Core Viewpoint - Mitsubishi plans to invest $3.9 billion in the U.S. solar energy sector [1] Company Summary - The investment by Mitsubishi signifies a strong commitment to expanding its footprint in the renewable energy market, particularly in solar energy [1] Industry Summary - The U.S. solar energy sector is experiencing significant growth, attracting substantial investments from major companies like Mitsubishi, indicating a positive trend towards renewable energy adoption [1]

Group 1 - Mitsubishi plans to invest $3.9 billion in the U.S. solar energy sector [1]

Meeting Overview - The 37th meeting of the 9th Board of Directors of Shanghai Aishuo New Energy Co., Ltd. was held on June 20, 2025, with all 7 directors present, and the meeting was conducted in accordance with relevant laws and regulations [2][3]. Resolutions Passed - The board approved the adjustment of the 2023 plan for issuing A-shares to specific targets, with a unanimous vote of 7 in favor [3][14]. - The board also approved the third revised draft of the 2023 plan for issuing A-shares to specific targets, again with a unanimous vote [6][16]. - The board passed the third revised draft of the analysis report on the 2023 plan for issuing A-shares to specific targets, with all votes in favor [7][17]. - The feasibility analysis report for the use of funds raised from the 2023 A-share issuance was also approved unanimously [9][18]. - The board approved the second revised draft of the measures to mitigate the dilution of immediate returns from the 2023 A-share issuance, with all votes in favor [10][25]. Adjustments to A-Share Issuance Plan - The company adjusted the number of shares to be issued to not exceed 547,893,181 shares, which is approximately 30% of the total share capital before the issuance [19][20]. - The adjustment was made due to historical stock incentive plans and other factors affecting the total share capital [20][21]. - The other contents of the issuance plan remain unchanged, and the plan requires approval from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the China Securities Regulatory Commission before implementation [21][22]. Necessity and Reasonableness of the Issuance - The issuance is deemed necessary to expand the production capacity of ABC batteries, which are crucial for meeting the growing market demand for N-type batteries [31]. - The company has a well-established talent management system and a professional team to support the implementation of the fundraising projects [32][33]. - The company has accumulated significant technological strength in solar cell manufacturing, which will aid in the successful execution of the fundraising projects [34][35]. Measures to Mitigate Dilution of Immediate Returns - The company plans to accelerate the construction of fundraising projects to achieve expected goals more quickly [37]. - It will also manage funds effectively to enhance overall profitability and ensure that the fundraising projects and existing business can drive each other’s growth [38]. - The company aims to improve operational management and internal controls to provide a solid institutional guarantee for its development [39]. Stock Incentive Plan - The company completed the registration of the first grant of restricted stock under the 2025 stock incentive plan, with a total of 13.13 million shares granted at a price of 5.68 yuan per share [45][46]. - The stock incentive plan aims to enhance employee motivation and align their interests with those of the shareholders [45][46].

Core Insights - Silver prices have surged 27% this year, reaching a multi-year high, driven by dual demand from investors and industrial buyers [1] - Unlike gold, which is primarily used for wealth storage, 80% of silver demand comes from manufacturing, particularly from solar panel manufacturers [1][4] - The current spot price of silver is $35.94, with a 12% increase observed this month [1] Group 1: Industrial Demand - Industrial demand is the main driver of silver prices, with 80% of demand stemming from manufacturing [4] - Stable consumption of silver in cutlery and electronics, alongside strong demand from solar panel manufacturers, supports price increases [3][4] - Analysts warn that if prices rise excessively, manufacturers may switch to cheaper metal alternatives [3] Group 2: Investor Behavior - Individual investors are increasingly purchasing silver, with the iShares Silver Trust ETF adding nearly 11 million ounces this year to meet demand [5] - The Honest Coin Shop in New Jersey has seen a 20% increase in customer traffic, primarily from investors hoarding silver to hedge against economic uncertainty [5] - Despite high prices, many customers continue to buy silver regularly, fearing they might miss out on the price surge [5] Group 3: Silver Coin and Jewelry Market - The rising prices have sparked a "silver rush" across the U.S., with people searching for old silver coins and items to sell [3][6] - The melt value of pre-1965 25-cent coins exceeds $6.50, significantly higher than their face value [6] - Customers are increasingly looking to sell inherited or unused jewelry and silverware, opting to liquidate their assets [8] Group 4: Historical Context - Analysts believe it will be challenging for silver prices to surpass the 1980 record of $48.70 per ounce, which adjusted for inflation would be over $200 today [8] - The historical context of price surges and subsequent crashes, such as the Hunt brothers' attempt to control the market, is relevant to current market dynamics [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company is issuing shares to specific investors, which may dilute the immediate returns for existing shareholders, but it aims to enhance its operational capacity and profitability in the long run through strategic investments in its core business of solar energy technology [1][6][12]. Financial Impact of Share Issuance - The issuance of shares is expected to dilute immediate returns, with projections indicating potential losses or breakeven scenarios for 2025, depending on market conditions [2][4]. - Three scenarios for 2025 net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses are presented: a loss of 400 million yuan, breakeven, or a profit of 400 million yuan [2][5]. Business Strategy and Market Position - The company is focusing on expanding its ABC battery production to meet the growing market demand for N-type batteries, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge in the solar energy sector [6][10]. - The company has established a strong talent pool and technical expertise in solar cell manufacturing, which supports its growth strategy and project implementation [8][9]. Measures to Mitigate Dilution Risks - The company plans to accelerate the construction of investment projects to achieve expected goals more quickly, thereby enhancing shareholder returns [10][11]. - It will also improve financial management and operational efficiency to bolster overall profitability while pursuing dual growth from existing and new projects [11][12]. Commitment to Shareholder Interests - The board and management have committed to ensuring that measures to mitigate the dilution of immediate returns are effectively implemented, emphasizing the protection of shareholder interests [13][14].

所长 早读 国泰君安期货 2025-06-20 期 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 期货研究 2025-06-20 所长 早读 若美国介入以伊冲突，市场会怎样？ 观点分享： 据央视新闻报道，美国总统特朗普在 6 月 17 日晚已告诉他的高级助手，称他已批准了对 伊朗的攻击计划，但暂不下达最终命令，以观察伊朗是否会放弃其核计划。知情人士还透露， 伊朗重兵防守的福尔多核设施可能成为美国的打击目标。分析认为，一旦特朗普下令美军深 度介入伊以冲突，市场最初的反应大概率将是负面的：原油继续大涨，金价飙升，美股下跌， 美债收益率下降，美元反弹。伊朗控制的霍尔木兹海峡承载着全球约 20%的石油和海运天然 气运输，堪称化石燃料贸易的生命线，伊朗官员在冲突中例行威胁封锁该海峡的能源运输。 巴克莱银行认为在"最坏情况"下，原油价格可能突破 100 美元大关。Capital Economics 则 预测油价可能从目前的 75 美元飙升至 130 美元或更高，并因此提高全球经济衰退概率。基 于如此严重的后果，有分析师认为，封锁海峡将促使美国及其盟友"几乎肯定使用武力重新开 放出口航线"，伊朗虽可造成"数周血腥混乱"， ...

【基本面跟踪】 商 品 研 究 2025 年 06 月 20 日 工业硅：上方空间有限 多晶硅：关注市场情绪扰动 张 航 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0018008 zhanghang2@gtht.com 工业硅、多晶硅基本面数据 | | | 指标名称 | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-22 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | Si2509收盘价（元/吨） | 7,470 | 45 | 15 | -660 | | | | Si2509成交量（手） | 429,083 | -22,903 | 119,455 | 219,575 | | | | Si2509持仓量（手） | 310,357 | -7,406 | 188,853 | 155,319 | | 工业硅、多晶硅期货市场 | | PS2507收盘价（元/吨） | 32,720 | -650 | -865 | - | | | | PS2507成交量（手） | 57,380 | -37,344 | -8,211 | - | | | | PS2507持仓量（手） | 27,613 | -2,82 ...

Core Insights - Eastern Europe is emerging as a new engine for solar energy growth in Europe, with the solar capacity growth rate in nine Eastern European countries being twice the European average over the past five years [1][2] - By the end of 2024, the total installed solar capacity in Poland, Hungary, Romania, Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Lithuania, Estonia, Slovakia, and Latvia is expected to reach approximately 46 GW, accounting for about 13% of Europe's total capacity of 361 GW, a significant increase from 9 GW in 2019 [1] - The solar power generation in these nine countries has surged from 9 TWh in 2019 to 42 TWh in 2024, nearly a fivefold increase, while the overall solar generation in Europe doubled from 153 TWh to 361 TWh during the same period [1] Industry Growth - The share of solar energy in the overall electricity structure of Eastern Europe has risen from 2% in 2019 to over 10% in 2024, surpassing the European average of 7% [1] - At least six Eastern European countries are expected to achieve over 20% of their electricity from solar energy during peak summer months in 2024, with Lithuania, Hungary, and Estonia exceeding one-third of public electricity supply from solar [1] Carbon Emission Reduction - The growth trend in solar energy is anticipated to continue, playing a crucial role in the energy transition in Europe and significantly reducing carbon emissions [2] - Poland, as the largest carbon emitter in Eastern Europe, has seen its solar power generation increase nearly twentyfold since 2019, contributing to a 26% reduction in coal power generation and a decrease of 220,000 tons in CO2 emissions [2] - By 2024, Eastern Europe's overall carbon emissions from the energy sector are projected to decrease by 26% compared to 2019, reaching 163 million tons [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that silicon wafer prices are under slight downward pressure due to weak terminal demand and significant declines in raw material prices, particularly polysilicon [1][2] - The average transaction prices for N-type silicon wafers have decreased slightly: G10L at 0.90 yuan per piece (down 3.23%), G12R at 1.04 yuan per piece (down 1.89%), and G12 at 1.25 yuan per piece (down 0.79%) [1][3] - The overall operating rates in the industry remain relatively stable, with major companies operating at rates between 50% and 80% [1] Group 2 - Downstream battery and module prices have remained stable, with mainstream battery prices at 0.24-0.25 yuan/W and module prices at 0.66-0.67 yuan/W, showing no change from the previous week [2] - Short-term demand in the downstream market is not expected to show significant recovery, which will continue to exert pressure on silicon wafer prices [2] - Companies are showing a strong willingness to reduce production to maintain prices amid widespread losses in the industry, suggesting limited downward space for silicon wafer prices if polysilicon prices do not decline significantly [2]

Group 1: Hong Kong Stocks - Lehua Entertainment (02306) surged over 24% due to strong market performance of its toy IP "WUKUKU," with multiple new products setting sales records and the theme song exceeding 1 billion views [1] - United Energy Group (00467) rose over 7% after signing a 15-year production increase contract with Uzbekistan's UNG, involving 57.8 billion cubic meters of oil and gas production, with an initial investment of $100 million to expand into Central Asia [1] - Smoore International (06969) fell over 3% as shareholder Yiwei Lithium Energy plans to reduce its stake by 3.5% (216 million shares), resulting in a decrease of its holding to 27.23%, no longer being the controlling shareholder [1] - New World Development (00200) dropped over 5% after completing a "2 for 1" rights issue, issuing 758 million shares and raising HKD 771 million, with oversubscription of 13 times [1] - Fourth Paradigm (06682) increased over 7% after launching AI solutions for the manufacturing industry, covering production optimization to supply chain intelligence upgrades [1] - Shandong High-Tech Holdings (00412) rose over 4% as Zhongtai Securities highlighted significant synergy between its new energy and digital infrastructure, with a data center PUE value of 1.15, enhancing financial integration [1] - KANAT Optical (02276) increased over 4% due to an explosion in the smart glasses market (e-commerce transactions up 8 times), with Meta collaborating with Oakley to launch AI glasses, positioning the company with leading 3C enterprises [1] Group 2: Other Notable Stocks - Sipai Health (00314) rose over 7% after partnering with Anruijiaer to develop customized insurance, planning to sell 6 pharmacies for 5.89 million to focus on core medical insurance business [2] - SF Express (09699) increased over 5% after raising its delivery service revenue cap for 2025/26 to HKD 12.8 billion / HKD 20.5 billion, with demand growth exceeding expectations [2] - Liufu Group (00590) fell over 3% as it projected a 40% decline in profits for the 2025 fiscal year, primarily due to gold hedging losses and high base effects from acquisition gains [2] - Zhenjiu Lidu (06979) rose over 4% after announcing Yao Annan as the "Cultural Heritage Ambassador" for liquor, leveraging Huawei-related topics to boost brand visibility [2] - Ideal Auto-W (02015) dropped over 4% as Meituan's Wang Xing sold 5.73 million shares for HKD 600 million, reducing his stake to 20.61% [2] - Health Road (02587) surged over 7% as its liver disease AI management platform was selected for Beijing's digital medical verification program, supporting WHO's "2030 Hepatitis Elimination" goal [2] - Gilead Sciences-B (01672) rose over 5% after its psoriasis oral drug ASC50 completed the first dosing in Phase I clinical trials in the U.S., targeting the IL-17 pathway [2] - China Silver Group (00815) increased over 10% after partnering with Zefeng Gold to acquire a 55% stake in a lead-zinc exploration company, gaining exploration rights over 50.8 square kilometers in Tibet [2] Group 3: U.S. Stocks - Verve Therapeutics (VERV.US) skyrocketed over 80% as Eli Lilly prepares to acquire the gene-editing company for up to $1.3 billion, with $1 billion as an upfront payment and $300 million contingent on specific clinical milestones [4] - Solar energy stocks plummeted, with Sunrun (RUN.US) down over 40%, Solaredge Technologies (SEDG.US) down over 41%, and First Solar (FSLR.US) down over 22%, following a Republican proposal in the U.S. Senate to terminate wind and solar tax credits by 2028, raising concerns about the industry's outlook [4] - Reddit (RDDT.US) rose over 6% after launching the AI advertising tool Reddit Insights, enhancing ad targeting through real-time user trend analysis [4] - Bitcoin-related stocks fell, with CleanSpark (CLSK.US) down over 7% and Riot Platforms (RIOT.US) down over 5%, as Bitcoin prices dropped nearly 2% to $105,580 amid escalating tensions in the Middle East and high leverage positions in the derivatives market [4] - AMD (AMD.US) continued to rise 0.56% after officially launching the Zen5 architecture Ryzen Threadripper processors, covering the workstation and desktop markets, with a market share close to 50% in China for Q1, although there are concerns about its cost-performance ratio [5] - Brain Regen Technologies (RGC.US) surged over 30% after announcing a 38-for-1 stock split, coupled with FDA clinical trial approval news, although its actual business has no revenue and a very small float, indicating significant retail speculation [6] - Jabil (JBL.US) rose over 8%, reaching a new all-time high of $202.5, with Q3 revenue increasing 15% year-on-year to $7.83 billion, raising its full-year revenue forecast to $29 billion and planning a $500 million investment to support AI data center infrastructure [6] - Niu Technologies (NIU.US) increased over 11% after launching its new NX Play electric motorcycle on Douyin, integrating a smart riding system to enhance user experience [6] - T-Mobile US (TMUS.US) fell nearly 4% as SoftBank sold 21.5 million shares at $224 each, a 3% discount, triggering market sell-off [6] - The pharmaceutical sector saw widespread declines, with Eli Lilly (LLY.US) down over 2% and Novo Nordisk (NVO.US) down over 3%, as concerns grew over the potential impact of the U.S. Senate tax bill on the industry, coupled with profit-taking ahead of some companies' earnings reports [6] - The gold sector declined, with Gold Fields (GFI.US) down over 2.1%, and spot gold fell 0.27% to $3,375.53, as easing tensions in the Middle East reduced safe-haven demand, alongside Citigroup's bearish long-term gold price forecast [7]