Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.11% today, with a trading volume of 1,004.34 million shares and a transaction value of 17,424.85 billion yuan, representing a 0.72% increase compared to the previous trading day [1]. Industry Performance - The top-performing industries included: - Oil and Petrochemicals: Up by 2.43%, with a transaction value of 162.59 billion yuan, led by Tongyi Co., which rose by 10.01% [1]. - Machinery Equipment: Increased by 1.38%, with a transaction value of 1,591.32 billion yuan, led by Buke Co., which surged by 20.00% [1]. - Automotive: Gained 1.35%, with a transaction value of 949.77 billion yuan, led by Tsinghua Technology, which rose by 30.00% [1]. - The worst-performing industries included: - Commercial Retail: Decreased by 1.66%, with a transaction value of 298.04 billion yuan, led by Baida Group, which fell by 10.00% [2]. - Social Services: Down by 1.13%, with a transaction value of 104.28 billion yuan, led by Tian Su Measurement, which dropped by 15.65% [2]. - Real Estate: Fell by 1.02%, with a transaction value of 180.88 billion yuan, led by Suzhou High-tech, which declined by 6.88% [2].

29日美国三大股指集体收跌 当地时间周一，贵金属市场再现剧烈波动。黄金、白银、钯金价格集体暴跌，其中白银期价创近五年来最大单日跌幅，钯金价格波动更为剧烈，周一跌超 16%。 白银期价创近五年来最大单日跌幅 贵金属方面，由于多个品种金属期货价格近期快速攀升，为保障市场正常交易，芝商所集团宣布大幅上调金属期货履约保证金，新规自周一收盘后生效。 其中，黄金期货上调10%，白银期货上调约13.6%，铂金期货上调约23%。 周一，机构投资者在年末逐步进行仓位调整，重新审视AI行业明年的发展和盈利前景，美股科技股普遍承压走低，资金继续流向房地产和公用事业等周 期股和防御型股，美国三大股指周一集体收跌。截至收盘，道指跌0.51%，标普500指数跌0.35%，纳指跌0.50%。美股七大科技巨头中，特斯拉以3.27%的 跌幅领跌。周一有市场消息称，美国知名科技行业投资人凯茜·伍德旗下公司再次减持特斯拉股票，套现约3000万美元。 29日欧洲三大股指涨跌不一 欧洲方面，多方正在推进的俄乌和平谈判主导市场情绪，美方称谈判已经进入"最后阶段"，俄乌"已经非常接近达成协议"。这些进展令欧洲多国的国防与 军工股承压下跌，因年末期间股市交 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - As of December 29, the market's latest financing balance reached 25,348.43 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 8.38 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, indicating a positive trend in market financing activity [1]. Industry Analysis - **Industries with Increased Financing Balance**: - The non-ferrous metals industry saw the largest increase in financing balance, rising by 2.46% to 922.41 billion yuan, with an increase of 24.49 billion yuan [1]. - Other notable increases were observed in the defense and military industry (22.19 billion yuan increase, 2.46% growth), electric power equipment (19.54 billion yuan increase, 0.86% growth), and computer industry (10.63 billion yuan increase, 0.61% growth) [1][2]. - **Industries with Decreased Financing Balance**: - The non-bank financial sector experienced the largest decrease, with a reduction of 3.05 billion yuan, representing a decline of 0.16% [2]. - Other sectors with significant decreases included banks (2.54 billion yuan decrease, 0.34% decline) and environmental protection (1.94 billion yuan decrease, 0.98% decline) [2]. - **Financing Balance Changes by Percentage**: - The defense and military industry had the highest percentage increase in financing balance, followed by non-ferrous metals (1.96%), public utilities (1.86%), and real estate (0.98%) [1]. - Conversely, the construction materials industry saw the largest percentage decrease at 1.23%, followed by environmental protection (0.98%) and retail (0.37%) [2].

Market Overview - On December 29, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.04%, with the total margin trading balance reaching 25,517.34 billion yuan, an increase of 8.404 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - The margin trading balance in the Shanghai market was 12,852.63 billion yuan, up by 2.886 billion yuan; in the Shenzhen market, it was 12,584.58 billion yuan, increasing by 5.484 billion yuan; and in the Beijing Stock Exchange, it was 80.13 billion yuan, up by 0.034 billion yuan [1] Industry Analysis - Among the industries tracked by Shenwan, 18 sectors saw an increase in margin trading balances, with the largest increase in the non-ferrous metals sector, which rose by 2.449 billion yuan [1] - Other notable sectors included defense and military industry, and electric equipment, with increases of 2.219 billion yuan and 1.954 billion yuan, respectively [1] Individual Stock Performance - A total of 1,853 stocks experienced an increase in margin trading balances, accounting for 49.27% of the total [1] - The stock with the highest increase in margin trading balance was Jiangtian Technology, which saw a balance of 9.4935 million yuan, up by 47.75%, although its stock price fell by 7.96% on the same day [1] - Other stocks with significant increases included Jiuding New Materials and Leike Defense, with increases of 47.31% and 47.02%, respectively [1] Top Gainers and Losers - Among the top 20 stocks with the largest increases in margin trading balances, the average stock price rose by 3.43%, with notable gainers including Jilin Carbon Valley (23.65%), Yinbang Co. (14.18%), and Nabacai (10.87%) [2] - Conversely, the largest declines were seen in Jiuding New Materials (-9.96%), Jiangtian Technology (-7.96%), and Haike New Source (-6.44%) [2] Margin Trading Balance Declines - There were 1,908 stocks that saw a decrease in margin trading balances, with 180 stocks experiencing declines of over 5% [3] - The stock with the largest decrease was Tian Su Measurement, with a margin trading balance of 41.9009 million yuan, down by 28.35% [3] - Other significant declines were noted in Optech and Yintuwanglian, with decreases of 23.26% and 20.31%, respectively [3] Top Decliners - The top 20 stocks with the largest decreases in margin trading balances included Tian Su Measurement (-28.35%), Optech (-23.26%), and Yintuwanglian (-20.31%) [4] - Other notable decliners were Tianrun Technology (-20.04%) and Taihu Snow (-19.26%) [4]

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 来源：华泰期货 作者： 汪雅航 市场分析 关注中美关系。宏观方面，国务院关税税则委员会发布《2026年关税调整方案》，将自2026年1月1日起 实施。根据方案，为增强国内国际两个市场两种资源的联动效应，扩大优质商品供给，明年我国将对 935项商品实施低于最惠国税率的进口暂定税率。优化关税税目及本国子目注释，税则税目总数增加至 8972个。海外方面，美国总统特朗普表示，将在适当的时机宣布美联储主席人选，时间很充裕；批评美 联储主席鲍威尔及美联储翻修大楼的做法；正考虑起诉鲍威尔，指控他无法胜任工作。 沪指收红。现货市场，A股三大指数收盘涨跌不一，沪指九连阳，当日涨0.04%收于3965.28点，创业板 指跌0.66%。行业方面，板块指数跌多涨少，石油石化、国防军工、银行行业涨幅居前，有色金属、公 用事业、电力设备行业跌幅居前。当日沪深两市成交额突破2万亿元。海外方面，美国三大股指全线收 跌，道指跌0.51%报48461.93点 期指减仓。期货市场，基差方面，股指期货基差回落。成交持仓方面，股指期货成交量和持仓量同步下 降。 策略 节前市场中，ETF ...

Market Overview - The South Korean stock market is experiencing an unprecedented "revival rally" in 2025, with the Kospi index rising over 76% year-to-date, making it the best-performing major stock index globally [1][4] - Major contributors to this surge include storage chip giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, which account for nearly half of the index's gains, alongside defense and nuclear energy companies [1] AI Investment Theme - The leading AI investment theme in the South Korean market is not traditional chip manufacturers but industrial stocks associated with AI, such as Hyosung Heavy Industries and Doosan Enerbility, both of which have seen stock prices rise over 330% this year [5][6] - The demand for electricity driven by the rapid growth of AI data centers is expected to create a "super demand cycle" for power, emphasizing the critical role of power supply in AI infrastructure [6] Storage Chip Leaders - Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have solidified their positions as the largest weight stocks in the Kospi index, with Samsung's stock rising 125% and SK Hynix's stock increasing approximately 268% this year [8][10] - The global demand for high-performance storage chips, particularly for AI applications, is driving a "storage super cycle" that is expected to last until at least 2027, with significant price increases anticipated for both companies [9][10] Defense and Military Sector - The global trend of "international rearmament" is boosting defense spending, with South Korean defense contractors like Hanwha Aerospace and Hanwha Ocean seeing stock price increases of nearly 200% and 210% respectively this year [11][12] - Analysts predict that the defense sector will continue to be a core contributor to stock market growth over the next few years [12] K-Beauty Sector - APR Corp., a newcomer in the K-Beauty sector, has seen its market value soar by 369%, outperforming established brands like Amorepacific and LG H&H [13] - The company's success is attributed to its innovative sales approach focused on social channels and user experience, contrasting with traditional retail methods [13] Gaming Sector Challenges - Despite the overall market rally, South Korean gaming developers like Krafton and Com2uS have faced significant declines, with Krafton's market value shrinking by about 20% and Com2uS down over 30% [14] - Concerns about limited appeal in the Asian market and competition from Chinese rivals are leading investors to shift their focus away from these companies [14]

转自：今晚报 【#白银期价大跌超过8%##黄金白银钯金暴跌#】当地时间周一，机构投资者在年末逐步进行仓位调 整，重新审视AI行业明年的发展和盈利前景，美股科技股普遍承压走低，资金继续流向房地产和公用 事业等周期股和防御型股，美国三大股指周一集体收跌。截至收盘，道指跌0.51%，标普500指数跌 0.35%，纳指跌0.50%。美股七大科技巨头中，特斯拉以3.27%的跌幅领跌。周一有市场消息称，美国知 名科技行业投资人凯茜·伍德旗下公司再次减持特斯拉股票，套现约3000万美元。29日欧洲三大股指涨 跌不一欧洲方面，多方正在推进的俄乌和平谈判主导市场情绪，美方称谈判已经进入"最后阶段"，俄 乌"已经非常接近达成协议"。这些进展令欧洲多国的国防与军工股承压下跌，因年末期间股市交投清 淡，国防与军工股下跌导致部分国家股指微幅下跌，欧洲三大股指周一涨跌不一。截至收盘，英国股市 微跌0.04%，法国股市微涨0.10%，德国股市微涨0.05%。29日国际油价显著上涨原油市场方面，投资者 预期俄罗斯石油重返国际市场仍需时日。此外，沙特近日对也门发动空袭，在一定程度上引发了投资者 对中东原油供应受到干扰的担忧，以上因素推动国际油 ...

Group 1: U.S. Stock Market Performance - Institutional investors are adjusting their positions as they reassess the AI industry's development and profitability prospects for the coming year, leading to a decline in U.S. tech stocks [1] - The three major U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.51%, the S&P 500 down 0.35%, and the Nasdaq down 0.50% [1] - Tesla led the decline among the seven major U.S. tech giants, falling by 3.27%, following reports that Cathie Wood's firm sold approximately $30 million worth of Tesla shares [1] Group 2: European Stock Market Performance - European markets showed mixed results, influenced by ongoing peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, which are reportedly in the "final stages" [2] - The defense and military stocks in Europe faced downward pressure, contributing to slight declines in some national indices, with the UK market down 0.04%, while France and Germany saw minor increases of 0.10% and 0.05%, respectively [2] Group 3: International Oil Prices - International oil prices saw a significant increase due to investor expectations that Russian oil will take time to return to the international market and concerns over Middle Eastern oil supply disruptions following Saudi airstrikes in Yemen [3] - As of the close, light crude oil futures for February delivery settled at $58.08 per barrel, up 2.36%, while Brent crude futures for February delivery closed at $61.94 per barrel, up 2.14% [3] Group 4: Precious Metals Market - Precious metals prices experienced a sharp decline, with silver futures recording the largest single-day drop in nearly five years, attributed to a significant increase in margin requirements by the CME Group [4] - Gold futures fell over 4.5%, breaking through the $4,500 and $4,400 per ounce levels, while silver futures dropped more than 8%, reaching a maximum intraday fluctuation of 15% [4] - As of the close, gold futures for February delivery settled at $4,343.6 per ounce, silver futures for March delivery at $70.460 per ounce, and palladium futures at $1,687.9 per ounce, with respective declines of 4.59%, 8.73%, and 16.58% [4]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a slight increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.04% to close at 3965.28, marking a "nine consecutive days" upward trend [1][4] - The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.49% and 0.66%, respectively, indicating mixed performance across major indices [2][4] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Oil & Petrochemicals (1.48%), Defense & Military (1.43%), and Banks (1.03%), while the worst-performing sectors were Nonferrous Metals (-1.95%) and Utilities (-1.24%) [3][4] - Concept indices showed strong performance in PEEK Materials (3.23%) and Carbon Fiber (2.52%), while Dairy (-1.90%) and Lithium Extraction (-1.89%) lagged behind [3][4] Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue its upward trend following a phase of adjustment, with a focus on improving liquidity and trading activity as year-end institutional reallocation occurs [6] - Key factors influencing the market include the selection of the new Federal Reserve chair and the implementation of domestic monetary and fiscal policies [6] - A balanced allocation strategy is recommended, with attention to sectors such as Nonferrous Metals, Technology Growth, New Energy, and Dividend Stocks [6] Fiscal Policy Insights - The Ministry of Finance announced a continuation of a more proactive fiscal policy in 2026, emphasizing the need to boost consumption through increased fiscal spending and optimized government bond tools [5] - Specific actions include enhancing the effectiveness of transfer payment funds and improving expenditure structures to support key areas [5]

Group 1 - The leverage funds have significantly increased their positions in A-shares this year, with the margin financing balance exceeding 2.54 trillion yuan, marking a historical high [1][2] - A-shares have seen a net financing inflow of over 6723 billion yuan in the past year, with a notable increase in the last month [2] - The technology sector has become the core allocation direction for leveraged funds, with significant net inflows in the electronics, power equipment, and communication industries [2][3] Group 2 - Individual stocks in the AI industry chain and leading new energy companies have attracted the most leveraged funds, with New Yisheng and CATL receiving substantial net inflows [3] - In the past month, CATL and other key players in the technology sector have continued to see strong net financing inflows, while several companies faced net outflows [3] - The current margin financing balance accounts for 2.58% of the A-share market's circulating market value, which is lower than the historical peak of 4.73% in 2015, indicating a more stable and mature market [4]