Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolving consumer behavior in the bakery market, particularly among young people, who are increasingly willing to pay a premium for perceived value and quality in baked goods, reflecting a shift in their consumption philosophy [4][6][11]. Group 1: Consumer Behavior Changes - Young consumers are showing less price sensitivity and are willing to pay more for quality baked goods, indicating a shift from simply seeking low prices to valuing "perceived value" [4][11]. - The concept of "value transparency" is becoming crucial, as consumers are now more informed and critical about the ingredients and quality of the products they purchase [6][11]. - The acceptance of high-priced bread is supported by data, with 40.1% of consumers spending between 21-40 yuan per purchase, and 23.3% spending between 41-60 yuan [11]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The bakery market is experiencing a transformation where consumers are prioritizing quality and authenticity over brand prestige, leading to a "silent revolution" in consumption patterns [4][6]. - Successful bakeries are leveraging local ingredients and traditional flavors to create a unique value proposition, moving away from mere imitation of foreign styles [22][24]. - The market for premium bread is expected to remain, but not all high-end brands will succeed, as it depends on their ability to maintain quality and consumer interest [26][28]. Group 3: Emotional and Social Aspects - The willingness to pay for premium baked goods is also tied to emotional satisfaction, with consumers viewing these purchases as rewards for their hard work [13][31]. - The concept of "social currency" is evolving, where knowledge about quality ingredients and baking techniques becomes a form of social capital among young consumers [15][31]. - Visual appeal plays a significant role in consumer choices, with attractive presentation being a key factor in driving sales [18][20].

跟随皇室成员，品尝巴黎最古老的面包店—— 「Pâ tiss e r i e St ohr e r」 。 曾被英国女皇伊丽莎白二世翻牌，它的历史可以追溯到1 8世纪…… 创始人 尼古拉斯·斯托雷尔（Ni c o l a s St ohr e r） 来自法国东部的阿尔萨斯，曾为波兰国王工作。 波兰公主玛丽·莱什琴斯卡与法国路易十五结婚后，这位新娘把他父亲的御用糕点师Ni c o l a s St o h r e r带到了凡尔赛。 1 7 3 0年，St o h r e r获得了路易十五的准许，在巴黎蒙托格伊街开了这家面包店，自那之后就开始正式服务皇室。 英国女皇伊丽莎白二世 还曾在 2 0 0 4年访问法国时来过这里。当然这里也很欢迎普通老百姓。 店内装潢由1 9世纪旅居巴黎的法国画家 Paul Baudr y 设计，整体采用了巴洛克风格，光是看着就是一场视觉享受。 店里蓝色马赛克上镶嵌的St o h r e r几个大字和上方王冠的设计暗示着这里由王室御用甜点师创办。 1 9 9 2 年，巴黎市政府在希拉克总统时期下令为市内7 6 7 个古迹设立 「巴黎历史」立牌 ，用文字介绍过去史实，强化地景印象，St o h ...

Core Insights - The baking industry in China is undergoing a transformation towards healthier products, driven by changing consumer preferences for nutritional value and ingredient transparency [1][4][7] Group 1: Market Growth and Consumer Demand - The global baking market reached a size of $248.8 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow to $394.3 billion by 2032, indicating significant growth potential [2] - China's baking market is expected to reach approximately 859.56 billion yuan by 2029, reflecting increasing consumer demand [2] - The primary consumers of baked goods in China are women, particularly those born in the 1980s and 1990s, with a significant portion of consumers located in new first-tier and second-tier cities [2] Group 2: Industry Trends and Innovations - The baking industry is shifting from traditional high-sugar and high-fat products to healthier options with lower sugar, fat, and salt content, as well as higher fiber [4][5] - Companies are increasingly focusing on clean label products, with over 25% of consumers recognizing the importance of clean label foods for healthy eating [6][7] - The trend towards clean labels is prompting many baking companies to adjust their product formulations to meet consumer demands for transparency and natural ingredients [7] Group 3: Challenges and Strategic Focus - Despite the growth in health-oriented products, the baking industry faces challenges such as increased costs and technical difficulties in transitioning to healthier options [5] - Companies are investing significantly in research and development for health-focused innovations, with 33.3% of firms allocating over 20% of their R&D resources to this area [5] - The successful transformation of the industry relies on enhancing technological innovation capabilities and improving consumer education regarding health benefits [5]

Industry Overview - The baking industry in China is undergoing rapid transformation, with a variety of products emerging and consumer preferences shifting continuously. The market size for baked goods reached 561.42 billion yuan in 2023, growing by 9.2% year-on-year, and is expected to reach 859.56 billion yuan by 2029 [1] - The industry remains fragmented, with the top nine listed companies accounting for less than 6% of the market share as of 2022, indicating significant growth potential [1] Company Profile: 如慕令 - 如慕令, founded in late 2024, focuses on reinterpreting mousse cakes within a Chinese cultural context, integrating elements from traditional poetry and architecture into its designs, appealing to local consumer sentiments [5][9] - The brand targets younger consumers who view cakes as emotional products, emphasizing the importance of aesthetic appeal and cultural significance in their offerings [5][8] Product Strategy - 如慕令's cakes are designed with cultural symbols that convey specific meanings, such as "prosperity" and "peace," making them more relatable and meaningful to consumers [8][9] - The company emphasizes health by offering "0-calorie" options using sugar substitutes like erythritol, catering to health-conscious consumers who seek both taste and lower calorie intake [9] Business Model Innovation - The company utilizes a "cold chain" logistics model, allowing for standardized production in a central kitchen and consistent quality across locations, which is a departure from traditional baking methods that rely heavily on skilled labor [10][11] - 如慕令 adopts a "S2B2C" model, partnering with local bakeries to distribute its products, thus creating a network of small stores that can offer standardized cakes without extensive training or investment [11][12] Market Potential and Growth Plans - The cold baking market in China has significant growth potential, with only 10% penetration as of 2020, compared to higher rates in Japan and North America [10] - 如慕令 plans to expand rapidly, aiming to open 100 stores within two years and achieve monthly revenues exceeding 8 million yuan, with a current goal of raising 2.5 million yuan in angel funding [13]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "In line with the market," indicating that the industry index is expected to fluctuate between -10% to 10% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [58]. Core Insights - The food and beverage sector showed a slight increase, primarily affected by the decline in the liquor segment. In May 2025, the sector's overall performance was a 0.25% increase, with significant net outflows from major funds totaling 15.43 billion yuan, while small investors showed a net inflow of 15.57 billion yuan, indicating a positive sentiment among retail investors [5][7]. - The valuation of the food and beverage sector has decreased slightly, currently at 21.50 times earnings, which is at a ten-year historical low. The liquor segment's valuation is even lower at 19.06 times [18][23]. - In May 2025, over 70% of the listed companies in the food and beverage sector saw their stock prices rise, with notable increases in other liquor, health products, snacks, dairy, and soft drinks [23][24]. - Investment in the food and beverage manufacturing sector has continued to grow significantly, with fixed asset investments in food manufacturing up 16.6% year-on-year as of April 2025, compared to a 4% increase in overall social fixed asset investments [27][31]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The food and beverage sector experienced a slight increase of 0.25% in May 2025, heavily influenced by the liquor segment's decline. Major funds saw a net outflow of 15.43 billion yuan, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 15.57 billion yuan [5][7]. - The sector's performance was better than the same period last year, with significant gains in other liquor, health products, soft drinks, baking, and pre-processed foods, which rose by 20.71%, 19.62%, 10.99%, 8.25%, and 6.42% respectively [8][11]. 2. Valuation - As of May 31, 2025, the food and beverage sector's valuation is at 21.50 times earnings, slightly down from 21.59 times the previous month, marking a ten-year low. The liquor segment's valuation is at 19.06 times, while health products, snacks, and other segments exceed 30 times [18][23]. 3. Individual Stock Performance - In May 2025, 90 out of 127 listed companies in the food and beverage sector reported stock price increases, with a rise rate of 70.87%. Notable performers included companies in the liquor, health products, dairy, and snack sectors [23][24]. 4. Investment Trends - The food and beverage manufacturing sector's investment growth has continued to exceed the overall social investment growth, with fixed asset investments in food manufacturing up 16.6% year-on-year as of April 2025 [27][31]. - The report recommends focusing on investment opportunities in soft drinks, health products, baking, beer, and snacks for June 2025, highlighting the potential for growth in these segments [52][55].

Core Insights - The emergence of corn egg tarts has sparked significant attention due to their high price point, with some brands pricing them at 48 yuan each, leading to discussions about value for money and market positioning [1][3][4] - The market for baked goods is experiencing dynamic changes, with a high rate of new store openings and closures, indicating a competitive landscape where both premium and budget brands are vying for consumer attention [7][8] Pricing and Consumer Behavior - The pricing of corn egg tarts has become a hot topic, with some consumers finding the 48 yuan price tag excessive, while others appreciate the taste despite the cost [3][4] - Online platforms show a wide range of prices for corn egg tarts, with many stores offering them between 9 to 20 yuan, indicating a shift towards more affordable options [4][5] Market Trends and Innovations - The corn egg tart's success is attributed to its unique flavor profile and the novelty it brings to the traditional tart market, appealing to consumers' desire for new experiences [5][6] - Social media has played a crucial role in amplifying the popularity of corn egg tarts, with platforms like Douyin and Xiaohongshu driving consumer interest and engagement [5][6] Industry Growth and Future Outlook - The baking industry is projected to grow, with estimates suggesting a market size of 1,160 billion yuan by 2025, driven by increasing consumer demand for baked goods as part of emotional wellness [7][8] - The competitive landscape is characterized by a "pyramid pricing structure," where premium brands coexist with budget-friendly options, catering to diverse consumer needs [8][9] Brand Strategies and Consumer Preferences - Brands are focusing on balancing quality and price to attract consumers, with high-end brands needing to enhance their unique selling propositions while budget brands must ensure consistent quality [9][10] - Digital capabilities are identified as a common area for improvement across both high-end and budget brands, emphasizing the need for better data-driven operations and customer engagement strategies [10]

以下文章来源于剁椒Spicy ，作者剁椒团队 剁椒Spicy . 专注于电商、营销、流量生态，以及消费者洞察的全新商业自媒体 本文来自微信公众号： 剁椒Spicy ，作者：Mia，原文标题：《谁杀死了面包第一股？一场由山姆、 711、三只松鼠们发动的绞杀》，头图来自：AI生成 2025年第一季度财报犹如一记重锤。数据显示，桃李面包营收同比暴跌14.2%至12.01亿元，归母净 利润更是雪崩式下滑27.07%，仅剩8403.72万元，毛利率与净利率也双双跳水，创下上市以来最惨烈 单季表现。 | 单位: | | --- | | 元 币种: | | 人民币 | | 项目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | 本报告期比上年同期 增减变动幅度(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 1, 201, 171, 488. 40 | 1, 400, 002, 318. 86 | -14. 20 | | 归属于上市公司股东的净利润 | 84, 037, 214. 32 | 115, 230, 925. 14 | -27.07 | | 归属于上市公司股东的扣除非 经常性损益的净利润 | 79, ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the unprecedented challenges faced by the once-dominant bakery brand, Tao Li Bread, indicating a significant decline in its market position and financial performance [1][11][10]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Tao Li Bread reported a revenue drop of 14.2% year-on-year to 1.201 billion yuan, with net profit plummeting by 27.07% to 84.04 million yuan, marking the worst quarterly performance since its listing [2][3]. - From 2021 to 2024, the company's revenue growth rate fell from 6.24% to -9.93%, and net profit has been declining for four consecutive years [3][12]. Market Dynamics - The traditional packaged bread market is experiencing a "mid-life crisis," with Tao Li's struggles reflecting broader industry challenges, including competition from fresh-baked goods and convenience store offerings [10][8]. - The market is becoming increasingly fragmented, with new brands like A1 Snack Research Institute and Xiao Bai Xin Li Ruan gaining traction, while established brands like Dali and Man Ke Dun are facing significant setbacks [26][19][4]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape is shifting, with convenience stores and new entrants offering fresh products that appeal to consumers, thereby eroding the market share of traditional brands like Tao Li [8][36]. - Tao Li's reliance on traditional supermarket channels is becoming a liability, as evidenced by a net loss of 144 distributors in 2024, highlighting the need for adaptation to new market realities [15][14]. Consumer Preferences - Consumer perceptions are changing, with a growing acceptance of medium and long-shelf-life products, challenging the traditional notion that "short shelf-life equals freshness" [27][20]. - New brands are leveraging innovative marketing and product differentiation to capture market share, while traditional brands struggle with product innovation and adaptation [30][29]. Industry Trends - The industry is witnessing a shift from industrialized production to scenario-based competition, necessitating traditional brands to rethink their strategies to survive [10][39]. - The rise of self-branded products in convenience stores and supermarkets is further intensifying competition, as these products often offer better pricing and perceived value [32][34]. Future Directions - The article suggests that the future of the packaged bread industry lies in exploring new consumer scenarios and adapting to changing market dynamics, rather than relying solely on traditional distribution channels [46][51]. - Brands are encouraged to innovate in product offerings and marketing strategies to better align with consumer needs and preferences in a rapidly evolving market [47][50].

值得注意的是，这并非个案。在其他网红烘焙店中，类似开放式陈列现象普遍存在，部分商家虽采取塑料膜覆盖或玻璃隔断，但仍难以完全避免食品暴露风 险。 近日，上海网红面包店"伦敦烘焙小镇"因食品卫生问题被监管部门要求整改，引发公众对网红餐饮行业食品安全管理的关注。 据网友爆料显示，"伦敦烘焙小镇"位于静安区吴江路的旗舰店内，大量面包、蛋糕直接裸露在开放式货架上，未采取任何防尘措施，存在明显的卫生隐患。 随后，市场监管部门介入调查，确认该店部分区域食品防尘措施不完善，要求其立即整改。据智通财经报道，记者走访发现，面包区已加装透明防尘罩，但 蛋糕区仍处于"裸卖"状态。店员解释称，蛋糕区的防护措施将"尽快落实"，但整改进度显然未能一步到位。 伦敦烘焙小镇凭借"英伦风"装修和高颜值产品迅速走红，开业初期甚至出现排队抢购的盛况。然而，消费者的热情背后，食品安全问题却被忽视。有顾客坦 言，此前购买时并未在意食品裸露问题，直到监管部门介入才意识到潜在风险。 显然，部分商家为营造"新鲜现制"的消费体验，刻意采用开放式陈列，但这不应成为牺牲食品安全的理由。未来，行业或需在透明防护、店员取货等模式上 寻求平衡，既满足消费者对"食欲刺激" ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the innovative dessert shop "Cream or Cruller," founded by renowned chef Ryohta Hirako, which combines elements of cream puffs and French crullers into a new dessert category called "choux Cruller" [1][5][19]. Summary by Sections Introduction to the Chef and New Store - Ryohta Hirako, a creative Italian chef, partnered with another legendary baker to establish "AMAM DACOTAN" and later opened "I'm Donut?" focusing on visually appealing and trendy desserts [1][3]. New Dessert Concept - "Cream or Cruller," opening on May 2, 2025, in Shibuya, specializes in a new dessert called "choux Cruller," which merges the soft texture of cream puffs with the spiral shape of crullers [3][5][6]. Characteristics of Choux Cruller - The choux Cruller features a soft outer shell and a caramelized bottom, with a unique dough that combines cream puff and French pastry elements, available in original and cocoa flavors [6][8][10]. Unique Selling Proposition - The dessert is designed for on-the-go consumption, being small and easy to eat, with a focus on different dipping sauces that enhance the tasting experience [10][12][30]. Minimalist Approach - The shop adopts a minimalist philosophy, stripping down desserts to their essential components, allowing for a focus on flavor and texture rather than excessive decoration [20][22][24]. Market Trends - The article notes a shift in Tokyo's dessert scene towards "lightweight" aesthetics, favoring simplicity and the natural flavors of ingredients over elaborate designs [26][29]. Consumer Preferences - The trend of "grab-and-go" desserts is highlighted, with products designed for easy consumption in various settings, appealing to younger generations who prefer low-burden eating experiences [30][31]. Social Media and Branding - The packaging and presentation of the desserts are crafted to enhance social media appeal, encouraging customers to share their experiences online [16][33][35].