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上海全球金融科技中心展区:生态构建、平台引领与数智未来
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-09-15 06:40
作为年度备受瞩目的科技盛会,主题为"重塑创新增长"的2025外滩大会9月10日至13日在上海黄浦世博 园区举行。为全球科技、金融和产业界搭建起一个开放对话平台,并展现AI时代全球科技创新趋势。 今年的外滩大会设置了10000平米科技展览、5000平米科技集市,吸引了近200家企业参展。科技展区的 三大板块:"探索智能上限"、"深入产业实践"、"全球创新协作"分别展示了从LLM到通用人工智能等前 沿技术布局、AI与健康出行等行业的结合应用,以及全球金融科技领域创新示范应用。 上海全球金融科技中心展区围绕《上海高质量推进全球金融科技中心建设行动方案》主题展开,展示 了"行动方案"发布以来上海在金融科技方面取得的一系列成果,全面呈现了上海在金融科技领域的创新 实践、技术突破和应用场景,展示了上海金融科技良好的发展环境和政策支持。 上海证券交易所、国泰海通证券股份有限公司、上海浦东发展银行股份有限公司、中国工商银行股份有 限公司、中国太平洋保险(集团)股份有限公司、上海库帕思科技有限公司、上海财跃星辰智能科技有 限公司、上海商汤智能科技有限公司、上海智谱寰宇科技有限公司、无限光年(上海)技术有限公司、 上海临港(60 ...
瑞银:升中国财险(02328)目标价至21.8港元 新能源车保费上升推动盈利能力
智通财经网· 2025-09-15 06:36
智通财经APP获悉,瑞银发布研报称,汽车制造商附属保险公司的竞争威胁有限,相信凭借强大的定价 和理赔能力,中国财险(02328)将成为受益者,预计2025年比同行更快实现转机。因此,瑞银将中国财 险2025至2029年净利润预测分别上调3%至8%,目标价从20.7港元上调至21.8港元;重申"买入"评级。 瑞银预测2024年至2030年,内地新能源车保费年均复合增长率(CAGR)为27%,达到5,920亿人民币,主 要由车队规模推动。2024年新能源车行业综合成本率(CoR)为107%,预计2027年将实现转机。因此,瑞 银预测到2030年,新能源车承保利润将达到170亿人民币。 ...
资本跨市场轮动如何影响债券市场流动性?
Southwest Securities· 2025-09-15 05:41
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - In the context of unchanged risk preferences, deposit "migration" follows a sequence from pure - bond wealth management products and money market funds to bond funds and equity funds. Pure - bond wealth management products are the main recipients of migrated deposits, followed by money market funds. Bond - type funds have a complex attractiveness structure, and equity funds are mostly outside the deposit migration path. As the equity market strengthens, the order of deposit outflow choices and the bank - to - bank liquidity structure change. The effectiveness of quantity - based indicators such as excess reserves decreases, while the risk of short - term shock to inter - bank liquidity increases, but the central bank's attitude towards liquidity is supportive [1][34][44]. Summary According to the Table of Contents 1 Capital Cross - market Rotation and Its Impact on Bond Market Liquidity 1.1 Cost - effectiveness as an Important Consideration for Deposit "Migration" - Due to the continuous decline in deposit interest rates, both household and corporate deposits are migrating. Households are affected by the decline in deposit interest rates, while enterprises are more affected by the ban on manual interest - supplement policies. Insurance products, pure - bond wealth management products, and bond funds have attracted migrated funds due to their yield advantages [12][15][16]. 1.2 Risk Preferences May Disturb the Direction of Deposit "Migration" - When risk preferences are stable, pure - bond wealth management products have the strongest ability to absorb migrated deposits, with a correlation coefficient of 0.87 between the spread of their yields over deposits and the difference between their scale growth rate and deposit growth rate. Money market funds rank second with a correlation of 0.64. Bond - type funds have a complex attractiveness, and equity funds are less involved in deposit migration. As the equity market strengthens, the order of deposit outflow changes, and the bank - to - bank liquidity structure becomes more complex [1][23][34]. 2 Important Matters - In August 2025, CPI was flat month - on - month and decreased by 0.4% year - on - year; PPI was flat month - on - month and decreased by 2.9% year - on - year. In August, M1 growth continued to pick up, and government bonds were the main support for social financing. The central bank will conduct a 6 - month 6000 - billion - yuan buy - out reverse repurchase operation on September 15, 2025 [55][56][59]. 3 Money Market 3.1 Open - market Operations and Fund Interest Rate Trends - From September 8 to 12, 2025, the central bank net - injected 1961 billion yuan through 7 - day reverse repurchase operations. It is expected that 13845 billion yuan of base money will be withdrawn from September 15 to 19. Bank - to - bank liquidity tightened marginally last week, and DR001 first rose and then fell [61][67]. 3.2 Certificate of Deposit Interest Rate Trends and Repurchase Transaction Volume - In the primary market, commercial banks' inter - bank certificates of deposit had a net financing scale of - 4680.1 billion yuan last week. The issuance scale of joint - stock banks was the largest, but they also had a net financing deficit. The issuance interest rate of certificates of deposit increased compared with the previous week. In the secondary market, the yields of certificates of deposit at all tenors increased due to the marginal tightening of the money market [70][74][79]. 4 Bond Market - In the primary market, the main supply of interest - rate bonds last week was still treasury bonds, with a total issuance scale of 5663.7 billion yuan and a net financing scale of 4155.9 billion yuan. The net financing rhythm of local government bonds from January to August was faster than that of treasury bonds. As of September 12, the cumulative net financing scale of special refinancing bonds in 2025 was 1.97 trillion yuan. In the secondary market, the bond market was in a weak mood last week, with the curve becoming steeper. The daily average turnover rate of active bonds increased, and the liquidity premium of 10 - year treasury bonds widened [83][90][95]. 5 Institutional Behavior Tracking - Last week, the 20 - day moving average of the daily trading volume of inter - bank pledged repurchase was 7.31 trillion yuan, and the average leverage trading scale was about 7.49 trillion yuan. In the cash bond market, state - owned banks increased their purchases of treasury bonds with a maturity of less than 5 years, rural commercial banks turned from selling to buying, insurance companies bought long - term treasury bonds and local bonds, while securities firms and funds sold bonds. In July 2025, the leverage ratio of all institutions in the inter - bank market decreased seasonally [111][119][122].
大行评级|高盛:上调新华保险目标价至29港元 上调今年净利润预测
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-15 05:16
高盛上调对新华保险今年净利润预测25%,反映上半年业绩超预期及第三季至今的股市收益。考虑到债 券收益率反弹带来略高投资收益,该行上调对新华保险明年及后年净利润预测6%至7%。该行亦将公司 今年至2027年新业务价值预测上调8%至10%,基于新保费销售增加,部分被因银保渠道销售贡献增加 导致利润率预测下降所抵销。该行对新华保险目标价由26.5港元上调至29港元,维持"沽售"评级。 ...
不对劲!A股可能要加速了?准备好麻袋了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 05:11
三大指数,今日又上涨了,创业板的主角换成电池,不停的创新高。成交量的问题也有限,港股也反弹了,降息预期对港股是直接的利好。 不出意外,大盘指数会迎来快速上涨。无论降息与否,都需要加速冲顶了。大家期待行情重演"924行情",如果预期一致了,可能就不会出现了。 A股可能要加速了? 最后总结 创业板的内部分化了,上证指数好像要承接上涨。一个在加速,一个在蓄势。接下来的行情必须指望主板的拉升了,否则双创也走不远了,行情也就结束 了。 目前可以拉升主板的只有银行、白酒、证券、保险、煤炭、电力、地产等等权重行业了。这是主板的上涨逻辑,与科技股的关系有限,科技股是双创的家 事,不是主板的事情。 科技股会不会涨,会!是哪些筹码继续上涨没有人知道。你追的任何筹码都有可能涨不动了,你卖掉的任何筹码都可能补涨,不过你没追涨之前它们就继续 涨,你没卖之前它们就继续跌…… 本轮牛市,根本不能按照常规的思维去理解,与历史上面的都不同。是结构性行情,永远只有局部牛市,牛初的"银行牛"让多少人接盘了? 准备好麻袋了 接下来,我们持有的主板权重指数可能会补涨,我们准备吃肉并减仓就行了。小凡依旧看好港股,降息直接利好港股,所以仓位也是港股同时配 ...
非银周观点:市场交易美联储降息,关注贸易摩擦影响-20250915
Great Wall Securities· 2025-09-15 05:06
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [3][22]. Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that macro narratives, disappointing domestic economic data for July, the Federal Reserve's open stance on interest rate cuts, and abundant market liquidity are key factors driving market strength. The report anticipates that after fluctuations, non-bank financials, represented by brokerages, are likely to show an upward trend [1][9]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on the strengthening trends in the brokerage and financial IT sectors, recommending specific stocks such as Guolian Minsheng and those with valuation expansion potential like Dongfang Securities and Huatai Securities [1][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Main Points - The report covers the performance of the CSI 300 index at 4522 points (up 1.38%), the insurance index at 1288.79 points (down 0.7%), and the brokerage index at 7251.34 points (up 0.66%) for the week of September 8-12, 2025 [7]. - The report notes that the U.S. CPI for August met expectations, but initial jobless claims data was unexpectedly poor, reinforcing expectations for three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve before the end of the year [7][8]. 2. Key Investment Portfolio 2.1 Insurance Sector - The insurance sector is viewed as having attractive valuation recovery potential, with specific recommendations for stocks such as China Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, and New China Life Insurance [12]. 2.2 Brokerage Sector - The report highlights the potential of mid-sized securities firms benefiting from innovation and market conditions, recommending stocks like Dongfang Wealth and Zhejiang Securities. It also suggests focusing on leading firms with diversified revenue structures such as Huatai Securities and China Galaxy Securities [13].
瑞银:上调中国财险目标价至21.8港元
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-09-15 04:51
瑞银预测,中国内地新能源车保费将从2024年至2030年以27%的年复合增长率增长,主要受车队规模扩 大驱动。尽管2024年行业综合成本率预计为107%,但瑞银预计将在2027年实现扭转。考虑到汽车制造 商附属保险公司的竞争威胁有限,瑞银看好中国财险,认为其强大的定价和理赔能力将使其成为受益 者,并预计中国财险将比同行更快于2025年实现盈利转机。因此,瑞银上调了中国财险2025年至2029年 的净利润预测3%至8%,并将目标价从20.7港元上调至21.8港元,重申"买入"评级。 ...
坚守“金融为民”初心,中信保诚人寿扎实推进2025年金融教育宣传周活动
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-09-15 04:37
金秋时节,矢志笃行。为深入贯彻金融工作的政治性与人民性要求,全面提升公众金融素养,切实保障 金融消费者权益,根据国家金融监督管理总局、中国人民银行及中国证监会的统一部署,中信保诚人寿 将于2025年9月15日至21日全面启动"2025年金融教育宣传周"活动。 此外,针对保险市场需求变化与客户多元化诉求,中信保诚人寿不断丰富产品供给体系:一方面推出医 疗、养老等新型保险产品;另一方面升级现有产品服务,精准满足客户在健康保障、养老规划、财富管 理与传承等领域的差异化需求,让客户切实感受到保单的长期价值与保障力量。 金融为民办实事,全流程服务提质效 "为民办实事"是中信保诚人寿始终坚守的服务初心。在本次金融教育宣传周期间,公司将"核保优享政 策""保全升级提速""服务聆听行动"等十大专项举措贯穿业务全流程,以高效、智能、温暖的服务标 准,为客户缔造优质体验!通过智能化升级,核保方面实现"核保优享提速"——"核保百事通"助手与投 保系统优化,在严格把控风险的基础上,对特定产品、优质客户推出一系列核保优享方案,如提升免体 检、免财务资料额度、简化健康告知问卷等便利;保全服务方面,推出失效保单特别免息复效活动,减 轻客户 ...
保险科技如何终结农业保险欺诈?从技术破局到实战案例全解析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 04:26
A6工作室-魏然 陪伴你的第4466天 当农业保险成为乡村振兴的 "稳定器",欺诈却像蛀虫悄悄侵蚀着这份保障。国际保险监督官协会数据显示,全球每年保险欺诈额占总赔付的 20%-30%, 仅农业领域就造成数百亿损失。 更棘手的是,传统查勘依赖人工跑腿、抽样定损,基层干部代填资料成常态,虚假投保、夸大损失等乱象频发。但如 今,区块链、卫星遥感、AI 定损等技术正在改写这一局面,让农业保险欺诈无所遁形。 来源 | 粉丝投稿 推荐 | A6工作室 保险科技的介入,正在重构农业保险的信任体系。通过全流程数字化改造,欺诈风险从源头被遏制。 (一)产品设计:用数据消除 "模糊地带" 指数保险借助卫星遥感和气象大数据,让赔付标准 "看得见、算得清"。比如某省的小麦种植险,将卫星监测的亩产量作为理赔依据,当实际产量低于约 定指数,系统自动触发赔付,无需人工查勘。这种模式下,农户无法虚报损失,保险公司也省去了 80% 的查勘成本。 (二)承保核保:区块链锁住真实信息 一、农业保险欺诈:触目惊心的行业痛点 农业保险欺诈早已形成完整链条,从产品设计到理赔结算,每个环节都可能出现漏洞。 在产品端,由于农业数据分散,部分保险产品费率 " ...
金华监管分局同意平安产险武义支公司变更营业场所
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-15 04:12
二、中国平安财产保险股份有限公司应按照有关规定及时办理变更及许可证换领事宜。 一、同意中国平安财产保险股份有限公司武义支公司将营业场所变更为:浙江省金华市武义县城白洋街 道武阳东路1号综合大楼4层西南面。 2025年9月11日,国家金融监督管理总局金华监管分局发布批复称,《中国平安财产保险股份有限公司 浙江分公司关于变更武义支公司营业场所的请示》(平保产浙分发〔2025〕34号)材料收悉。经审核, 现批复如下: ...