文 | 中关村储能产业技术联盟 澳 大 利 亚 联 邦 政 府 近 日 宣 布 对 其 标 志 性 的 " 更 便 宜 的 家 用 电 池 （ Cheaper Home Batteries）"计划进行重大扩容。 能源部长克里斯·鲍文承诺，将向该计划额外拨款约50 亿澳元（约合33.2亿美元）。 此次追加资金后，该计划在未来四年内的总预算将 从最初的23亿澳元激增至约72亿澳元 ，以应对市场爆发式的储能安装需求。 市场需求"爆表"，原预算面临耗尽 该补贴计划于今年7月正式启动，旨在为安装电池储能系统的家庭和企业提供约30%的费用 折扣。虽然原计划预算原本设计使用至2030年，但澳大利亚市场的热情远超政府预期。 数据显示，仅在过去的5个月内： 政策调整：引入分级补贴机制 该计划将继续支持容量不超过100千瓦时的电池安装。但是，根据相关法规的制定情况，对 电池的支持力度可能会有所调整。 这 意 味 着 政 府 不 再 对 所 有 电 池 按 统 一 标 准 发 钱 ， 而 是 采 用 了 类 似 " 个 人 所 得 税 " 的 阶 梯 式 （分段）计算法。电池越大，超出部分的补贴力度就越小。 核心逻辑：阶梯式递减（ ...

国证新能源电池指数聚焦储能产业链核心环节，储能系统占比约65%，有望深度受益于储能产业贝塔的 持续上行。储能电池ETF（159566）是目前全市场聚焦储能领域规模第一的ETF，可助力投资者一键布 局产业链龙头。 今日早盘市场走势分化，算力硬件方向震荡回调，光伏、储能等部分新能源赛道接力上涨，国证新能源 电池指数冲高回落后再次翻红，截至10:42上涨0.1%，成份股中，固德威涨超8%，英维克涨超4%，德 业股份、新风光涨超3%。跟踪该指数的储能电池ETF（159566）上周累计净流入超3.5亿元，产品最新 规模约35亿元、创下历史新高。 消息面上，11月国内储能共计完成招标10GW，同比增长116%，而北美10月储能装机达1.67GW，同比 增长122%，全球主要储能市场均延续了较高的景气度。 有分析表示，随着越来越多的省份出台容量电价与峰谷套利等政策，储能IRR收益率普遍达到 6%-12%，部分地区甚至更高，项目建设热情持续高涨；海外全球人工智能浪潮高速推进，随着数据中 心等基础设施建设越来越多，行业除缺芯外，当前也出现越发明显的缺电趋势。 ...

Core Insights - The report from Guosen Securities highlights several key areas of investment opportunity in the energy sector, particularly focusing on the growth of global energy storage demand, the expansion of AIDC power equipment industry, advancements in green methanol, adjustments in the photovoltaic supply side, recovery in the power grid equipment sector, and the impact of rising lithium battery material prices on profitability, as well as the progress in solid-state battery industrialization [1]. Group 1: Power Equipment Demand - The demand for power equipment is expected to grow rapidly in the AI era, driven by companies like Google Cloud, OpenAI, and TikTok planning to build data centers, which accelerates the infrastructure for AI [2]. - The global data center construction is accelerating, leading to an explosive growth in power demand for equipment in the AI sector [2]. Group 2: Energy Storage Demand - Global energy storage demand is continuously increasing, with a projected 404 GWh of installed capacity by 2026, representing a 38% year-on-year growth [3]. - Factors driving this demand include power supply shortages due to data centers in the U.S., unstable power grids in Europe, and supportive government policies in emerging markets [3]. Group 3: Lithium Battery Industry - The lithium battery supply chain is expected to see a reversal of the downtrend in prices, with significant recovery in prices and profitability anticipated by 2026 [4]. - New technologies such as steel-shell batteries, silicon anodes, and large energy storage cells are expected to achieve mass supply by 2026, while solid-state battery technology is accelerating towards industrialization [4]. Group 4: Wind Power Sector - The domestic wind power sector is projected to maintain a 10%-20% growth in new installations by 2026, supported by saturated orders and stable pricing [5]. - The profitability of wind turbine manufacturers is improving, with exports contributing to performance growth, indicating a synchronized recovery in both domestic and international markets [5]. Group 5: Photovoltaic Industry - The photovoltaic sector is undergoing supply-side adjustments, with a focus on cost reduction through new technologies such as low-silver and silver-free pastes, which are nearing mass production by 2026 [6]. - Companies in the photovoltaic industry are increasingly expanding into the semiconductor field, indicating a strategic shift in their business models [6].

此外，近期北京亿华通储能科技有限公司正式成立。亿华通相关高管表示，成立这家新公司旨在积极响 应国家构建新型电力系统的战略号召。该举措标志着亿华通在深耕氢燃料电池主业基础上，正式进军储 能技术领域。此次业务拓展也体现了亿华通构建"氢-储-用"协同能源解决方案的战略意图。 本文源自：智通财经网 智通财经获悉，亿华通(02402)盘中涨近6%，截至发稿，涨3.7%，报26.88港元，成交额2299.11万港 元。 消息面上，12月12日，亿华通宣布其100kW燃料电池发电机组已顺利交付澳大利亚客户，用于昆士兰州 布里斯班一处分布式发电项目。这是该公司第三款成熟发电产品，也是首次实现海外出口，标志着其氢 能发电解决方案迈出全球化第一步。 ...

Group 1: Power Equipment Industry - The demand for power equipment is rapidly increasing in the AI era, driven by the construction of data centers by companies like Google Cloud and OpenAI, leading to explosive growth in power equipment demand [1][29] - Global energy storage demand is expected to surge, with projections indicating that global energy storage installations will reach 404 GWh by 2026, a year-on-year increase of 38% [1][95] - Key companies to watch in the power equipment sector include Jinpan Technology, Xinte Electric, Igor, Hewei Electric, Shenghong Co., and Zhongheng Electric [1] Group 2: Lithium Battery Industry - The lithium battery supply chain is expected to see a reversal in the downward price trend, with significant price and profit recovery anticipated for most products by 2026 [2] - Solid-state battery technology is accelerating towards commercialization, with expectations for expanded production lines and increased testing by 2026, laying the groundwork for mass application from 2027 to 2030 [2][73] - Key companies in the lithium battery sector include CATL, EVE Energy, and Zhongxin Innovation [2][73] Group 3: Wind Power Industry - The domestic wind power sector is projected to maintain a 10%-20% growth in new installations in 2026, supported by saturated orders and stable pricing [2][58] - The profitability of wind turbine manufacturers is expected to recover, with export growth contributing to performance improvements [2][59] - Key companies to focus on in the wind power sector include Goldwind Technology, Sany Renewable Energy, and Oriental Cable [2][59] Group 4: Photovoltaic Industry - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing supply-side adjustments, with a focus on new technologies such as silver-free paste and perovskite, which are expected to improve cost efficiency [3][85] - The profitability of silicon material is anticipated to recover first, driven by supply-demand improvements [3][85] - Key companies to monitor in the photovoltaic sector include GCL-Poly Energy, Xinte Energy, and Tongwei Co. [3][85] Group 5: Energy Storage Industry - The energy storage market is experiencing significant growth, with domestic system tenders reaching 174.9 GWh from January to November, a year-on-year increase of approximately 165% [95] - In the U.S., large-scale energy storage installations are projected to reach 22.05 GW in 2026, a year-on-year increase of 28% [95][96] - Key companies in the energy storage sector include CATL, EVE Energy, and Sungrow Power Supply [95]

全球储能需求持续释放，国内市场化需求驱动储能订单呈现爆发式增长； 美国数据中心等负荷引起的电力供应短缺推动美国大储装机需求提升； 欧洲电网不稳定情况和现货峰谷价差拉大均带动推动储能需求；新兴市 场各国政府扶持政策频出，储能装机需求有望大幅度提升。我们预计 2026 年全球储能装机需求达到 404GWh，同比增长+38%，建议关注【宁 德时代】、【亿纬锂能】、【阳光电源】、【德业股份】、【禾望电气】、 【盛弘股份】。 锂电产业链价格下行趋势有望反转，固态电池产业化提速。锂电产业链经历 几年下行期后，2026 年多数产品价格、盈利有望显著回暖。新技术方面，钢 壳电池、硅负极、储能大电芯均有望在 2026 年实现批量供应；固态电池技 术产业化处于加速阶段，有望在 2026 年实现产线规模扩大以及装车测试增 加，为 2027-2030 年的批量化应用奠定基础。建议关注【宁德时代】、【亿 纬锂能】、【中创新航】、【珠海冠宇】、【天赐材料】、【恩捷股份】、 【当升科技】、【厦钨新能】。 风电主机厂盈利能力修复，出口贡献业绩增长。2026 年国内风电新增装机有 望保持 10%-20%增长，订单饱和价格具有良好支撑。主机盈利 ...

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 责任编辑：卢昱君 客户端 亿华通（02402）盘中涨近6%，截至发稿，股价上涨3.86%，现报26.92港元，成交额2316.05万港元。 12月12日，亿华通宣布其100kW燃料电池发电机组已顺利交付澳大利亚客户，用于昆士兰州布里斯班一 处分布式发电项目。这是该公司第三款成熟发电产品，也是首次实现海外出口，标志着其氢能发电解决 方案迈出全球化第一步。 此外，近期北京亿华通储能科技有限公司正式成立。亿华通相关高管表示，成立这家新公司旨在积极响 应国家构建新型电力系统的战略号召。该举措标志着亿华通在深耕氢燃料电池主业基础上，正式进军储 能技术领域。此次业务拓展也体现了亿华通构建"氢-储-用"协同能源解决方案的战略意图。 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 亿华通（02402）盘中涨近6%，截至发稿，股价上涨3.86%，现报26.92港元，成交额2316.05万港元。 12月12日，亿华通宣布其100kW燃料电池发电机组已顺利交付澳大利亚客户，用于昆士兰州布里斯班一 处分布式发电项目。这是该公司第三款成熟发电产品，也是首次实现 ...

向阳花开，乘势而上——2026 年 A 股年度策略 20251214 摘要 2025 年市场由流动性驱动，万得全 A 指数上涨 25%，估值提升贡献 20%，盈利支撑仅占 5%，主要受益于国家队支撑、险资流入及居民存 款转移等增量资金。 预计 2026 年 PPI 将回升，中性预期下年底或达-0.7 左右，与全 A 非金 融企业盈利增速和 ROE 一致，盈利增速有望达 10%左右。 PPI 弱回升情境下，沪深 300 指数 ERP 可能降至负一倍标准差，对应指 数涨幅约 10%，即从 4,000 点涨至 4,500 点左右。 微观流动性依赖外资和居民存款搬家，外资回流受限，需依赖银行理财 到期及收益率下行吸引居民资金入市，券商启动是关键。 券商板块对引导散户资金入市至关重要，券商股短期快速上涨通常伴随 市场中小单净流入量占比提升，预计 2026 年一季度可能重现。 2026 年一季度是全年确定性最强窗口，政策发力、经济预期乐观、流 动性宽松及事件催化，是布局净值最佳时机，下半年市场或震荡。 春季躁动行情或提前至 2025 年底至 2026 年 1 月上旬，成长风格胜率 高，关注软件、传媒中的游戏、机器人、创新 ...

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 来源：@华夏时报微博 华夏时报记者 刘诗萌 北京报道 继2025年之后，"反内卷"将继续成为下一年经济工作的重点之一。 12月10日至11日，中央经济工作会议在北京举行。会议提出，要坚持改革攻坚，增强高质量发展动力活 力，具体措施包括制定全国统一大市场建设条例，深入整治"内卷式"竞争；加紧清理拖欠企业账款；推 动平台企业和平台内经营者、劳动者共赢发展；拓展要素市场化改革试点；健全地方税体系等。 对比2024年年终中央经济工作会议在这一领域的表述会发现，推动全国统一大市场建设的表述从去年 的"制定全国统一大市场建设指引"增加到两条，位置从第三条上升到了第一条，国企改革、促进民营经 济的表述相应推后。对于平台经济的表述，也从整体上加强监管有了具体的指向，要推动三方共赢。此 外，对于财税体制的改革、增加地方自主财力的方法也有了明确的方向，即健全地方税体系。 中泰证券研究所政策组首席分析师杨畅向《华夏时报》记者表示，整治"内卷式"竞争的重点在于"深 入"。此次中央经济工作会议提出，要"制定全国统一大市场建设条例，深入整治'内卷式'竞争"，上述表 述意味着，中央对于整治 ...

Core Insights - The energy storage industry is transitioning from simple scale and price competition to a multi-dimensional competition focusing on technological innovation, globalization, integrated layout, and capital strength [2] - A new generation of young leaders is emerging in the energy storage sector, driving the integration of industry, capital, and technological innovation [2] - The "Top Ten Young Leaders in China's Lithium Battery Industry" initiative aims to identify outstanding young leaders under 40 who are forward-thinking and innovative [2] Company Achievements - DeYe股份 (605117.SH) has shifted its focus to the photovoltaic and energy storage sectors, achieving a global market share of over 50% in user-side energy storage inverters [6][7] - In 2025, DeYe股份 reported a revenue of 88.46 billion RMB and a profit of 23.47 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 10.36% and 4.79% respectively [6] - The company is pivoting towards the commercial energy storage sector, with a projected annual sales revenue of approximately 48.76 billion RMB from its new production line [7] Market Strategy - DeYe股份 has successfully targeted emerging markets such as South Africa and Brazil, with a 2023 inverter export value of 1.26 billion RMB to South Africa [7] - The company announced a strategic adjustment to focus on commercial energy storage, reallocating 6.51 billion RMB of unused funds towards this initiative [7][8] Global Expansion - DeYe股份 is planning to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global development strategy and brand influence [8] Industry Trends - 天合光能 (688599.SH) is transitioning from a photovoltaic manufacturer to a comprehensive energy solution provider, with a cumulative energy storage system shipment exceeding 10 GWh [11][12] - The company aims to achieve a storage shipment target of 8 GWh in 2025, with expectations to double this figure in 2026 [12][13] Performance Metrics - 瑞浦兰钧 (0666.HK) reported a revenue of 94.91 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 24.9% [17] - The company is focusing on high-quality development and has established a strong global presence with subsidiaries in Germany, the USA, and Indonesia [16][17] Financial Growth - 锦浪科技 (300763.SZ) saw a 313.51% year-on-year increase in energy storage revenue, reaching 7.93 billion RMB in the first half of 2025 [21] - The company is expected to achieve a total shipment of 250,000 to 300,000 units in 2025, reflecting a growth of over 180% [21] Technological Innovation - 华宝新能 has developed a new generation of DIY balcony energy storage systems and outdoor power supplies, with a revenue of 29.42 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a 37.95% increase [25] - The company holds 1,939 patents globally, indicating a strong commitment to technological innovation [25] Market Position - 鹏辉能源 (300438.SZ) achieved a significant turnaround in Q3 2025, with a revenue increase of 74.96% and a net profit increase of 977.24% [28] - The company is focusing on high-capacity energy storage cells and has made significant advancements in technology [29] Competitive Landscape - 国轩高科 (002074SZ) ranked seventh globally in power battery installation and eighth in energy storage cell shipments as of 2025 [32] - The company reported a revenue of 295.08 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 17.21% [32] Product Development - 禾迈股份 (688032.SH) launched a new series of low-voltage energy storage inverters and achieved a revenue of approximately 3 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a 67% increase [36] - The company is targeting significant growth in overseas markets, particularly in Europe, Latin America, and North America [36]