Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4] Core Insights - The media index (Shenwan) increased by 0.21%, ranking 10th among 31 industries, outperforming the CSI 300 index which rose by 0.08% [8] - The report suggests investing in vertical segments with high growth potential, recommending companies such as Wanda Film, Perfect World, and Mango Super Media [8] Summary by Sections DeepSeek Model Release and Spring Festival Film Schedule - DeepSeek launched a new document recognition model, DeepSeek-OCR2, which significantly enhances image recognition capabilities through a novel "Causal Flow" visual reasoning logic [9] - As of now, six films have been scheduled for the 2026 Spring Festival, showcasing a diverse range of genres including drama, comedy, crime, action, martial arts, and animation [15] Industry and Company News - The report highlights key developments in AI and the internet, including Alibaba's AI chip launch and Tencent's AI-powered input method [20] - In the cinema sector, the film "Star River Dream" has been officially scheduled for the 2026 Spring Festival [22] - The gaming industry is also active, with Nintendo announcing a classic game library for its Switch Online service [22] Company Performance and Recommendations - The report provides a valuation table for recommended companies, indicating their expected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2024 to 2026, with all recommended companies rated as "Overweight" [16][17] - Notable companies include: - Wanda Film: Market cap of 250.03 billion, PE of 19.41 for 2024 [16] - Perfect World: Market cap of 365.49 billion, PE of 44.86 for 2024 [16] - Mango Super Media: Market cap of 532.40 billion, PE of 32.36 for 2024 [16]

Core Conclusions - The A-share market typically exhibits balanced performance during spring rallies, with both growth and value sectors showing gains. In the latter half of bull markets, sector differentiation tends to converge, leading to a more uniform upward trend [1][2] - Recently, previously lagging sectors such as liquor and real estate have performed well, indicating a structural convergence in the market as it enters the latter half of the bull market and spring rally [1][3] - The equity market is expected to remain stable with potential for further upward movement. A balanced allocation strategy is recommended, with a focus on technology represented by AI applications, as well as traditional assets like liquor and real estate, and upstream cyclical sectors [1][3] Historical Context - Historically, during spring rallies since 2005, both growth and value styles have performed similarly, with average maximum gains of 24.0% for growth and 23.5% for value [2][14] - The current market is still within a bull market atmosphere that began in September 2024, with significant structural differentiation observed. The latter half of bull markets typically sees a more balanced performance across sectors [2][18] Market Dynamics - The recent A-share market has shown notable sector rotation, with the performance gap between styles narrowing. Since December 17, 2025, the spring rally has gradually unfolded, supported by broad-based ETFs, flexible foreign capital, and leveraged funds [1][11] - As of January 23, 2026, the industry rotation strength in the A-share market was at a historical low of 18% over the past five years, but there has been a recent uptick, suggesting that structural rotation may be beginning [12][14] Future Outlook - The current spring rally is expected to continue, with historical comparisons indicating a potential index increase of around 20%. The maximum increase of the Shanghai Composite Index since December 17, 2025, has only been 9.8%, indicating room for growth [3][30] - Continued macroeconomic policy support is anticipated to provide a fundamental basis for market growth, with a focus on stabilizing the real estate market as indicated by recent government statements [30][31] Sector Allocation - The technology sector, particularly driven by the AI wave, remains a key focus, with expectations for the rally to expand from hardware to application sectors. Recent developments in AI applications have been notable, suggesting a shift towards practical implementations [31][32] - In addition to technology, traditional value sectors such as undervalued liquor and real estate assets are also recommended for consideration in the current market environment [31][32]

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月31日 港股投资周报 金融股领涨，港股精选组合年内上涨 7.92% 核心观点 金融工程周报 港股精选组合绩效回顾 本周，港股精选组合绝对收益 0.49%，相对恒生指数超额收益-1.89%。 本年，港股精选组合绝对收益 7.92%，相对恒生指数超额收益 1.07%。 港股市场创新高热点板块跟踪 我们根据分析师关注度、股价相对强弱、股价路径平稳性、创新高连续性等 角度在过去 20 个交易日创出过 250 日新高的股票池中筛选出平稳创新高股 票。 近期，中国秦发等股票平稳创出新高。 按照板块来看，创新高股票数量最多的是周期板块，其次为科技、消费、制 造和大金融板块，具体个股信息可参照正文。 港股市场一周回顾 宽基指数方面，本周港股通 50 指数收益最高，累计收益 2.78%；恒生科技 指数收益最低，累计收益-1.38%。 行业指数方面，本周能源业行业收益最高，累计收益 7.44%；医疗保健业行 业收益最低，累计收益-2.72%。 概念板块方面，本周安防监控指数概念板块收益最高，累计收益 27.50%； 卫星导航指数概念板块收益最低，累计收益-9.93%。 金融工程·数量化投资 | ...

连建明 2026年头一个月，A股走势让许多股民感到犹如"坐过山车"，好在主要指数月K线都收阳，为全年开了 好头。不过，周五的大幅震荡也在提示市场风险悄悄降临，展望未来，慢牛行情有望持续，但风险也需 提高警惕。 再细看个股方面，上涨股票数量远多于下跌股票。1月份上涨股票3800只，下跌股票1300多只。聚焦热 点板块，既有去年的"老明星"，又有今年出现的"新贵"，通过1月份净申购的ETF就能看出，净申购前 几名分别是有色金属ETF、化工ETF、电网设备ETF、黄金ETF等，这些板块几乎是本月涨幅最大的板 块，涨幅最大的是有色和黄金板块，黄金板块涨幅高达40%，这当然与本月黄金价格暴涨有关，但风险 也在显现，1月最后一个交易日由于黄金出现震荡，A股中的黄金类企业股票大幅下跌，很多股票跌 停。至于去年最热门的科技股尤其是半导体、人工智能板块热度还在延续，人工智能从去年炒硬件转为 AI应用，导致软件和传媒板块大涨，中证传媒指数1月份涨幅为22%。卫星和电网设备去年12月份就开 始成为热点，今年1月份炒作延续，但下半月出现明显回调。化工板块则是1月份异军突起的板块，表现 突出。 1月份还有一个显著特点，就是大盘股、小盘 ...

Market Overview - In January 2026, global markets exhibited significant divergence, with structural trends dominating the month [1] - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks experienced upward movements, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 3% and the Hang Seng Index increasing by more than 6% [1] - The U.S. stock market reached historical highs but faced consolidation by the end of the month, with all three major indices still showing monthly gains exceeding 1% [1] A-shares Performance - The A-share market showed a steady upward trend in January, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 3.76%, the ChiNext Index up 4.47%, and the Shenzhen Composite Index up 5.03% [2] - The non-ferrous metals sector led the gains with a 22.59% increase, followed by media, oil and petrochemicals, construction materials, and basic chemicals, which saw increases of 17.94%, 16.31%, 13.31%, and 12.72% respectively [3] Hong Kong Market Performance - The Hong Kong market also trended upwards in January, with the Hang Seng Index leading with a 6.85% increase, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 4.53% and 3.67% respectively [5] - The optical communication sector was the standout performer, surging by 32.34%, followed closely by the paper industry with a 31.76% increase [6] Precious Metals - January witnessed a remarkable rally in precious metals, with gold and silver prices rising sharply due to expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and ongoing central bank purchases [8] - Gold prices increased by over 16%, while silver prices surged more than 34% during the month, marking them as the most notable assets in this rally [8] Industrial Metals and Energy - The industrial metals market also performed strongly, with LME nickel rising over 9% and LME copper increasing by 8.97% [10] - The energy market saw WTI crude oil futures rising over 14%, reaching $65.88 per barrel, and Brent crude oil futures also increasing by over 14%, priced at $70.04 per barrel [10] Future Market Outlook - The focus for February is expected to remain on interest rate expectations, dollar movements, and geopolitical risks [12] - Analysts suggest that the A-share market may experience a healthy adjustment, with a shift towards a more sustainable "slow bull" market, driven by earnings growth and profitability improvements [12] - For the Hong Kong market, a positive outlook is maintained, with expectations of a structural rebound supported by earnings recovery, improved liquidity, and policy support [13]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the role of China Energy News as a leading media platform in the energy sector, highlighting its commitment to high-quality development and support for carbon neutrality goals [1]. Group 1: Overview of China Energy News - China Energy News was established on June 1, 2009, and is the first mainstream economic newspaper in China covering the entire energy industry chain [1]. - The publication serves as an authoritative platform for interpreting important discussions by General Secretary Xi Jinping regarding energy work [1]. - It has become a media benchmark for the energy industry, promoting high-quality development and innovation in media integration [1]. Group 2: Audience and Partnerships - The readership of China Energy News spans the entire energy industry chain, making it a preferred choice for professionals in various sub-sectors [1]. - Many readers habitually save and collect issues of China Energy News, indicating its value in the industry [1]. - The publication has established strong partnerships with numerous government agencies, enterprises, and think tanks, enhancing its influence and reach [1]. Group 3: Collaboration and Brand Building - China Energy News aims to collaborate deeply with energy enterprises, leveraging its multi-dimensional media platform to support brand building and enhancement [1]. - The publication invites professional readers to join its efforts in promoting high-quality development in the energy sector and contributing to carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals [1].

Group 1 - The company Tianzhou Culture announced that its fourth board meeting was held on January 30, 2026, via communication methods [1] - The meeting reviewed the proposal regarding the election of the board of directors and the nomination of independent director candidates for the fifth board [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Views of the Report - The recent significant shrinkage of ETF scale due to market fund selling is nearing its end, and the rise of the real - estate sector drove the rebound of the Shanghai 50 Index on the day. The adjustments of the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indexes show a benign "cooling" feature, mainly short - term emotional release rather than a trend of weakening. Investors should focus on the entry opportunity [3] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Analysis - In terms of macro - economy, Chinese President Xi Jinping met with British Prime Minister Starmer, and Premier Li Qiang held talks with him. The two sides reached a series of positive results, including developing a long - term and stable comprehensive strategic partnership, establishing a China - UK financial working group, China considering unilateral visa - free policies for British citizens, and reducing the import tariff rate of whisky from 10% to 5%. The 2026 National Spring Festival Cultural and Tourism Consumption Month was launched, with about 30,000 cultural and tourism consumption activities, over 360 million yuan in consumption vouchers and other subsidies, and various preferential measures. Overseas, the U.S. Senate failed to advance the government appropriation bill passed by the House, and the U.S. federal government faces a partial "shutdown" crisis as the operating funds of several federal departments will be exhausted on January 30 [1] - In the spot market, the three major A - share indexes fluctuated. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.16% to close at 4157.98 points, while the ChiNext Index fell 0.57%. Most sector indexes rose, with food and beverage, media, real estate, and non - bank finance leading the gains, and electronics, national defense and military industry, power equipment, and machinery leading the losses. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets rose to about 3.2 trillion yuan. Overseas, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.11% to close at 49071.56 points [2] - In the futures market, the basis of IF, IH, and IM continued to rise, and the current - month contracts were in contango. The trading volume and open interest of stock index futures increased simultaneously [2] 3.2 Strategy - The recent significant shrinkage of ETF scale due to market fund selling is nearing its end, and the rise of the real - estate sector drove the rebound of the Shanghai 50 Index on the day. The adjustments of the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indexes show a benign "cooling" feature, mainly short - term emotional release rather than a trend of weakening. Investors should focus on the entry opportunity [3] 3.3 Macro - economic Charts - The report includes charts showing the relationship between the U.S. dollar index and A - share trends, U.S. Treasury yields and A - share trends, RMB exchange rate and A - share trends, and U.S. Treasury yields and A - share style trends [6][11][9] 3.4 Spot Market Tracking Charts - The daily performance of major domestic stock indexes on January 29, 2026: the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.16% to 4157.98, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.30% to 14300.08, the ChiNext Index fell 0.57% to 3304.51, the CSI 300 Index rose 0.76% to 4753.87, the Shanghai 50 Index rose 1.65% to 3110.91, the CSI 500 Index fell 0.97% to 8517.84, and the CSI 1000 Index fell 0.80% to 8332.21 [13] - Charts show the trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets and the margin trading balance [6][14] 3.5 Futures Market Tracking Charts - The trading volume and open interest of stock index futures: IF trading volume was 159,804 (+16,902), open interest was 323,557 (-2,391); IH trading volume was 85,872 (+22,491), open interest was 128,229 (+9,827); IC trading volume was 204,278 (+33,619), open interest was 353,832 (+11,434); IM trading volume was 247,981 (+53,901), open interest was 411,595 (+28,829) [15] - Charts show the open interest, latest open - interest ratio, and foreign - capital net open interest of IH, IF, IC, and IM contracts [6][16][18] - The basis of stock index futures: for IF, the current - month contract basis was 20.73 (+10.92), the next - month contract basis was 30.13 (+15.32), the current - quarter contract basis was 17.73 (+18.92), and the next - quarter contract basis was - 26.87 (+20.92); for IH, the current - month contract basis was 13.29 (+8.25), the next - month contract basis was 19.49 (+10.25), the current - quarter contract basis was 21.69 (+12.25), and the next - quarter contract basis was - 2.31 (+12.25); for IC, the current - month contract basis was 13.36 (-8.68), the next - month contract basis was - 0.24 (-21.08), the current - quarter contract basis was - 54.84 (-28.48), and the next - quarter contract basis was - 143.84 (-11.68); for IM, the current - month contract basis was 19.19 (+11.58), the next - month contract basis was - 3.21 (+18.78), the current - quarter contract basis was - 132.61 (+24.58), and the next - quarter contract basis was - 284.21 (+40.58) [39] - The inter - delivery spread of stock index futures: for the next - month minus current - month spread, IF was 9.40 (+4.40), IH was 6.20 (+2.00), IC was - 13.60 (-12.40), IM was - 22.40 (+7.20); for the next - quarter minus current - month spread, IF was - 3.00 (+8.00), IH was 8.40 (+4.00), IC was - 68.20 (-19.80), IM was - 151.80 (+13.00); and other inter - delivery spreads are also provided [43][44]

Group 1 - The overall change in public fund holdings shows an increase in allocation to non-ferrous metals and communications, while reducing allocation to electronics and pharmaceuticals. The top five industries with increased holdings are non-ferrous metals (up 2.1 percentage points), communications (1.8 percentage points), non-bank financials (0.9 percentage points), chemicals (0.8 percentage points), and machinery (0.7 percentage points). The top five industries with reduced holdings are electronics (-1.6 percentage points), pharmaceuticals (-1.6 percentage points), media (-1.2 percentage points), electric new energy (-0.9 percentage points), and computers (-0.8 percentage points) [1][8][12] Group 2 - The report categorizes funds into four types: increasing, decreasing, adjusting, and extreme style. The increasing funds focus on growth style, adding positions in industrial metals, military electronics, and photovoltaic equipment, while reducing positions in batteries, digital media, and social networks. Decreasing funds are shifting from growth to value, adding positions in components, liquor, and coal mining, while reducing positions in communication equipment, semiconductors, and passenger vehicles. Adjusting funds show a balanced configuration, adding positions in semiconductors, industrial metals, and insurance, while reducing positions in consumer electronics, batteries, and state-owned banks. Extreme style funds make internal adjustments within their styles, adding communication equipment and renovation materials while reducing consumer electronics and bioproducts [7][15][16] Group 3 - The report highlights that the consensus for selling includes bioproducts, internet e-commerce, consumer electronics, social media, batteries, and digital media, while the consensus for buying includes insurance, securities, chemical products, components, photovoltaic equipment, and industrial metals [15][16][18] Group 4 - The analysis indicates that increasing funds prefer large-cap and high-valuation stocks, while decreasing and adjusting funds focus on both growth and profitability. Extreme growth funds tend to hold small-cap, high-valuation stocks with pressured profitability, while extreme value funds focus on low-valuation, large-cap stocks with low earnings growth [7][18][25]

Market Overview - On January 30, A-shares experienced a significant drop after a high opening, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.19% to 4108.46 points and the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.96% to 14162.2 points, while the ChiNext Index rose 0.8% to 3330.91 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.93 trillion yuan, with over 3800 stocks declining [1] Sector Performance Hot Sectors - The computing power hardware concept stocks surged, with Tianfu Communication rising over 10% and Changfei Optical Fiber hitting the daily limit, both reaching historical highs [1] - The AI application sector saw significant gains, with Electric Sound Co. hitting the daily limit and Gravity Media also reaching the daily limit [1] - The film and television sector was active, with Hengdian Film and Television achieving two consecutive daily limits [1] - The agriculture sector showed repeated strength, with Nongfa Seed Industry achieving two daily limits in three days [1] Declining Sectors - The precious metals sector experienced a collective decline, with stocks like Zhongjin Gold and Sichuan Gold hitting the daily limit [2] - The non-ferrous metals sector also faced a downturn, with significant drops in stocks such as Xiaocheng Technology and Chifeng Gold [1][2] - Lithium mining concepts saw a sharp decline, with Jinyuan Co. hitting the daily limit [1] Agricultural Sector Insights - The agricultural sector showed resilience, with the soybean benchmark price rising to 4468.00 yuan/ton, an increase of 1.18% compared to the beginning of the month [3] - The Deputy Minister of Agriculture and Rural Affairs announced that grain production reached a historical high of 14.298 billion jin [3] Coal Sector Developments - The coal sector performed well, with stocks like Panjiang Coal and Yunnan Coal Energy hitting the daily limit [4] - Panjiang Coal forecasted a net profit increase of 205.30% to 264.83% by 2025 [4] - Citic Securities indicated that the coal industry may continue to experience a weak supply-demand balance but expects better coal price performance in 2026 [4] Institutional Perspectives - Guosen Securities noted that the market focus will shift to performance as the annual report disclosure period approaches, with a median net profit growth rate for A-shares expected to reach double digits [5] - Zheshang Securities suggested that the market may experience short-term fluctuations, with a "systematic slow bull" still anticipated [6] - Dongfang Securities indicated that the market may maintain a fluctuating pattern, with structural opportunities driven by industry prosperity [7]