Summary of Conference Call on China's Semiconductor Production Equipment (SPE) Imports Industry Overview - **Industry**: Semiconductor Production Equipment (SPE) - **Key Focus**: China's SPE imports, particularly lithography equipment, and their implications for capacity expansion in tier-1 cities Key Points SPE Import Trends - China's SPE imports rebounded significantly in December 2025, increasing by **95% MoM** but down **9% YoY** from the previous year's high base due to geopolitical uncertainties [1] - Total SPE imports for Q4 2025 were **US$9.3 billion**, a **1% decrease** from the previous quarter, while annual imports for 2025 reached **US$34.7 billion**, marking a **3% increase** YoY [1] Lithography Equipment Insights - Lithography imports surged to **US$2.3 billion** in December 2025, representing a **59% increase YoY** and **222% increase MoM**, accounting for **55%** of total SPE imports [2][1] - The average cost per unit of lithography equipment imported was **US$75 million** for Shanghai, **US$95 million** for Beijing, and **US$46 million** for Guangdong, indicating strong demand in these regions [3] Regional Performance - The Netherlands emerged as the top exporter of SPE to China in December 2025, while imports from Japan continued to decline, down **38% YoY** [2] - Major cities like Shanghai, Beijing, and Guangdong showed robust lithography import values, suggesting accelerated capacity expansion by local fabs such as SMIC and Hua Hong [3] Capital Expenditure (Capex) Outlook - Evidence suggests solid capex demand in tier-1 cities, supported by local government plans to invest in the semiconductor and AI industries [3] - Expectations for China's WFE spending in 2026 could exceed previous estimates, with projected growth of **10% YoY** driven by advanced logic and memory capacity expansion projects [4] Investment Recommendations - Top investment picks include **NAURA** (rated Buy) and **ACMR Shanghai** [4] Risks and Opportunities - **Downside Risks**: Include potential worsening macroeconomic conditions, intensified geopolitical tensions, and slower-than-expected R&D progress [52] - **Upside Risks**: Include faster-than-expected recovery in end-demand and potential technological breakthroughs by China's WFE vendors [53] Government Initiatives - The 15th Five-Year Plans from major provinces emphasize commitments to enhancing semiconductor capabilities and AI development, which may positively impact WFE demand in the long term [51] Additional Insights - The strong performance of lithography imports indicates a shift in spending patterns, with lithography now accounting for a significantly higher percentage of total WFE spending than the historical norm of **20-25%** [2] - The average selling price (ASP) of lithography units reflects the high value and demand for advanced semiconductor manufacturing capabilities in China [3] This summary encapsulates the key insights and trends from the conference call regarding China's semiconductor production equipment imports and the broader implications for the industry.

｜2026年1月26日 星期一｜ NO.1中信建投：景气投资占优 坚守"科技+资源品"双主线 中信建投证券研报认为，经济数据显示，工业生产延续韧性，与此同时出口保持较快增长，但消费、投 资等内需指标仍显疲软。从宏观背景来看，当前宏观环境与2020~2021年赛道投资高峰期有颇多相似之 处。宏观需求偏弱+流动性宽松的组合，具备结构性景气的赛道投资占优。科技方面，AI半导体/新能源 仍是当前的景气核心，与此同时新兴热点景气催化不断，AI应用政策强力支持、商业化落地加速，太 空光伏全球产能规划超预期、技术突破打开万亿市场，创新药BD交易、临床突破与新药获批推动价值 兑现。资源品方面，目前有色金属行业2025年报业绩预告向好率最高。 NO.2华泰证券：A股市场逐步切换向绩优方向 光大证券研报认为，春节前市场将会保持震荡，难以保持稳定的趋势，这主要与春节之前投资者交易热 度有所下行，以及微观流动性短期趋紧有关。从历史情况来看，春节前20个交易日，主要指数上涨概率 不足50%。预计春节之后市场将会迎来新一轮上行动力，春节后20个交易日主要指数上行概率与平均涨 幅均较高。因此建议投资者近期以稳为主，但仍应持股过节。行业方面 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the reports emphasizes the resilience of industrial production and the rapid growth of exports, while domestic demand indicators such as consumption and investment remain weak [1][2][3] - The macroeconomic environment is compared to the investment peak period of 2020-2021, highlighting a combination of weak macro demand and loose liquidity, which favors structural investment in thriving sectors [1] - Key sectors identified for investment include technology, particularly AI semiconductors and new energy, as well as resource products, with a positive outlook for the non-ferrous metals industry by 2025 [1] Group 2 - The A-share market is gradually shifting towards high-performance stocks, with small-cap stocks showing significant gains amid ongoing sector rotation [2] - Despite high outflows from broad-based ETFs, there remains potential for market support from institutional investors and arbitrage opportunities, indicating continued market momentum [2] - Focus areas for investment include sectors with sustainable recovery signals, particularly in price increase chains, high-end manufacturing, and the AI sector, with recommendations to consider electric equipment, basic chemicals, and semiconductor equipment [2] Group 3 - The market is expected to remain volatile before the Spring Festival, with historical data indicating a less than 50% probability of major index gains in the 20 trading days leading up to the holiday [3] - Post-Spring Festival, a new upward momentum is anticipated, with higher probabilities of index gains in the following 20 trading days [3] - Recommended sectors for attention include electronics, electric equipment, and non-ferrous metals, with a focus on commercial aerospace as a theme [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Zhongwei Company experienced a 5.03% drop in stock price, closing at 349.06 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.935 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 0.87%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 218.562 billion CNY [1] - Zhongwei Semiconductor Equipment (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. was established on May 31, 2004, and went public on July 22, 2019. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of high-end semiconductor equipment [1] - The main business revenue composition of Zhongwei includes specialized equipment at 86.17%, spare parts at 12.84%, and others at 0.99% [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of the top ten holdings of funds, one fund under Puyin Ansheng has a significant position in Zhongwei Company. The Puyin Ansheng Sci-Tech Board Comprehensive Index Enhanced A (024083) reduced its holdings by 2,832 shares, maintaining 7,193 shares, which accounts for 1.43% of the fund's net value, ranking as the eighth largest holding [2] - The Puyin Ansheng Sci-Tech Board Comprehensive Index Enhanced A (024083) was established on June 17, 2025, with a latest scale of 54.4683 million CNY. Year-to-date, it has achieved a return of 12.42%, ranking 1,252 out of 5,579 in its category; since inception, it has returned 35.7% [2] - The fund manager of Puyin Ansheng Sci-Tech Board Comprehensive Index Enhanced A (024083) is Sun Chenjin, who has a cumulative tenure of 10 years and 316 days, managing total assets of 1.424 billion CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 70.08% and the worst being -27.66% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Shengmei Shanghai (688082.SH) has reported impressive revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026, highlighting its growth in the semiconductor equipment industry and its ambition to compete globally [1][5]. Group 1: Company Performance - Shengmei Shanghai expects its revenue for 2025 to be between 6.68 billion and 6.88 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.91% to 22.47% [1]. - The company anticipates its revenue for 2026 to range from 8.2 billion to 8.8 billion yuan [1][6]. - In 2024, Shengmei Shanghai's revenue reached 5.618 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.153 billion yuan [5]. Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Shengmei Shanghai holds an 8.0% global market share in the semiconductor cleaning equipment sector, ranking fourth worldwide [1]. - The company aims to invest 5 billion yuan in R&D over the next three years to achieve breakthroughs in new areas such as coating and electroplating [1][6]. - Shengmei Shanghai has successfully entered key global semiconductor markets, including Korea and Japan, securing orders from overseas wafer fabs [6]. Group 3: Historical Development - Founded in 2005 by Wang Hui, Shengmei Shanghai has evolved from a domestic startup to a leader in the semiconductor cleaning equipment industry [3][4]. - The company has developed innovative cleaning technologies, including SAPS and TEBO, which have enabled it to break into markets previously dominated by international competitors [3][5]. - Shengmei Shanghai went public on NASDAQ in 2017 and later listed on the STAR Market in 2021, marking its dual listing in both US and Chinese markets [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the proactive allocation of active equity public funds towards technology manufacturing, cyclical industries, service consumption, and non-bank financial sectors, while reducing exposure to media, computing, military, real estate, and pharmaceutical industries in Q4 2025 [9][10][12] - The report highlights a significant increase in the allocation to cyclical industries, with the proportion of holdings in global pricing metals rising by 2.1 percentage points to 8.0%, marking a historical high, and the configuration coefficients for basic chemicals, automobiles, and construction materials also showing notable increases [9][10] - The report indicates that the AI sector remains a focal point for public fund holdings, with the communication sector's allocation reaching a historical high of 11.1%, and the overall TMT sector holding at 38%, despite a slight decrease from the previous quarter [11][12] Group 2 - The report discusses the performance of active equity public funds, noting a decrease in overall positions but an increase in the median net value growth of 25.8% for 2025, with a significant recovery in the technology sector [13][14] - The report outlines the growth of passive public funds, with the total scale of stock ETFs reaching nearly 3.8 trillion yuan in Q4 2025, marking a new high and surpassing the market value share of active equity public funds [14][15] - The report emphasizes the positive outlook for sectors with clear industrial trends and supportive policies, such as semiconductors, energy storage, and innovative pharmaceuticals, which are reflected in the holdings of public funds [15][16] Group 3 - The report notes that the company Huafeng Measurement Control (688200) has released an earnings forecast for 2025, expecting revenue of 1.275 to 1.413 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.87% to 56.11%, and a net profit of 489 to 594 million yuan, reflecting a strong performance exceeding market expectations [30][31] - The report highlights that the company is positioned to benefit from the rapid growth in semiconductor equipment demand driven by AI, with global sales of semiconductor manufacturing equipment projected to reach 133 billion USD in 2025, a 13.7% increase [30][31] - The report indicates that Zhongkong Technology (688777) has announced a stock incentive plan, with a target for AI business revenue exceeding expectations, and anticipates significant growth in its product lines focused on AI and high-performance computing [32][33]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a divergence in capital sentiment last week, with small-cap stocks leading in gains, and industry rotation continuing. The focus is on the elasticity of capital and the direction of future rotations [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Since mid-January, the outflow of capital from broad-based ETFs has been relatively high, but there are still inflows from insurance funds and arbitrage demands from investors, indicating ongoing market momentum [1] - The rotation direction may gradually shift from thematic investments to sectors with performance validation, as historically, industries with sustained recovery capabilities during earnings forecast disclosures tend to yield excess returns [1] Group 2: Sector Focus - Current recovery signals are primarily concentrated in price increase chains, high-end manufacturing, and AI-related sectors. Specific attention is recommended for power equipment, basic chemicals, and semiconductor equipment, with a moderate increase in allocation towards cyclical dividends [1]

Group 1 - Tencent and Baidu are distributing significant cash rewards during the Spring Festival, with Tencent offering 1 billion yuan in cash red envelopes and Baidu providing 500 million yuan in cash rewards through its app [2] - Apple has initiated a major discount on the iPhone Air 256GB model, reducing the price from 7999 yuan to 5499 yuan, marking the largest price drop for this model in history [2] - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang is visiting China to deepen cooperation in AI technology, while the company faces production halts for certain components [3] Group 2 - Xiaomi's CEO Lei Jun announced that the new generation of Xiaomi SU7 is expected to have sample cars available before the Spring Festival [5] - NIO's subsidiary has achieved 91.36% progress in its battery doubling plan, with over 7309 new batteries invested as of January 24 [5] - Hunan Gold plans to acquire 100% equity of two companies to enhance its competitiveness in the precious metals refining and processing sector [5] Group 3 - Microsoft is addressing issues with Windows 11 that have affected basic applications, while also expanding its gaming strategy to include Xbox games on PS5 and Switch [8] - Amazon's low Earth orbit satellites are facing criticism for their brightness affecting astronomical observations, and the company is experiencing a decline in order volume [8] - The U.S. government plans to invest 1.6 billion USD in a rare earth company to secure critical mineral supplies, acquiring a 10% stake [8] Group 4 - Samsung Electronics plans to increase NAND flash supply prices by 100% in Q1 2026, reflecting ongoing tensions in the semiconductor market [10] - Toyota maintains its leading position in the Thai automotive market while facing challenges in electric vehicle transitions in China [10] - SK Hynix aims to launch high bandwidth memory samples by 2026 to meet the demands of AI and data center high-performance computing [10] Group 5 - Volkswagen's CEO stated that plans to build an Audi factory in the U.S. are contingent on tariff reductions, while its joint venture plans to launch 13 new models by 2026 [12] - BMW is implementing a second official price adjustment in 2026, with some models seeing price reductions exceeding 60,000 yuan [12] - LVMH is increasing investments in the beauty sector to strengthen its position in the high-end beauty market [12]

Group 1 - The report suggests a strategic bullish outlook with tactical flexibility, emphasizing the importance of performance fundamentals in investment decisions [4][7][13] - It identifies a favorable investment window from mid-December 2025 to early March 2026, while cautioning against rapid upward trends in indices [4][7] - Key sectors to watch include commercial aerospace, satellite industries, AI applications, and sectors driven by price increases such as non-ferrous metals and chemicals [4][13] Group 2 - Economic growth is projected at 5.0% for 2025, with a focus on high-quality development and a potential GDP growth target of around 5% for 2026 [7][10] - The real estate market is still in a deep adjustment phase, with new housing sales expected to decline by 8.7% in 2025, indicating a need for careful observation of stabilization points [8][9] - Fiscal policy is expected to maintain a "only increase, not decrease" approach, with significant spending in key areas to support economic growth [10] Group 3 - The public fund industry is anticipated to solidify its high-quality development framework, with new guidelines enhancing the accountability of performance benchmarks for funds [11] - Precious metals are expected to retain investment value due to increasing global instability and ongoing central bank gold purchases, with gold prices nearing $5,000 per ounce [12][13] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring industry-specific data, such as cement price indices and industrial production growth rates, to gauge market trends [19][20]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a volatile upward trend, with significant recovery in profitability, while major indices show mixed performance and increasing market style differentiation [1][11]. Group 1: Market Trends - The recent market has shown a high trading volume and a clear recovery in profitability, with small-cap indices like the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 outperforming large-cap indices such as the SSE 50 and CSI 300 [1][11]. - The implementation of counter-cyclical adjustment policies is expected to influence the spring market dynamics, with a focus on structural differentiation continuing [1][11]. Group 2: Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities indicates that market confidence is steadily recovering, suggesting that sectors with low valuations and growth potential, particularly in the consumer chain, are prime for allocation from now until March [1][12]. - Industrial and thematic ETFs are seeing positive subscriptions despite large-scale redemptions in broad-based ETFs, indicating a resilient market structure [3][13]. Group 3: Performance Predictions - Historical data suggests that February is one of the months with the highest win rates for major indices, with expectations for upward market elasticity as liquidity remains abundant [2][12]. - The current spring market is anticipated to have further room for development, with short-term fluctuations providing good investment opportunities [3][14]. Group 4: Sector Focus - Key sectors for investment include chemicals, non-ferrous metals, new energy, and power equipment, with a focus on high-growth areas such as semiconductor equipment and materials [1][12][20]. - The performance of high-growth sectors like AI, commercial aerospace, and other technology-driven industries is expected to continue, with potential for expansion into other high-growth areas [19][20]. Group 5: Earnings Outlook - As of January 23, over 900 listed companies have disclosed earnings forecasts, with a 37.7% positive forecast rate, indicating a potential acceleration in corporate profit recovery [5][15]. - The median year-on-year growth rate for total A-share net profit is projected to reach 17.8% for 2025, with significant growth expected in sectors like computing, communication, lithium batteries, and energy storage [5][15].