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海外2025中期策略:稳定币跑步入场,虚拟资产趋势已成
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-06-23 05:24
Group 1: Virtual Assets and Stablecoins - The trend of virtual assets is continuously improving due to the enhancement of regulatory frameworks and increased institutional participation, with expectations of liquidity easing [2][18][25] - The global stablecoin market is projected to grow significantly, from approximately $5 billion in 2020 to around $200 billion by the end of 2024, indicating a clear expansion path for trading scenarios [25][26] - Various regions are implementing stablecoin policies, such as the U.S. passing the "Genius Act" and Hong Kong enacting the "Stablecoin Ordinance," which will take effect on August 1, 2025 [25][29] Group 2: Streaming Platforms - Music streaming platforms are identified as high-quality internet assets driven by domestic demand, with continuous scale effects driving profit leverage [2] - The market for music subscriptions is expected to grow, with major players like Spotify and Tencent Music holding significant market shares [33] Group 3: O2O Service Platforms - The trend of strong players becoming stronger is evident, with major platforms like Beike and Tuhu expected to increase market share amid a shrinking real estate and automotive aftermarket demand [2][39] - The used housing transaction volume in key cities showed a month-on-month decline, indicating a buyer's market, which may benefit established platforms [39] Group 4: Coffee, Tea, and E-commerce Delivery Platforms - The online retail sales of physical goods grew by 6.3% year-on-year from January to May 2025, indicating a competitive landscape where marketing expenses are rising [2][56] - The coffee and tea segment is highlighted as a key beneficiary in the delivery battle, with significant growth in order volumes and city coverage [68][75] Group 5: K12 Education and Training - The K12 education sector is experiencing a resurgence in non-subject training demand, with a significant reduction in subject-based training institutions, leading to a scarcity of quality compliant products [2][86] - Major players in the K12 sector, such as New Oriental and TAL Education, are showing strong performance with revenue growth exceeding 20% year-on-year [91]
传媒互联网产业行业周报:法律框架逐步完善,虚拟资产趋势向上-20250622
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-06-22 12:00
风险提示 本周观点 关注海外资产的季报变化: 投资逻辑 法律框架逐步完善,虚拟资产趋势向上。1)港股整体观点:今年港股整体表现突出,各种板块、概念层出不穷, 底层逻辑来自于便宜资产的长期低估,大量内地优质资产在港 IPO,提升了港股的资产质量,吸引了全球流动资 金的关注、加持。另外,去美元化的全球投资策略和美国降息预期对港股的流动性利好。据此我们对港股的未来 趋势持续乐观。短期层面,由于估值、国际环境等问题,港股不排除震荡或者回调的风险,特别是对于前期涨幅 较大&估值较高的个股,短期回调属于健康调整。2)目前我们持续看多虚拟资产(含稳定币)的发展,近期包括 蚂蚁、META、贝莱德在内的传统互联网、金融机构向虚拟资产和稳定币延申的趋势明显。我们认为,稳定币政策 只是虚拟资产大趋势下的一环,未来还会有更多政策制度出台,持续看好。美国、香港的虚拟资产相关法律框架 逐步完善,虚拟资产趋势向上。 后续政策不及预期风险;中美关系变化风险;内容上线及表现不及预期风险;宏观经济运行不及预期风险;AI 技 术迭代和应用不及预期风险;政策监管风险。 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 教育:K12 教培行业高景气维持,非学科产品合规优 ...
大华国际交易咨询服务部董事总经理马志坚:香港对虚拟资产投资的包容性强,吸引更多高净值人士移民
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-19 10:42
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong's inclusion of virtual assets in its investment immigration program is attracting high-net-worth individuals, positioning the city as a favorable destination compared to other regions like Singapore [1] Group 1: Virtual Asset Policy - Hong Kong's virtual asset policy is more inclusive compared to Singapore, which has not clearly recognized virtual assets for investment immigration [5][6] - The unique advantages of virtual assets include ease of asset evaluation and transparency, allowing for quick estimation based on market prices without extensive research [5] Group 2: Investment Immigration Requirements - The investment immigration framework in Hong Kong allows for daily asset valuation, requiring a minimum of HKD 30 million to be maintained over the past six months, accommodating fluctuations in asset value [7] - Hong Kong's investment immigration policy is clearer and more lenient than Singapore's, which has stricter anti-money laundering and anti-terrorism financing regulations [6][9] Group 3: Compliance and Verification - The verification process for converting on-chain assets into compliant exchange certificates is streamlined in Hong Kong, contrasting with Singapore's rigorous initial scrutiny of fund sources [9] - The focus of compliance checks in Hong Kong occurs during the investment phase, rather than at the application stage, simplifying the process for applicants [9]
币圈归来?香港稳定币激活跨境支付,内地资产赴港RWA潮起
经济观察报· 2025-06-18 08:54
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the growing interest and feasibility of issuing Real World Assets (RWA) in Hong Kong using stablecoins, particularly in the context of recent regulatory developments in Hong Kong that support this initiative [1][13][14]. Group 1: RWA and Stablecoins - RWA refers to the tokenization of real-world asset income rights on blockchain networks for fundraising, trading, and asset circulation [5]. - The recent passing of the Stablecoin Ordinance in Hong Kong is expected to accelerate the development of RWA, providing a compliant pathway and enhancing infrastructure for RWA transactions [13][14]. - Many domestic WEB3 development institutions are exploring the operation of mainland assets being tokenized and issued as RWA in Hong Kong, with some already identifying operational pathways [8][16]. Group 2: Cross-Border Payment Applications - The application of stablecoins in cross-border payments is gaining attention, with significant advantages in transaction speed and cost compared to traditional banking methods [10][20]. - Stablecoins can facilitate T+0 settlement for cross-border payments, significantly reducing the time required for transactions [10]. - The integration of stablecoins into cross-border payment systems is seen as a way to enhance user trust and expand the reach of payment platforms [11][21]. Group 3: Challenges and Compliance - Despite the potential, there are significant challenges related to compliance, particularly concerning anti-money laundering (AML) and Know Your Customer (KYC) regulations [9][22]. - The successful implementation of stablecoins in cross-border payments will depend on the ability to meet regulatory requirements while ensuring efficient operations [23]. - The need for a robust compliance framework is critical for the widespread adoption of stablecoins in the financial ecosystem [22][23].
香港第二份数字资产宣言将至,概念股应声狂欢
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-06-16 06:19
6月16日,香港稳定币概念股再度迎来狂欢,板块个股全线上涨。截至发稿,连连数字(02598.HK)涨近 15%,联易融科技(09959.HK)和众安在线(06060.HK)涨幅均超12%,其他多股也纷纷跟涨。 稳定币概念股集体飙升的背后,是香港即将释放的又一波数字资产政策红利! 6月15日,香港特区财政司司长陈茂波发表标题是提速前进 扬帆稳航;的随笔。他表示,香港在数字金 融、绿色金融及离岸人民币市场方面有长足发展,带动了金融机构相关的业务。例如,去年本地银行数 字资产和相关产品交易总额达172亿港元;去年底,在银行托管的数字资产总额达51亿港元。 陈茂波进一步表示,因应最新的发展和形势变化,我们即将就数字资产的发展发表第二份政策宣言,阐 述下一步的政策愿景和方向,一系列具体的措施包括让传统金融服务的优势与数字资产领域的技术创新 有更好的结合、提高数字资产在实体经济活动的安全性和灵活性,以及鼓励本地和国际企业探索数字资 产技术的创新及应用。; 香港财经事务及库务局局长许正宇近日也表示,香港积极发展虚拟资产生态圈,政府即将发布第二份虚 拟资产政策宣言,探索传统金融与虚拟资产的融合,并将于年內就场外交易及托管服务 ...
香港证监会核准无纸证券市场收费限额;优乐赛二次递表港交所丨港交所早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-15 23:12
Group 1: Regulatory Developments - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) is actively building a virtual asset ecosystem that is compliant, risk-controlled, and sustainable, aiming to seize new opportunities for investors [1] - The SFC supports the listing of virtual asset spot ETFs and is promoting the application of blockchain technology for the tokenization of securities [1] - The approval of fee limits for securities registration institutions in the paperless securities market is seen as a significant milestone, establishing a fair and transparent fee structure that protects minority shareholders [4] Group 2: Company Listings - Suzhou Youlesai Shared Service Co., Ltd. has submitted its second listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, indicating its determination to pursue capital market opportunities [2] - Youlesai's projected revenues for 2022, 2023, and 2024 are approximately 648 million, 794 million, and 838 million yuan, with net profits of about 31 million, 64 million, and 51 million yuan respectively [2] - Jinye International has submitted its initial prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with projected revenues of approximately 123 million and 155 million HKD for the fiscal years 2023/24 and 2024/25 [3] - The revenue growth of Jinye International over the next two fiscal years indicates a solid market position and good prospects in Hong Kong, which may attract investor interest [3] Group 3: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23892.56, down 0.59% on June 13 [5] - The Hang Seng Tech Index and the National Enterprises Index also experienced declines of 1.72% and 0.85% respectively [5]
传媒互联网产业行业周报:港股风险偏好持续上行,且逐步向中小盘延伸-20250615
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-06-15 13:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the Hong Kong stock market, particularly in sectors such as AI, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals, indicating a rising risk appetite among investors [2][9]. Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market has shown significant improvement in risk appetite, with notable performance in sectors like AI, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals, leading to increased investor interest, especially in small and mid-cap stocks [2][9]. - The report suggests active participation in A+H shares due to observed discount phenomena in IPOs, with a focus on new consumption and manufacturing sectors [2][9]. - There is a sustained bullish outlook on virtual assets and the Web 3.0 market, driven by stablecoin policies and IPOs, with expectations for more regulatory developments in the future [2][9]. - The valuation of overseas Chinese assets remains influenced by US-China trade relations and the broader economic environment, highlighting the need to monitor changes in US tariff policies and domestic economic strategies [2][9]. Industry Tracking Summary 1. Education - The education index decreased by 0.98% from June 9 to June 13, underperforming compared to major indices, with 51talk rising by 12.09% and Thinking Education falling by 11.55% [10][14]. 2. Luxury Goods - The luxury goods sector faced slight pressure, with key stocks like Prada declining by 6.01% while new brands like Shiseido rose by 2.02% during the same period [18][21]. 3. Coffee and Tea - The sector showed stable growth, with individual stocks like Luckin Coffee increasing by 1.87%, while others like Bawang Tea experienced declines [23][27]. 4. E-commerce - The e-commerce sector saw a slight decline, with major players like Alibaba and JD.com facing competitive pressures, while the Hang Seng Internet Technology Index rose by 3.46% [29][34]. 5. Streaming Platforms - The streaming sector outperformed, with Tencent Music and NetEase Cloud Music showing significant gains, while Netflix experienced a decline [35][38]. 6. Virtual Assets & Internet Brokers - The global cryptocurrency market capitalization increased by 5.9%, with Bitcoin and Ethereum prices showing slight fluctuations, indicating ongoing interest in virtual assets [42][43].
香港证监会梁凤仪:积极将人民币柜台纳入南向通 期望年底前开通
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-13 06:27
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) is actively working to enhance the competitiveness of Hong Kong's capital markets by integrating the Renminbi counter into the Southbound Trading scheme and optimizing the listing process for companies, particularly those from mainland China [1][2] Group 1: Market Resilience and Regulatory Framework - The SFC emphasizes the need for a flexible yet robust regulatory approach to ensure market resilience amid capital market volatility [2] - The SFC has maintained a strong regulatory framework that has effectively managed systemic risks and monitored market conditions, including conducting stress tests on exchanges and intermediaries [2][3] Group 2: Growth Strategies - The SFC's strategy includes strengthening Hong Kong's position as a premier financing and asset management center, with recent successful H-share listings, such as CATL raising $5.3 billion [3] - The SFC aims to deepen the integration of mainland and Hong Kong markets, expanding the scope of mutual market access to include more products like ETFs and derivatives [3][4] Group 3: Innovation and Technology - The SFC is focusing on fostering a robust virtual asset ecosystem, supporting the listing of virtual asset ETFs, and exploring blockchain technology for securities tokenization [4][5] - New initiatives like the "Tech Company Fast Track" aim to facilitate the listing of tech and biotech firms in Hong Kong, aligning with national goals for technological self-reliance [5]
香港拟引入虚拟资产衍生品交易
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-06 07:36
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong must find the best balance between regulation and innovation in the virtual asset sector to ensure policies keep pace with developments while maintaining market order and transparency, avoiding stifling market vitality and participant enthusiasm [2][8]. Regulatory Developments - The Hong Kong government is considering introducing virtual asset derivatives trading for professional investors, along with robust risk management measures to enhance product options while ensuring orderly and transparent trading [3][4]. - A second policy declaration on the development of virtual assets will be published, outlining the government's vision and direction, including the integration of traditional financial services with virtual asset technology [3][5]. Market Growth and Diversification - Hong Kong's financial ecosystem is diversifying, with over 1,100 fintech companies, including eight licensed digital banks, four virtual insurance companies, and ten virtual asset trading platforms [3][4]. - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) has approved the first virtual asset futures ETFs for retail investors in December 2022 and plans to recognize the first virtual asset spot ETFs in April 2024 [3][4]. Future Outlook - The upcoming policy declaration is expected to complement the SFC's roadmap, establishing a stable foundation for the orderly development of virtual assets in Hong Kong [5]. - The legal community anticipates that the new policy will address the evolving landscape of virtual assets and digital currencies, potentially incorporating topics like tokenization and artificial intelligence [7][8].
香港证监会考虑引入虚拟资产衍生品交易 专业投资者门槛800万港元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-05 03:23
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong government is considering introducing virtual asset derivatives trading for professional investors, aiming to enhance product offerings in the market while ensuring robust risk management measures [1] Group 1: Regulatory Framework - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) has set clear standards for professional investor qualifications, requiring individual investors to have an investment portfolio of at least HKD 8 million or equivalent foreign currency, and institutional investors to possess total assets of at least HKD 40 million or equivalent foreign currency [3] - The regulatory framework for virtual assets has been progressively improved since the introduction of the regulatory framework in 2018, with a new virtual asset regulatory framework launched in 2023 and the VASP licensing system set to officially start on June 1, 2024 [3] - As of February 2025, 10 virtual asset trading platforms, including OSL, HashKey, HKVAX, and HKbitEX, have obtained licenses, ensuring that operators conduct due diligence on virtual assets before offering them for trading [3] Group 2: Market Development and Impact - The introduction of virtual asset derivatives will fill a product gap in the Hong Kong market, aligning it with international mature markets and attracting global professional investors and financial institutions [4] - Virtual asset derivatives will provide professional investors with risk management tools such as hedging and arbitrage, catering to the allocation needs of institutional investors [4] - The government plans to optimize tax incentives for funds, single-family offices, and associated rights, allowing virtual assets to be included in qualified transactions eligible for tax relief, thereby reducing investor costs and attracting long-term capital to Hong Kong [4] - The policy encourages local and international enterprises to explore innovations and applications of virtual asset technology, enhancing efficiency and security in areas like supply chain finance and green bonds, thus promoting the digital transformation of the real economy [4]