报告要点 [Table_Summary] 本文对 2025 年以来碳市场边际变化进行跟踪：1）配额：清缴期后配额价格回落，下半年配额 价格有望回升，当前碳市场扩容进度 60%；2）绿证：2024 年底集中式项目绿证核发基本全覆 盖，2024 年绿证交易量同比增长 3.64 倍，价格存上行趋势；3）CCER：方法学扩容中，预计 市场活跃度将持续扩大。当前双碳战略加速推进，垃圾焚烧、碳监测检测、CCUS、氢能、电 动环卫车、再生资源（金属资源化、生物柴油、废酒糟、再生塑料等）方向预计受益。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 徐科 任楠 贾少波 李博文 盛意 SAC：S0490517090001 SAC：S0490518070001 SAC：S0490520070003 SAC：S0490524080004 SFC：BUV415 SFC：BUZ393 行业研究丨专题报告丨环保 [Table_Title] 双碳跟踪：碳市场扩容进度达 60%，绿证基本 实现全核发 丨证券研究报告丨 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 双碳 ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·环保 环保行业跟踪周报 绿电直连政策打开垃圾焚烧发电 IDC合作空 间，固废板块提分红+供热 IDC 拓展提 ROE 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] ◼ 风险提示：政策推广不及预期，财政支出低于预期，行业竞争加剧。 2025 年 06 月 03 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 陈孜文 执业证书：S0600523070006 chenzw@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -15% -11% -7% -3% 1% 5% 9% 13% 17% 21% 2024/6/3 2024/10/1 2025/1/29 2025/5/29 环保 沪深300 相关研究 《全国绿电直连政策发布，打开垃圾 焚烧发电 IDC 合作空间》 2025-06-02 《水污染治理从关注"老大难"到"提 质增效"，固废板块提分红+供热 IDC 拓展提 ROE》 2025-05-27 东吴证券研究所 1 / 24 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 重点推荐：瀚蓝环 ...

建议关注：盈峰环境、聚光科技、永兴股份、瀚蓝环境、海螺创业等 政策鼓励绿电直连，算电一体化大有可为 【广发环保 郭鹏】W22观点：绿电直连下的固废机遇——算电一体化 建议关注：盈峰环境、聚光科技、永兴股份、瀚蓝环境、海螺创业等 政策鼓励绿电直连，算电一体化大有可为 本期两部委发布《关于有序推动绿电直连发展有关事项的通知》，鼓励包括生物质（含垃圾焚烧）在内的绿电推 动直连、就近消纳，并明确不断提高自发自用比例，2030年前不低于35%，也#给予垃圾焚烧项目绿电直售的政策 背书。 垃圾焚烧作 【广发环保 郭鹏】W22观点：绿电直连下的固废机遇——算电一体化 而国产企业近年研发、生产能力持续提升，部分品类齐全，具备高端化研发能力的企业有望在此浪潮中脱颖而 出，建议关注#聚光科技、皖仪科技、莱伯泰科和海能技术等。 无人环卫持续推进，主流企业布局加速 近期无人物流备受市场关注，主要系L4级别自动驾驶在限定区域落地可能性较高。 而环卫同样满足固定场景及路线、低速等特征，具备较早应用推广的希望。 我们认为"环卫自动化"趋势更多是对于行业商业模式的优化：一方面，环卫公司已在尝试装备与无人化结合，他 们仍是实际环卫服务运行的重 ...

内容概要：城市环卫又名市政环卫，主要指的是对市政道路、广场、水域、公厕、垃圾中转站等各类城 乡公共区域的环境卫生进行综合管理。近年来，随着城市化进程的推进、农村人居环境改善需求的增加 以及环卫服务市场化率的提升，我国城市环卫行业规模呈现加速扩容态势。数据显示，2024年全国城市 环卫市场规模已从2018年的1362.91亿元增长至2146.23亿元。未来，随着智能技术及各种新能源设备应 用增加，将为我国城市环卫行业发展提供重要驱动，产业规模有望继续保持高速增长。根据市场预测， 2025年国内城市环卫市场规模将达到2314.93亿元。 相关上市企业：玉禾田（300815）；福龙马（603686）；启迪环境（000826）；城发环境（000885）； 盈峰环境（000967）；侨银股份（002973）等 相关企业：北京环境卫生工程集团有限公司；北控城市环境服务集团有限公司；阳光朗洁环境科技集团 有限公司；成都行建城市环卫服务有限公司；陕西明堂环卫有限公司等 关键词：产业链；城镇常住人口；城镇化率；政策；城市环卫行业规模；城市道路清扫市场规模；竞争 格局；重点企业；发展趋势 一、行业概况 城市环卫又名市政环卫，主要 ...

无人环卫市场规模潜力巨大，预计到 2030 年纯出货量市场空间约为四 五百亿，若考虑替代现有环卫工人，市场空间可能更大，但目前全行业 渗透率仍低于 3%。 一线城市如深圳、苏州、广州等地政府积极推进无人环卫政策，并逐步 向省会及二三线城市扩展，同时通信基础设施和路侧牌照发放也在改善， 为无人环卫机器人提供了落地场景。 劲旅环境在合肥高新区的测算显示，无人化作业相比机械作业可减少 10-20%的人员，但设备运营成本略有增加，五年分摊计算，每年在 100 万平方米区域内节省成本约 10 万元。 环卫行业面临招工难、老龄化员工管理困难等痛点，无人环卫装备通过 替代部分人工，降低劳动力成本，提高作业效率，尤其在 24 小时连续 作业和快速大面积清扫方面优势明显。 劲旅环境通过机械替代人工逐步推进至无人化作业，采用双轨策略，与 外部智驾团队合作的同时，内部新增智驾研发团队，确保硬件与软件适 配行业需求，并计划在未来两年内重点投入底盘降本。 Q&A 当前无人环卫装备市场的发展阶段及渗透率如何？各地政府的政策态度及对行 业的经济效益影响是什么？ 目前无人环卫装备市场仍处于较低渗透率的初级阶段。根据低速无人驾驶联盟 的数据， ...

福龙马 20250528 摘要 福龙马 2024 年营收 50.4 亿元，归母净利润 1.45 亿元。环境服务板块 收入 38.24 亿元，智能装备板块受财政影响收入 10.78 亿元。累计在手 合同总金额 347.3 亿元，待履行合同金额 195.86 亿元，为未来业绩提 供支撑。 公司自 2018 年起研发无人环卫车，经历技术迭代，目前主推 L4 级别 SD15 和 L2 级别 SD22。2024 年无人环卫车销量 54 台，新能源环卫 装备总收入 3.6 亿元，行业排名第三，表明其在新能源环卫装备市场占 据一定地位。 无人环卫车售价区间为 30 万至 60 万元，高于传统环卫车，但随着零部 件价格下降和成本摊销，售价有望降低。毛利率平均在 20%-23%以上， 高于传统环卫车，但整体板块尚未盈利，需关注盈利拐点。 实际应用中，一台无人环卫车替代约 3 个人工，低于理想测算的 6 人， 受工况条件和算法迭代影响。2024 年对外销售约 20-30 台，主要客户 为政府部门和园区，推广区域集中在财政较好的地区，市场接受度有待 提升。 Q&A 福龙马公司在无人环卫车和清洁机器人领域的布局及发展历程是什么？ 福 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced narrow fluctuations on May 28, but the sanitation robot concept emerged as a market focus, with several related stocks showing significant gains, including Qidi Environment, Jintai Environment, and Qiaoyin Co., which hit the daily limit, while Yuhua Tian and Hanjia Design also saw notable increases [1] - The sanitation industry is transitioning from a "labor-intensive" model to a "technology-intensive" model, driven by the deep integration of IoT, big data, AI, robotics, and autonomous driving technologies, creating unprecedented development opportunities for the sanitation robot market [1] - Hanjia Design's subsidiary, Futai Technology, is a leading player in the domestic sanitation robot sector, offering customized robotic solutions tailored to various urban governance scenarios, promoting intelligent, efficient, and sustainable urban management [1] Group 2 - 2024 is expected to be the year of large-scale application for unmanned and minimal human operation in sanitation, with Futai Technology launching urban intelligent operation services in economically developed regions, having over 20 implemented projects, leading the nation in application scale [2] - In the area of unmanned garbage classification operations, Futai Technology has established over 5,000 unmanned operation points and more than 120 projects, holding a market share of over 35%, ranking first in the industry [2] - The potential market size for unmanned cleaning scenarios is estimated at 68 billion yuan annually, with collection and transportation potential at 40 billion yuan, underground pipeline inspection and maintenance at 48 billion yuan, and urban management inspection at 18 billion yuan, indicating a total market size exceeding 100 billion yuan annually, showcasing significant market potential [2] - As smart city construction continues, unmanned robots are expected to integrate deeply into urban management, becoming a core engine for enhancing public service efficiency and reshaping urban governance systems, with Futai Technology poised to maintain its leading position in this expansive market [2]

智通财经5月28日电，市场全天震荡调整，三大指数小幅下跌。沪深两市全天成交额1.01万亿，较上个 交易日放量110亿。盘面上，市场热点较为杂乱，个股跌多涨少，全市场超3400只个股下跌。从板块来 看，新消费股逆势大涨，饮料、IP经济等方向领涨，会稽山等多股涨停。无人环卫车概念股集体走强， 劲旅环境等涨停。核电股一度冲高，融发核电等涨停。下跌方面，医药股展开调整，海辰药业跌超 10%。板块方面，饮料制造、可控核聚变、垃圾分类、深海科技等板块涨幅居前，电商、化学原料、 CRO、造纸等板块跌幅居前。截至收盘，沪指跌0.02%，深成指跌0.26%，创业板指跌0.31%。 收评：沪指全天窄幅震荡 新消费概念股逆势大涨 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The issuance of the "Ecological Environment Protection Supervision Work Regulations" by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council aims to comprehensively promote the construction of a beautiful China [8] - The solid waste sector is expected to see improved cash flow and increased dividends due to reduced capital expenditures and enhanced operational efficiency [9][12] - The water service sector is experiencing stable growth and high dividends, with water price reforms expected to reshape growth and valuation [12][14] Summary by Sections Solid Waste Management - Capital expenditures are decreasing, leading to significant improvements in free cash flow and increased dividends [9] - Key companies such as Junxin Co. are projected to distribute cash dividends of 507 million yuan in 2024, a 37% increase year-on-year, with a dividend yield of 4.4% [9] - The industry is entering a mature phase, with operational efficiency being enhanced through cost reduction and collaborations in heating and IDC [9][10] Water Services - The water service sector's revenue is projected at 65.5 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 11.2 billion yuan, reflecting a 27% increase [12] - Water price reforms in cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen are expected to drive a new round of price adjustments, enhancing profitability and stability [13][14] - Companies such as Yuehai Investment are highlighted for their ability to frequently adjust prices, with an expected dividend yield of 6.9% in 2025 [14] Environmental Equipment - The penetration rate of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by 6.14 percentage points to 14.55% in the first four months of 2025, with sales of new energy sanitation vehicles rising by 73% [29] - The total sales of sanitation vehicles reached 24,542 units, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.2% [29] Biofuels - The prices of biodiesel and waste cooking oil have decreased, leading to negative profit margins [37][38] - The average price of biodiesel was 7,700 yuan per ton, down 5.5% week-on-week, while waste cooking oil averaged 6,018 yuan per ton, down 1.2% [37] Lithium Battery Recycling - The profitability of lithium battery recycling has slightly declined due to fluctuating metal prices and a decrease in discount coefficients [41][42] - The average unit gross profit for waste material is estimated at -0.71 million yuan per ton [41]