[Table_Page] 深度分析|建筑材料 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 建筑材料行业 12 月投资端降幅扩大，2026 年有望开门红 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 持有 前次评级 持有 报告日期 2026-01-27 识别风险，发现价值 请务必阅读末页的免责声明 1 / 25 972918116公共联系人2026-01-27 16:41:57 ⚫ 12 月地产/基建投资降幅环比扩大，2026 年有望开门红。12 月固定资 产投资当月同比-15.1%，前值-12.0%；其中制造业/地产/狭义基建/广 义基建投资单月同比分别为-10.5%/-35.8%/-12.2%/-15.9%，增速环比 分别-6.1/-5.5/-2.5/-4.0pct，可能和"推动投资止跌回稳"政策方向既定 的情况下，地方政府会更倾向于把投资节奏集中于 2026 年初有关。 2025 年 1-12 月房地产开发投资/新开工面积/销售面积/竣工面积分别同 比-17.2%/-20.4%/-8.7%/-18.1%，12 月地产相关指标继续低位徘徊， 2026 开年之后二手房成交回暖 ...

智通财经APP获悉，广发证券发布研报称，根据数字水泥网和国家统计局数据统计，预计2024/2025水 泥熟料产能利用率53%/50%，产能严重过剩。经过过去两年时间的政策酝酿和宣导，2026-2027年将迎 来以"超产管控+碳市场"为主导的供给端政策管控，有望带来水泥超产产能和落后产能陆续退出，水泥 供给优化将带来盈利中枢提升。中长期来看，水泥行业供给有望持续优化，建议关注底部水泥资产。 广发证券主要观点如下： 超产管控：目前已有实质性产能出清 2025年9月24日，工信部联合六部门发布《建材行业稳增长工作方案(2025—2026年)》，明确水泥企业 要在2025年底前对超出项目备案的产能制定产能置换方案，促进实际产能与备案产能统一。 根据数字水泥网统计，截至2025年底，全国水泥行业通过置换退出熟料产能合计为1.6亿吨(考虑超产后 估算实际退出约2亿吨)；鉴于2025年版补产能规则公示公告时间延迟至2026/3/31，预计到26Q1末，熟 料产能退出总量预计将达到2亿吨(考虑超产后估算实际退出约2.5亿吨)。即到26Q1末，实际产能有望从 21亿吨降至18亿吨，将带来2026年产能利用率提升。 碳市场：20 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the building materials industry is "Positive" and maintained [10] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the potential for price increases in building materials, driven by supply-demand improvements and cost reductions. Key areas of focus include electronic fabrics, waterproof materials, and the glass and cement sectors [4][6][7] - The "dual carbon" policy presents new opportunities for the building materials industry, particularly for companies with lower energy consumption and better carbon management [6][7] Summary by Sections Price Trends and Supply-Demand Dynamics - Cement shipments are experiencing seasonal declines, while glass inventories have decreased month-on-month. The report anticipates a recovery in profitability due to supply-demand improvements and cost reductions [2][4] - The report identifies three main lines for 2026: the stock chain, the African chain, and the AI chain, focusing on optimizing demand and clearing supply [7] Sector-Specific Insights - **Glass**: The current daily melting capacity is approximately 150,000 tons, with expectations for a reduction to 145,000 tons to achieve supply-demand balance. Companies like Xinyi Glass and Pilkington are highlighted as key players [5][6] - **Cement**: Profitability is at a clear bottom, with supply-demand pressures expected to persist in 2026. Companies such as Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement are noted for their market positions [5][6] - **Waterproof Materials**: The report highlights a significant exit of supply in the waterproof and coating sectors, benefiting from a year-on-year decline in asphalt prices. Companies like Dongfang Yuhong and Keshun are recommended [4][6] Future Outlook - The report projects a shift in consumer demand towards renovation, with expectations that the share of renovation demand will rise from 50% to nearly 70% by 2030. This change is expected to drive the industry back to historical high levels of demand [7] - The African market is identified as an undervalued growth area, with companies like Keda Manufacturing and Huaxin Cement poised to benefit from population and urbanization trends [7] - The AI chain focuses on the upgrade of special electronic fabrics, with companies like Zhongcai Technology highlighted for their comprehensive product offerings and low valuations [7]

| 股份代號: | 00914 | | --- | --- | | 上市法國名稱: | 安徽海螺水泥股份有限公司 - H股 | | 日期 (日 / 月 / 年): | 27/12/2025 - 27/01/2026 | 格隆汇1月27日丨根据联交所最新权益披露资料显示，2026年1月20日，海螺水泥(00914.HK)获JPMorgan Chase & Co.以每股均价23.4388港元增持好仓400.87 万股，涉资约9396万港元。 增持后，JPMorgan Chase & Co.最新持好仓数目为143,085,655股，持好仓比例由10.70%上升至11.00%。 | 最格序號 | 大股東/董事/最高行政人員名稱作出披露的 買入 / 賣出或涉及的 每股的平均價 | | | | | 特有權益的股份數目 佔已發行的 有關車件的日期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2007 - 11 - | | | | 百合 20 7 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 | 有投票權股 (日 / 月 / 年 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Ningbo Fuda Co., Ltd., has provided a guarantee of up to 30 million yuan for Mengzi Yingzhou Cement Co., Ltd. to meet its operational financing needs, with the guarantee being within the approved limits set by the board and shareholders [2][3][7]. Group 1: Guarantee Details - The guarantee agreement was signed on January 23, 2026, with a maximum guarantee amount of 30 million yuan [2]. - The company has provided a total guarantee of 220 million yuan for Mengzi Company after this new guarantee, with a remaining available guarantee limit of 130 million yuan [3]. - The guarantee is structured as a joint liability guarantee covering principal, interest, penalties, and all related costs [6]. Group 2: Internal Decision-Making Process - The board of directors approved the external guarantee limit for 2025 at 1.322 billion yuan, with specific approval for a 35 million yuan guarantee for Mengzi Company [3]. - The guarantee was authorized within the scope of the board's and shareholders' resolutions, eliminating the need for further approval [3][7]. Group 3: Risk Assessment and Justification - The company maintains control over Mengzi Company's operations, allowing for effective supervision and management, which contributes to the assessment that the risks associated with the guarantee are manageable [6][7]. - The guarantee is deemed necessary to support the operational needs of the subsidiary, aligning with the company's overall interests and development strategy [6][7]. Group 4: Current Guarantee Status - As of the announcement date, the company has provided guarantees totaling 740 million yuan, representing 25.64% of the latest audited net assets, with no overdue guarantees reported [8].

Group 1: Investment Management Plan - The company plans to utilize temporarily idle funds for entrusted wealth management to improve fund efficiency and increase investment returns [3][4] - The maximum daily balance for structured deposits is set at 30 billion yuan, while for bank wealth management products, income certificates, and asset management plans, it is capped at 20 billion yuan [2][4] - The board of directors approved the entrusted wealth management plan on January 26, 2026, and it falls within the decision-making authority of the board, thus not requiring shareholder approval [6] Group 2: Risk Analysis and Control Measures - The company will select wealth management products with a risk rating of R2 or below, but acknowledges that actual returns may be affected by market, policy, liquidity, and other risks [7] - A dedicated wealth management team will monitor the performance of purchased products and adjust investment strategies as necessary to mitigate risks [9][10] - The audit department has the authority to supervise and inspect the use of investment funds, and may hire professional institutions for auditing if necessary [10] Group 3: Impact on Company Operations - The entrusted wealth management will not affect the company's normal cash flow or the development of its main business, and is expected to enhance fund efficiency and increase company profits [11] - The company will account for the entrusted wealth management in accordance with relevant accounting standards, reflecting it in the balance sheet and income statement [11] Group 4: Foreign Exchange Derivative Trading - The company intends to engage in foreign exchange derivative trading for hedging purposes to manage risks associated with currency and interest rate fluctuations [15] - The maximum contract value held on any trading day is set at 600 million yuan, with the ability to roll over this limit [14][16] - All funds for the foreign exchange derivative trading will come from the company's own resources, without involving raised funds [17] Group 5: Risk Management in Foreign Exchange Trading - The company will adhere to a principle of legal, prudent, safe, and effective trading, avoiding speculative operations [20] - A management framework for foreign exchange derivative trading has been established to control risks and ensure compliance with internal procedures [22] - Transactions will only be conducted with qualified financial institutions, and strict internal approval processes will be followed for all trading operations [22][23]

【导读】海螺水泥拟闲置资金理财，单日最高余额合计不超过500亿元 中国基金报记者 夏天 1月26日晚间， 海螺水泥 （证券代码：600585）公告称，董事会已审议通过2026年度委托 理财计划，公司及下属子公司拟将部分暂时闲置资金用于委托理财：结构性存款单日最高余 额不超300亿元，银行理财等产品单日最高余额不超200亿元，总额度500亿元，授权期限为 12个月。 中国基金报问讯 更快 更准 更有料 长按右侧二维码 阅读原文 此次大额理财计划的推出，不仅直观展现了海螺水泥雄厚的现金储备，更深刻折射出其水泥 主业进入成熟阶段、资本开支持续收缩的发展现状。 充裕的现金储备是此次大额理财计划的核心支撑。作为水泥行业的"现金奶牛"， 海螺水泥 凭 借稳健的经营能力积累了丰厚的现金流。最新财务数据显示，截至2025年三季度末，公司经 营活动产生的现金流量净额达111亿元，同比增长7.27%，货币资金与交易性金融资产合计高 达626亿元。 | | 甲区: 元 | 审计突型:木经审计 | | --- | --- | --- | | 项目 | 2025年9月30日 | 2024 年 12 月 31 日 | | 流动资产: | ...

Core Insights - The domestic cement industry in China is facing challenges in 2025 due to overcapacity and weak demand, leading to increased operational pressures on companies [1] - In response, domestic cement enterprises are accelerating their overseas strategic transformation, focusing on "acquisitions/building plants + product exports" to explore international markets, resulting in significant growth in overseas business [1] - Notably, cement clinker exports reached over 10 million tons in 2025, with cement exports at 6.57 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 30.41%, and clinker exports skyrocketing to 5.15 million tons, a staggering increase of 1391.99% [1] - Major companies such as Jinyu Jidong Cement, Huaxin Cement, China Resources Cement Technology, and Tianrui Group are actively expanding export channels to various countries and regions, creating a diversified global export landscape [1] Industry Dynamics - The export surge is driven by ongoing infrastructure demands in Southeast Asia and Africa, particularly in countries along the "Belt and Road" initiative, leading to strong international demand for cement clinker [3] - Chinese cement companies are demonstrating competitive advantages in cost control and supply chain efficiency, which are crucial for their success in the international market [3] - The robust growth in overseas product exports not only alleviates current operational pressures for domestic cement companies but also explores important pathways for the industry to overcome developmental bottlenecks [3]

【导读】海螺水泥拟闲置资金理财，单日最高余额合计不超过500亿元 中国基金报记者 夏天 1月26日晚间，海螺水泥（证券代码：600585）公告称，董事会已审议通过2026年度委托理财计划，公司及下属子公司拟将部分暂时闲置资金用于委托理 财：结构性存款单日最高余额不超300亿元，银行理财等产品单日最高余额不超200亿元，总额度500亿元，授权期限为12个月。 此次大额理财计划的推出，不仅直观展现了海螺水泥雄厚的现金储备，更深刻折射出其水泥主业进入成熟阶段、资本开支持续收缩的发展现状。 充裕的现金储备是此次大额理财计划的核心支撑。作为水泥行业的"现金奶牛"，海螺水泥凭借稳健的经营能力积累了丰厚的现金流。最新财务数据显示， 截至2025年三季度末，公司经营活动产生的现金流量净额达111亿元，同比增长7.27%，货币资金与交易性金融资产合计高达626亿元。 财务数据显示，海螺水泥的业绩高点出现在2020年。此后，公司利润呈下降趋势，但仍保持在数十亿元以上的盈利水平。2025年前三季度，公司实现营收 612.98亿元，同比下降10.06%；实现归母净利润63.05亿元，同比增长21.28%。 此外，资本开支的持续收缩则 ...

专家交流：双碳政策有哪些新变化，对建材化工行业有什 么影响？20260126 摘要 中国正从能耗双控转向碳排放双控，要求高碳项目进行环评和探评，并 建立地方碳排放考核机制，将国家达峰目标分解至各省市，重点管控电 力、钢铁、有色、建材、石化化工等八大行业。 全国碳市场已纳入 3,770 家企业，预计 2027 年将达 8,000 家，覆盖电 力、水泥、钢铁、铝等行业，未来还将纳入化工、石化、有色金属等， 这些企业需严格遵守国家规定的碳排放配额。 2027 年全国碳市场预计纳入约 8,000 家企业，其排放量占全国总排放 量的 80%左右，其余企业可通过自愿减排市场（CCR）参与，通过减排 行动获取收益。 钢铁行业在 2024-2026 年为适应过渡期，2027 年开始正常发放配额， 初期配额宽松，惩戒幅度不超过 3%，后期将收紧配额，化工行业预计 2027 年进入碳市场，初期免费发放配额，未来或过渡到有偿分配。 国内碳市场价格波动，目前约 81 元/吨，高峰时超 100 元，未来 2-3 年 预计波动范围为 80-150 元/吨，各行业可据此测算成本压力，如合成氨 等化工产品每吨成本增加几十至一两百元。 Q&A ...