Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) 2025 Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) - **Date**: May 14, 2025 - **Key Speakers**: Manish Padalawala (CFO), Chris Cuddy (President of Carb Solutions and North America) Core Industry Insights - **Commodity Cycle Management**: ADM is focused on managing through the commodity cycle, simplifying its business, and pursuing strategic growth opportunities to enhance earnings potential over time [1][2] - **Cost Optimization**: The company aims to achieve cost efficiencies of $500 million to $750 million over the next three to five years, with $200 million to $300 million targeted for the current year [10][34] - **Growth Opportunities**: ADM sees significant growth potential in biosolutions, carbon capture, and emerging markets, alongside its nutrition business [11][30] Financial Performance and Projections - **Earnings Guidance**: ADM reaffirmed its earnings guidance at $4.00 to $4.75 per share, with expectations for improved crush margins in the second half of the year [21][22] - **Operational Challenges**: The company has faced operational challenges, including unplanned downtimes, but is working to improve efficiency and reliability in its plants [35][39] Regulatory and Market Factors - **RVO Impact**: ADM has lobbied for Renewable Volume Obligations (RVOs) of 15 billion gallons for ethanol and 5.25 billion gallons for biomass biodiesel, emphasizing the importance of certainty in regulations for capital investments [14][15] - **Market Demand**: The company is cautious about demand softness in certain segments, particularly in the carbohydrate solutions and nutrition businesses, but remains optimistic about long-term growth [41][49] Strategic Initiatives - **Digital Transformation**: ADM is investing in digital capabilities to enhance operational efficiency and data analytics, which are expected to drive better decision-making and performance [11][71] - **Capital Allocation**: The company is focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet while investing in organic growth and returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks [67][72] Additional Insights - **Sustainability Focus**: ADM is committed to sustainability initiatives, including carbon capture and renewable products, which are seen as key growth areas [30][31] - **Portfolio Management**: The company is actively evaluating its portfolio for simplification and potential divestitures, with a focus on areas where it has a competitive advantage [65][73] Conclusion - **Long-term Outlook**: ADM is positioned for long-term value creation through operational excellence, strategic growth initiatives, and a strong balance sheet, despite facing short-term challenges in the market [12][73]

油脂油料早报 研究中心农产品团队 2025/05/14 隔 夜 市 场 信 息 ： SPPOMA：马来西亚5月1-10日棕榈油产量环比增长22.31% 南部半岛棕榈油压榨商协会（SPPOMA）发布的数据显示，2025年5月1-10日，马来西亚棕榈油产量环比增长 22.31%，鲜果串单产增长20.20%，出油率增长0.40%。 MPOB报告：马来西亚4月底棕榈油库存环比增加19.4% 马来西亚棕榈油总署（MPOB）公布月报显示，马来西亚4月底棕榈油库存较前月增加19.37%，至187万吨。 MPOB数据显示，马来西亚4月毛棕油产量为169万吨，较前月增加21.52%。 马来西亚3月棕榈油出口量为110万吨，较前月增加9.62%。 此前的一份调査显示，预计马来西亚3月棕榈油库存为179万吨，产量料为162万吨，出口量料为110万吨。 USDA油籽报告：全球2025/26年度棕榈油产量预估为8043.6万吨 美国农业部公布的5月油籽报告显示，全球2025/26年度棕榈油产量预计为8043.6万吨，较上年度产量预估上调 219.1万吨。 全球2025/26年度棕榈油期末库存预计为1446.3万吨，较上年期未库存度预估 ...

豆油：美国生柴炒作密集，短期易涨难跌 | | | 2025 年 5 月 14 日 商 品 研 究 棕榈油：压力阶段性释放，下方或有支撑 【基本面跟踪】 油脂基本面数据 | | 棕榈油主力 | 单 位 元/吨 | 收盘价 (日盘） 7,954 | 涨跌幅 -0.87% | 收盘价 （夜盘） 8,036 | 涨跌幅 1.03% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 豆油主力 | 元/吨 | 7,792 | -0.28% | 7,828 | 0.46% | | | 菜油主力 | 元/吨 | 9,374 | -0.04% | 9,400 | 0.28% | | 期 货 | 马棕主力 | 林吉特/吨 | 3,893 | 2.04% | 3,929 | 0.92% | | | CBOT豆油主力 | 美分/磅 | 51.65 | 3.47% | | | | | | 单 位 | 昨日成交 | 成交变动 | 昨日持仓 | 持仓变动 | | | 棕榈油主力 | 手 | 697,530 | 23,508 | 409,349 | 5,249 | | | 豆油主力 | 手 ...

地址：北京市朝阳区朝阳门外大街甲 6 号万通中心 D 座 20 层 （100020） 资讯早间报 制作日期： 2025/05/14 隔夜夜盘市场走势 1. 国际油价大幅走高，美油主力合约收涨 2.71%，报 63.63 美元/桶；布伦 特原油主力合约涨 2.43%，报 66.54 美元/桶。 2. 国内商品期货夜盘收盘普遍上涨，能源化工品表现强劲，苯乙烯涨 3.78%，乙二醇涨 3.31%，PTA 涨 3.25%，丁二烯橡胶涨 2.97%，短纤涨 2.7%，低 硫燃料油涨 2.37%，原油涨 1.7%。黑色系全线上涨，铁矿石涨近 1%。农产品涨 跌不一。基本金属全线上涨，氧化铝涨 1.69%，沪锌涨 1.57%，沪铜涨 0.99%。 沪金涨 0.36%，沪银涨 0.40%。 3. 国际贵金属期货普遍收涨，COMEX 黄金期货涨 0.82%报 3254.50 美元/盎 司，COMEX 白银期货涨 1.43%报 33.09 美元/盎司。 4. 伦敦基本金属全线上涨，LME 期锌涨 1.93%报 2720.50 美元/吨，LME 期 铅涨 1.40%报 1993.00 美元/吨，LME 期铜涨 1.29%报 962 ...

以下文章来源于RimeData 来觅数据 ，作者来觅研究院 政策持续推动乡村振兴领域蓬勃发展。 2025年一季度，国内乡村振兴领域政策不断加强与完善，产业呈现良好发展态势。政策方面，中央一号文 件首提农业新质生产力，要壮大县域富民产业，实施农村产业融合发展项目等；《乡村全面振兴规划（2024—2027 年）》明确推动乡村产业高质 量发展。产业变化上，农产品加工业增加值增长 7.2%，乡村新产业新业态如乡村旅游等蓬勃发展，农村网络零售额增长 6.4%，农产品网络零售额 增长 15.8%，乡村消费市场重要性凸显，消费品零售额同比增长 4.9%。 据来觅PEVC数据，2025年一季度国内乡村振兴领域合计发生融资案例45起，较上季度回升明显。涉及融资金额14.81亿元，农产品加工最受资本 关注。一季度乡村振兴发展情况如何？如何理解农业新质生产力？AI如何赋能智慧农业？本文尝试分析和探讨。 目录 行业概要 c 贸敷据 1.1 乡村振兴季度概览 4 Rim 1.2 Q1 行业相关政策 5 1.3 Q1 时间线 6 Qim 1.4 寒道图谱 8 投融动态 10 2.1 Q1 投融动态 2.2 活跃投资者 12 2.3 Q1 ...

双塔食品 20250513 摘要 • 双塔食品一季度营收增长 15%，得益于豌豆蛋白和龙口粉丝分别增长 10%，淀粉销量翻倍。预计二季度淀粉增速放缓，但豌豆蛋白和粉丝仍保 持增长。公司受益于宠物食品领域，对乖宝等销售额达 1.2 亿元，国产替 代化及自主品牌出海趋势下，该领域将持续受益。 • 面对美国对中国豌豆蛋白双反调查，公司调整产品结构，出口低蛋白产品， 并加快泰国工厂建设，预计 2025 年下半年投产，一期产能 1 万吨，以规 避关税，提升利润率，并拓展东南亚市场。 • 全球豌豆蛋白市场价格差异显著，国外企业因淀粉处理成本高，售价在 3- 4 万元/吨，而中国企业可将淀粉转化为粉丝，成本优势明显，售价约为 2 万元/吨，占据全球植物基蛋白市场 70%份额。 • 豌豆蛋白行业面临原材料价格上涨、全球通胀和竞争加剧等挑战，但中美 关税缓和（降至 10%）及国产替代化、自主品牌出海带来机遇。公司积极 开发保健品、功能性食品及宠物用品等应用，拓展市场空间。 • 公司从加拿大和俄罗斯采购豌豆，应对加拿大关税，增加俄罗斯进口。尽 管俄罗斯豌豆杂质较多，公司自有筛选系统可有效处理。豌豆价格受气候 影响，原材料成本占总 ...

一致魔芋 20250513 摘要 • 一致魔芋 2024 年魔芋粉销量超 6,000 吨，全球市占率达 12%，位居首 位。魔芋食品（含休闲食品、茶饮小料、传统食材）占收入 28%，休闲食 品和茶饮小料增长迅速，尤其"魔芋晶球"受益于茶饮健康化趋势，获蜜 雪冰城青睐。 • 短期内，一致魔芋受益于原料涨价和海外补库需求，预计 2025 年收入增 长 15%以上，若承接外溢订单，收入或同比增长 50%以上。中长期，国 内魔芋产业升级将带动公司业务量价齐升，通过复配技术和拓展新应用 （宠物食品、保健品）实现增长。 • 预计一致魔芋 2025-2027 年归母净利润分别为 0.98 亿、1.26 亿和 1.74 亿元，年复合增速超 30%。目前估值对应 2025 年 PE 约 48 倍，高于历 史平均水平。建议关注鲜魔芋涨价、新签大客户等基本面催化因素。 • 一致魔芋毛利率受原料价格、库存、采购及销售传导影响。长期来看，随 着中高端应用及制品占比提升，毛利率与原料价格波动关系将减弱。 2014-2020 年期间费用率下降，2020-2024 年因扩张有所增加，加回存 货减值后的净利率呈上升趋势。 Q&A 请介绍一致魔 ...

表 1：油脂期货日度数据监测 油脂：马棕油库存超预期 油脂高开低走 冯子悦 fengzy@jsfco.com 期货从业资格号：F03111391 投资咨询从业证书号：Z0018581 | | | 油 | 脂 每 | 日 | 数 据 | 追 | 踪 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 指标 | 截至 | 单位 | 今日 | 昨日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | 期货 | DCE豆油主力 | 5月13日 | 元/吨 | 7792.00 | 7814.00 | -22.00 | -0.28% | | | DCE棕榈油主力 | 5月13日 | 元/吨 | 7954.00 | 8024.00 | -70.00 | -0.87% | | | CZCE菜籽油主力 | 5月13日 | 元/吨 | 9374.00 | 9378.00 | -4.00 | -0.04% | | | CBOT大豆主力 | 5月12日 | 美分/蒲式耳 | 1070.00 | 1052.25 | 17.75 | 1.69% | | | CBOT豆油主力 | 5月12日 | 美分 ...

大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 | 玉米&玉米淀粉数据日报 | | | | | | | | 2025/5/13 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货盘面 | | | | | | | | | | 期货 | | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 增减幅 | 持仓量 | 增减幅 | | C2601 | | 2253 | -20 | -0.89% | 25,687 | 36.80% | 58,714 | -4.61% | | C2505 | | 2310 | -15 | -0.65% | 1,537 | -66.30% | 2,935 | -67.96% | | C2509 | | 2356 | -19 | -0.81% | 148,693 | -1.38% | 427,914 | 1.36% | | CS2601 | | 2677 | -33 | -1.23% | 1,029 | 23.09% | 4,219 | -6.16% | | CS2505 | | 2680 | -21 | -0.78% | 1,026 | ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No investment ratings are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - **Soybean and Related Products**: The soybean market is influenced by international production and domestic supply - demand. The soybean oil 2509 contract may have short - term range - bound oscillations, and the soybean meal may experience short - term oscillations. The domestic soybean oil mid - term de - stocking cycle may end, and inventory may rebound. The supply of domestic soybean meal is expected to turn from tight to loose [1]. - **Corn**: The domestic corn market is in the new - old grain gap period, and the corn price will maintain a relatively strong performance in the short term due to supply tightness and weak demand [2]. - **Copper**: The copper price's monthly K - line shows a balance between yin and yang. In the short term, investors can try to enter the market based on the moving average system [3]. - **Carbonate Lithium**: The carbonate lithium 2507 contract may have a weak - side oscillation, and investors can short at high prices. The cost support is weakening, and the price is under pressure [4][5]. - **Steel**: The steel fundamentals are gradually improving, and the market presents a pattern of strong supply and demand. The black negative feedback is gradually reflected in the market. Investors can consider going long at low prices for far - month contracts after May [6]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: The supply of coking coal and coke is relatively loose, and the demand is weak. They will have a low - level weak - side oscillation [7]. - **Iron Ore**: The iron ore market has a mix of long and short factors. The 2509 contract will have short - term oscillations [8]. - **Crude Oil**: The crude oil market has oscillations. In the medium - long term, the price center will move down, but the WTI main contract has technical support at $55 per barrel [9]. - **Rubber**: The rubber market is mainly driven by fundamentals, with a loose supply - demand situation globally. It is running weakly, and investors can pay attention to the support at around 14,000 yuan per ton for the main contract [10][11]. - **PVC**: The demand for PVC is weak, and the futures price may have low - level oscillations [12]. - **Soda Ash**: The fundamentals of soda ash are weak, and the futures market will have wide - range oscillations in the short term [13]. 3. Summary by Product Soybean and Related Products - **Spot Information**: The price of Rizhao Jiji first - grade soybean oil is 8,080 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous trading day. The 43 - protein soybean meal prices in different regions have declined [1]. - **Market Analysis**: Internationally, the South American new - crop soybean is likely to have a bumper harvest, and the US soybean production is expected to change. Domestically, the supply of soybean oil may increase, and the supply of soybean meal is expected to turn from tight to loose [1]. Corn - **Spot Information**: Different regions have different corn acquisition prices, such as 2,194 yuan/ton in Northeast China and Inner Mongolia and 2,439 yuan/ton in North China and Huanghuai [1]. - **Market Analysis**: The impact of the Sino - US tariff dispute on the corn market is limited. Domestically, there is a short - term supply shortage and weak demand [2]. Copper - **Spot Information**: The price of Shanghai 1 electrolytic copper is 78,060 - 78,490 yuan, up 70 yuan, with a discount of 50 - premium of 20 [3]. - **Market Analysis**: The Sino - US tariff negotiation has made progress, and domestic policies are supportive. However, the raw material supply problem persists, and the copper inventory is rapidly declining [3]. Carbonate Lithium - **Spot Information**: The battery - grade carbonate lithium (99.5%) is priced at 65,250 yuan/ton, down 450 yuan, and the industrial - grade is 63,550 yuan/ton, also down 450 yuan [4]. - **Market Analysis**: The cost support is weakening, the supply is high, the demand improvement is insufficient, and the inventory is accumulating [4]. Steel - **Spot Information**: The Shanghai rebar price is 3,170 yuan, the Tangshan operating rate is 83.56%, the social inventory is 5.3276 million tons, and the steel mill inventory is 2.004 million tons [6]. - **Market Analysis**: The steel fundamentals are improving, the cost is dynamic, and the inventory is decreasing. The short - term market is dominated by macro - policy expectations [6]. Coking Coal and Coke - **Spot Information**: The price of Mongolian No. 5 coking coal is 1,205 yuan/ton, and the price of quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke at Rizhao Port is 1,340 yuan/ton [7]. - **Market Analysis**: The supply is loose, the demand is weak, the inventory is slightly increasing, and the profit is approaching the break - even point [7]. Iron Ore - **Spot Information**: The iron ore Platts index is 98.6, the price of Qingdao PB (61.5%) powder is 760 yuan, and the price of Australian 62% Fe powder ore is 756 yuan [8]. - **Market Analysis**: The supply and demand factors are mixed, and the market is affected by the US tariff policy [8]. Crude Oil - **Market Analysis**: Geopolitical conflicts boost the price, but the OPEC+ production increase and trade - war concerns affect the price. The medium - long - term price center will move down [9]. Rubber - **Spot Information**: Not provided comprehensively in the text. - **Market Analysis**: The supply is loose, and the demand may be suppressed by the US auto tariff [10][11]. PVC - **Spot Information**: The mainstream price of East China Type 5 PVC is 4,650 yuan/ton, and the ethylene - based PVC is 5,000 yuan/ton [12]. - **Market Analysis**: The supply is increasing, the demand is weak, and the inventory is decreasing slightly [12]. Soda Ash - **Spot Information**: The national mainstream price of heavy soda ash is 1,416.88 yuan/ton, unchanged [13]. - **Market Analysis**: The supply is slightly decreasing, the inventory is increasing, and the demand is average. The market will have wide - range oscillations [13].