Group 1 - A significant decline in Chinese copper demand has occurred following a sharp price increase, with copper prices on the London Metal Exchange surpassing $13,000 per ton, marking a nearly 50% rise over the past year [2][3] - Industrial users in China, which account for half of global copper demand, are reducing purchases due to the inability to pass on higher costs to factories, leading to increased inventories [4][5] - A survey indicated that around 60% of firms producing copper rod for electricity transmission have cut or halted production due to rising costs, reflecting a quiet market compared to previous years [5][6] Group 2 - The processing fees for refined copper into rod have dropped to zero, the lowest level for this time of year, indicating subdued market activity [6] - Operating rates among fabricators have remained at multi-year lows, even during peak demand seasons, highlighting the ongoing challenges in the market [6]

Summary of Jiangxi Copper 2026 Business Outlook Call Company Overview - **Company**: Jiangxi Copper (0358.HK) - **Date of Call**: January 6, 2026 - **Participants**: Mr. Gong Kun, IR Manager Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - Jiangxi Copper signed a long-term agreement with Antofagasta in December 2025, establishing a long-term TC/RC (Treatment Charge/Refining Charge) of **0** for 2026E, with a slight increase in recovery rate [1][2] - The company is in negotiations with other copper concentrate producers, anticipating similar TC/RC terms [2] Production and Raw Material Usage - Management expects a year-over-year decrease in the percentage of copper cathode output derived from copper concentrate in 2026E, with an increase in the use of crude copper as raw material [3] - Jiangxi Copper's improved bargaining power allows it to secure better TC/RC than the market spot price for copper concentrate [3] - There is an expectation that spot TC/RC could improve as Chinese copper smelters may reduce their consumption of copper concentrate in 2026E [3] Financial Performance and Acquisitions - The acquisition of SolGold has received approval from Chinese authorities and is pending shareholder approval, expected to be completed in the first half of 2026E [5] - The profitability of copper smelting using crude copper and copper anode has remained stable over the past two years [4] Pricing and Demand Factors - The price of sulfuric acid has reached approximately **Rmb 1,000/t** in Jiangxi since December 2025, with expectations for high prices in the short term due to strong demand, although further increases are unlikely due to government price control efforts [6] - Management anticipates mergers and acquisitions in the copper smelting industry in China, driven by government anti-involution efforts, with a slowdown in future capacity additions [7] Investment Outlook - Current share price is **HK$44.80** with a target price of **HK$39.80**, indicating an expected share price return of **-11.2%** and a total return of **-9.2%** [8] - Market capitalization is reported at **HK$155,130 million** (approximately **US$19,926 million**) [8] Risks - Potential downside risks include a slowdown in China's grid investment, a more significant than expected decline in property demand affecting copper prices, and rising mining or smelting costs [12] Additional Insights - The company maintains a "Buy" rating from analysts, reflecting confidence in its strategic positioning and market dynamics [1]

Core Viewpoint - Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) is establishing a multi-year growth trajectory in copper production, despite a slight decrease in near-term output. The company anticipates copper production to reach 958,800 tons in 2025, a 2% decline from 2024, with expectations to rise to 1,084,000 tons by the end of the decade [1][10]. Production Outlook - From 2031 onwards, copper output is projected to accelerate significantly, reaching approximately 1,536,000 tons by 2034, reflecting a 5% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024. This growth is supported by a robust project pipeline in Peru and Mexico [2][5]. - The Tia Maria project in Peru, with an annual capacity of 120,000 tons, is expected to commence in 2027, utilizing advanced SX-EW technology [3]. - El Pilar in Mexico is set to start in 2028, contributing around 36,000 tons of copper cathodes annually, also employing cost-efficient SX-EW technology [3]. - By 2030, the El Arco project in Mexico is anticipated to be operational, featuring significant ore reserves and a combined concentrator and SX-EW operation [4]. Project Pipeline - The Los Chancas project in Peru is expected to add 130,000 tons of copper starting in 2031, followed by Michiquillay in 2032, which is projected to produce 225,000 tons and become one of Peru's largest copper mines with a mine life exceeding 25 years [5]. Industry Comparison - Peer BHP Group reported record copper output of 2,017,000 tons for fiscal 2025, an 8% year-over-year increase, and expects production between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000 tons in fiscal 2026 [6][7]. - Teck Resources has entered a merger agreement with Anglo American plc to form Anglo Teck, which will have over 70% exposure to copper and is projected to increase combined annual copper production from 1.2 million tons to 1.35 million tons by 2027 [8]. Financial Performance - Southern Copper shares have increased by 55.9% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 42.4% [9]. - The company is trading at a forward 12-month price/sales multiple of 8.84X, significantly higher than the industry average of 3.93X [11]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Southern Copper's 2025 earnings is $5.27 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 21.7%, with a projected growth of 17.3% for 2026 [12].

Company News - UniFirst Corp (NYSE:UNF) received an acquisition proposal from Cintas Corporation (NASDAQ:CTAS) for $275 per share in cash, valuing UniFirst at approximately $5.2 billion, representing a 64% premium to its 90-day average closing price as of December 11, 2025 [2] - Adeia Inc (NASDAQ:ADEA) shares surged 28% to $16.38 after signing a long-term media IP license agreement with Disney and raising its 2025 outlook [8] - Sidus Space, Inc. (NASDAQ:SIDU) shares increased by 88% to $2.18 after being awarded a contract under the Missile Defense Agency's SHIELD IDIQ program [8] - Blacksky Technology Inc (NYSE:BKSY) shares rose 17% to $22.55 after Jefferies initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a price target of $23 [8] - Luminar Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:LAZR) shares dropped 61% to $0.24 after previously jumping around 175% on Friday, following the announcement of voluntary Chapter 11 proceedings [8] - EUDA Health Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:EUDA) shares fell 45% to $1.55 after announcing a strategic technology integration for its Digital Health and Rewards Platform [8] - Anebulo Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ANEB) shares decreased by 21% to $1.72 as the company announced its intent to commence a self tender offer [8] Market Performance - U.S. stocks traded higher, with the Dow Jones index gaining more than 150 points, up 0.39% to 48,322.06, NASDAQ up 0.46% to 23,417.50, and S&P 500 rising 0.46% to 6,866.26 [1] - In commodity news, oil traded up 2.1% to $57.71, gold up 1.8% to $4,464.20, silver up 2.2% to $68.94, while copper fell 0.2% to $5.4970 [5]

Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced an upward trend, with the Nasdaq Composite increasing by over 100 points on Monday. The Dow rose by 0.18% to 48,222.17, the NASDAQ increased by 0.56% to 23,439.24, and the S&P 500 gained 0.45% to 6,864.96 [1] - Asian markets closed higher, with Japan's Nikkei 225 gaining 1.81%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng up 0.43%, China's Shanghai Composite rising 0.69%, and India's BSE Sensex increasing by 0.75% [6] Sector Performance - Energy shares rose by 1.3% on Monday, while utilities stocks fell by 0.5% [1] Commodity Prices - Oil prices increased by 2.2% to $57.75, gold rose by 1.7% to $4,463.30, silver was up 2.5% to $69.150, and copper fell by 0.1% to $5.5085 [4] European Market Performance - European shares were lower, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 declining by 0.3%, Spain's IBEX 35 Index falling by 0.2%, London's FTSE 100 down by 0.5%, Germany's DAX 40 decreasing by 0.3%, and France's CAC 40 dropping by 0.5% [5] Notable Stock Movements - Haoxin Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:HXHX) shares surged by 118% to $0.7513, while Sidus Space, Inc. (NASDAQ:SIDU) increased by 78% to $2.0650 after receiving a contract from the Missile Defense Agency [8] - Jyong Biotech Ltd. (NASDAQ:MENS) shares rose by 36% to $4.32 [8] - Luminar Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:LAZR) shares dropped by 60% to $0.2396 after announcing voluntary Chapter 11 proceedings [8] - EUDA Health Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:EUDA) shares fell by 25% to $2.09 following a strategic technology integration announcement [8] - Anebulo Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ANEB) shares decreased by 20% to $1.74 as the company announced a self tender offer [8]

Jiangxi Copper Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company Name**: Jiangxi Copper - **Ticker**: 0358.HK / 600362.SS - **Industry**: Copper production, mining, smelting, refining, and processing - **Key Products**: Copper cathode, copper wire, gold, silver, sulfuric acid, pyrite concentrate - **Market Capitalization**: HK$120 billion / Rmb108.78 billion as of 15th Dec 2025 - **Control**: Ultimate controlling shareholder is Jiangxi Provincial SASAC [27][31] Core Insights - **Earnings Forecast Revision**: - 2025E net profit forecast revised to Rmb8.2 billion (+8% YoY) - 2026E net profit forecast revised to Rmb11.8 billion (+38% YoY) - 2027E net profit forecast revised to Rmb11.5 billion (+11% YoY) - These revisions are driven by higher forecasts for copper, gold, and sulfuric acid prices [2][7] - **Target Price Update**: - H-share target price revised to HK$39.8 (previously HK$27.9) - A-share target price revised to Rmb47.9 (previously Rmb33.8) - New target prices imply 2026E P/Es of 10.8x for H-shares and 14.1x for A-shares, compared to historical averages of 13.8x and 23.6x respectively [3][29] - **Sensitivity Analysis**: - A 5% increase in copper price (US$12,750/t) is expected to increase 2026E net profit by 4% - A 5% increase in gold price (US$3,925/oz) is expected to increase 2026E net profit by 1% - A 5% increase in sulfuric acid price (Rmb700/t) is expected to increase 2026E net profit by 2% [1][8] Financial Metrics - **Key Operating Metrics**: - Mined copper volume remains stable at 200kt for 2025-2027 - LME copper price forecast for 2026E increased to US$12,750/t (+28% from previous forecast) - Gross profit for 2026E expected to reach Rmb21.89 billion (+43% YoY) [7][10] - **Profit Margins**: - Net profit margin for 2026E projected at 1.6% - EBITDA margin for 2026E projected at 2.5% [7] Investment Strategy - **Rating**: Jiangxi Copper H-shares and A-shares rated as Buy - **Rationale**: Despite lower gross profit from smelting due to lower TC/RC prices, higher gold and sulfuric acid prices are expected to offset this impact. Long-term bullish outlook on copper prices remains intact [28][32] Risks - **Downside Risks**: - Potential slowdown in China's grid investment - Weaker-than-expected property demand affecting copper prices - Rising mining or smelting costs [30][35] Upcoming Events - **Conference Call**: Scheduled for 10am on 6th Jan 2026, registration link available (Mandarin only) [1][3]

Chileans on Sunday picked right-winger Jose Antonio Kast to head the country. Now, the mining industry is focused on who he will choose to lead state copper giant Codelco. https://t.co/WqjlwDhwik ...

Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates and restarted quantitative easing, with the Atlanta Fed GDP at 3.5%, indicating good growth [2] - The fiscal deficit is projected at $1.8 trillion, approximately 6% of GDP, complicating fiscal policy decisions for the current administration [3] Investment Opportunities - There is a significant capital expenditure forecast for AI, estimated at $1.2 trillion for 2025 and 2026, which is expected to inject substantial liquidity into the economy [2] - Hard assets such as gold, silver, and commodities are anticipated to benefit from the current economic setup [4] Stock Market Dynamics - A large amount of cash, approximately $8 trillion, is currently held in money market accounts, which may shift into stocks as interest rates decline [5] - Value stocks are expected to perform well in a regime of higher rates and sticky inflation [6] Market Concentration Risks - The top two stocks in the S&P 500, Nvidia and Microsoft, now account for nearly 15% of the index, raising concerns about market concentration and fiduciary responsibilities [6][7] - Nvidia and Microsoft are trading at high valuations, with Nvidia at 23 times sales and Microsoft at close to 14 times sales, indicating potential overvaluation risks [8] Infrastructure and Energy Sector - There is a call to focus on the underlying infrastructure supporting AI, such as natural gas, copper, coal, and power grid stocks, rather than just the high-profile tech names [9] - Concerns about the aging power grid and infrastructure could lead to significant challenges for companies like Nvidia, with predictions of a potential 50% decline in its stock price due to these issues [10][11]

Core Insights - Zacks Premium provides tools for investors to enhance their stock market engagement and confidence through various resources like daily updates, research reports, and stock screens [1] Zacks Style Scores - Zacks Style Scores rate stocks based on value, growth, and momentum, serving as complementary indicators to the Zacks Rank, helping investors identify securities likely to outperform the market in the short term [2][3] Value Score - The Value Style Score identifies attractive and discounted stocks using financial ratios such as P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, and Price/Cash Flow [3] Growth Score - The Growth Style Score focuses on a company's financial health and future outlook, analyzing projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow to find stocks with sustainable growth potential [4] Momentum Score - The Momentum Style Score helps investors capitalize on price trends by evaluating factors like one-week price changes and monthly earnings estimate changes [5] VGM Score - The VGM Score combines the three Style Scores, providing a comprehensive rating that highlights stocks with strong value, growth forecasts, and momentum, making it a valuable tool alongside the Zacks Rank [6] Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model that uses earnings estimate revisions to simplify portfolio building, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks achieving an average annual return of +23.81% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [7][8] - Investors are encouraged to select stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B to maximize potential success [9] Company Spotlight: Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) - Southern Copper Corporation, based in Phoenix, AZ, is involved in mining, exploring, smelting, and refining copper and other minerals across several countries including Argentina, Chile, Ecuador, Mexico, and Peru [11] - SCCO holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and has a VGM Score of B, indicating a solid position in the market [11] - The company is particularly appealing to growth investors, with a Growth Style Score of B and a projected year-over-year earnings growth of 19.9% for the current fiscal year [12] - Recent upward revisions in earnings estimates by three analysts for fiscal 2025 have increased the Zacks Consensus Estimate by $0.24 to $5.19 per share, alongside an average earnings surprise of +6.3% [12]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that copper futures have strengthened, with the main contract surpassing the 94,000 mark, reaching a new high [1] - Codelco's copper production dropped to 111,000 tons in October 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 14.3% [2] - The copper industry in Shandong aims to exceed 200 billion yuan in output value by 2027, promoting related industries to surpass 1 trillion yuan [2] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point rate cut and Powell's comments on labor market risks are expected to support copper prices due to a weaker dollar [4] - Despite a recent technical correction in copper prices due to large long positions being liquidated, the fundamental supply shortage and structural imbalance in global copper inventories support a price floor [4] - The tightening supply of copper concentrate and low domestic inventories are expected to keep copper prices strong in the short term [4]