证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电网设备 四方股份（601126） 2025 年一季报点评：盈利能力提升，业绩略 超市场预期 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 5,751 | 6,951 | 8,327 | 9,809 | 11,408 | | 同比（%） | 13.24 | 20.86 | 19.80 | 17.79 | 16.31 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 627.21 | 715.59 | 884.78 | 1,055.06 | 1,238.28 | | 同比（%） | 15.46 | 14.09 | 23.64 | 19.25 | 17.37 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.75 | 0.86 | 1.06 | 1.27 | 1.49 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 21.36 | 18.72 | 15.14 | 12.70 | 10.82 | [关键词： Table_ ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [5]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 57.42 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.61 billion yuan, up 6.06% year-on-year [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from increased investment in China's power grid and the acceleration of digitalization in the sector, with projected revenues of 64.55 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth of 12.42% [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 57.42 billion yuan, a growth of 11.15% compared to 2023, and a net profit of 7.61 billion yuan, up 6.06% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 8.89 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 14.76% [1]. Business Segments - The smart grid business generated revenue of 28.47 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 10.70% year-on-year, with a gross margin increase of 0.61 percentage points to 29.52% [2]. - The energy low-carbon business saw significant growth, with revenue reaching 12.19 billion yuan, up 26.43% year-on-year, although its gross margin decreased by 0.94 percentage points to 22.98% [3]. Market Expansion - The company signed new contracts worth 66.32 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 13.78%, with domestic revenue growing by 7.76% to 54.04 billion yuan [4]. - Internationally, the company achieved a revenue of 3.28 billion yuan, a remarkable growth of 135.14% year-on-year [4]. Profitability and Valuation - The report forecasts net profits of 8.47 billion yuan, 9.39 billion yuan, and 10.35 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.06 yuan, 1.17 yuan, and 1.29 yuan [6]. - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 22, 20, and 18 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [6].

盈利预测：我们预计2025-2027 年公司EPS 分别为1.54、1.88、2.32 元，PE 分别为24、19、16 倍，维 持"买入"评级。 风险提示：需求走弱、竞争加剧造成盈利能力下降、地缘政治和汇率风险等。 业绩显著超预期，增长有数量更有质量。1）根据公司公告，2025Q1 实现营收5.55 亿元、同比增长 23.96%；归母净利润1.39 亿元、同比增长25.33%；扣非后为1.37 亿元、同比增长26.22%；经营性净现 金流为0.80 亿元、同比增长38.29%，业绩显著超出市场预期。盈利能力方面，2025Q1 公司毛利率为 41.61%，同比微降0.28 个百分点（2024Q1 为41.89%）；净利率为25.09%，同比提升0.30 个百分点 （2024Q1 为24.79%）；ROE 为4.28%，同比提升0.43 个百分点（2024Q1 为3.85%），总结来看，公司 2025Q1 业绩超预期，增长有数量、更有质量。2）订单方面，2025Q1 公司新签合同7.77 亿元、同比增 长30.4%；截至2025Q1 末，公司在手订单合计41.08亿元（公司2024 年收入为27.45 亿元、订 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for 2024 and Q1 2025, with significant growth in revenue and net profit, indicating robust business development across various sectors [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 59.984 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.769 billion yuan, up 28.6% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 13.268 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.6%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 24.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 557 million yuan, up 8.5% year-on-year and 22.6% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Business Segment Performance - The company's business segments showed varied performance in 2024: - Optical Communication: Revenue of 6.562 billion yuan, down 11.0%, with a gross margin of 25.59%, down 3.77 percentage points [2]. - Smart Grid: Revenue of 22.184 billion yuan, up 14.7%, with a gross margin of 12.58%, down 0.99 percentage points [2]. - Marine Energy and Communication: Revenue of 5.738 billion yuan, up 69.6%, with a gross margin of 33.53%, up 1.91 percentage points [2]. - Industrial and New Energy Intelligence: Revenue of 6.766 billion yuan, up 18.1%, with a gross margin of 13.27%, down 1.86 percentage points [2]. - Copper Conductor: Revenue of 15.007 billion yuan, up 50.9%, with a gross margin of 1.15%, down 1.16 percentage points [2]. - In Q1 2025, the company maintained steady growth in its ultra-high voltage, smart grid, industrial and new energy intelligence, and marine energy and communication sectors, contributing to a significant increase in net profit [2]. Order Backlog and Market Outlook - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company had a substantial order backlog, including approximately 18 billion yuan in orders for subsea cables, marine engineering, and land cable products, and around 8 billion yuan for marine communication projects [3]. - The offshore wind sector is expected to see a recovery in demand, with several projects ready to commence construction in 2025, which may lead to further growth for the company [3]. - The company has recently won multiple contracts in the offshore wind and marine oil and gas sectors, totaling 1.133 billion yuan [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the offshore wind sector and the steady development of its various business lines. Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 3.467 billion yuan, 4.246 billion yuan, and 4.772 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE multiples of 11x, 9x, and 8x [4].

《通知》明确，推动民营企业公平参与市场。健全市场准入制度，推进油气管网运销分离，引导民 营企业更便捷进入油气市场竞争性环节；优化许可条件，支持民营施工企业积极参与电网建设。 徐欣：强化要素保障，将低压办电"零投资"服务对象拓展至160千瓦及以下民营用电企业；加大电 网、油气管网能源公共服务企业的信息公开力度，更好支撑投资决策；探索拓宽融资渠道。规范市场秩 序，健全能源领域公平竞争审查制度；督促管网设施运营企业公平开放；加强市场监管，为民营企业公 平参与能源市场营造良好环境。 央广网北京4月29日消息（记者冯烁）据中央广播电视总台中国之声《新闻和报纸摘要》报道， 《国家能源局关于促进能源领域民营经济发展若干举措的通知》（以下简称《通知》）28日正式发布。 通知提出，要促进能源领域民营经济加快发展，引导民营经济在推进能源绿色低碳转型和建设新型能源 体系中做大做优做强。 《通知》明确支持民营企业提升发展动能。支持投资能源基础设施，支持民营企业参股核电，投资 水电、油气储备设施、油气管网、"沙戈荒"大基地等能源重大项目。支持发展能源新业态新模式，支持 民营企业积极投资新型储能、虚拟电厂、充电基础设施、智能微电网等创新 ...

葡萄牙电网运营商REN表示，由于西班牙内陆的极端温度变化，高压线路（400千伏）出现了异常振 荡，这种现象被称为"诱发大气振动"。这些振动导致电力系统之间的同步失效，引发了欧洲联网网络连 续的故障。 ...

西班牙电网运营商将于当地时间下午2:30举行新闻发布会。 ...

21世纪经济报道记者费心懿 实习生余名伟 上海报道 近期，科陆电子（002121.SZ）发布2025年一季报。从净利润表现来看，这是近三年科陆电子创下的最 好的单季表现。 今年一季度，公司营业总收入12.14亿元，同比上升16.20%；归母净利润6745.09万元，同比上升 857.45%，主要原因是非经常性损益项目如政府补助和应收款项减值准备转回的贡献。 甩掉历史包袱轻装上阵 2018-2019年，由于大规模激进扩张，科陆电子遭遇重大挫折。关键时刻，深圳资本集团出手相助，使 公司在2020年短暂实现盈利。可惜好景不长，公司随后又重新陷入亏损的局面。 2022年5月，美的集团（000333.SZ）发布公告，宣布将收购科陆电子，布局储能赛道。到了2023年6 月，美的集团完成相关交易，正式成为科陆电子的重要股东，持股比例达22.79%，为这家老牌企业的 发展注入新动能。 2024年，科陆电子营业收入为44.31亿元，同比增长5.50%。尤其在第四季度，公司营业收入达到15.3亿 元，同比上升78.5%。净利润较2023年亏损额明显缩窄。 虽然营收实现增长，但公司净利润仍为负值，归属于上市公司股东的净利润亏损4. ...

| 报告期指标 | 2025年一季报 | 2024年一季报 | 本年比上年增减(%) | 2023年一季报 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益（元） | 0.0902 | 0.0756 | 19.31 | 0.0573 | | 每股净资产（元） | 3.9 | 3.49 | 11.75 | 3.15 | | 每股公积金(元) | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0 | 0.86 | | 每股未分配利润(元) | 1.95 | 1.56 | 25 | 1.24 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | - | - | - | - | | 营业收入(亿元) | 14.06 | 12.78 | 10.02 | 11.5 | | 净利润(亿元) | 1.21 | 1.01 | 19.8 | 0.77 | | 净资产收益率(%) | 2.34 | 2.19 | 6.85 | 1.83 | 数据四舍五入，查看更多财务数据>> 二、前10名无限售条件股东持股情况 一、主要会计数据和财务指标 | 名称 | 持有数量(万股) | 占总股本 | 增减情 况(万 | | --- | --- | ...

目标估值： 当前股价：72.75 元 基础数据 证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 04 月 28 日 思源电气（002028.SZ） 订单增长强劲，海外业务亮眼 中游制造/电力设备及新能源 公司公告 2024 实现营业收入、归母净利润、扣非净利润 154.58、20.49、18.78 亿 元，同比增长 24.06%、31.42%、32.19%。25Q1 实现营业收入、归母净利润、扣 非净利润 32.27、4.46、4.37 亿元，同比增长 21.41%、22.91%、28.1%。 ❑ 风险提示：电网投资波动、新业务风险、海外业务风险。 财务数据与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 12460 | 15458 | 18637 | 22361 | 26572 | | 同比增长 | 18% | 24% | 21% | 20% | 19% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 1778 | 2432 | 3060 | 3684 | 4339 | ...