These Are The 25 Bestselling Whisky Brands In The World https://t.co/VxSoLTpz8I https://t.co/VxSoLTpz8I ...

飞天茅台批发价要反攻了？ 6月28日，据酒类行情监测平台"今日酒价"公众号披露的批发参考价， 25年飞天茅台（53度/500ml，下同）原箱 报1920元/瓶，较上一日涨50元；散瓶价1840元/瓶，较上一日涨40元；24年飞天茅台原箱报1920元/瓶，较上一日 涨10元；散瓶价1860元/瓶，较上一日涨10元；23年飞天茅台原箱报2010元/瓶，较上一日涨10元；散瓶价1910元/ 瓶，较上一日涨10元。 | 茅台飞天 | | 2025年6月28日 (公众号: 今日酒价) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品名 | 规格 | 昨日行情 | 今日行情 | | 2 25年飞天(原) | 53度/500ml | 1870 | 1920 4 | | 2 25年飞天(散) | 53度/500ml | 1800 | 1840 1 | | 24年飞天(原) | 53度/500ml | 1910 | 1920 1 | | 24年飞天(散) | 53度/500ml | 1850 | 1860 ↑ | | 23年飞天(原) | 53度/500ml | 2000 | 2010 1 | | 23年飞天 ...

Market Overview - The market has recovered most of its losses from earlier in the quarter, finishing strong despite initial turbulence caused by President Trump's trade policies [1][2] - The upcoming week is expected to be shortened, following a quarter that started poorly but ended on a high note, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a steady investment approach [2] Company Insights - Constellation Brands is expected to report disappointing earnings, reflecting broader challenges in the consumer packaged goods sector [4] - The company faces headwinds from the rise of GLP-1 weight loss drugs and increasing consumer preference for cannabis, which are negatively impacting alcohol sales [4] - Constellation Brands' sales are particularly affected by Trump's immigration policies, as approximately half of its beer sales come from Hispanic consumers who are now spending less due to concerns over employment [4] Economic Indicators - The Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index will be released, serving as a key indicator of the industrial economy's health, with potential implications for Federal Reserve interest rate decisions [3] - Mortgage application figures are anticipated, which have been described as a significant burden on the economy [5] - The labor report set to be released on Thursday is critical; weak data could lead to renewed criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell and raise the possibility of a rate cut in July [5]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities analyst downgraded Molson Coors Beverage Company from Buy to Neutral, lowering the price forecast from $65 to $50 due to ongoing challenges in the U.S. beer market [1][2] Company Summary - The analyst had previously upgraded Molson Coors, anticipating a return to normal beer volume trends by 2025 and stabilization of market share, which would support margins and cash flow visibility [1] - However, the expected recovery has not occurred, with industry volumes continuing to fall below historical levels and Molson Coors losing market share [2] - The stock's valuation now reflects ongoing uncertainty in the market [2] Valuation Adjustments - The price forecast was revised based on an 8.3x fiscal year 2026 EPS forecast, down from a previous 9.9x, aligning it more closely with U.S. packaged food peers facing similar growth challenges [3] - Fiscal year 2025 and 2026 EPS estimates were cut from $6.02/$6.55 to $5.70/$6.02 due to a weaker-than-expected second quarter and cautious revenue outlook [6] Market Dynamics - The competitive landscape is likened to a "sheep, parasites, and wolves" analogy, where spirits are seen as wolves taking market share, energy drinks as parasites leveraging beer distribution, and beer companies like Molson Coors as sheep losing ground [4] - The analyst revised the 2025 industry volume forecast from a 1.0% decline to a sharper 4.0% drop, reflecting increased competitive pressure [5]

Core Insights - Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) is a significant player in the alcoholic beverage industry, focusing on premiumization, brand strength, and portfolio optimization as key growth strategies [1][4] - The company has a diverse portfolio of leading brands, including Modelo Especial, Corona Extra, and Robert Mondavi Winery, positioning it well to meet changing consumer preferences [1] Beer Segment - STZ is concentrating on high-performing core brands in the beer category, which constitutes approximately 83% of total sales [2] - The company is benefiting from favorable trends in the U.S. beer market, particularly the increasing demand for Mexican imports and premium beers, with Modelo being the top-selling beer in the U.S. [2] - For fiscal 2026, STZ anticipates sales growth of 0-3% in the beer segment [2][10] Wine and Spirits Segment - The wine and spirits portfolio is shifting towards higher-end offerings, with brands like The Prisoner and Kim Crawford driving growth [3] - STZ is investing in innovation and omnichannel capabilities to engage younger consumers, while divesting lower-performing assets to enhance margins [3] Competitive Landscape - A comparison with peers such as Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD), Boston Beer Company (SAM), and Molson Coors (TAP) reveals a focus on premiumization and brand development across the industry [5] - BUD is leveraging consumer demand for its premium beer offerings, while SAM is diversifying into "Beyond Beer" products [6][7] - Molson Coors is also pursuing growth through innovation and premiumization strategies [8] Financial Performance - STZ's forward price-to-earnings ratio is 12.34X, lower than the industry average of 15.23X, indicating potential valuation opportunities [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for STZ's fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year decline of 7.9%, with a projected growth of 8.5% for fiscal 2027 [12]

Core Insights - The layout of first floors in Fuzhou shopping malls has shifted from traditional cosmetics and jewelry stores to new categories such as trendy toys, electric vehicles, outdoor sports, and various tea brands, reflecting changes in consumer preferences and societal trends [1][4][16] Group 1: Electric Vehicles - Fuzhou shopping malls have transformed into showcases for electric vehicles, with brands like AITO, BYD, Xiaomi, NIO, Li Auto, Zeekr, and Xpeng occupying prime first-floor spaces [4] - The shift in consumer behavior has made purchasing cars in malls more common, with some customers deciding to test drive and buy vehicles after initially visiting for other purposes [4][5] - Traditional cosmetics brands are struggling with declining sales due to the rise of online shopping, leading to a shift in mall tenant composition towards electric vehicle brands [4][5] Group 2: Trendy Toys - The first floors of Fuzhou malls have become dominated by "二次元" (two-dimensional) trendy toy stores, attracting younger consumers and creating a vibrant shopping atmosphere [8][9] - Brands like Pop Mart are expanding rapidly, with a focus on prime locations despite high rental costs, as they aim to capture the attention of their target demographic [8][9] - The popularity of trendy toys has led to the establishment of dedicated areas in malls, such as the "二次元欢乐场" (Two-Dimensional Happy Land) in various shopping centers [9] Group 3: Tea Brands - New tea brands are increasingly targeting prime first-floor locations in malls, moving away from traditional food court placements [11][12] - Brands like Bawang Tea, Heytea, and Luckin Coffee are establishing a strong presence on the first floor, leveraging high foot traffic for marketing and brand visibility [12] - Bawang Tea reports that over 30% of its stores are located in shopping centers, with 80% of those on the first floor, highlighting the strategic importance of this space for brand positioning [12] Group 4: Sports Brands - The first floor of Fuzhou malls is seeing a rise in outdoor sports brands, with companies like FILA, Arc'teryx, and Lululemon establishing flagship stores in prime locations [15] - The increasing interest in outdoor and sports apparel among young consumers is driving the growth of these brands in shopping malls [15] - The trend reflects a broader shift in consumer behavior towards practical and stylish products, moving away from traditional luxury items [15][16]

Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands is expected to report a decline in quarterly earnings and revenues, indicating potential challenges in its business performance [1][2]. Earnings Estimates - Analysts predict quarterly earnings of $3.37 per share, a decrease of 5.6% year-over-year [1]. - Revenue is forecasted at $2.57 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 3.4% [1]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.5% in the last 30 days [2]. Key Metrics - Estimated 'Net Sales- Wine and Spirits' is projected at $297.74 million, a significant decline of 23.5% year-over-year [5]. - 'Net Sales- Beer' is expected to reach $2.27 billion, showing a minimal decrease of 0.1% year-over-year [5]. - 'Operating Income- Wine and Spirits' is anticipated to be $12.38 million, down from $59.70 million in the same quarter last year [5]. - 'Operating Income- Beer' is projected at $899.70 million, compared to $941.60 million reported in the same quarter last year [6]. Stock Performance - Shares of Constellation Brands have decreased by 10.2% over the past month, contrasting with a 6% increase in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [7]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it is expected to perform in line with the overall market in the near future [7].

Constellation Brands, Inc. STZ will release earnings results for the first quarter after the closing bell on Tuesday, July 1.Analysts expect the company to report quarterly earnings at $3.29 per share, down from $3.57 per share in the year-ago period. Constellation Brands projects to report quarterly revenue at $2.56 billion, compared to $2.66 billion a year earlier, according to data from Benzinga Pro.On Thursday, Barclays analyst Lauren Lieberman maintained a Constellation Brands rating of Overweight and ...

Core Viewpoint - Luzhou Laojiao is advancing its strategy of product low-alcoholization by introducing a 28-degree Guojiao 1573, with plans for even lower alcohol content products in the future [1] Group 1: Company Strategy - Luzhou Laojiao's chairman Liu Miao announced the successful development of the 28-degree Guojiao 1573, which will be launched at an appropriate time [1] - The company is considering the introduction of products with even lower alcohol content, indicating a shift towards lower-alcohol beverages in its product lineup [1] Group 2: Industry Context - The move towards lower alcohol content is not unique to Luzhou Laojiao, as Wuliangye also plans to release a 29-degree Wuliangye product in the second half of the year [1]

Group 1: Market Trends - The beer market is thriving as consumer preferences shift from traditional spirits like baijiu to beer, especially among younger generations born in the 1990s and 2000s [1][6][8] - The overall sales of high-end baijiu have significantly declined, with some retailers reporting daily revenues dropping from tens of thousands to just over a hundred yuan [2][3] - The white liquor market is experiencing a downward trend, with production volume decreasing from 13.58 million kiloliters to 4.145 million kiloliters, a cumulative decline of 69.5% from 2016 to 2024 [3][4] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Consumers are increasingly favoring lower-priced baijiu options, with a notable shift towards self-consumption and family-oriented drinking rather than business-related consumption [3][4][5] - The most popular price range for baijiu is now between 100 to 300 yuan, reflecting a preference for affordable options among consumers [4][5] - The trend of home drinking has led to a rise in the popularity of "staple liquor," with consumers purchasing in bulk for personal use [7][8] Group 3: Industry Dynamics - The beer industry is seeing a robust growth trajectory, with major brands capturing approximately 70% of the market share, and companies like Yanjing Beer reporting a 94.3% increase in net profit [6][8] - The market for craft and specialty beers is expanding, driven by younger consumers' desire for diverse and innovative options [6][8] - The competitive landscape of the beer market is solidifying, with leading brands maintaining stable growth in sales, revenue, and net profit [6][8]