Industry Overview - The chemical sector's overall performance ranked 9th this week (2025/11/10-2025/11/14) with a change of 2.61%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.79 percentage points and the ChiNext Index by 5.62 percentage points [1] - The chemical industry is expected to continue its differentiated trend in 2025, with a focus on synthetic biology, pesticides, chromatography media, sweeteners, vitamins, light hydrocarbon chemicals, COC polymers, and MDI [1] Synthetic Biology - The arrival of a pivotal moment in synthetic biology is anticipated, driven by the adjustment of energy structures, which may disrupt fossil-based materials and favor low-energy products [1] - Traditional chemical companies are expected to compete on energy consumption and carbon tax costs, with successful firms leveraging green energy and integrated advantages to reduce costs [1] - The demand for bio-based materials is projected to surge, leading to potential profitability and valuation increases for companies in this sector, such as Kasei Bio and Huaheng Bio [1] Refrigerants - The implementation of quota policies is expected to usher in a high-growth cycle for third-generation refrigerants, with supply entering a "quota + continuous reduction" phase starting in 2024 [2] - The demand for refrigerants is anticipated to grow due to the development of heat pumps, cold chain markets, and the expansion of the air conditioning market, particularly in Southeast Asia [2] - Companies with a high quota share, such as Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., Haohua Technology, and Yonghe Co., are expected to benefit significantly [2] Electronic Specialty Gases - Electronic specialty gases are critical to the electronics industry, characterized by high technical barriers and added value [3] - The domestic market faces a mismatch between rapid upgrades in wafer manufacturing and insufficient high-end electronic specialty gas capacity, presenting opportunities for domestic replacements [3] - Companies like Jinhong Gas, Huate Gas, and China Shipbuilding Gas are positioned to capitalize on this demand [3] Light Hydrocarbon Chemicals - The trend towards light raw materials in the global olefin industry is becoming more pronounced, with a shift from heavy naphtha to lighter low-carbon alkanes like ethane and propane [4] - Light hydrocarbon chemicals are favored for their low carbon emissions, low energy consumption, and low water usage, aligning with global carbon neutrality goals [4] - Companies in the light hydrocarbon sector, such as Satellite Chemical, are expected to see a revaluation of their worth [4] COC Polymers - The industrialization of COC/COP (cyclic olefin copolymer) is accelerating in China, driven by domestic companies overcoming previous R&D challenges [5] - The shift of downstream industries like consumer electronics and new energy vehicles to domestic production is enhancing the demand for COC/COP materials [5] - Companies like Acolyte are recommended for their potential in the COC polymer production segment [5] Potash Fertilizers - Potash fertilizer prices are expected to rebound as the industry enters a destocking cycle, with supply reductions from major players like Canpotex and Nutrien [6] - The termination of the Black Sea Grain Export Agreement has led to increased prices for wheat and corn, boosting the demand for potash fertilizers [6] - Companies such as Yara International, Salt Lake Potash, and Zangge Mining are highlighted as key players in this sector [6] MDI Market - The MDI market is characterized by oligopoly, with demand steadily increasing due to the expansion of polyurethane applications [7] - Major global manufacturers, including Wanhua Chemical, BASF, Covestro, Huntsman, and Dow, control over 90% of MDI production capacity [7] - Despite current price pressures, MDI is expected to maintain profitability, with a positive outlook as demand recovers [7] Chemical Price Tracking - The top five price increases this week included dimethylcyclosiloxane (DMC) at 18.18%, sulfur at 8.96%, and NYMEX natural gas at 5.82% [8] - The top five price decreases included butadiene at -7.89% and hydrofluoric acid at -4.27% [8] Supply Side Tracking - This week, 164 chemical enterprises reported production capacity changes, with 11 new repairs and 5 restarts noted [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company's performance met expectations, with potassium fertilizer market conditions continuing to improve, and ongoing projects expected to be completed within the year [1][2] - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for Q1-Q3 2025, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 55.76% and net profit growth of 163.01% [7] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 18.87 billion, 31.14 billion, and 43.59 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE valuations of 21X, 13X, and 9X [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025 are 6,550 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 84.6% [3] - The net profit forecast for 2025 is 1,887 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 98.5% [3] - The company’s gross margin is expected to be 54.7% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 13.7% [3] Market Data - As of November 17, 2025, the closing price of the stock is 42.44 yuan, with a market capitalization of 34,453 million [4] - The stock has a price-to-book ratio of 3.0 and a net asset value per share of 14.13 yuan [4] Recent Developments - The company has seen a rise in potassium fertilizer demand driven by domestic agricultural policies and changes in consumer dietary habits [7] - The company’s major shareholder, Huineng Group, has increased its stake to 14.05%, providing financial support for future growth [7] - The company is on track to achieve a production capacity of 5 million tons of potassium fertilizer annually, with plans to expand further based on market demand [7]

每经AI快讯，亚钾国际（SZ 000893，收盘价：42.44元）11月17日晚间发布公告称，亚钾国际投资（广 州）股份有限公司于今日收到持有公司约9871万股（占公司总股本1比例10.81%）的股东中国农业生产 资料集团有限公司出具的《股份减持计划告知函》，中农集团计划自本公告披露之日起15个交易日后的 3个月内通过集中竞价或大宗交易方式减持公司股份合计不超过约914万股，即不超过公司总股本的 1%。 （记者 曾健辉） 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——展望"十五五" | 专访尹艳林：让有钱且愿消费的人顺利消费；个税起征点可 提高，最高边际税率可下调，让有关群体少缴税、多收入 2025年1至6月份，亚钾国际的营业收入构成为：钾肥占比100.0%。 截至发稿，亚钾国际市值为392亿元。 ...

Core Insights - The China Securities report indicates that the CITIC Basic Chemical Industry Index rose by 0.75% in October 2025, ranking 18th among 30 CITIC primary industries, with potassium fertilizer, inorganic salts, and tire industries performing well [1][2] - The overall chemical product prices continued to decline in October 2025, prompting the industry to maintain a "market synchronization" investment rating [1][2] - The investment strategy for November 2025 suggests focusing on polyester filament, organic silicon, spandex, phosphate, and potassium fertilizer industries [1] Market Review - In October 2025, the CITIC Basic Chemical Industry Index increased by 0.75%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.10 percentage points but outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.75 percentage points, ranking 18th among 30 CITIC primary industries [2] - Over the past year, the CITIC Basic Chemical Index has risen by 28.58%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 8.00 percentage points and the CSI 300 Index by 9.31 percentage points, ranking 9th among 30 CITIC primary industries [2] Sub-industry and Stock Performance - In October 2025, among 33 CITIC tertiary sub-industries, 15 rose while 18 fell, with potassium fertilizer, inorganic salts, and tire industries leading with increases of 11.27%, 7.83%, and 6.51% respectively [2] - Conversely, carbon fiber, nylon, and rubber additives saw declines of 10.69%, 6.39%, and 5.87% respectively [2] - Out of 526 stocks in the basic chemical sector, 291 rose and 230 fell, with the top five gainers being Litong Technology, Haike New Source, Huide Technology, Yashichuangneng, and Tianji Shares, with increases of 76.03%, 71.56%, 59.91%, 58.35%, and 56.39% respectively [2] Product Price Tracking - In October 2025, international oil prices continued to decline, with WTI crude oil down by 2.23% to $60.98 per barrel and Brent crude oil down by 2.91% to $65.07 per barrel [3] - Among 321 tracked products, 67 saw price increases, with the top gainers being lithium cobalt oxide, sulfur, sulfuric acid, electrolytic cobalt, and argon, with increases of 35.98%, 23.37%, 18.52%, 17.78%, and 16.81% respectively [3] - A total of 216 products experienced price declines, with the largest decreases seen in refrigerant R22, butadiene, phenol, industrial naphthalene, and SBS, which fell by 46.88%, 16.99%, 15.72%, 14.29%, and 12.97% respectively [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market" for the basic chemical industry [4][6]. Core Viewpoints - In October 2025, the CITIC Basic Chemical Industry Index rose by 0.75%, ranking 18th among 30 CITIC first-level industries. The potassium fertilizer, inorganic salt, and tire industries performed well, while chemical product prices continued to decline [2][4]. - The investment strategy for November 2025 suggests focusing on two dimensions, particularly in the polyester filament, organic silicon, spandex, phosphate fertilizer, and potassium fertilizer sectors [4][6]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The CITIC Basic Chemical Industry Index increased by 0.75% in October 2025, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.10 percentage points but outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.75 percentage points. Over the past year, the index has risen by 28.58%, outperforming both the Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 indices by 8.00 and 9.31 percentage points, respectively [8][9]. Sub-industry and Stock Performance - In October 2025, among 33 CITIC third-level sub-industries, 15 saw gains while 18 experienced declines. The potassium fertilizer, inorganic salt, and tire industries led with increases of 11.27%, 7.83%, and 6.51%, respectively. Conversely, carbon fiber, nylon, and rubber additives saw declines of 10.69%, 6.39%, and 5.87% [9][12]. - Out of 526 stocks in the basic chemical sector, 291 rose while 230 fell. The top gainers included Litong Technology, Haike New Source, and Huide Technology, with increases of 76.03%, 71.56%, and 59.91%, respectively. The largest declines were seen in Aggregated Materials, Blue Feng Biochemical, and United Chemical, with decreases of 27.32%, 24.90%, and 24.71% [9][13]. Product Price Tracking - In October 2025, international oil prices continued to decline, with WTI crude oil down 2.23% to $60.98 per barrel and Brent crude down 2.91% to $65.07 per barrel. Among 321 tracked products, 67 saw price increases, while 216 experienced declines, indicating an overall downward trend in basic chemical product prices [4][12]. Industry Investment Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining the "Synchronize with the market" investment rating. With the ongoing deepening of anti-involution measures in the chemical industry, overall supply and demand are expected to improve, leading to further quality upgrades in the industry. The investment strategy for November 2025 emphasizes focusing on polyester filament, organic silicon, spandex, phosphate fertilizer, and potassium fertilizer sectors [4][6].

Core Insights - The petrochemical industry is expected to recover in 2026, with a focus on resource products, anti-involution policies, and emerging industries as investment opportunities [3][27] - The industry has shown signs of stabilization and recovery since 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 10.56% in net profit attributable to shareholders in the first three quarters of 2025 [3] - Key sectors identified for investment include oil and gas, potassium fertilizer, phosphorus chemicals, fluorochemicals, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), electronic resins, and certain anti-involution sectors [3] Industry Overview - The petrochemical industry is cyclical, with net profits in the SW basic chemical sector reaching a historical high in 2021, followed by a downturn, with 2024 profits expected to be only 52% of 2021 levels [3] - The supply side has seen a decline in fixed asset investment since June 2025, indicating the end of the current expansion cycle [3] - The "anti-involution" policy aims to address low-price competition and promote the orderly exit of outdated capacities, which is expected to alleviate the oversupply issue in the petrochemical sector [3] Demand Dynamics - Traditional demand is anticipated to recover moderately due to global central banks entering a rate-cutting cycle and fiscal stimulus [3] - Emerging demands from sectors such as new energy and AI are expected to drive growth in key chemical materials [3] - The domestic chemical industry is projected to increase its global market share as overseas capacities are cleared out [3] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies for investment in 2026 include China Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, Yara International, Yuntianhua, Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., Jiaao Environmental Protection, Zhuoyue New Energy, Shengquan Group, Wanhua Chemical, Baofeng Energy, and Xinhecheng [3] Sector Performance - The petrochemical sector's revenue decreased by 7.1% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, while net profit fell by 11.1% [24] - The basic chemical sector showed a recovery with a 1.9% increase in revenue and an 8.9% increase in net profit [24] - The oilfield services sector was the only sub-sector to achieve growth in both revenue and net profit during this period [24] Price Trends - The China Chemical Product Price Index (CCPI) has shown a downward trend, with a reported decline of 11.5% from the beginning of the year [13] - The PPI for the chemical industry is expected to show marginal improvement in the second half of 2025, although it remains in a downward trend overall [16] Policy Impact - The "anti-involution" initiative is expected to promote a rebalancing of supply and demand in traditional chemical products, with various sectors responding positively to this policy [27] - Key meetings and documents from government bodies indicate a focus on maintaining growth and regulating new capacity in the petrochemical sector [27]

格隆汇11月13日丨兆新股份(002256.SZ)公布，鉴于青海富康矿业资产管理有限公司（简称"富康矿业"） 未按协议约定时间支付股权转让款，深圳市兆新能源股份有限公司多次发函催款。因富康矿业未能在规 定期限内履约还款，且无可供执行的财产，公司委托青海致琨律师事务所向青海省西宁市中级人民法院 依法申请强制执行，并申请对富康矿业所持青海锦泰钾肥有限公司（简称"青海锦泰"）15%股权在阿里 巴巴司法拍卖网络平台进行司法拍卖，此司法拍卖一拍、二拍均因无人竞买而流拍。青海省西宁市中级 人民法院于2025年10月5日10时至2025年12月3日10时止（延时除外）在阿里巴巴司法拍卖网络平台对该 拍卖标的进行公开司法变卖，当前正处于公告期。根据最高人民法院《关于人民法院民事执行中拍卖、 变卖财产的规定》第二十五条规定，若案涉股权变卖仍无人竞买的，且申请执行人不接受以该股权抵 债，则法院将解除对该股权的查封、扣押，并退还给富康矿业。 鉴于富康矿业未通过其他方式清偿债务，亦未与公司达成可行性的债务清偿方案，基于追回债务以最大 程度降低损失、维护公司及股东利益等综合原因，公司于2025年11月13日召开第七届董事会第十次会 议 ...

截至发稿，吕磊累计任职时间1年166天，现任基金资产总规模16.56亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 31.49%， 任职期间最差基金回报6.91%。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 责任编辑：小浪快报 数据显示，诺安基金旗下1只基金重仓亚钾国际。诺安价值增长混合A（320005）三季度增持40.61万 股，持有股数192万股，占基金净值比例为5.94%，位居第四大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约 420.48万元。连续3天上涨期间浮盈赚取270.72万元。 诺安价值增长混合A（320005）成立日期2006年11月21日，最新规模12.65亿。今年以来收益30.72%， 同类排名2762/8145；近一年收益26.29%，同类排名2544/8059；成立以来收益354.44%。 诺安价值增长混合A（320005）基金经理为吕磊。 11月13日，亚钾国际涨5.17%，截至发稿，报44.58元/股，成交3.25亿元，换手率0.93%，总市值411.94 亿元。亚钾 ...

Core Viewpoint - Yara International's stock price has shown significant growth this year, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit, indicating strong financial performance and investor interest [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 13, Yara International's stock rose by 2.01%, reaching 43.24 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 175 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.51%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 39.956 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has increased by 114.48% year-to-date, with a 3.25% rise in the last five trading days, 6.24% in the last 20 days, and 37.88% over the past 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Yara International reported a revenue of 3.867 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 55.76%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.363 billion CNY, which is a 163.01% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 85.8774 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Yara International had 22,700 shareholders, a decrease of 14.34% from the previous period, with an average of 35,716 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 16.75% [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 21.5498 million shares, an increase of 7.7262 million shares from the previous period, while Southern CSI 500 ETF has reduced its holdings by 144,600 shares [3].

Group 1: Market Supply and Demand - The overall supply of potassium chloride in 2025 is expected to be tight due to reduced production in Canada and escalating conflicts in the Middle East [2] - Despite improved relations between the US and Russia, transportation costs hinder Russian supply to China, limiting border trade [2] - Canadian products primarily serve North and South America, with limited supply to Asia, resulting in better market prices in China compared to Southeast Asia [2] Group 2: Project Progress - The mining rights review and ecological assessment for the Kunming Deyin Phosphate Mine project have been completed, with mining permit expected next year [2][3] - The project aims for an annual capacity of 2 million tons of raw ore and 1.1 million tons of concentrate, with a construction period of approximately 1.5 years [3] Group 3: Future Capacity Plans - The company plans to advance the second phase of the Laos Kaiyuan project, targeting an annual capacity of 1 million tons of potassium chloride, with a goal of reaching a total capacity of 3 million tons [3] - The phosphate project is also set to expand, with plans for a second phase of 2-3 million tons of raw ore after the first phase is operational [3] Group 4: Shareholding Information - The company holds 174 million shares of Qingdao Bank, with any potential reduction in holdings to be determined based on market conditions [3]