轻碱表需35.01万吨（+2.30万吨），重碱表需35.12万吨 （-5.65万吨）。 3.库存 纯碱企业库存162.70万吨（+0.27万吨），轻碱库存79万吨（-2.83万吨），重碱库存 ...

1 水合硫氰酸锂市场概述 1.1 水合硫氰酸锂行业概述及统计范围 1.2 按照不同产品类型，水合硫氰酸锂主要可以分为如下几个类别 1.2.1 不同产品类型水合硫氰酸锂规模增长趋势2021 VS 2025 VS 2031 1.2.2 95%纯度 1.2.3 最低99%纯度 1.2.4 其他 中国水合硫氰酸锂市场应用分析及发展趋势预测报告2025-2031年 本文源自：中赢信合研究网 1.3 从不同应用，水合硫氰酸锂主要包括如下几个方面 1.3.1 不同应用水合硫氰酸锂规模增长趋势2021 VS 2025 VS 2031 1.3.2 电子 1.3.3 医疗 1.3.4 化工 1.3.5 其他 1.4 行业发展现状分析 1.4.1 水合硫氰酸锂行业发展总体概况 1.4.2 水合硫氰酸锂行业发展主要特点 1.4.3 水合硫氰酸锂行业发展影响因素 1.4.4 进入行业壁垒 2.3.1 全球市场水合硫氰酸锂收入（2021-2031） 2 行业发展现状及"十五五"前景预测 2.1 全球水合硫氰酸锂供需现状及预测（2021-2031） 2.1.1 全球水合硫氰酸锂产能、产量、产能利用率及发展趋势（2021-2031） 2.1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Indian government has decided to impose anti-dumping duties on insoluble sulfur imported from China and Japan for a period of five years, following a positive final ruling by the Ministry of Commerce on March 7, 2025 [1] Group 1: Anti-Dumping Duties - The anti-dumping duty for Chinese manufacturers is set at $307 per ton [1] - The duty for Shikoku Chemicals Corporation from Japan is $259 per ton, while other Japanese manufacturers face a duty of $358 per ton [1] - The products affected fall under Indian customs codes 28020010, 38123930, and 38249900 [1] Group 2: Investigation Background - The investigation was initiated on March 27, 2024, based on a request from Oriental Carbon & Chemicals Limited, a domestic company in India [1] - The Ministry of Commerce's positive final ruling was made on March 7, 2025, confirming the need for anti-dumping measures [1]

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: Yong'an Synthetic Rubber Morning Report [2] - Report Date: June 9, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center [2] Group 2: BR (Butadiene Rubber) Analysis Price and Trading Volume - The closing price of the BR main contract on June 6 was 11,300, a daily increase of 340 and a weekly increase of 155 [3]. - The trading volume of the BR main contract on June 6 was 159,507, a daily increase of 59,848 and a weekly increase of 8,184 [3]. - The open interest of the BR main contract on June 6 was 24,880, a daily decrease of 1,396 [3]. Basis and Spread - The basis of cis - butadiene rubber on June 6 was 300, a daily decrease of 140 and a weekly decrease of 55 [3]. - The 6 - 7 month spread of BR on June 6 was 10, a daily decrease of 100 and a weekly increase of 40 [3]. - The 7 - 8 month spread of BR on June 6 was 145, a daily increase of 20 and a weekly decrease of 5 [3]. Spot and Market Prices - The Shandong market price of BR on June 6 was 11,600, a daily increase of 200 and a weekly increase of 100 [3]. - The Chuanhua market price of BR on June 6 was 11,450, a daily increase of 50 [3]. - The Qilu Petrochemical ex - factory price of BR on June 6 was 11,600, a daily increase of 200 and a weekly decrease of 100 [3]. Processing and Profitability - The spot processing profit of BR on June 6 was - 545, a daily decrease of 157 and a weekly increase of 49 [3]. - The on - screen processing profit of BR on June 6 was - 845, a daily decrease of 17 and a weekly increase of 104 [3]. - The import profit of BR on June 6 was - 82,972, a daily decrease of 1,422 and a weekly increase of 1,042 [3]. - The export profit of BR on June 6 was 199, a daily decrease of 174 and a weekly decrease of 281 [3] Group 3: BD (Butadiene) Analysis Price and Market - The Shandong market price of BD on June 6 was 9,750, a daily increase of 350 [3]. - The Jiangsu market price of BD on June 6 was 9,450, a daily increase of 100 and a weekly decrease of 100 [3]. - The Yangzi Petrochemical ex - factory price of BD on June 6 was 9,500, with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 300 [3]. Processing and Profitability - The carbon tetrachloride extraction profit of BD was not available on June 6 [3]. - The butene oxidative dehydrogenation profit of BD on June 6 was 736, a daily increase of 100 and a weekly decrease of 170 [3]. - The import profit of BD on June 6 was 318, a daily increase of 343 and a weekly increase of 156 [3]. - The export profit of BD on June 6 was - 744, a daily decrease of 87 and a weekly increase of 1,118 [3] Group 4: Variety - to - Variety and Intra - Variety Spreads Variety - to - Variety Spreads - The RU - BR spread on June 6 was - 11,230, a daily increase of 1,501 and a weekly increase of 3,782 [3]. - The NR - BR spread on June 6 was - 12,855, a daily increase of 1,456 and a weekly increase of 3,697 [3]. - The Thai mixed - cis - butadiene spread on June 6 was 2,000, a daily decrease of 100 and a weekly increase of 50 [3]. - The 3L - styrene - butadiene spread on June 6 was 3,150, with no daily change and a weekly increase of 150 [3] Intra - Variety Spreads - The cis - butadiene standard - non - standard price spread on June 6 was 200, a daily decrease of 50 with no weekly change [3]. - The styrene - butadiene 1502 - 1712 spread on June 6 was 1,000, with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 50 [3]

Group 1: Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The report comprehensively introduces the basic concepts, chemical properties, downstream consumption fields, and production processes of propylene, highlighting its importance in the chemical industry and various influencing factors [1][2][3] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Propylene Basic Concepts - Propylene (C3H6) is a colorless, slightly sweet, flammable gas, belonging to the olefin series. It has specific physical properties such as a melting point of -185°C, a boiling point of -47.68°C, and a low flash point of -108°C. It's usually liquefied for transportation and storage, and is not suitable for long - distance transportation [1] - Chemically, it can undergo addition, oligomerization, coordination polymerization, and substitution reactions, deriving high - value chemicals [2] 2. Downstream Consumption Field Distribution - About 68% of propylene is used to produce polypropylene, which is widely used in packaging, automotive, medical, and textile industries. Other significant downstream products include propylene oxide (8%), acrylonitrile (6%), acrylic acid (4%), octanol (4%), and n - butanol (3%). Emerging demands like photovoltaic adhesive films and lithium - battery separators are driving the upgrade of the propylene consumption structure [3] 3. Propylene Production Processes - **Steam Cracking**: Using petroleum hydrocarbons as raw materials, it accounts for about 60% of global propylene production. It's a traditional mainstream method, with high stability and large - scale production capacity, but high energy consumption and dependence on crude oil prices [6] - **Catalytic Cracking (FCC)**: Using heavy oil as raw materials, it produces gasoline, diesel, and propylene as a by - product. It accounts for about 25% of global propylene production, with high flexibility but relatively low propylene purity [7] - **Coal - to - Olefins (CTO/MTO)**: It's a non - petroleum route, suitable for regions rich in coal and short of oil. China is the largest producer. However, it faces environmental pressure and requires optimization of catalyst life and by - product treatment [9] - **Propane Dehydrogenation (PDH)**: Using propane as the raw material, it has a high - purity propylene product (over 99.5%). The global PDH capacity has been growing rapidly, and China is a major market. It depends on stable and low - cost propane supply and can recycle by - product hydrogen [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of various sectors in the A-share market, highlighting the fluctuations in stock indices and the contrasting performances of different industry sectors [1][2][4]. Market Overview - As of June 6, the A-share market showed a slight decline with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.04%, the Shenzhen Component down by 0.13%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.40% [1]. - The Hong Kong stock market indices also experienced declines, with notable drops in electric vehicle manufacturers such as NIO, XPeng, and Li Auto, all falling over 2% [4][5]. Sector Performance - The chemical sector performed well, with several stocks reaching their daily limit up, including Danhua Technology, Poly United, and Yonghe Shares [7][8]. - The innovation drug sector was active, with stocks like Haichen Pharmaceutical hitting the daily limit up, and other companies like Changshan Pharmaceutical and Wanbangde also showing significant gains [6]. - The precious metals sector saw a rise, particularly in silver, with companies like Hunan Silver and Zhongrun Resources reaching their daily limit up [12][13]. Notable Stocks - In the chemical sector, Danhua Technology rose by 10.16%, Poly United by 10.05%, and Yonghe Shares by 10.01% [9]. - In the agricultural chemicals sector, stocks such as Sulihua Shares and Xianda Shares also reached their daily limit up, indicating strong market interest [10]. - The silver price surged recently, with spot silver rising by 3.4%, reaching a peak of $36 per ounce, the highest level since February 2012 [14].

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.04%, the Shenzhen Component down by 0.13%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.40% [2] - The chemical sector showed resilience, rising against the market trend, while sectors such as pet economy, education, and textile apparel faced significant declines [4] Sector Performance - The chemical sector saw notable gains, with specific stocks like Danhua Technology, Poly United, and Yonghe Shares hitting the daily limit up [7] - The precious metals sector also experienced upward movement, particularly in silver, with stocks like Hunan Silver and Zhongrun Resources reaching their daily limit up [14] Notable Stocks - In the innovation drug sector, Hailin Pharmaceutical achieved a 20% increase, while Changshan Pharmaceutical rose over 14% [7] - Chemical stocks such as Sulihua Shares, Xianda Shares, and Changqing Shares also saw significant gains, with each reaching close to the daily limit up [9][10] Precious Metals Insights - The silver price surged recently, with spot silver rising by 3.4%, reaching a peak of $36 per ounce, the highest since February 2012 [16] - The demand for precious metals is supported by inflation risks and geopolitical tensions, although fluctuations in U.S. Federal Reserve policies and the dollar's performance may increase volatility [16]

【原油、甲醇、烧碱、铁矿石市场动态】据EIA报告，截至5月30日，美国除却战略储备的商业原油库 存减少430.4万桶至4.36亿桶，汽油库存增521.9万桶。当周美国国内原油产量增加0.7万桶至1340.8万桶/ 日。当地时间6月4日，伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊称，伊朗实现完整核燃料循环，核工业是基础工业。若 OPEC+持续增产，或使全球原油市场长期供应过剩，加剧供需失衡，给油价带来下行压力。短期地缘 政治及低库存有支撑，可短线参与。 中国甲醇港口样本库存58.1万吨，周升5.8万吨；生产企业库存 37.05万吨，周增1.55万吨；订单待发26.22万吨，周增1.23万吨。江苏太仓甲醇市场价2302元/吨，升27 元/吨；开工87.19%，周升0.22%；内蒙古黑猫30万吨/年装置预计近期结束检修；下游总产能利用率 71.65%，周降0.54%。成本端煤炭价格预期稳，国内甲醇开工高位运行，下游需求较稳，本周外轮到港 充足，港口库存累库。预计甲醇09合约短期震荡，上方压力2270一线，建议观望或短线做空。 山东 32%液碱880元/吨，环比持平；液碱持稳、液氯价格稳定，氯碱利润681元/吨；烧碱周度产能利用率 84. ...

2025年06月05日 | 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报 | | --- | 观点与策略 | 黄金：小非农超预期走弱 | 3 | | --- | --- | | 白银：跟随反弹 | 3 | | 铜：美元走弱，支撑价格 | 5 | | 铝：震荡横盘 | 7 | | 氧化铝：偏弱运行 | 7 | | 锌：区间调整 | 9 | | 铅：低位企稳 | 10 | | 锡：止跌回升 | 11 | | 镍：短线成本托底，预期偏弱压制 | 13 | | 不锈钢：负反馈与减产博弈，钢价区间震荡 | 13 | | 碳酸锂：基本面暂无改善，反弹空间或有限 | 15 | | 工业硅：情绪扰动，上方空间有限 | 17 | | 多晶硅：弱势基本面格局 | 17 | | 铁矿石：板块预期反复，宽幅震荡 | 19 | | 螺纹钢：市场情绪提振，宽幅震荡 | 20 | | 热轧卷板：市场情绪提振，宽幅震荡 | 20 | | 硅铁：黑色板块共振，宽幅震荡 | 22 | | 锰硅：黑色板块共振，宽幅震荡 | 22 | | 焦炭：三轮提降开启，盘面震荡偏强 | 24 | | 焦煤：消息扰动，盘面震荡偏强 | 24 | | 动力煤：底部阶段企稳运行 | ...