这次的牛市，并不是雨露均沾，鸡犬升天的牛市，而是冰火两重天的牛市。一方面，芯片、 光模块、创新药、机器人、存储、固态电池等科技概念轮番上阵，涨幅惊人，另一方面，银 行、保险、地产、消费等传统版块，被吸得连血都快空了。很多传统意义上的白马优质股， 股价也是大幅跑输市场。"老登"们一边高呼看不懂，一边对科技嗤之以鼻。 我的理解是，世界经济是以创新周期为单位，脉冲式前进的，并不是一条直线的斜率向上。 一波科技红利，催生一波基础设施的变化，创造出新的需求，然后基于这些基础设施的应用 再慢慢开花结果。这个周期是以20年为单位的。 上一波世界级的科技红利，来自于互联网和移动互联网。基础设施来自于电信运营商（零几 年的移动、联通，在就业市场的受追捧程度，经历过那个时代的人都懂），来自于手机厂商 （基本上造就了苹果、三星、小米、OV等世界级巨头）。然后应用端，google、亚马逊、阿 里、腾讯、百度、字节等世界级的平台型公司，也是这一波科技红利的直接结果。 现在世界进入了新的一波AI主导的科技革命，而且比上一次还要大，这可能是蒸汽机以来人类 最伟大的技术革命，甚至某种程度上可能真的实现共产主义愿景里的物质极大丰富，大家按 需 ...

以前听炒股的老登们吹牛逼，总说牛市最讲究 "雨露均沾"，轮动起来才叫热闹 瞅瞅当下的 A 股，芯片、光模块、创新药、机器人、存储、固态电池这几个主儿跟 走秀似的，在舞台中央来回蹦跶，涨得让人怀疑人生。可另一边呢？传统板块被吸 得连血都快空了，跌得比正经熊市还惨，这哪是轮动，分明是 "精准抽血"！ 不是说牛市最大的特征是轮动么？？？ https://www.jisilu.cn/question/513775 集思录(www.jisilu.cn)是一个以数据为本的投资理财社区，专注于新股、可转债、债券、封闭 基金等数据服务。我们的理念是在保证本金安全的前提下，使资产获得稳健增长。 快捷查询： 搜索公众号"jisilu8"添加我们 当年没离职的同事，都过得怎么样了 https://www.jisilu.cn/question/513858 关注集思录微信 特别提示 本文不构成任何投资建议，仅为信息分享。任何因本文导致的投资行为发生的亏损，本公众号 及作者概不承担任何责任。 真心请教，不工作以后社保和医保还要不要交？ https://www.jisilu.cn/question/513759 如何从更宏观层面理解目前 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant price increases in various storage products, particularly DRAM and NAND Flash, driven by rising demand from the AI sector and supply constraints from manufacturers [3][4][5]. Price Increases in Storage Products - DDR4 prices have more than doubled since the beginning of the year, with some products increasing by over five times due to limited market supply [3][4]. - DDR5 prices have also been rising, with the average price for DDR5 16G (4800/5600) increasing from $6.02 to $7.349 within a month [4][7]. - NAND Flash prices have seen a nearly 10% increase since early September, with enterprise and mobile markets being significantly affected [4][11]. Market Demand and Supply Dynamics - Despite the reduction in production of LPDDR4X, demand has surged, with contract prices increasing by 24% to 36% in Q3 [6][9]. - Major manufacturers are shifting production capacity towards higher-margin products like HBM and DDR5, leading to tighter supply for older technologies [6][7]. - The demand for DDR5 is expected to remain strong as cloud service providers prepare for future infrastructure needs, although supply remains uncertain due to prioritization of HBM production [7][9]. Data Center Storage Solutions - The transition from HDD to SSD in data centers is accelerating due to HDD shortages, with SSDs being favored for their efficiency and lower operational costs in AI applications [11][12]. - The demand for high-capacity SSDs is expected to rise, with predictions indicating that SSDs will account for 20% of AI server storage by 2028 [12][13]. Impact on End-User Products - The rising costs of storage components are putting pressure on manufacturers of consumer electronics, with companies like Xiaomi reporting declines in profit margins due to increased memory prices [16][17]. - Mid-range smartphones are particularly affected by the reliance on LPDDR4X, and manufacturers are exploring alternative suppliers and adjusting product specifications to manage costs [17][20]. Manufacturer Strategies - Companies are increasing inventory and diversifying supplier bases to mitigate the impact of rising prices on production costs [19][20]. - Some manufacturers are also planning to gradually transition to DDR5, although this process is contingent on compatibility with existing hardware [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the growing importance of automotive storage solutions driven by the rise of smart vehicles and advanced technologies, highlighting a shift from traditional storage applications to more complex requirements in the automotive sector [1][3][5]. Group 1: Evolution of Automotive Storage - Historically, automotive storage was primarily focused on basic functionalities such as radio and navigation systems, but now it has evolved to support advanced features like voice interaction and smart displays, necessitating higher read performance [5][6]. - The demand for storage in smart driving applications, such as ADAS, has increased due to the need for real-time data storage and analysis, leading to a shift towards storage solutions that can handle both intensive read and write operations [6][7]. - The transition from distributed to centralized computing architectures in vehicles is changing the storage landscape, presenting new challenges in logical partition management and system compatibility [6][7]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - The automotive storage market is moving towards faster and more versatile interfaces, with UFS and NVMe/PCIe becoming more prevalent, while e.MMC remains dominant for now [6][7]. - New standards like UFS 4.1 are enhancing software update efficiency and system responsiveness, indicating a trend towards more integrated and capable storage solutions [7][9]. - Flash storage is being widely applied across various automotive systems, including communication, entertainment, and monitoring, underscoring its critical role in modern vehicles [7][9]. Group 3: SanDisk's Innovations - SanDisk leverages its expertise in NAND flash technology to offer a comprehensive range of automotive-grade storage products, including SD cards, e.MMC, UFS, and NVMe SSDs, catering to diverse automotive applications [9][10]. - The iNAND AT EU752 UFS 4.1 embedded flash drive is designed for next-generation connected vehicles, featuring high sequential read speeds of up to 4,300 MB/s and write speeds of 4,100 MB/s, enhancing AI system performance [10][12]. - SanDisk's AT EN610 product is tailored for high-performance centralized computing architectures, offering flexible storage configurations and high durability, suitable for demanding automotive environments [12][13]. Group 4: Commitment to the Chinese Market - SanDisk recognizes the strategic importance of the Chinese market and aims to provide innovative storage solutions tailored to local needs, supporting the high-quality development of the Chinese automotive industry [15][16]. - The company is enhancing collaboration with local automakers and suppliers to deliver high-performance, reliable automotive-grade embedded storage products for key applications [15][16].

Core Viewpoint - The company is focused on expanding its operations in the storage sector, particularly through its Changsha storage industrial park, while maintaining its headquarters in Beijing [2] Group 1: Company Strategy - The company plans to continue utilizing its Beijing platform as the headquarters while accelerating business development in Changsha [2] - The Changsha storage industrial park will gradually take on the main production responsibilities, ensuring production capacity and delivery efficiency to meet future sales demands [2] Group 2: Collaboration and Partnerships - There are inquiries about potential collaboration with local state-owned assets in Changsha to explore business expansion opportunities [2] - The company has been recognized for its achievements in storage technology research and product manufacturing, raising questions about possible OEM partnerships with Huawei in the flash memory sector to enhance cooperation [2]

（一）重要市场新闻 点评：存储器市场此轮涨价潮的背后，主要受云端服务提供商（CSP）需求推动。云服务供应商在2025 财年资本支出提高180亿美元，直接推高了AI领域对存储的需求。美光将在9月23日发布的2025财年第 四季度财报中给出远超市场预期的业绩指引。存储行业的持续回升主要由产能受限和超出预期的需求推 动。多家超大规模云厂商对NAND企业级固态硬盘的大额追加订单，正将NAND供给从消费市场转向企 业市场。CFM闪存市场指出，DRAM价格指数半年内上涨约72%，预计四季度企业级存储价格将上 涨。概念股包括同有科技、力源信息、朗科科技等。 2、9月24日，数字人民币国际运营中心业务平台推介会在上海举行，向各相关机构集中宣传介绍数字人 民币跨境数字支付平台、数字人民币区块链服务平台及数字资产平台功能，标志着数字人民币国际运营 中心正式运营。中国人民银行副行长陆磊表示，中国人民银行致力于为改善全球跨境支付体系提供开 放、包容和创新的解决方案，提出的"无损、合规和互通"三原则已成为法定数字货币跨境基础设施建设 的基本准则，目前已初步构建数字人民币跨境金融基础设施体系。据介绍，数字人民币跨境数字支付平 台探索运用 ...

Market News - US stock indices collectively declined, with the Dow Jones down 0.38%, Nasdaq down 0.5%, and S&P 500 down 0.5%, marking the third consecutive trading day of decline [1] - Oracle fell over 5%, Tesla dropped over 4%, and Meta decreased over 1%, while Intel surged nearly 9% and Apple rose over 1% [1] - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 0.33% at $3780.5 per ounce and COMEX silver futures at $45.47 per ounce [1] - International oil prices fluctuated slightly, with WTI crude oil up 0.35% at $65.22 per barrel and Brent crude oil up 0.42% at $68.75 per barrel [1] - European stock indices closed slightly lower, with Germany's DAX down 0.56%, France's CAC40 down 0.41%, and the UK's FTSE 100 down 0.39% [1] Industry Insights - Changjiang Storage Technology Holdings Co., Ltd. completed its shareholding reform, with a valuation exceeding 160 billion yuan, and has established a collaborative industrial ecosystem covering various sectors [2] - The current price surge in the memory market is driven by demand from cloud service providers, with a projected increase in capital expenditure by $18 billion for the 2025 fiscal year, boosting AI-related storage needs [2] - The DRAM price index has risen approximately 72% in the past six months, with expectations for enterprise-level storage prices to increase in Q4 [2] - The digital RMB international operation center has officially launched, aiming to improve the global cross-border payment system, with a projected global retail cross-border payment market size of $39.9 trillion by 2024 [3] - The largest humanoid robot training facility in China has opened in Beijing, expected to accelerate the evolution of humanoid robots and support the development of a trillion-dollar industry [4][5] - The humanoid robot industry is anticipated to enter a critical growth phase by 2025, with significant increases in domestic robot shipments expected [5]

Group 1: Digital Currency and Technology - The Digital Renminbi International Operation Center has officially commenced operations in Shanghai, launching three major business platforms: cross-border digital payment, blockchain services, and digital asset services [1] - The global AI investment is projected to grow from $315.9 billion in 2024 to $1,261.9 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31.9% [3] - The generative AI market is expected to reach $607.1 billion by 2029, accounting for 48.1% of the total AI market investment [3] Group 2: Industry Developments and Challenges - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission emphasizes the need to enhance the management of national key laboratories and transform central enterprises into strategic scientific forces [2] - The copper smelting industry is facing challenges due to intense competition, leading to low processing fees for copper concentrate, which is detrimental to national and industry interests [4] - The storage industry, particularly NAND, is expected to face significant shortages in the coming year, urging stakeholders to prepare accordingly [10] Group 3: Robotics and AI Integration - The largest humanoid robot training facility in China has been inaugurated in Beijing, with an annual data output exceeding 6 million entries, marking a significant step for the humanoid robot industry [5] - The integration of AI technology in broadcasting is advancing, with 97% of provincial television stations in China already utilizing AI to enhance content creation and distribution [9] - Intelligent robots are anticipated to develop concurrently in entertainment and practical applications, becoming increasingly integrated into daily life [11] Group 4: Service Export Growth - China's service export is projected to increase from $219.1 billion in 2014 to $445.9 billion in 2024, with an average annual growth rate of 7.3%, particularly in high-tech and high-value-added services [6]

德明利在互动平台表示，上市以来公司持续拓展产品矩阵，持续推出包括嵌入式存储、企业级存储等存 储模组新品，部分新产品已实现量产并在关键客户顺利导入。公司结合业务发展规划与市场需求情况， 加大PCIe SSD相关投入，客户端已进入多家相关知名厂商供应链并稳定出货。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a strong trend with significant capital concentration towards core leading companies in industries with clear trends and solid fundamentals, despite over 3,800 stocks declining [1] Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market continues to show strength, with the ChiNext Index breaking through 3200 points to reach a new high [1] - Leading stock Ningde Times saw its share price exceed 400 yuan, with a market capitalization reaching 1.84 trillion yuan, surpassing Kweichow Moutai [2][3] Group 2: Policy and Consumption - Eight departments, including the Ministry of Commerce, jointly issued guidelines to promote digital consumption, emphasizing the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) with consumer goods [5][7] - The guidelines focus on four main areas: AI hardware consumption (smartphones, wearables, etc.), AI terminal consumption (smart home appliances), intelligent driving consumption, and new digital consumption trends [8] Group 3: Technology Sector Focus - The market's main focus is on AI and new energy sectors, with significant capital flowing into these areas [9] - The AI industry chain is experiencing growth from upstream hardware (e.g., Inspur Information) to downstream applications (e.g., Kunlun Wanwei) [10] Group 4: Storage Industry Insights - The enterprise storage market is projected to reach approximately 87.8 billion USD by 2025, with a CAGR of about 18.7% from 2024 to 2028, driven by increasing AI demand [12] - The supply side of DRAM is tightening due to transitions between DDR4 and DDR5, leading to price increases for NAND products, with companies like SanDisk raising prices by 10% [12][13] Group 5: Opportunities in Domestic Supply Chain - Domestic storage module manufacturers are expected to benefit from the AI-driven demand and supply constraints, with a focus on high-quality component supply [13] - Key players in the storage industry include manufacturers of storage modules, chips, semiconductor equipment, materials, and packaging [14]