Economic Overview - The national economy has maintained a steady and progressive development despite facing various risks and challenges, with favorable conditions for achieving annual targets [1] - The macroeconomic policies continue to exert positive effects, with recent measures including a 500 billion yuan new policy financial tool to enhance local government financial capacity and stimulate effective investment [8] Consumer Market - The consumer market has shown significant potential, with a 4.3% year-on-year increase in total retail sales of consumer goods from January to October, and a 5.3% increase in service retail sales [2] - In October, retail sales of food and daily necessities grew by 9.1% and 7.4% respectively, outpacing overall retail growth [2] - Online retail sales increased by 9.6% year-on-year, with physical goods retail growing by 6.3%, indicating a robust trend in e-commerce [3] Industrial Production - Industrial production has expanded, with a 4.9% year-on-year growth in the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size in October, supported by 29 out of 41 major industries showing growth [4] - The equipment manufacturing sector saw an 8% increase in value added, contributing significantly to overall industrial growth [4] - High-tech manufacturing and digital product manufacturing also experienced growth, with increases of 7.2% and 6.7% respectively [4] Corporate Profitability - Industrial enterprises above designated size reported a 3.2% year-on-year increase in profits from January to September, with notable growth in the equipment manufacturing and high-tech sectors at 9.4% and 8.7% respectively [5] Emerging Consumption Trends - The growth of new consumption patterns is evident, with significant increases in the retail of upgraded products, such as a 23.2% rise in communication equipment and a 13.5% rise in cultural and office supplies [2] - The service sector has also shown resilience, with retail sales in tourism, transportation, and cultural services maintaining over 10% growth [2]

消费市场在政策支持与场景复苏下持续扩容。10月社会消费品零售总额同比增长2.9%，消费品以旧换 新政策效果显著，家电、汽车等耐用品消费增速回升。从结构看，数字消费与绿色消费成为亮点，1— 10月实物商品网上零售额占社会消费品零售总额比重达25.2%，高能效家电、智能家电销售额保持两位 数增长，新能源汽车零售渗透率进一步提升。王青指出，10月限额以上单位其他类别商品零售额增速普 遍有所加快。可能主要受今年各大电商"双十一"促销提前至10月上旬启动，部分商品消费需求从11月前 移到10月释放提振。 10月份投资领域虽整体增速放缓，但结构优化趋势明显。1—10月制造业投资同比增长2.7%，增速快于 全部投资，占比提升至25.6%，其中部分高端行业投资力度加大：航空航天器及设备制造业投资同比增 长19.7%，信息服务业投资增速高达32.7%。清洁能源投资同样亮眼，太阳能、风力、核力、水力发电 投资合计同比增长10.4%，能源结构转型持续提速。 （原标题：10月经济数据出炉：部分高端行业投资力度加大 服务消费成重要增长点） 证券时报记者 江聃 11月14日，国家统计局发布数据显示，10月份，我国经济延续稳中有进态势，工 ...

Core Insights - The national economy is maintaining overall stability and progress, with industrial value-added growth of 4.9% year-on-year in October and retail sales of consumer goods reaching 46,291 billion yuan, up 2.9% year-on-year [1][2] Economic Performance - Industrial production remains stable, with significant growth in equipment manufacturing, which increased by 8%, contributing positively to overall industrial growth [2] - The accommodation and catering industry saw a production index increase of 3.9% year-on-year, boosted by the overlapping National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays [2] - Retail sales of consumer goods are expanding, with notable growth in communication equipment (23.2%) and cultural office supplies (13.5%) [2] New Demand and Investment - New demands from the digital economy and platform economy are expanding, supporting stable economic operations [4] - Investment in high-tech sectors is growing rapidly, particularly in new energy, new materials, and artificial intelligence [4][5] - The manufacturing value-added of the digital industry increased by 9.5% year-on-year from January to October, with smart equipment and electronic components growing by 11.1% and 12.3%, respectively [5] Future Outlook - The economy is expected to achieve its annual targets due to favorable conditions, including the continuous release of demand potential and the strengthening of domestic and international market cycles [6][7] - The introduction of 500 billion yuan in new policy financial tools aims to enhance local government financial capacity and stimulate effective investment [7] - Recent economic policies are characterized by moderate efforts to ensure the achievement of annual economic and social development goals while promoting growth and high-quality development [8]

Economic Overview - The national economy maintains a stable and progressive development trend, with steady production supply, overall employment stability, improved prices, and the cultivation of new growth drivers [1] Industrial Production - In October, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 4.9% year-on-year, with the equipment manufacturing sector growing by 8.0% and high-tech manufacturing increasing by 7.2% [1] Service Sector Performance - The service industry production index rose by 4.6% year-on-year in October. Notably, the information transmission, software, and IT services sector grew by 13.0%, the leasing and business services sector by 8.2%, and the financial sector by 5.6% [1] Market Sales - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 46,291 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 2.9%. From January to October, the total retail sales amounted to 412,169 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.3% [1]

消费市场在政策支持与场景复苏下持续扩容。10月社会消费品零售总额同比增长2.9%，消费品以旧换 新政策效果显著，家电、汽车等耐用品消费增速回升。从结构看，数字消费与绿色消费成为亮点，1— 10月实物商品网上零售额占社会消费品零售总额比重达25.2%，高能效家电、智能家电销售额保持两位 数增长，新能源汽车零售渗透率进一步提升。王青指出，10月限额以上单位其他类别商品零售额增速普 遍有所加快。可能主要受今年各大电商"双十一"促销提前至10月上旬启动，部分商品消费需求从11月前 移到10月释放提振。 11月14日，国家统计局发布数据显示，10月份，我国经济延续稳中有进态势，工业生产实现4.9%的同 比增速，消费市场持续扩大，部分高端行业投资力度加大，凸显经济结构优化趋势。 从生产供给看，10月农业、工业、服务业"三业协同"发展。农业方面，秋粮面积与单产双升支撑全年丰 收预期，大部分农区秋粮生产形势良好，为粮食安全筑牢基础。工业领域则呈现"整体稳、结构优"特 征，10月份规模以上工业增加值同比增长4.9%。其中，装备制造业增加值同比增长8.0%，高技术制造 业增加值增长7.2%，分别快于全部规模以上工业增加值3.1和 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In October 2025, the macro - economy showed characteristics of "stable production, slow demand, and declining investment", with year - on - year readings slightly lower than market expectations. The economy is undergoing a transformation from traditional real estate and infrastructure to emerging industries, high - end manufacturing, and service consumption [1][7]. - For the bond market, due to the diminishing effect of traditional drivers (real estate and infrastructure), the potential economic growth rate is declining. New drivers are still being cultivated and cannot fully offset the decline of traditional sectors. In the short term, with inflation under control and the central bank's supportive monetary policy, the risk of significant bond market adjustment is relatively controllable, and the 10 - year Treasury bond yield is expected to fluctuate around 1.8% [2][8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 10 - month Economic Data: Total Slowdown and Kinetic Energy Switch - **Economic Growth Characteristics**: In October 2025, the macro - economy featured "stable production, slow demand, and declining investment", with year - on - year readings slightly lower than market expectations. The endogenous economic growth momentum needs to be restored [1][7]. - **Structural Highlights**: - **Industrial Upgrade**: From January to October 2025, the added value of above - scale equipment manufacturing increased by 9.5% year - on - year, accounting for 36.1% of above - scale industries and contributing 58.7% to the growth of above - scale industrial added value [1][7]. - **High - tech Investment**: Investment in high - tech fields such as new energy, new materials, and artificial intelligence expanded rapidly. From January to October, investment in the aviation, spacecraft, and equipment manufacturing industry increased by 19.7% year - on - year, and investment in the information service industry increased by 32.7%. After excluding real estate development investment, national fixed - asset investment and private investment turned positive, with growth rates of 1.7% and 0.2% respectively [1][8]. - **New Market Demand**: From January to October, online retail sales increased by 9.6% year - on - year. Upgraded consumer goods sold well, and service retail sales increased by 5.3%. Retail sales of cultural, sports, and leisure services, as well as tourism consulting and leasing services, maintained double - digit growth [1][8]. 3.2 Industrial Production Remained Stable, with High - end Manufacturing Still Prominent - **Overall Industrial Production**: In October, the added value of above - scale industries increased by 4.9% year - on - year, with a 1.6 - percentage - point decline from the previous month. From January to October, the cumulative growth was 6.1%. The service production index in October increased by 4.6% year - on - year, a 1 - percentage - point decline from the previous month [10]. - **Industry - Specific Performance**: In October, the year - on - year growth rates of the automobile and transportation equipment industries rebounded significantly compared to the previous month, while those of the pharmaceutical and non - ferrous metal processing industries declined significantly [12]. - **New Kinetic Energy**: The upgrading of the manufacturing industry continued to drive industrial resilience. In October, the added value of the equipment manufacturing industry increased by 8.0% year - on - year, and that of the high - tech manufacturing industry increased by 7.2%, 3.1 and 2.3 percentage points faster than the overall above - scale industrial added value respectively. The output of emerging products such as 3D printing equipment, new energy vehicles, and industrial robots increased rapidly [13]. 3.3 Consumption Recovery was Moderate, with Service Consumption Better than Goods - **Overall Consumption**: In October, the growth rate of social consumer goods retail sales slowed slightly to 2.9%, a 0.1 - percentage - point decline from the previous month. Among them, commodity retail increased by 2.8% year - on - year, a 0.5 - percentage - point decline from the previous month, while catering revenue increased by 3.8% year - on - year, a 2.9 - percentage - point increase from the previous month [16]. - **Consumption Structure**: Upgraded consumption performed well, and service consumption maintained resilience. In October, rural consumption grew by 4.1%, faster than urban consumption. However, the transmission of consumption policies to end - demand needs further observation due to the constraints of income expectations and housing price wealth effects on consumption willingness [21][23]. 3.4 Investment Growth Continued to Decline, with Manufacturing Standing Out - **Overall Investment**: From January to October, fixed - asset investment increased by - 1.7% year - on - year, a 1.2 - percentage - point decline from January to September. The investment structure showed "stable manufacturing, declining infrastructure, and real - estate drag", with only manufacturing investment maintaining positive growth [24]. - **Manufacturing Investment**: From January to October, manufacturing investment increased by 2.7% year - on - year. Equipment purchase investment remained resilient, with a 13% year - on - year increase from January to October, 14.7 percentage points higher than total investment. However, under the guidance of the "anti - involution" policy, the investment motivation of some enterprises may decline in the short term [26]. - **Infrastructure Investment**: The cumulative year - on - year growth rate of infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) was - 0.1%, with a further decline in growth. Traditional infrastructure construction slowed down, and the construction industry's prosperity level declined. In addition, the issuance of new special bonds in October was slow, and the capital availability of some projects might not meet expectations [27]. - **Real Estate Investment**: The cumulative year - on - year growth rate of real estate investment was - 14.7%, with an increasing negative impact. The decline in real estate sales area and sales volume widened, and the real estate market was still "trading at a lower price for higher volume". Follow - up real estate relaxation policies may need to be actively implemented [28].

Economic Growth - In October, China's industrial added value above designated size grew by 4.9% year-on-year, indicating stable overall growth [1] - The added value of high-tech manufacturing and digital product manufacturing increased by 7.2% and 6.7% year-on-year, respectively [1] - The production of industrial robots and integrated circuits rose by 17.9% and 17.7% year-on-year [1] Manufacturing Sector - From January to October, the added value of the equipment manufacturing industry increased by 9.5%, accounting for 36.1% of the total industrial output [1] Service Sector - The service production index grew by 4.6% year-on-year in October, with modern service industries such as information transmission, software, and IT services performing well [1] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods in October increased by 2.9% year-on-year, driven by policies to boost consumption [1] - Retail sales of high-efficiency appliances and new energy vehicles maintained rapid growth, while retail sales in cultural, sports, and leisure services, as well as tourism consulting and leasing services, experienced double-digit growth [1] Employment Situation - The national urban survey unemployment rate was 5.1% in October, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating overall stability in the employment situation [2]

Industrial Production - In October, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 4.9% year-on-year and 0.17% month-on-month [3] - The mining industry saw a year-on-year increase of 4.5%, manufacturing grew by 4.9%, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water increased by 5.4% [3] - Equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing grew by 8.0% and 7.2% year-on-year, respectively, outpacing the overall industrial growth by 3.1 and 2.3 percentage points [3] - From January to October, the industrial added value increased by 6.1% year-on-year [3] Service Sector - The service production index increased by 4.6% year-on-year in October [6] - Key sectors such as information transmission, software, and IT services grew by 13.0%, while leasing and business services and finance grew by 8.2% and 5.6%, respectively [6] - From January to October, the service production index increased by 5.7% year-on-year [6] Retail Sales - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 46,291 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [9] - Online retail sales reached 127,916 billion yuan, growing by 9.6% year-on-year, with physical goods online retail sales accounting for 25.2% of total retail sales [9] - From January to October, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.3% year-on-year [9] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 408,914 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7% [10] - Manufacturing investment grew by 2.7%, while real estate development investment fell by 14.7% [10] - High-tech industries such as information services and aerospace manufacturing saw significant investment growth of 32.7% and 19.7%, respectively [10] Trade and Exports - In October, the total import and export value reached 37,028 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.1% [11] - Exports decreased by 0.8% to 21,716 billion yuan, while imports increased by 1.4% to 15,311 billion yuan [11] - From January to October, general trade grew by 2.3%, accounting for 63.4% of total trade [11] Employment - The urban survey unemployment rate averaged 5.2% from January to October, with a slight decrease to 5.1% in October [14] - The unemployment rate for local registered labor was 5.3%, while for migrant labor it was 4.7% [14] Consumer Prices - In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% year-on-year, reversing a previous decline [16] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 1.2% year-on-year [16] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, with a narrowing decline compared to the previous month [16]

Economic Overview - In October, the national economy maintained a stable and progressive development trend, with industrial added value increasing by 4.9% year-on-year, service production index rising by 4.6%, and retail sales of consumer goods growing by 2.9% [1][10]. Industrial Production - The industrial added value for October increased by 4.9% year-on-year and 0.17% month-on-month. The mining industry grew by 4.5%, manufacturing by 4.9%, and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply by 5.4% [3]. - Equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors showed strong growth, with increases of 8.0% and 7.2% respectively, outpacing the overall industrial growth by 3.1 and 2.3 percentage points [3]. - The profit of industrial enterprises from January to September reached 53,732 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.2% [3]. Service Sector - The service production index rose by 4.6% year-on-year in October, with significant growth in information transmission, software, and IT services (13.0%), leasing and business services (8.2%), and finance (5.6%) [4]. - The business activity index for the service sector was at 50.2%, indicating stable activity levels [4]. Retail Sales - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 46,291 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [5]. - Online retail sales amounted to 127,916 billion yuan, growing by 9.6% year-on-year, with physical goods online retail accounting for 25.2% of total retail sales [5]. Fixed Asset Investment - From January to October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 408,914 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7%. However, manufacturing investment grew by 2.7% [6]. - Real estate development investment saw a significant decline of 14.7% [6]. Trade and Exports - In October, the total import and export value was 37,028 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year, with exports decreasing by 0.8% and imports increasing by 1.4% [7]. - From January to October, the total import and export value reached 373,090 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6% [7]. Employment and Prices - The urban surveyed unemployment rate in October was 5.1%, showing a slight decrease from the previous month [8]. - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% year-on-year in October, reversing from a decline of 0.3% in the previous month [9]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial producers decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing compared to the previous month [9]. Conclusion - Overall, the national economy in October showed stability and progress, with ongoing structural adjustments and challenges ahead. The focus remains on expanding domestic demand and stabilizing employment and market expectations [10].

Economic Overview - The national economy in October showed overall stability with a trend of steady progress, supported by strong leadership and effective implementation of policies [1][10] Industrial Production - In October, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 4.9% year-on-year and 0.17% month-on-month, with mining, manufacturing, and electricity sectors showing growth rates of 4.5%, 4.9%, and 5.4% respectively [2] - The equipment manufacturing sector saw an 8.0% year-on-year increase, while high-tech manufacturing grew by 7.2%, outperforming the overall industrial growth by 3.1 and 2.3 percentage points respectively [2] - From January to October, the industrial added value increased by 6.1% year-on-year, with a profit total of 53,732 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.2% increase [2] Service Sector - The service sector production index rose by 4.6% year-on-year in October, with significant growth in information transmission, software, and IT services at 13.0% [3] - The overall service sector revenue increased by 7.6% year-on-year from January to September, indicating robust performance [3] Retail Sales - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 46,291 billion yuan, marking a 2.9% year-on-year increase [4] - Online retail sales grew by 9.6% year-on-year, with physical goods online retail accounting for 25.2% of total retail sales [4] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 408,914 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 1.7% [5] - Manufacturing investment increased by 2.7%, while real estate development investment fell by 14.7% [5] Trade Performance - In October, the total value of goods imports and exports was 37,028 billion yuan, with exports decreasing by 0.8% and imports increasing by 1.4% [7] - From January to October, the total trade value grew by 3.6%, with exports increasing by 6.2% [7] Employment Situation - The urban survey unemployment rate in October was 5.1%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [8] - The average weekly working hours for employees were reported at 48.4 hours [8] Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% year-on-year in October, reversing from a decline of 0.3% in the previous month [9] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial producers decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, with a narrowing decline compared to the previous month [9]