Group 1 - The news regarding the collective production cut of 30% by leading domestic photovoltaic glass companies starting in July is confirmed, which will accelerate capacity clearance and promote sustainable and healthy development of the industry [1] - The competition in the domestic photovoltaic glass industry is intensifying, while the significant demand in overseas markets provides a broad development space for photovoltaic glass companies [1] - The company’s board has recently approved a proposal to invest in a production line project in the UAE with an annual capacity of 500,000 tons of photovoltaic glass, aiming to leverage local resource advantages and enhance its core technological strengths in the photovoltaic glass sector [1]

周度报告——光伏玻璃 亏损程度明显加深，光伏玻璃行业减产持续 [T报ab告le_日R期an：k] 2025 年 7 月 1 日 ★光伏玻璃基本面周度表现（截至 2025/6/27 当周）： 截至 6 月 27 日，国内光伏玻璃 2.0mm 镀膜（面板）主流价格 为 11 元/平米，环比上周持平；3.2mm 镀膜主流价格为 18 元/ 平米，亦环比上周持平。当前光伏玻璃价格创历史新低，市场竞 争加剧。 上周国内光伏玻璃供应端继续减产，无光伏玻璃产线冷修，有三 家企业堵窑口减产，合计堵窑口 10 个。随着行业库存压力持续 累积，亏损程度加深将继续对生产企业生产计划造成负面影响。 能 源 目前光伏玻璃需求端仍偏弱，月末阶段订单明显不足。本周进入 7 月份，需求表现预计与 6 月份相比波动不大。 化 工 上周处于月末阶段，订单明显不足，行业库存增幅加大，短期供 大于需的局面难以扭转，累库趋势仍将延续。 上周行业毛利润大幅下滑，亏损程度进一步加深。近期行业累库 压力逐步加剧，部分企业低价加速抢单出货，光伏玻璃利润水平 持续下滑。 ★ 供需分析： 随着行业亏损程度持续加深，将倒逼光伏玻璃企业加速减产冷 修，7 月份需求表 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core View of the Report - The current market as a whole shows signs of breaking through the previous range and starting to move upwards. For futures trading, a long - biased strategy is recommended for stock index futures, and buying options is suggested for stock index options. In the long - term, A - shares are considered to have high investment value, with CSI 500 and CSI 1000 having more growth potential due to science and innovation policies, while SSE 50 and CSI 300 are more defensive in the current macro - environment [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Stock Index Futures Market - **IF Futures**: The previous day's closing prices of IF contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and far - quarter) were 3906.40, 3893.20, 3885.80, and 3855.60 respectively, with price increases of 10.80, 8.80, 7.60, and 6.60 and increases of 0.28%, 0.23%, 0.20%, and 0.17%. The trading volumes were 30836.00, 2035.00, 40077.00, and 6044.00, and the open interests were 65471.00, 3682.00, 135428.00, and 40026.00, with decreases of 4640.00, 344.00, 3939.00, and 618.00 respectively [1] - **IH Futures**: The previous day's closing prices of IH contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and far - quarter) were 2693.00, 2689.00, 2689.00, and 2690.00 respectively, with price increases of 8.80, 7.60, 7.20, and 7.00 and increases of 0.33%, 0.28%, 0.27%, and 0.26%. The trading volumes were 14261.00, 855.00, 22994.00, and 2568.00, and the open interests were 26401.00, 1756.00, 49133.00, and 8551.00, with decreases of 4124.00, 235.00, 3937.00, and 298.00 respectively [1] - **IC Futures**: The previous day's closing prices of IC contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and far - quarter) were 5863.00, 5818.80, 5768.80, and 5650.00 respectively, with price increases of 33.20, 25.80, 20.40, and 15.00 and increases of 0.57%, 0.45%, 0.35%, and 0.27%. The trading volumes were 32984.00, 3036.00, 27514.00, and 7769.00, and the open interests were 73467.00, 4820.00, 91475.00, and 51599.00, with changes of - 4070.00, 17.00, - 3076.00, and - 649.00 respectively [1] - **IM Futures**: The previous day's closing prices of IM contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and far - quarter) were 6283.00, 6220.60, 6148.60, and 5973.20 respectively, with price increases of 48.40, 42.40, 29.80, and 20.60 and increases of 0.78%, 0.69%, 0.49%, and 0.35%. The trading volumes were 53137.00, 4220.00, 94541.00, and 20114.00, and the open interests were 82875.00, 7270.00, 158728.00, and 68772.00, with changes of - 9504.00, 449.00, - 9029.00, and - 1081.00 respectively [1] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The current inter - month spreads of IF, IH, IC, and IM were - 13.20, - 4.00, - 44.20, and - 62.40 respectively, compared to previous values of - 9.60, - 4.40, - 37.20, and - 56.20 [1] 3.2 Stock Index Spot Market - **CSI 300 Index**: The previous value of the index was 3936.08, with a trading volume of 145.17 billion lots and a total trading value of 2888.21 billion yuan. The value two days ago was 3921.76, with a trading volume of 194.56 billion lots and a total trading value of 3434.68 billion yuan. The increase was 0.37% [1] - **SSE 50 Index**: The previous value of the index was 2711.99, with a trading volume of 38.31 billion lots and a total trading value of 764.64 billion yuan. The value two days ago was 2707.57, with a trading volume of 57.08 billion lots and a total trading value of 957.14 billion yuan. The increase was 0.16% [1] - **CSI 500 Index**: The previous value of the index was 5915.39, with a trading volume of 166.28 billion lots and a total trading value of 2265.17 billion yuan. The value two days ago was 5863.73, with a trading volume of 199.39 billion lots and a total trading value of 2433.03 billion yuan. The increase was 0.88% [1] - **CSI 1000 Index**: The previous value of the index was 6356.18, with a trading volume of 237.32 billion lots and a total trading value of 3362.21 billion yuan. The value two days ago was 6276.94, with a trading volume of 248.56 billion lots and a total trading value of 3304.55 billion yuan. The increase was 1.26% [1] - **CSI 300 Industry Index**: Different industries had different performance. For example, the energy, raw materials, industry, and optional consumption sectors had increases of 0.11%, 0.02%, 0.99%, and - 0.01% respectively; the main consumption, medical and health, real - estate finance, and information technology sectors had increases of 0.29%, 0.87%, - 0.44%, and 1.06% respectively; the telecommunications and public utilities sectors had increases of 1.95% and 0.01% respectively [1] 3.3 Basis between Futures and Spot - **IF Basis**: The previous values of the basis between IF contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and far - quarter) and the CSI 300 index were - 29.68, - 42.88, - 50.28, and - 80.48 respectively, compared to values of - 29.76, - 39.36, - 45.16, and - 75.36 two days ago [1] - **IH Basis**: The previous values of the basis between IH contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and far - quarter) and the SSE 50 index were - 18.99, - 22.99, - 22.99, and - 21.99 respectively, compared to values of - 23.17, - 27.57, - 27.57, and - 25.77 two days ago [1] - **IC Basis**: The previous values of the basis between IC contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and far - quarter) and the CSI 500 index were - 52.39, - 96.59, - 146.59, and - 265.39 respectively, compared to values of - 36.73, - 73.93, - 118.73, and - 232.13 two days ago [1] - **IM Basis**: The previous values of the basis between IM contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and far - quarter) and the CSI 1000 index were - 73.18, - 135.58, - 207.58, and - 382.98 respectively, compared to values of - 46.74, - 102.94, - 166.14, and - 333.94 two days ago [1] 3.4 Other Domestic and Overseas Indexes - **Domestic Indexes**: The Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, Small and Medium - cap Board Index, and ChiNext Index had increases of 0.59%, 0.83%, 0.87%, and 1.35% respectively [1] - **Overseas Indexes**: The Hang Seng Index, Nikkei 225, S&P Index, and DAX Index had changes of - 0.87%, 0.84%, 0.52%, and - 0.51% respectively [1] 3.5 Macro Information - In June, China's manufacturing, non - manufacturing, and composite PMIs were 49.7%, 50.5%, and 50.7% respectively, up 0.2, 0.2, and 0.3 percentage points from the previous month. The PMIs of the equipment manufacturing, high - tech manufacturing, and consumer goods industries were in the expansion range for two consecutive months [2] - From January 1, 2025, to December 31, 2028, overseas investors who use the profits distributed by Chinese domestic resident enterprises for domestic direct investment can, if meeting the conditions, offset 10% of the investment amount against the current year's taxable amount [2] - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange issued the identification criteria for "light - asset, high - R & D investment" on the ChiNext. About 200 listed companies meeting the criteria, mainly in strategic emerging industries such as information technology and biomedicine, are no longer subject to the 30% limit of supplementary working capital for raised funds [2] - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange issued investment quotas of $3.08 billion to some qualified domestic institutional investors (QDII) [2] 3.6 Industry Information - Starting from July 1, 2025, anti - dumping duties of 20.2% - 103.1% will continue to be imposed on imported stainless - steel billets and hot - rolled stainless - steel sheets/coils from the EU, the UK, South Korea, and Indonesia for a period of 5 years [2] - The movie "Ne Zha: Rebirth of the Demon Child" ended with a domestic box office of 154.45 billion yuan and 324 million viewers, and the global box office exceeded 159 billion yuan [2] - From January to June, the total sales of the top 100 real - estate enterprises were 1836.41 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 11.8%, and the decline in June was 18.5% year - on - year, with the decline rate widening [2] - Domestic leading photovoltaic glass enterprises plan to cut production by 30% starting from July, and it is expected that the domestic supply of photovoltaic glass will decline rapidly [2]

Macro Economic Group - In June, China's manufacturing PMI was 49.7%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, with large enterprises at 51.2%, medium enterprises at 48.6%, and small enterprises at 47.3%, indicating a significant divergence in economic sentiment among different scales of enterprises [3][4] - The production index for June was 51%, up 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, while new orders rose to 50.2%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points, suggesting stronger domestic demand compared to external demand [3][4] - The non-manufacturing PMI for June was 50.5%, a rise of 0.2 percentage points, with the service sector at 50.1% and construction at 52.8%, indicating a slight recovery in the service and construction industries [4] Industry Comprehensive Group - Major domestic photovoltaic glass companies plan to collectively reduce production by 30% starting in July, leading to a projected decline in domestic glass production to around 45GW, which may not significantly improve the supply-demand relationship in the industry [7] - The photovoltaic installation is expected to decline significantly after June 30, as the on-grid electricity price for new installations will enter a competitive market pricing mechanism [7] Advanced Manufacturing Group - BYD has suspended its price war, effective July 1, due to diminishing returns from previous price cuts and regulatory pressures, marking a shift in the competitive landscape of the new energy vehicle market from price competition to a focus on technology and efficiency [10] - The industry is expected to continue facing price wars until the end of the year due to high product homogeneity and weak domestic demand [11] Consumer Group - Sanhua Intelligent Controls announced a revenue forecast for the first half of 2025 between 15.04 billion to 17.78 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 10% to 30%, with net profit expected to be between 1.89 billion to 2.27 billion yuan, a growth of 25% to 50% [13] - The air conditioning market showed strong growth in April and May, with offline retail sales increasing by 12.2% and 38.7%, and online sales rising by 34.8% and 46%, indicating a likely further increase in demand due to seasonal factors [13]

安徽头部光伏玻璃企业1800吨/天窑炉减产 金十期货7月1日讯，据SMM了解，近日安徽地区两座窑炉合计产能1800吨/天窑炉正式减产，7月首轮 减产行动开始，预计近期江西、安徽地区仍有窑炉堵口，减产。 ...

Market Trends - The domestic market indices showed positive performance with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,444.43, up by 0.59%, indicating an expected improvement in supply and demand conditions [4] Agricultural Industry - The agricultural sector saw a weekly increase in the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index by 1.95%, with the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector rising by 0.80% [9] - Pig prices increased week-on-week, with average prices in key provinces such as Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan at 13.90, 15.94, and 14.88 CNY/kg respectively, reflecting increases of 1.46%, 2.57%, and 3.48% [9] - The report highlights the potential for Hai Da Group as an investment opportunity due to expected recovery in the feed industry driven by lower raw material prices and improving breeding conditions [7][9] Chemical Pharmaceutical Industry - BGB-43395, a CDK4 inhibitor developed by BeiGene, shows promising initial efficacy and safety in treating previously treated breast cancer and solid tumor patients [10] - The drug exhibits high selectivity for CDK4 and is expected to enter Phase III trials for HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer, with the second-line study anticipated to start in Q4 2025 [10][11] - The global market for CDK4/6 inhibitors is projected to reach approximately $13 billion by 2024, indicating significant growth potential for BGB-43395 [10] Textile and Apparel Industry - Bosideng reported a revenue of 25.902 billion CNY for FY2024/25, a year-on-year increase of 11.6%, with a net profit of 3.514 billion CNY, up 14.3% [11][15] - The brand's down jacket business showed steady growth, with revenue from this segment reaching 21.668 billion CNY, a 11.0% increase year-on-year [11] - The company opened 253 new stores, enhancing its operational capabilities and channel management [12][15] Photovoltaic Glass Industry - Major photovoltaic glass manufacturers plan to collectively reduce production by 30% starting in July, which is expected to improve the supply-demand balance in the market [14][16] - The report recommends leading photovoltaic glass companies such as Fuyao Glass and Xinyi Solar as potential investment opportunities due to anticipated improvements in market conditions [14]

Market Overview - US stock markets collectively rose, with the Nasdaq up 0.47%, Dow Jones up 0.63%, and S&P 500 up 0.52% [1] - Notable stock performances include Apple rising 2.03%, Meta Platforms increasing 0.61% (setting a new closing record), and declines in Google A by 1.31%, Amazon by 1.75%, and Tesla by 1.84% [1] Domestic Major Events - The market showed resilience with the Shanghai Composite Index rebounding after just one day of adjustment, indicating a potential continuation of index fluctuations and sector rotations [3] Industry Insights Huawei Industry Chain - Huawei announced the open-sourcing of its Pangu models with 70 billion and 720 billion parameters, showcasing significant advancements in AI model performance [4] - The introduction of the Pro MoE 72B model is noted for its innovative design that allows for high performance with fewer activated parameters, comparable to larger models [4] Industrial Internet - New policies aimed at enhancing financial services for new industrialization are expected to be introduced, focusing on strategic emerging industries and high-tech manufacturing [5] - The integration of AI, big data, and cloud computing with advanced manufacturing is emphasized as a key driver for economic recovery and industrial transformation [5] Photovoltaic Industry - Major domestic photovoltaic glass manufacturers plan to collectively reduce production by 30% starting July to address supply-demand imbalances, with July production expected to drop to approximately 45 GW [6][7] - The average net profit in the photovoltaic glass industry has fallen to a historical low of negative 362 yuan per ton, highlighting the industry's challenging profitability landscape [6][7] Foldable Screen Market - Honor is set to launch the AI foldable flagship Magic V5, which is claimed to be the lightest and most advanced foldable smartphone [7] - The Chinese foldable smartphone market is projected to hold about 40% of the global market share, with expected shipments exceeding 17 million units by 2028 [8] Company Announcements - Han Yu Pharmaceutical expects a net profit of 142 million to 162 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from a loss in the previous year [11] - Various companies, including 合金投资 and 杭州高新, are undergoing significant share transfers and stock repurchases, indicating active corporate restructuring [12] New Stock Offerings - Tongyu New Materials is set to launch an IPO on the ChiNext board with a subscription price of 84 yuan per share [9]

Gaming Industry - The issuance of gaming licenses in China remains high, with 757 domestic game licenses issued in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of over 20% [1] - Key projects such as "Douluo Dalu: Soul Master Battle" by Kaiying Network and "Endless Cultivation" by Giant Network have received new licenses, indicating a recovery in the gaming sector [1] - The application of AI technology in gaming is becoming clearer, with expectations for more AI-native games to emerge, driving a revaluation of the gaming industry [1] Stablecoins - Hong Kong is accelerating the application of stablecoin policies to address long-standing issues in cross-border payments, aiming to enhance service to the real economy [2] - Stablecoins are seen as a cost-effective alternative in the traditional financial system, with potential to transform payment and capital market activities [2] - The stablecoin industry is expected to enter a period of compliant development as global regulatory policies are implemented [2] Foldable Phones - Honor is set to launch the Honor Magic V5, touted as the world's lightest and thinnest foldable phone, featuring advanced AI capabilities [3] - The Chinese foldable phone market is projected to maintain a 40% global market share, with shipments expected to exceed 17 million units by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 19.8% over the next five years [3] - Apple's entry into the foldable phone market is anticipated to boost global sales and drive innovation in the foldable supply chain [3] Regenerative Medicine - Chinese scientists have made a significant breakthrough in regenerative medicine by discovering a key "molecular switch" that regulates mammalian regeneration, marking a major original innovation [4] - The aging population in China is driving clinical demand for regenerative medicine, with technologies like stem cell therapy and 3D bioprinting entering a phase of clinical transformation [4] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has identified regenerative medicine as a strategic emerging industry, indicating strong government support [4] Innovative Pharmaceuticals - The National Healthcare Security Administration is set to announce measures to support the high-quality development of innovative drugs, which is expected to benefit domestic innovative pharmaceutical companies significantly [5] - The Chinese innovative drug market is projected to exceed 1.22 trillion yuan by 2025, with an annual growth rate of 8.53% [5] - The implementation of policies to support innovative drug development is expected to accelerate the commercialization of new drugs, with 2025 potentially marking a turning point for profitability in the sector [5] Solid Waste Management - A nationwide campaign has been launched to address illegal dumping of solid waste, focusing on hazardous waste and construction debris [6] - The solid waste management industry is experiencing a dual boost from policy support and technological upgrades, with significant market expansion expected [6] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the importance of solid waste management as a pillar of the environmental protection industry [6] AI in Healthcare - Shanghai Ruijin Hospital has open-sourced its RuiPath pathology model, covering seven common cancer types, and initiated a global multi-center plan [7] - The integration of AI technology in healthcare is rapidly transforming the industry, with major tech companies accelerating their investments in AI healthcare solutions [7] - The development of large models in AI is expected to bring revolutionary changes to various medical applications, driving the intelligent upgrade of the healthcare industry [7] Photovoltaic Glass - Major domestic photovoltaic glass companies plan to collectively reduce production by 30% starting in July to alleviate supply-demand imbalances [8][10] - The average net profit of the photovoltaic glass industry has dropped to a historical low, indicating severe profitability challenges [8] - The production reduction is expected to improve market conditions and help companies find a new equilibrium in supply and demand [8][10]

Group 1: IPO Market - In the first half of the year, 134 companies were accepted for IPOs in A-shares, a year-on-year increase of 362.07% [1] - The Beijing Stock Exchange was the main contributor with 83 companies accepted, followed by the ChiNext (19), Sci-Tech Innovation Board (15), Shenzhen Main Board (9), and Shanghai Main Board (8) [1] - June was a significant month for IPOs, with 107 companies accepted, accounting for 79.85% of the total for the first half of the year [1] Group 2: Solar Glass Industry - Leading domestic solar glass companies plan to collectively reduce production by 30% starting in July to alleviate "involution" competition [1] - This reduction is expected to lead to a rapid decline in domestic solar glass supply, improving the supply-demand imbalance [1] - Domestic glass production is projected to decrease to approximately 45 GW in July [1] Group 3: Global Server Market - IDC forecasts that the global server market will reach $366 billion by 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 44.6% [1] - The x86 server market is expected to grow by 39.9% to $283.9 billion, while the non-x86 server market is projected to grow by 63.7% to $82 billion [1] - Arm architecture servers are anticipated to grow at a rate of 70%, accounting for 21.1% of total shipments [1] Group 4: Automotive LED Market - The automotive LED and lighting market is expected to grow to $3.451 billion and $35.729 billion, respectively, by 2025 [2] - The recovery in the automotive market is anticipated in the second half of 2025, driven by the introduction of advanced technologies in new vehicle models [2] Group 5: Tesla Charging Stations - Tesla has launched its first batch of V4 supercharging stations, which are now operational in various locations including Shanghai and Gansu [2] - These charging stations feature multiple safety mechanisms and are now open to non-Tesla vehicles [2] Group 6: Market Performance - The A-share market saw a 2.76% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index in the first half of the year, while the North Exchange 50 Index surged by 39.45% [6] - Various sectors, including AI, humanoid robots, new consumption, innovative drugs, and solid-state batteries, attracted significant investment [6] - Over 3,700 stocks in the market rose in the first half, with more than 100 stocks increasing by over 100% [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses recent developments in the Chinese stock market, including the performance of various sectors and the implications of economic indicators such as PMI, as well as the potential for upcoming policy changes and international relations affecting market sentiment [1][2][5]. Economic Indicators - China's manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI for June exceeded expectations, indicating stable growth momentum despite high tariffs from the US [2]. - Citi forecasts a strong actual growth rate of 5.3% for the first half of 2025, supported by a firm policy commitment to meet annual GDP targets [2]. - High-frequency tracking indicators show a rebound in China's exports to the US in June, suggesting continued monthly export growth [2]. Stock Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.76% in the first half of the year, while the North Star 50 Index surged by 39.45% [2]. - On a recent trading day, major indices collectively increased, with the Shanghai Composite up 0.59%, the Shenzhen Component up 0.83%, and the ChiNext Index up 1.35% [3]. Sector Highlights - The military industry sector saw significant gains, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up [3]. - Brain-computer interface concept stocks continued to perform well, driven by recent advancements announced by Neuralink [3]. - The photovoltaic sector experienced a surge, with domestic new photovoltaic installations reaching 92.92 GW in May, a year-on-year increase of 388.03% [3]. - The gaming sector exploded with 158 new games approved in June, marking a record high for the year, indicating a clear trend of regulatory easing [3]. Investment Strategies - Various institutions predict a bullish outlook for July, with policy support, liquidity easing, and positive mid-year earnings expectations driving the market [5][6]. - Recommended sectors for investment include technology, dividends, and military industries, with small-cap stocks expected to maintain relative advantages [5][6]. Fund Flows - The defense and military industry saw the largest net inflow of funds, with significant investments in leading companies [15]. - The overall market experienced a net inflow of 344.71 billion yuan, with notable interest in sectors such as defense, electric power equipment, and media [15][26]. Company Performance - TaoTao Automotive expects a net profit growth of 70%-98% year-on-year for the first half of the year [10]. - Hanyu Pharmaceutical anticipates a turnaround with a projected net profit of 142 million to 162 million yuan for the first half of 2025 [10]. Industry Developments - Major photovoltaic glass manufacturers plan to collectively reduce production by 30% starting in July to address oversupply issues [11]. - The Ministry of Commerce announced continued anti-dumping duties on imported stainless steel products from several countries, impacting market dynamics [12].