11月中旬以来，恒生科技再次到达并跌破120日均线，陷入横盘。综合多家机构观点，港股科技成长板 块短期赔率较高，静待流动性拐点出现。据广发证券，历史复盘显示，恒生科技每次运行到120日线附 近，都会出现一轮不错的上涨。叠加三季报，美团、阿里巴巴就暂停外卖补贴达成一致，相关亏损"达 峰"，充分反映到股价中，目前具有赔率（向上弹性大于向下调整的空间）。 中金公司（601995）也指出：港股科技新一轮行情的发动，或需要额外的产业进展或者流动性来催化。 华夏基金数量投资部也指出：日历效应来看，历史上恒生科技在每年的一季度表现普遍较好。港股科技 近两个月的回调，是流动性、基本面与估值等多重压力的集中体现，风险提前释放后，给了岁末年初重 新入场、布局2026年的契机。关注12月9日美联储12月议息会议降息能否落地，海外流动性可能迎来积 极催化。 投资工具方面，除了恒生科技，也可以关注港股通科技指数。与恒生科技指数相比，港股通科技指数差 异在于：行业覆盖更广、更具锐度，从而在反弹阶段更具弹性。相关ETF：恒生科技指数ETF （513180.SH）、港股通科技ETF基金（159101.SZ），一键把握港股科技的左侧布局机会。 ...

港股科技30ETF（513160）紧密跟踪恒生港股通中国科技指数，该指数跟踪可经港股通买卖，从事科技 业务并于香港上市的内地公司之表现。前十大重仓股包括中芯国际、快手-W、腾讯控股、阿里巴巴- W、小米集团-W等多只科技龙头股。 交银国际在科技行业2026年展望中表示，人工智能景气度或继续保持高位，我们认为本轮生成式人工智 能所带来的技术进步浪潮范围大，影响深远且牵涉产业链环节众多。我们认为AI基础设施建设至少在 2026年或继续强劲增长。 12月5日，恒指低开0.4%，恒生科技指数低开0.41%。 相关ETF中，港股科技30ETF（513160）截至发稿跌0.65%，成交额超3000万元，溢折率0.25%，盘中 频现溢价交易。 成分股中，东方甄选涨超4%，英诺赛科、金山云、越疆、比亚迪电子、联想集团、优必选等跟涨。 Wind金融终端数据显示，港股科技30ETF（513160）已连续两日获资金净流入，累计"吸金"超4200万 元，其中昨日"吸金"超3700万元。 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Core View of the Report - On December 4th, all the current - month contracts of the four major stock index futures rose. IF increased by 0.38%, IH by 0.44%, IC by 0.61%, and IM by 0.39%. The total trading volume of stock index futures declined on this trading day, indicating a cooling of investors' trading enthusiasm. In terms of positions, the total positions of IF, IH, IC, and IM all decreased [1][2]. Group 3: Summary According to Related Catalogs 3.1 Stock Index Futures Data Tracking - **CSI 300 and Related Futures**: The CSI 300 closed at 4546.57, up 0.34%. Among its futures, IF2512 closed at 4530.6, up 0.38% with a basis of - 15.97, and its trading volume was 63708 (down 4155) and position was 136475 (down 5723) [1]. - **SSE 50 and Related Futures**: The SSE 50 closed at 2974.34, up 0.38%. IH2512 closed at 2968.2, up 0.44% with a basis of - 6.14, and its trading volume was 27688 (up 123) and position was 53262 (down 2692) [1]. - **CSI 500 and Related Futures**: The CSI 500 closed at 7012.81, up 0.24%. IC2512 closed at 6983.2, up 0.61% with a basis of - 29.61, and its trading volume was 64721 (down 2618) and position was 123278 (down 10513) [1]. - **CSI 1000 and Related Futures**: The CSI 1000 closed at 7248.66, up 0.01%. IM2512 closed at 7213.4, up 0.39% with a basis of - 35.26, and its trading volume was 116454 (down 2178) and position was 181088 (down 11986) [1]. 3.2 Total Trading Volume and Position Changes - The total trading volume of IF decreased by 5184 lots, IH by 44 lots, IC by 2272 lots, and IM by 5429 lots. The total positions of IF decreased by 3942 lots, IH by 3020 lots, IC by 8576 lots, and IM by 13768 lots [2]. 3.3 Top 20 Member Position Changes - **IF**: For IF2512, long - positions decreased by 5074 and short - positions decreased by 4412; for IF2603, long - positions increased by 581 and short - positions increased by 642 [5]. - **IH**: For IH2512, long - positions decreased by 2193 and short - positions decreased by 1830; for IH2603, long - positions decreased by 511 and short - positions decreased by 214 [5]. - **IC**: For IC2512, long - positions decreased by 7954 and short - positions decreased by 7808; for IC2601, long - positions increased by 737 and short - positions increased by 721 [5]. - **IM**: For IM2512, long - positions decreased by 8399 and short - positions decreased by 10183; for IM2601, long - positions increased by 959 and short - positions increased by 896 [5]. 3.4 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6]. 3.5 Important Driving Factors - Chinese President Xi Jinping held talks with French President Macron. The two leaders exchanged views on the Ukraine crisis and witnessed the signing of cooperation documents in multiple fields. There was also an inaccurate media report about the Japanese Prime Minister's stance on Taiwan, which was refuted by the Chinese Foreign Ministry [6]. 3.6 Other Market Information - The central bank will conduct a 1 - trillion - yuan 3 - month repurchase operation on December 5th to offset the maturity amount. The three major US stock indexes closed mixed. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.06%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.4% and the ChiNext Index rose 1.01%. The A - share market turnover was 1.56 trillion yuan [7].

近期大家看到市场整体虽然在11月底出现了一波小级别的反弹，但其实整个市场还是呈现出比较明显的 缩量行情。另外，我们看指数确实在今天有一定的抛压。当前如果从A股的指数层面来看，我们觉得在 3910点到3920点附近的位置还是会有一定的压力。 整体来看，在市场震荡防御需求下，现金流ETF(159399)与红利国企ETF(510720)均具备分散配置价值， 前者侧重自由现金流驱动的股东回报潜力，后者侧重高股息稳定分红，或适合投资者逢低布局，把握岁 末年初的配置机会。 风险提示： 投资人应当充分了解基金定期定额投资和零存整取等储蓄方式的区别。定期定额投资是引导投资人进行 长期投资、平均投资成本的一种简单易行的投资方式。但是定期定额投资并不能规避基金投资所固有的 风险，不能保证投资人获得收益，也不是替代储蓄的等效理财方式。 无论是股票ETF/LOF基金，都是属于较高预期风险和预期收益的证券投资基金品种，其预期收益及预期 风险水平高于混合型基金、债券型基金和货币市场基金。 基金资产投资于科创板和创业板股票，会面临因投资标的、市场制度以及交易规则等差异带来的特有风 险，提请投资者注意。 文中提及个股短期业绩仅供参考，不构成 ...

| 名称 | 现价 涨跌 涨跌幅 ▼ 年初至今 | | --- | --- | | 脸书(META PLATFORN 661.530 21.930 3.43% 13.25% | | | 英伟达(NVIDIA) | 183.380 3.800 2.12% 36.59% | | 特斯拉(TESLA) | 454.480 7.740 1.73% 12.54% | | 微软(MICROSOFT) | 480.840 3.110 0.65% 14.92% | | 谷歌(ALPHABET)-C | 318.390 -2.230 -0.70% 67.73% | | 苹果(APPLE) | 280.700 -3.450 -1.21% 12.60% | | 亚马逊(AMAZON) | 229.110 -3.270 -1.41% 4.43% | 小盘股狂欢，题材线索丰富 与大盘股相比，小盘股在近期市场中表现更为抢眼。周四的小盘股狂欢中，与AI数据中心、储能、电 力以及量子计算等概念相关的个股成为领涨主力。例如，新兴云算力供应商CoreWeave冲高8.05%，小 型核反应堆开发商Oklo涨15.59%，储能概念股Fluence ...

Group 1 - Eurozone retail sales data for October showed a year-on-year growth of 1.5%, exceeding market expectations of 1.3%, indicating some resilience in consumer demand [1][2] - However, month-on-month retail sales remained flat at 0.0%, suggesting a temporary halt in growth momentum [1] - The internal growth structure revealed a divergence, with food, beverage, and tobacco sales increasing by 0.3% month-on-month, while non-food sales (excluding automotive fuel) decreased by 0.2% [2] Group 2 - The annual growth rate for non-food products (excluding automotive fuel) was 2.1%, significantly higher than the 0.9% for food products, indicating relatively strong discretionary spending [3] - The data reflects a complex picture of the Eurozone consumer market under inflationary pressures and high interest rates, with overall demand not collapsing but growth momentum clearly weakening [3] - European Central Bank (ECB) officials expressed satisfaction with current policy settings, indicating no immediate need for further rate cuts, as inflation appears to be under control [3] Group 3 - In the U.S., initial jobless claims fell to a three-year low of 191,000, suggesting employers are still trying to retain employees despite recent layoffs [4][5] - The four-week moving average of new claims dropped to 214,750, the lowest level since January, indicating limited actual layoffs and easing concerns about a rapidly deteriorating labor market [5] - Despite a recent surge in announced layoffs, the actual number of layoffs remains low, providing some reassurance to market sentiment [5] Group 4 - Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that U.S. employers announced 71,321 layoffs in November, a 53% decrease from the previous month, but still the highest level for November since 2022 [8] - The total planned layoffs for the first eleven months of the year reached approximately 1.171 million, a 54% increase year-on-year, marking the highest annual total since the pandemic [8] - The contrast between increased layoff plans and a lack of corresponding rises in unemployment claims indicates a "no layoff, no hiring" state in the labor market [9] Group 5 - In Ireland, revised domestic demand grew by 2.3% quarter-on-quarter, driven by an 8.3% surge in investment, despite a slight GDP decline of 0.3% [18] - Hungary announced an 11% increase in the minimum wage to combat economic stagnation and political pressure, which may lead to increased costs for businesses [18] - The ECB reiterated its commitment to maintaining a stable exchange rate and monitoring internal demand, with a focus on achieving inflation targets [19]

According to the September U.S. government unemployment report, the job market is seeing mixed results. Bureau of Labor Statistics' August data showed a slight uptick in the unemployment rate to 4.3% for the third consecutive month, as employers added just 22,000 new jobs. The September numbers were initially scheduled to be published on October 3, but the government shutdown delayed their release by 48 days to November 20. Once it was released, the data showed that unemployment ticked up again to 4.4%, d ...

Group 1 - The global economy is projected to grow at 3.2% in 2025 and slightly decrease to 3.1% in 2026, demonstrating resilience despite challenges such as tariff impacts [3][5] - Three main factors supporting this economic resilience include sustained consumer spending in the U.S., the driving force of the AI wave, and various economic stimulus policies implemented by countries [3][5][7] - U.S. consumer spending has been bolstered by companies absorbing some tariff costs, preventing a significant decline in global trade [3][5] Group 2 - Despite positive growth figures, underlying vulnerabilities and uncertainties persist, such as the anticipated decline in U.S. consumer spending due to reduced excess savings and the gradual impact of tariffs [9][11] - High global debt levels pose a significant risk, with governments, businesses, and households facing substantial debt burdens, leading to potential defaults in some European countries [11][13] - The dependency on stimulus policies may create a vicious cycle, increasing economic fragility as countries rely more on these measures to sustain growth [13][14] Group 3 - The AI wave has emerged as a significant variable influencing the macroeconomy, with high capital expenditures from major U.S. tech companies driving growth in related industries [16][18] - However, concerns about potential bubbles in AI investments are rising, with over half of investors believing there is a bubble, while power supply issues for AI infrastructure could lead to adjustments in tech stocks [18][20] - Long-term structural trends include a shift from globalization to regionalization, the potential return of "American exceptionalism," and the realization of Trump's policy intentions, which may reshape international trade dynamics [21][23][25]

IT之家 12 月 4 日消息，Linux 之父林纳斯・托瓦兹向来直言不讳，即便措辞听起来相当冲，也从不收敛。他过去多次公开批评英伟达、AMD、英特尔，曾 与新冠阴谋论者激烈交锋，也对 GitHub 表现出强烈不满。而他最新的批评对象，是掌控 X、SpaceX 与特斯拉的埃隆・马斯克。 托瓦兹说，"不知道。" LTT 继续说，"呃…… 他最近还参与推动美国政府提高效率（IT之家注：马斯克曾主导今年年初成立、现已解散的美国'政府效率部'，简称 DOGE）。" 托瓦兹听后回应，"那看来我说得一点没错。" 据外媒 Neowin 今晚报道，节目中提到的事件发生在马斯克接管推特后的几天，他当时要求员工把近期编写的代码全部打印出来交给高层审核，还必须把自 己最满意的代码片段邮件发给马斯克，并向他提交一份近期代码提交记录的总结。这些做法来自他当时力推的"硬核工作文化"。 托瓦兹近日亮相 Linus Tech Tips（下文简称 LTT）的 YouTube 节目，主持人是"另一个林纳斯"—— 林纳斯・塞巴斯蒂安，两人一起组装所谓的"完美 Linux 主机"。影片中，一段非常短的对话在网络上引发了热议。： LTT 提到，"有家 ...

责任编辑：刘明亮 据职业介绍公司Challenger， Gray & Christmas的数据，美国企业宣布的裁员数量在10月激增后于上月有 所回落，但仍为过去三年来同期最高水平。 该机构周四表示，企业在11月宣布裁员71321人。这个数字约为前月的一半，美国企业10月宣布的裁员 规模是二十多年来同期最高水平。 裁员计划在上个月减少，当然是一个积极信号，"该公司首席营收官Andy Challenger表示。但他表示， 这一数字较上年同期增长24%，并且标志着自2008年以来第三次出现11月裁员计划超过7万人的情况。 推荐阅读：裁员潮蔓延至老牌企业 美国就业市场朔风凛冽 这是美联储下周召开年内最后一次议息会议前看到的最后几份劳动力市场报告之一。投资者普遍押注决 策者将再次降息。然而，官员们对未来政策路径罕见地存在明显分歧，许多官员仍倾向于维持高利率以 抑制通胀。 除了裁员公告，该公司还表示，今年的招聘计划较2024年同期下降35%。年迄今的招聘计划为2010年以 来最低。这包括季节性招聘，Challenger指出，上月没有宣布新的假日招聘计划。 电信业11月的计划裁员数量居前，主要由Verizon推动。科技、食 ...