东京烘焙职业人原创《中国烘焙匠人店》系列已开启。来 # 听创始人说，说他们精彩的创业故事。 这个既有历史底蕴又有实力支撑的酒店，如今在一个特殊的转型板块里，悄然孕育着属于新时代中 式点心的温度与力量—— 饽饽时光 。 饽饽时光 是北京民族饭店下属的独立烘焙板块，听上去古意盎然的名字，却承载着一场"中式糕点 复兴运动"的先锋使命。而这场变革的核心人物，是 国家级面点大师赵会连 。 赵会连 北京首旅酒店（集团）股份有限公司北京市民族饭店餐饮部面点厨师长，中式面点高级技师， 深耕中式面点 30 年。获批国家级技能大师工作室领办人，曾获得 " 北京市劳动模范 " 、 " 国际烹 饪技术大师 " 、 " 北京市经济技术创新标兵 " 、 " 首都劳动奖章 " 、 " 中国烹饪大师 " 、 " 北京市有 突出贡献的高技能人才 " 、 " 北京大工匠 " 、 " 全国技术能手 " ，多次获得国家级及北京市级烹饪 技能大赛金牌，享受中华人民共和国国务院及北京市政府颁发的政府特殊津贴等荣誉。 赵会连曾参与 2014 年 APEC 会议、 2018 年以及 2019 年 " 一带一路 " 国际合作高峰论坛、 2022 年 " 冬奥 ...

Group 1: Key Recommendations - The report recommends Li Auto-W (02015) due to the resilient performance of the L series and the launch of the i8 model, which is expected to initiate a new product cycle [4] - The sales of the i series models are anticipated to exceed expectations, driven by enhanced charging infrastructure and product design that alleviates range anxiety [4] - Revenue projections for Li Auto from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at RMB 1700.09 billion, RMB 2255.53 billion, and RMB 2907.42 billion respectively, with net profit forecasts of RMB 89.89 billion, RMB 149.26 billion, and RMB 195.33 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 11.9%, 66.1%, and 30.9% [4] Group 2: Industry Insights - The traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) industry is characterized by high cash reserves and stable profit growth, similar to the banking sector, with minimal impact from overseas situations [6] - The report anticipates a significant improvement in revenue and profit growth for the TCM industry in Q2 2025 compared to Q1, with continued growth expected in H2 2025 [6] - The report highlights a shift in market perception towards TCM, emphasizing its value in a context of trade protection and economic slowdown, suggesting that TCM's configuration value deserves attention [6] Group 3: Consumer Sector Analysis - The consumer sector, particularly in dining and beverage, is expected to recover, with leading brands in fast food and tea drinks projected to see positive same-store sales growth in Q2 and Q3 of 2025 [7] - The report notes that despite ongoing pressure on domestic consumption, the restaurant sector remains a relatively safe investment, with opportunities for valuation increases [7] - The analysis indicates that the market's focus on growth rates, regardless of low base effects, reflects a willingness to invest in growth stories within the consumer sector [7]

Group 1 - The event "Qin Island Lake Pure Fish Head Festival" was co-hosted by Wenzhou Delile and Hangzhou Qiandao Lake Development Group, showcasing the essence of cuisine through various activities and food displays [1] - Qiandao Lake Development Group awarded Delile the title of "Eternal Strategic Partner," marking a new phase in their 22-year collaboration and the "production area + sales area" linkage model [4] - The festival featured a highlight performance by national labor model Ye Zhiqing, who shared his journey from a common fisherman to a recognized figure, emphasizing the importance of dedication and expertise in one's work [6][7] Group 2 - The festival's main attraction was the launch of the "Qiandao Lake Whole Fish Banquet," which included four signature fish heads and twelve cold and hot dishes, all made from organic fish sourced from Qiandao Lake [7] - To encourage more families in Wenzhou to experience the flavors of Qiandao Lake fish heads, Delile announced a series of promotional activities aimed at providing affordable and delicious dining experiences [8]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the discretionary and staples sectors, indicating a positive outlook for their performance relative to the market [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of the gold and jewelry sector, while cosmetics and snacks are experiencing adjustments. It notes that luxury goods, particularly gold and jewelry stocks, are among the top performers this week [2]. - Key companies such as Pop Mart have been included in the FTSE China 50 Index, which is expected to enhance their visibility and investment appeal [3]. - The report also mentions various new product launches in the food and beverage sector, indicating innovation and market responsiveness [3]. Summary by Sections Investment Focus - Companies rated "Outperform" include Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, Midea Group, and Haier Smart Home among others, reflecting a strong investment sentiment towards these stocks [1]. Weekly Performance - In the food and beverage sector, top performers include CHAGEE (+16.3%) and underperformers include Xiaocaiyuan (-5.1%). In the designer toys sector, Pop Mart (+11.1%) and MINISO (+5.8%) showed strong gains. The home appliance sector saw Marssenger (+5.0%) leading, while Midea Group (-7.5%) faced declines [4][9]. Industry News - Notable industry developments include BLOKEES entering the Mexican market and Luckin Coffee launching a new product in collaboration with SpongeBob SquarePants. Additionally, the Jiangsu home appliance trade-in subsidy platform has been upgraded to enhance consumer engagement [3][8].

Core Viewpoints - The market in June is expected to remain in a consolidation phase, with large-cap stocks likely to see a recovery. Domestic demand momentum is anticipated to improve marginally, while April's industrial profits continued to show a recovery trend but experienced a decline in both volume and price. The cost decline was the main driver of profit growth in April. PMI data for May indicates a slight recovery in domestic production demand compared to April. It is expected that growth-stabilizing policies will be implemented alongside resilient external demand, and the trend of weak inventory replenishment is likely to continue in the second quarter. However, global trade policies remain uncertain, compounded by concerns over rising US debt rates, which may pressure market sentiment in the short term. In June, various growth-stabilizing policies are expected to accelerate, maintaining a cautious and oscillating market environment. Key areas to watch for a breakthrough include developments in overseas tariffs and the implementation of domestic growth-stabilizing policies in June [4][10][12]. June Stock Recommendations - The June stock selection by the report includes: - SF Express (Transportation) - Anji Technology (Chemicals) - Bairen Medical (Pharmaceuticals) - Lingnan Holdings (Social Services) - Qingdao Beer (Food and Beverage) - Suochen Technology (Computers) [10][12]. Industry Summaries Transportation Industry: SF Express - SF Express reported a net profit of 2.234 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a steady growth trend. The company achieved a total express volume of 3.56 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 19.7%, with revenue reaching 69.85 billion yuan, up 6.9% year-on-year. The profit growth was primarily driven by the continuous improvement of the product matrix and enhanced service competitiveness. The company also focused on cost control through operational model reforms and network optimization, achieving a gross profit margin of 13.3%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [12][13]. Chemical Industry: Anji Technology - Anji Technology experienced rapid growth in revenue and net profit in 2024 and Q1 2025, driven by increased market coverage and new product introductions. The gross profit margin for 2024 was 58.45%, with a net profit margin of 29.08%. In Q1 2025, the gross profit margin was 55.70%, and the net profit margin was 30.96%. The company is seeing a steady increase in its global market share for polishing liquids, with a projected market size growth for semiconductor CMP polishing materials [14][15]. Pharmaceutical Industry: Bairen Medical - Bairen Medical reported rapid growth in revenue and profit in 2024, with significant increases in its three main business segments. The heart valve replacement and repair segment saw a year-on-year growth of 64.28%. The company is expected to maintain high growth rates in 2025, driven by the approval of its first interventional valve product, which offers significant advantages in terms of operation and safety [17][18]. Social Services Industry: Lingnan Holdings - Lingnan Holdings achieved a revenue of 4.309 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 25.43%, and a net profit of 150 million yuan, up 116.08%. The company’s travel agency operations and hotel management segments are expected to continue growing, particularly with the recovery of inbound tourism and the expansion of hotel management projects [20][21]. Food and Beverage Industry: Qingdao Beer - Qingdao Beer faced pressure on volume and price in Q3 2024, with a year-on-year decline in sales volume of 7.0%. However, the company benefited from a decrease in raw material costs, leading to an improvement in gross profit margins. Future growth is anticipated as restaurant demand recovers, supported by the company's strong brand and distribution network [23][24]. Computer Industry: Suochen Technology - Suochen Technology reported a revenue of 39 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 21.73%. The company is focusing on enhancing its CAE software capabilities and exploring AI applications in various fields. The engineering simulation software segment has shown significant growth, contributing to an overall increase in the company's gross profit margin [25][26][27].

Group 1 - Guangdian Electric's wholly-owned subsidiary plans to sell 5.91% stake in Shanghai Winshun Electric Technology Co., Ltd. to Yapp Automotive Parts Co., Ltd. for 62.63 million yuan, aiming to optimize asset structure [1] - Anhui Natural Gas received approval for the registration of 500 million yuan short-term financing bonds and 600 million yuan medium-term notes, valid for two years [1] - Kirin Security received government subsidies totaling 6.48 million yuan, which are related to revenue [2] Group 2 - Junshi Biosciences received approval for two new indications for its self-developed drug, Oncorhynchus monoclonal antibody injection, targeting adult patients with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia and non-familial hypercholesterolemia [3] - China Resources Double Crane's subsidiary passed GMP compliance inspection for small and large volume injection production lines [4] - Nanjing Public Utilities' board approved the absorption and merger of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Nanjing Jinguang Industry Co., Ltd. [7] Group 3 - Boya Bio received drug registration certificate for human immunoglobulin (pH4) in the Dominican Republic, valid until August 12, 2029 [8] - Jizhi Co. announced that its controlling shareholder and actual controller committed not to reduce their shareholdings until December 31, 2025 [9] - Yuhua Tian won a bid for the integrated urban management project in Lanzhou City, with a total service subsidy of 353 million yuan [10] Group 4 - Anke Rui obtained five invention patent certificates related to various energy management and control technologies [11] - Kebo Da's wholly-owned subsidiary plans to acquire 100% of Czech IMI Company for approximately 9.43 million euros to enhance global production layout [13] - Yantian Port announced a cash dividend of 1.30 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 676 million yuan [14] Group 5 - Huawang Technology plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.45 yuan per share and a capital reserve increase of 0.20 shares per share [15] - Kabe Yi established a wholly-owned subsidiary in Japan to enhance its business layout [16] - Dongcheng Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received approval for the marketing of sodium fluoride injection, a PET radiopharmaceutical [18] Group 6 - Huaxin New Materials' subsidiary received two utility model patent certificates for innovative devices [19] - Lingang Steel's new 2290 cubic meter blast furnace has been successfully put into operation [21] - Xinlitai received drug registration certificate for Sacubitril/Valsartan tablets, the first of its kind in China [23] Group 7 - Aike Co.'s subsidiary received project designation notices from multiple clients for electric drive platform components [25] - Tonghe Pharmaceutical received drug registration certificate for Apixaban in South Korea [26] - Junting Hotel signed a cooperation agreement with Choice Hotels for exclusive brand usage in mainland China [28] Group 8 - Guangdong Hongtu plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary in Zhengzhou to enhance market layout [30] - Yuheng Pharmaceutical signed a joint promotion agreement for Pemafibrate tablets with Xinghe Pharmaceutical [31] - Chongqing Steel terminated the absorption and merger of its wholly-owned subsidiary, citing strategic advantages of independent operation [33] Group 9 - Jihong Co. announced the listing of its H-shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [34] - Deshi Co. announced plans for shareholders to reduce their holdings by up to 0.3% [36] - Xinhai Medical's subsidiary received medical device registration for a dialysis fluid filter [42]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term disruptions due to industry cycles but is focusing on high-quality expansion and internal improvements. The first quarter revenue met expectations, with hotel operating revenue around 22.5 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14.3%, and total revenue of approximately 5.4 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 2.2% [1][11] - The company aims to maintain a balance between expansion and internal strengthening, with a focus on high-quality growth despite uncertainties in the environment [5][19] Summary by Sections Domestic Hotels - In Q1, domestic revenue was 4.481 billion RMB, up 5.5% year-on-year, with direct-operated hotels down 9.4% and franchise hotels up 21.1%. The overall RevPAR decreased by 3.9%, with same-store RevPAR down 8.3% [2][16] - The company opened 694 new hotels and closed 155, with a total of 11,564 hotels by the end of Q1. The target for new openings in 2025 is approximately 2,300 hotels [2][16] Overseas Hotels - Q1 overseas revenue was 918 million RMB, down 11.3%, with direct-operated revenue down 11.2%. The company is transitioning 10 direct-operated hotels to a light-asset franchise model, which has impacted short-term performance [3][17] - The adjusted EBITDA for overseas operations was -77 million RMB, indicating increased losses primarily due to the transition to a light-asset model and restructuring efforts [3][17] Future Outlook - The company expects Q2 revenue growth of 1-5%, with domestic growth of 3-7% and franchise revenue growth of 18-22%. The management anticipates a narrowing decline in RevPAR in Q2, aiming for at least flat or growth for the year [4][18] - The company continues to focus on brand upgrades, member direct sales, and light-asset strategies, with a significant portion of its hotels in lower-tier cities [4][18] Financial Projections - The adjusted net profit estimates for 2025-2027 are 4.66 billion, 5.37 billion, and 6.13 billion RMB, respectively, with a CAGR of 18%. The dynamic PE ratios are projected to be 17, 15, and 13 times for the respective years [5][19][6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term disruptions due to industry cycles but is focusing on high-quality expansion and internal improvements. The first quarter revenue met expectations, with hotel operating revenue around 22.5 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14.3%, and total revenue of approximately 5.4 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 2.2% [1][11] - The company aims for a revenue growth of 1-5% in Q2, with domestic segments expected to grow by 3-7% and franchise revenue by 18-22%. The management anticipates a narrowing decline in RevPAR in Q2, with a goal of at least maintaining or growing throughout the year [4][18] Summary by Sections Domestic Hotels - In Q1, domestic revenue was 4.481 billion RMB, up 5.5% year-on-year. Direct-operated hotels saw a decline of 9.4%, while franchise revenue increased by 21.1%. The overall RevPAR decreased by 3.9%, with same-store RevPAR down by 8.3% [2][16] - The company opened 694 new hotels and closed 155, with a total of 11,564 hotels by the end of Q1. The company plans to open approximately 2,300 new hotels throughout the year [2][16] Overseas Hotels - Q1 overseas revenue was 918 million RMB, down 11.3%. The decline was primarily due to the transition of 10 direct-operated hotels to a light-asset franchise model and the closure of one direct-operated hotel. The adjusted EBITDA for Q1 was -77 million RMB, indicating an increase in losses due to restructuring [3][17] Financial Forecasts - The company maintains adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 4.66 billion, 5.37 billion, and 6.13 billion RMB, respectively, with a three-year CAGR of 18%. The dynamic PE ratios are projected to be 17, 15, and 13 times for the respective years [5][19] - The company has a shareholder return plan of 2 billion USD over three years, which adds marginal appeal to the investment [5][19]

5月17日，南都记者获悉，近日在第16届广州酒店餐饮业博览会上，广东省餐饮服务行业协会秘书长程 钢在发言时指出，"'新质价值'不是靠卷低价、打补贴带来的，而是在数字化的加持下，比谁的餐品更 有品质，谁的服务更能赢得消费者青睐。"南都此前报道，国家市场监督管理总局党组书记、局长罗文 16日发表文章，再次强调要综合治理"内卷式竞争"问题。 广东省餐饮服务行业协会秘书长程钢发言。 据悉，5月15日，在2025第16届广州酒店餐饮业博览会&第16届广州国际餐饮食材展（简称"CRE广州餐 博会"）上，"餐饮生态·新质价值"分论坛备受关注，广东省餐饮服务行业协会等多位负责人剖析当前餐 饮行业发展趋势，并分享数字化对餐饮行业未来发展新机遇。 广东省餐饮服务行业协会秘书长程钢在发言时表示，当前行业出现了一些非理性竞争苗头——新入局者 以"低价补贴"为武器拓市场，比如几块钱的奶茶咖啡。"这种价格战看似热闹，实则模糊了餐饮业'以食 为本'的核心价值，不仅挤压商家利润空间、削弱创新动力，更可能导致食品安全风险，最终将损害整 个行业的健康发展。" 程钢指出，当前餐饮行业正经历一场深刻的变革：从"流量红利"到"效率红利"，从"规模扩张 ...

Core Insights - The 16th Guangzhou Hotel and Catering Industry Expo and the 16th Guangzhou International Catering Ingredients Exhibition commenced on May 15, 2025, attracting over 50,000 professional visitors on the first day [1][2] - The exhibition covers nine core areas including high-end ingredients, health products, prepared dishes, smart equipment, and central kitchens, with a total exhibition area of 80,000 square meters [1][2] - Over 2,000 enterprises from more than 100 countries and regions are participating, showcasing a wide range of innovative technologies and products [1][2] Industry Developments - The event features a dedicated area for geographical indication products, promoting cooperation between Hunan and Guangdong provinces [2] - A dual-mode approach of "official live streaming + offline exploration" is being utilized to enhance engagement and reach for exhibitors [2] - The event has released several key reports, including the "2024 Guangdong Restaurant Top 100 List" and the "2025 Bay Area Catering Enterprise Report," highlighting market dynamics and growth opportunities [2] Competitive Landscape - The competition segment of the expo has become more specialized, with over 120 professional chef teams participating in the national modern innovative cooking competition, which includes a prepared dish category [2] - The event will host over 30 specialized activities, including the second China (Guangzhou) Noodle and Fast Food Conference and the Central Kitchen Innovation Development Conference [2]