Report Industry Investment Ratings - Iron ore: Oscillating [2] - Coking coal and coke: Oscillating weakly [2] - Rolled steel and rebar: Weakly [2] - Glass: Oscillating weakly [2] - SSE 50 Index: Oscillating [2] - CSI 300 Index: Oscillating [2] - CSI 500 Index: Oscillating [4] - CSI 1000 Index: Downward [4] - 2 - year Treasury bond: Oscillating [4] - 5 - year Treasury bond: Oscillating [4] - 10 - year Treasury bond: Rebounding [4] - Gold: Oscillating strongly [4] - Silver: Oscillating strongly [4] - Pulp: Consolidating [6] - Logs: Weakly oscillating [6] - Soybean oil: Oscillating [6] - Palm oil: Oscillating [6] - Rapeseed oil: Oscillating [6] - Soybean meal: Oscillating weakly [6] - Rapeseed meal: Oscillating weakly [6] - Soybean No. 2: Oscillating weakly [6] - Soybean No. 1: Oscillating weakly [7] - Live pigs: Oscillating strongly [7] - Rubber: Oscillating [9] - PX: On - hold [9] - PTA: Oscillating [9] - MEG: On - hold [9] - PR: On - hold [9] - PF: On - hold [9] Core Views - The steel industry's steady - growth policy from 2025 - 2026 doesn't limit steel production, focusing on industrial added - value. The iron ore market has limited fundamental contradictions and is expected to oscillate at high levels. The coal - coke market is weakening, and the rolled steel and rebar market is in a weak fundamental pattern [2]. - The overall market is weakening, and it is recommended to control risk appetite and reduce long positions in stock indices. Treasury bonds are trending weakly, and long positions should be held lightly. Gold and silver are expected to oscillate strongly due to various factors such as central bank buying, geopolitical risks, and interest - rate expectations [4]. - Pulp is expected to oscillate and rise, but the increase may be limited. Logs are expected to run weakly. Oils and fats are likely to oscillate, and meal products are expected to oscillate weakly. Live pigs are expected to see a slight price increase [6][7]. - Natural rubber is expected to remain strong in the short - term due to supply constraints and inventory decline. PX, PTA, MEG, PR, and PF in the polyester industry have different trends based on factors like supply - demand and cost [9]. Summary by Industry Black Industry - **Iron ore**: The 2025 - 2026 steel industry policy doesn't limit production. The price is relatively strong, with limited fundamental contradictions. The expected reduction in daily hot - metal production in the Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei region has little impact on demand, and it is expected to oscillate at high levels [2]. - **Coking coal and coke**: The fundamentals are weakening, with increasing supply and decreasing demand. It is expected to oscillate weakly [2]. - **Rolled steel and rebar**: The supply remains high, and the total demand is difficult to show counter - seasonal performance. The inventory is accumulating, and it is expected to run weakly [2]. - **Glass**: The market sentiment has cooled, and the supply - demand pattern hasn't improved significantly. The key lies in the cold - repair path, and it is expected to oscillate weakly [2]. Financial Industry - **Stock indices**: Most stock indices are in an oscillating state, with the CSI 1000 Index trending downward. The market is weakening, and risk control is recommended [2][4]. - **Treasury bonds**: The yields are fluctuating, and the market is trending weakly. Long positions should be held lightly [4]. - **Precious metals**: Gold and silver are expected to oscillate strongly due to factors such as central bank buying, geopolitical risks, and interest - rate expectations [4]. Light Industry - **Pulp**: The cost supports the price, but the demand improvement is uncertain. It is expected to oscillate and rise, but the increase may be limited [6]. - **Logs**: The supply pressure is small, the peak season expectation is uncertain, and the delivery willingness is weak. It is expected to run weakly [6]. Agricultural Products Industry - **Oils and fats**: The supply of raw materials is relatively loose, and the demand is growing. It is expected to oscillate, and attention should be paid to weather and production - sales conditions [6]. - **Meal products**: The market sentiment has worsened, the supply is abundant, and the demand is weakening. It is expected to oscillate weakly [6][7]. - **Live pigs**: The average transaction weight is decreasing, the slaughter rate is rising, and the price is expected to rise slightly [7]. Soft Commodities and Polyester Industry - **Natural rubber**: The supply is tight, the demand is relatively stable, and the inventory is decreasing. It is expected to remain strong in the short - term [9]. - **PX, PTA, MEG, PR, PF**: Their trends are affected by factors such as supply - demand, cost, and market sentiment, with different performance and expectations [9].

Macro and Strategy Research - The liquidity environment is expected to improve, providing a mid-term layout window for the A-share market, with a focus on strengthening domestic circulation as a key policy direction [2][3] - The capital market is experiencing a liquidity-driven trend, with increased trading volume and a rise in margin financing balances, indicating a positive influx of funds into the market [3] Industry Research Metal Industry - The steel industry reported a revenue of CNY 945.23 billion in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 9.16%, while net profit increased by 157.66% to CNY 13.14 billion, indicating significant improvement in overall performance [8] - The non-ferrous metal industry achieved a revenue of CNY 1,819.66 billion in H1 2025, a year-on-year growth of 6.49%, with net profit rising by 36.55% to CNY 95.36 billion, reflecting strong performance [10] Light Industry and Textile - The light industry manufacturing sector reported a revenue of CNY 297.01 billion in H1 2025, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.01%, but net profit decreased by 23.14% to CNY 13.95 billion, indicating pressure on profitability [15] - The textile and apparel sector saw a revenue decline of 5.16% and a net profit decrease of 8.40% in H1 2025, highlighting challenges in the market [16] Pharmaceutical and Biotech - The pharmaceutical and biotech sector experienced a revenue decline in H1 2025, with innovative drugs and CXO segments showing strong performance, while medical devices faced pressure [18][19] - The chemical pharmaceutical segment reported a revenue of CNY 136.94 billion in Q2 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.4%, but net profit increased by 9.0%, indicating a recovery in profitability [19]

行业 纸浆日报 日期 2025 年 9 月 5 日 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 021-60635727 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 期货从业资格号：F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员:李捷,CFA（原油沥青） 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（工业硅多晶硅） 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回顾与 ...

Group 1 - The State Council issued an opinion to promote high-quality development of the sports industry, aiming to cultivate influential sports enterprises and events by 2030, with a total scale exceeding 7 trillion yuan [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration for Market Regulation released an action plan for the electronic information manufacturing industry, focusing on high-quality development in the photovoltaic and lithium battery sectors, and implementing quality management for related products [2] - The China Securities Index Company will launch several new indices to provide diversified investment targets for the market [2] Group 2 - Huawei launched its second foldable smartphone, the MateXTs, marking it as the world's second mass-produced foldable device [3] - China Shipbuilding Industry Company announced the termination of the listing of China Heavy Industry's A-shares [3] - National Semiconductor successfully tested a new high-performance chip for automotive electronics [3][4] Group 3 - Guotai Junan Securities expects the brokerage sector to benefit from the dual drivers of increased allocation and performance elasticity, continuing to recommend the brokerage sector [5] - Huafu Securities anticipates an improvement in profitability for most sub-sectors of the light manufacturing industry in the second half of the year, driven by stable domestic demand and recovering external demand [6]

Group 1 - The State Council issued an opinion to promote high-quality development of the sports industry, aiming for a total scale exceeding 70 trillion yuan by 2030 [2] - The People's Bank of China will conduct a 1 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation to maintain liquidity in the banking system [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released an action plan for the electronic information manufacturing industry, focusing on high-quality development in sectors like photovoltaics and lithium batteries [3] Group 2 - Huawei launched its second foldable smartphone, the MateXTs, marking it as the world's second mass-produced foldable phone [5] - China Shipbuilding Industry Group's A-share stock will be delisted [6] - Guoxin Technology successfully tested a new high-performance chip for automotive electronics [10] Group 3 - Huafu Securities expects improvement in profitability for most sub-sectors in the light manufacturing industry in the second half of the year [21] - The packaging sector is maintaining steady growth, while the home furnishing and paper-making sectors are gradually bottoming out [21] - The brokerage sector is recommended due to the dual drivers of increased allocation and performance improvement [21]

证券代码：833394 证券简称：民士达 公告编号：2025-084 烟台民士达特种纸业股份有限公司股票解除限售公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连 带法律责任。 一、 本次股票解除限售数量总额为 96,860,000 股，占公司总股本 66.23%，可交 易时间为 2025 年 9 月 10 日。 二、本次股票解除限售的明细情况及原因 是否为控 （二）《烟台民士达特种纸业股份有限公司限售股份数据表》 （三）《烟台民士达特种纸业股份有限公司解除限售申请表》 （四）《烟台民士达特种纸业股份有限公司解除限售申请书》 （五）《中国证券登记结算有限责任公司北京分公司关于发布解除限售公告 的通知》 （六）《中国证券登记结算有限责任公司北京分公司解除限售变更登记申报 明细清单》 董事会 单位：股 董事、监 本次解除 尚未解 股股东、 本次解除 序 事、高级 本次解限 限售股数 除限售 股东姓名或名称 实际控制 限售登记 号 管理人员 售原因 占公司总 的股票 人或其一 股票数量 任职情况 股本比例 数量 致行动人 ...

Group 1: Economic Policy Initiatives - Shandong Province is launching a new round of targeted "policy support packages" to enhance economic quality and stability, focusing on key sectors such as services, construction, and cultural tourism [1][2] - The Shandong Development and Reform Commission has developed a policy list to promote stable economic growth, emphasizing funding support, consumption stimulation, and project construction [2][3] Group 2: Support for Service Industry - Shandong will allocate 200 million RMB in service industry development guidance funds, with an additional 100 million RMB in the second half of the year to support high-growth and newly regulated enterprises [2][3] - The province's service industry value added increased by 5.8% year-on-year in the first half of the year, outpacing the GDP growth rate by 0.2 percentage points [3] Group 3: Construction Industry Measures - A new work plan has been established to promote high-quality development in the construction industry, including measures to clear overdue payments to construction companies [4] - Private enterprises contributed 73% of employment and 59% of output in Shandong's construction industry in the first half of the year [4] Group 4: Cultural and Tourism Consumption - Shandong has introduced a plan to expand cultural and tourism consumption, featuring 20 measures to enhance the integration of culture and tourism [5][6] - In the first half of the year, Shandong received 410 million tourists, generating over 500 billion RMB in tourism revenue, both showing nearly 10% year-on-year growth [6]

Major Events - China Shipbuilding announced that it plans to absorb and merge with China Heavy Industry, with the latter's A-share stock set to be delisted on September 5, 2025. After the delisting, the stock value will not be reflected in investors' accounts until the conversion to China Shipbuilding A-shares is completed [4] - Anzheng Fashion's stock has experienced three consecutive trading days of limit-up prices, indicating potential irrational speculation in the market. No significant media reports or market rumors have been found that could impact the stock price [5] - Zhonghuan Hailu has terminated its plans for a change in control after failing to reach an agreement with the trading party regarding future development. The company's stock will resume trading on September 5 [6] - Kebo Da plans to acquire 60% of Kebo Da Intelligent Technology for 345 million yuan, aiming to enter the automotive intelligence sector and enhance its technological capabilities [7] - Shangneng Electric reported no undisclosed significant matters that could affect its stock trading, confirming stable operational conditions [8] - Jingxing Paper also stated that there have been no significant changes in its operational environment, with no undisclosed major information affecting stock prices [9] - Guoxin Health announced the passing of its independent director Bai Yan due to illness on August 31, 2025 [10] - Jiangsu Shuntian will change its stock name to "Suhao Fashion" starting September 10, 2025, while the stock code remains unchanged [11] Performance Overview - Yutong Bus reported sales of 4,260 units in August 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.78%. Cumulative sales from January to August reached 28,800 units, up 4.51% year-on-year [12][13] - Wen's Shares recorded sales of 324,570 pigs in August, generating revenue of 4.825 billion yuan, with a slight month-on-month decline of 1.07%. The average selling price of live pigs was 13.9 yuan/kg, with year-on-year changes of 37.88% and -17.7% respectively [14] - Jiangling Motors reported a year-on-year increase of 8.92% in automobile sales for August, totaling 30,003 units. Cumulative sales from January to August reached 226,500 units, up 5.67% year-on-year [15] Shareholding Changes - Jimin Health's controlling shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 3%, equivalent to a maximum of 15.7527 million shares, within three months after 15 trading days [16] - Changfei Fiber announced that its major shareholder, Yangtze Communication, intends to reduce its stake by up to 0.15%, or 1.1 million shares, within three months after 15 trading days [17] Major Contracts - Ningbo Construction's subsidiaries have won construction projects worth a total of 1.117 billion yuan [18]

Group 1 - The State Council issued an opinion to promote high-quality development of the sports industry, aiming for a total scale exceeding 7 trillion yuan by 2030 [2] - The People's Bank of China will conduct a 1 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation to maintain liquidity in the banking system [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration for Market Regulation released an action plan for the electronic information manufacturing industry, focusing on high-quality development in the photovoltaic sector [3] Group 2 - China Shipbuilding announced that its A-share stock will be delisted on September 5 [5] - Xiamen Electric Power confirmed no undisclosed significant matters [5] - Guoxin Technology successfully tested a new high-performance chip for automotive electronics [5] - Beijing Lier is exploring AI-related business through strategic cooperation with SenseTime and Xiwang [5] - Ji Feng Technology plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary for low-altitude industry investment and operation [5] - KBD plans to acquire 60% of KBD Intelligent Technology for 345 million yuan, entering the automotive intelligence sector [5] - Zhongwei Company launched six new semiconductor equipment products [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current downturn in the stock market, highlighting the need for investors to actively engage and support the new cycle led by technology stocks [1]. Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a decline on September 4, with the ChiNext index dropping by 4.25%, the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.25%, and the Shenzhen Component Index decreasing by 2.83% [6]. - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 25,822.18 billion yuan, an increase of 1,861.15 billion yuan compared to the previous day [7]. Sector Performance - The photovoltaic and solid-state battery sectors continued to show strength, with significant gains in stocks like Zhengye Technology and Tongrun Equipment, both hitting the daily limit [8]. - The paper industry is experiencing a new round of price adjustments, with several major paper mills announcing price increases [8]. Investment Trends - The report indicates a clear shift in capital preferences, with the consumer sector gaining favor due to policies promoting consumption, such as the issuance of consumption vouchers in various cities [7]. - The solid-state battery sector is attracting attention due to explosive order growth, with major equipment manufacturers reporting new orders exceeding 30 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 70% to 80% [8]. Company Developments - DeepSeek is reportedly developing an advanced AI model to compete with U.S. counterparts like OpenAI, aiming for a launch in the last quarter of this year [5]. - Despite cautious procurement attitudes from Beijing regarding NVIDIA chips, companies like ByteDance and Tencent are actively purchasing H20 chips and are interested in the upcoming B30A model, which is expected to outperform the H20 by six times [5]. Regulatory Environment - Concerns over market volatility have led to discussions among regulators about potential measures to curb speculation, including the possibility of lifting certain short-selling restrictions [2].