东方雨虹 20250709 摘要 公司在去年下半年价格战后，试点提价策略，发现对销量影响不大，决 定逐步恢复价格，尤其在零售端防水涂料市场（占全国 70%份额）具有 较强议价能力，提价幅度最高达十几个百分点，瓷砖胶等基础材料也适 度上调。 工程市场竞争格局变化，头部企业如宇宏、科顺和北新防水不再内卷， 陆续发布涨价函，宇宏 3 月涨价函已落地，4 月价格止跌，二季度累计 价格环比一季度略有提升，预示行业平均利润率有望恢复。 工程市场需求下行，大量防水公司退出，从业企业数量大幅下降（估计 至少 60%），价格影响力集中于宇宏、科顺和北新防水三家，若三家不 再打价格战，调价落地可行性较高。 价格战导致防水行业质量下降，部分企业产品甚至无法达标五项基本检 测指标。强条在重点工程有效，但普通项目落地效果差，需加强监管， 避免牺牲质量换取市场份额的短视行为。 2025 年上半年，民建业务一季度收入下降十几个百分点，二季度恢复 双位数增长，预计全年增长；零售业务一、二季度均增长，优于工程市 场；工程市场降幅收窄，但价格基数低影响收入。 Q&A 东方雨虹近期防水产品的提价背景及其持续性如何？ 东方雨虹近期的防水产品提价主要 ...

Summary of Conference Call on Waterproof Industry Price Increase Industry Overview - The waterproof industry is experiencing a significant price increase due to a challenging market environment in 2024, primarily influenced by a downturn in the real estate sector and a subsequent decline in demand for renovation and construction materials [1][2][4]. Key Points and Arguments - **Price War Impact**: In 2024, the industry faced a price war that led to three rounds of price reductions (15%-20%), which did not improve sales or market share but diluted profits [1][2]. - **Price Increase Implementation**: Starting mid-June 2025, companies began to implement price increases across various product categories: waterproof materials (3%-8%), mortar products (5%-7%), and sealants (8%-10%), with an overall increase of approximately 6%-7% [1][2]. - **Sales and Profit Goals**: The price increase aims to improve unsatisfactory sales progress and profit margins from the first half of 2025. Companies hope to encourage distributors to increase inventory and meet sales targets [1][2][7]. - **Market Stability and Volatility**: Current market prices are relatively stable, but fluctuations may occur during late July to early August when distributors purchase in bulk, making this a critical period for assessing the effectiveness of the price increase [1][8]. - **Profit Margin Expectations**: If the price increase is successful, company-level profits are expected to rise by 4-5 percentage points. Some companies are also reducing costs through layoffs and cutting unnecessary expenses [1][10]. - **Distributor Contract Adjustments**: Major companies are adjusting distributor contracts to lower sales targets, helping distributors maintain profit margins amid market challenges [1][11]. Additional Important Insights - **Regional Demand Decline**: The Southwest region has seen a more than 30% reduction in demand for construction materials since 2023, with new projects decreasing significantly [2][16]. - **Market Share Variability**: Companies like Dekor and Rain Rainbow have varying market shares in the Southwest, with Dekor holding about 12%-13% and Rain Rainbow around 10% [22]. - **Future Trends**: The trend of rural self-built housing is expected to continue, particularly in regions like Yunnan and Guizhou, driven by local cultural factors and government policies [20][21]. - **Profitability Focus Shift**: There is a potential shift in performance evaluation from sales volume to profit margins, which may lead to changes in operational strategies, including cost-cutting measures [29][30]. This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call regarding the waterproof industry's current state and future outlook.

2025.07. 10 本文字数：2189，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 马一凡 不盲目扩张及过度负债，坚决抵制违法转包、违规分包、围标串标，坚决抵制"内卷式"竞争——近 日，33家建筑工程行业巨头发布倡议书联手"反内卷"，对行业积弊坚决"说不"。 有建筑行业资深从业者表示，建筑工程业过去长期存在低价中标、带资承包、垫资施工、超长账期的 问题，如今行业联手"反内卷"有利于优胜劣汰、提升长远经营质量。 此外，作为上下游产业的建筑材料行业近期也有一系列"反内卷"动作，如水泥行业将切实推动熟料生 产线备案产能与实际产能的统一，推动行业转型升级；防水建材多家头部企业发出"涨价函"，以缓解 成本上行和利润微薄问题。 抵制行业乱象 7月7日，国务院国资委党委和全国工商联党组共同在北京举办高质量党建引领建筑行业高质量发展 主题活动暨行业倡议发布会。 除了建筑工程行业，近期作为建筑上下游的建材行业也有不少细分行业或企业响应"反内卷"号召。 在这场会议上，33家建筑类中央企业、地方国企以及民营企业基层党组织联合发出一份《关于号召 建筑行业党组织和广大党员在营造风清气正行业环境中走在前作表率的倡议书》（以下简称"倡议 ...

Core Viewpoint - The construction industry is joining the "anti-involution" movement, aiming to enhance industry self-discipline and eliminate excessive competition, following similar trends in the photovoltaic and new energy vehicle sectors [2][4]. Group 1: Industry Trends - In the first five months of the year, national real estate development investment reached 36,234 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.7%, with declines in new construction, ongoing projects, and completions [2]. - A joint initiative by 33 construction companies aims to promote industry transformation through technological innovation and to avoid blind expansion and excessive debt [2][6]. - The construction industry is experiencing significant slowdowns due to urbanization and reduced market demand, leading to overcapacity and a noticeable decline in growth rates [2][6]. Group 2: Cement Industry - The China Cement Association has issued guidelines to align actual production capacity with registered capacity, emphasizing the importance of capacity replacement policies for industry optimization [3][6]. - The cement industry is familiar with capacity reduction, with a projected utilization rate of 53% for cement clinker in 2024, down 6 percentage points from 2023, and an expected profit of around 25 billion yuan, a 20% decrease year-on-year [6][7]. - The industry is facing significant profit declines due to ongoing adjustments in the real estate sector and delays in infrastructure projects [6][7]. Group 3: Waterproofing Sector - Waterproofing companies have initiated price increases to counteract rising raw material costs, with price adjustments ranging from 3% to 13% for various products [4][5]. - Major waterproofing firms reported a significant drop in net profits for 2024, with Beijing Oriental Yuhong's net profit down 95.24% year-on-year, while Keshun Waterproof managed to turn a profit despite challenges [5]. - The waterproofing industry is experiencing a decline in production due to fluctuating downstream demand, prompting companies to raise prices to stabilize their financial performance [5].

Group 1 - The construction industry has faced intense competition leading to low profit margins and unsustainable practices, prompting 33 major companies to jointly issue an initiative against "involution" [1][2] - The initiative emphasizes the need for the industry to focus on core responsibilities, enhance competitiveness, and resist illegal practices such as subcontracting and false bidding [2][3] - The construction sector has historically prioritized scale over quality, resulting in high output but low profitability, with issues like low-price bidding and excessive debt prevalent [3][6] Group 2 - The cement industry is responding to the "anti-involution" call by pushing for alignment between registered and actual production capacities, aiming for structural optimization and transformation [5][6] - Major waterproof material companies have announced price increases ranging from 1% to 13% to address rising costs and thin profit margins, indicating a shift towards better profitability [6][7] - The recent "anti-involution" movement has led to a rally in the A-share construction and materials sectors, with expectations of profit recovery for companies involved [6][7]

每日晨报 2025 年 7 月 10 日 银河观点集萃 责任编辑 周颖 ☎：010-80927635 网:zhouying_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130511090001 要闻 6月份,全国居民消费价格同比上涨0.1% www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 ● 宏观:核心 CPI 继续回升,PPI 同比降幅走阔 -- 6 月物价数据解读。CPI 低 位运行,PPI 持续承压:本月 CPI 同比连续下降 4个月后转涨,7月或受翘尾 因素影响仍承压。展望后市,一是猪价稳中有降,食品价格整体稳定。今年 2- 3月生猪价格开始步入下行通道,我们预判后期补栏会持续疲弱,今年猪价回 落速度或偏慢。农作物方面,7月4日联合国粮农组织最新预测,全球谷物产 量在 2025/2026 年度产量将创下新高,这极大地稳定了粮食价格。二是供应过 剩与需求增长乏力构成主要挑战,油价或承压。供给端,7月5日欧佩克会议 上讨论 8月份增产事宜,此外有消息透露"欧佩克+"将在 8月 3日举行的下 次会议上考虑９月再增加约 54.8 ...

Group 1 - The recent meeting of the Central Financial Committee has further deepened the "anti-involution" work deployment, with more areas in the building materials industry joining the call for "anti-involution" [1] - The cement industry is expected to have orderly and controllable supply in the future, contributing to high-quality development of the industry [1] - Glass fiber companies are likely to maintain rational pricing, with profits expected to remain stable and show a positive trend [1] - The waterproof industry has initiated a "anti-involution" campaign, with companies' profits expected to achieve a bottom recovery [1]

周专题：轨道频谱稀缺驱动竞赛，国内低轨星座建设步入加速期 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 通信卫星轨道主要分为地球静止轨道（GEO）、中地球轨道（MEO）和低地球轨道（LEO）。LEO轨道可降 低功率衰减、通信时延并简化终端设计，但需多星组网覆盖。相比GEO，LEO/MEO系统时延更小，且卫星体 积小、重量轻，利于一箭多星发射，降低星座构建成本和周期。低轨空间轨道和频段资源稀缺（低轨容量约6 万颗，星链计划占4.2万颗），L/S/C等优质频段殆尽，Ku/Ka频段协调难度大。根据国际电信联盟（ITU）规 则，运营商需在限定时间内（2年10%、5年50%、7年100%）完成卫星部署以锁定资源，导致竞争加剧。中国 星网"国网"、垣信"千帆"首批星已入轨，蓝箭"鸿鹄 ...

日前，坐落于荆门化工循环产业园的荆门石化年产60万吨环烷基特种油高压加氢项目大件设备首吊到 位，标志着荆门石化"油转特"项目进入新阶段。该项目不仅是荆门石化产业优化升级的缩影，更是荆门 化工循环产业园推动石油化工产业链以旧革新、迈向高端化发展的实践。 近年来，荆门化工循环产业园聚焦石油化工、碳一化工、锂电池材料、生物医药、光固化剂、防水材料 等六大产业，以革新手段激活传统产业动能，以链式整合推动产业集群发展，以精准服务与技术创新提 质增效，以人才智力驱动创新升级，实现产业能级跃升，为区域经济高质量发展注入澎湃动能。 以"旧"革"新" 石化产业作为园区支柱产业，唯有以旧产业为根基推动革新，才能实现经济可持续增长与产业结构优化 升级。 目前，荆门化工循环产业园石油化工产业链以荆门石化为龙头，成功引进玲珑轮胎（601966）、巨邦石 化、旺林新材料、渝楚化工等28家下游产业链企业，构建起从基础原料到高端新材料的完整产业生态， 成为拉动区域经济的强劲引擎。 面对土地资源日益紧张，荆门化工循环产业园以存量优化为行动纲领，采取"一企一策"精准盘活机制通 过兼并重组、股权合作等差异化手段，推动低效企业涅槃重生，累计让胜科水 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company Oriental Yuhong (002271.SZ) is facing significant challenges with its performance and stock price, prompting its actual controller, Li Weiguo, to plan a substantial share reduction to alleviate debt pressure [1][5][10]. Financial Performance - In the first quarter of 2024, Oriental Yuhong reported a revenue decline of 16.71% and a net profit drop of 44.68%, with net profit at 1.92 billion yuan [2][15]. - For the full year of 2024, the company’s revenue and net profit were 280.56 billion yuan and 1.08 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year decreases of 14.52% and 95.24% respectively [15]. - The company’s cash flow situation showed improvement, with accounts receivable decreasing from 114.23 billion yuan to 88.22 billion yuan year-on-year [15]. Shareholding and Reduction Plans - Li Weiguo plans to reduce his holdings by up to 46.38 million shares, representing approximately 1.94% of the total share capital, primarily to repay debts [4][5]. - As of July 3, 2023, Li Weiguo and his associates held 22.68% of the company's shares, with a pledge rate of 72.43% [2][9]. - Li Weiguo has a history of share reductions, having previously cashed out approximately 35 billion yuan, and with the current planned reduction, the total could reach around 40 billion yuan [8][9]. Market Context - The stock price of Oriental Yuhong has significantly declined, with a drop of about 50% from its peak, leading to concerns about the company's market performance [2][13]. - The company’s stock closed at 10.90 yuan per share on July 4, 2023, a stark contrast to its peak of 61.62 yuan per share in June 2021 [13]. Dividend Distribution - In 2024, Oriental Yuhong distributed a total of approximately 36.72 billion yuan in cash dividends, with a dividend rate of about 3393.90% [3][11]. - Li Weiguo personally received around 8.16 billion yuan from these dividends based on his shareholding [12]. Strategic Changes - The company is undergoing strategic changes to improve its business model, shifting from a direct sales model focused on real estate clients to a retail and engineering channel model [14]. - This transition has led to a significant decline in direct sales revenue, particularly from real estate collective procurement [14].