Core Insights - The global wafer foundry industry continues to benefit from high-performance computing (HPC) and demand for new consumer electronics, with the top ten foundries experiencing a revenue increase of 8.1% quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, reaching approximately $45.1 billion [2][3]. Revenue Performance - TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) reported a revenue of $33.1 billion in Q3 2025, a 9.3% increase from the previous quarter, maintaining a market share of 71% [3][6]. - Samsung's revenue remained stable at approximately $3.2 billion, with a slight market share decrease to 6.8% [3][6]. - SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation) achieved a revenue of $2.4 billion, up 7.8% quarter-over-quarter, holding a market share of 5.1% [3][6]. - UMC (United Microelectronics Corporation) reported a revenue of nearly $1.98 billion, a 3.8% increase, with a market share of 4.2% [3][6]. - GlobalFoundries maintained its revenue at approximately $1.69 billion, with a slight market share decline to 3.6% [3][7]. - HuaHong Group's revenue exceeded $1.21 billion, with a market share of 2.6% [3][8]. - Vanguard (VIS) reported a revenue increase of 8.9% to $412 million, maintaining a market share of 0.9% [3][8]. - Nexchip's revenue grew by 12.7% to $409 million, surpassing Tower Semiconductor to become the eighth-largest foundry [3][9]. - Tower Semiconductor's revenue was approximately $396 million, a 6.5% increase, with a market share of 0.9% [3][9]. - PSMC (Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation) reported a revenue of $363 million, a 5.2% increase, with a market share of 0.8% [3][9]. Market Trends - The demand for advanced process nodes (7nm and below) is driving significant revenue contributions, particularly from HPC and consumer electronics [2]. - The industry anticipates a conservative outlook for 2026 due to international market conditions and a cautious approach to mainstream terminal applications [2].

Core Viewpoint - United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) has signed a technology licensing agreement with imec to acquire the iSiPP300 silicon photonics process, aiming to develop a 12-inch silicon photonics platform for next-generation high-speed connectivity applications [2]. Group 1: Technology Development - The iSiPP300 silicon photonics process is compatible with Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) and addresses the bottlenecks of traditional copper interconnects due to increasing AI data loads [2]. - UMC plans to combine imec's proven 12-inch silicon photonics process technology with its Silicon-On-Insulator (SOI) wafer process to offer a highly scalable Photonic Integrated Circuit (PIC) platform [2]. - UMC is collaborating with multiple new customers to provide photonic chips for optical transceivers, with risk production expected to begin in 2026 and 2027 [2]. Group 2: Market Implications - The partnership with imec is expected to accelerate the development of UMC's 12-inch silicon photonics platform, enhancing the market for silicon photonics solutions and facilitating the introduction of next-generation computing systems [3]. - The iSiPP300 platform features compact and efficient components, including micro-ring modulators and GeSi electro-absorption modulators (EAM), which will contribute to diverse low-loss optical fiber interfaces and 3D packaging modules [3].

招股书显示，晶合集成是一家全球领先的12英寸纯晶圆代工企业。自2015年成立以来，始终致力于研发 并应用行业先进的工艺，为客户提供覆盖150nm至40nm制程、多种应用的工艺平台晶圆代工业务，并 稳定推进28nm平台发展。 同时，证监会要求其进一步说明发行人境内子公司是否存在《境内企业境外发行证券和上市管理试行办 法》第八条规定的不得境外发行上市的情形。说明发行人募集资金用途涉及境外投资所履行的相关审 批、核准或备案程序情况。说明发行人及下属公司经营范围和实际业务经营是否涉及《外商投资准入特 别管理措施(负面清单)(2024年版)》外资禁止或限制准入领域。 智通财经APP获悉，12月6日，中国证监会公布境外发行上市备案补充材料要求公示(2025年12月1日— 2025年12月5日)。证监会要求晶合集成(688249.SH)补充说明设立及历次股权变动是否合法合规出具明 确结论性意见。据港交所9月29日披露，晶合集成向港交所主板提交上市申请书，中金公司为其独家保 荐人。 ...

招银国际环球市场 | 市场策略 | 招财日报 每日投资策略 行业及公司点评 全球市场观察 2025 年 12 月 8 日 1 中国股市上涨，港股原材料、金融与工业领涨，综合、公用事业与必选消费 下跌，南向净买入 13.4 亿港元，小米与美团净买入最多，阿里与腾讯净卖出 居前。A 股非银金融、有色金属与工贸综合涨幅居前，银行、煤炭与电信服 务跑输市场。A 股券商板块大涨，中国证监会主席表示鼓励头部机构通过并 购重组打造国际一流投行，将对优质券商适度松绑打开资本空间与杠杆限制， 鼓励中小机构打造小而美的精品投行、特色投行和特色服务商；保险板块大 涨，保险公司投资资本市场的风险因子再度下调，显示监管机构鼓励险资等 长期资本入市的态度。 美股上涨，通讯服务、信息技术与可选消费涨幅居前，公用事业、能源与医 疗保健跌幅最大。戴尔、联想、惠普等主要 OEM 厂商计划大幅提高服务器 价格，因供应很难跟上快速增长的需求。微软与博通商谈定制芯片设计合作， 可能替换现有供应商 Marvell，以降低对英伟达依赖。随着 AI 产品创新，定 制芯片需求激增，科技公司寻求供应链多元化以降低风险与成本。 美债收益率升至两周新高，美元指数转 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a neutral rating to Huahong Semiconductor with a target price of HK$80.00 [4][5]. Core Insights - Huahong Semiconductor has initiated price increases for its 12-inch foundry services since Q2 2025, driven by full capacity utilization, with plans for further significant price hikes in 2026 [1]. - The company aims to reduce production cash costs by 5-10% by 2026, following cost-cutting measures implemented under the new president [1]. - The gross margin for the 12-inch foundry business turned positive in Q1 2025 and improved to 10% in Q3, with a target to reach 15% despite high depreciation costs [1]. - The company is optimizing its revenue structure by focusing on microcontroller units (MCUs) and smart card chips, benefiting from the growing demand for data center power chips [2]. - Huahong's first 12-inch fab has a current monthly capacity of 100,000 wafers, with plans for additional fabs to enhance production capabilities [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to decline from US$2,475 million in 2022 to US$2,004 million in 2024, before rebounding to US$3,033 million in 2026 [7]. - The net profit is expected to increase from US$75 million in 2025 to US$147 million in 2026, reflecting a recovery in profitability [7]. - The estimated gross margin for 2026 is forecasted at 13.6%, slightly above the 12.0% expected for 2025 [1]. Market Context - Huahong Semiconductor is the second-largest foundry in mainland China, primarily serving the domestic market, which is expected to contribute 82% of its revenue in 2024 [10]. - The company is also leveraging the trend of localization by serving European IDM clients like STMicroelectronics and Infineon [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant growth of the global semiconductor market, projected to reach $889 billion by 2026, driven by AI advancements and major players like NVIDIA and AMD [1] - IDC forecasts that by 2026, China's IC design market share will expand to approximately 45%, surpassing Taiwan's expected 40%, marking a shift in the competitive landscape [1] - The rapid expansion of China's IC design sector is attributed to domestic semiconductor policies and a strong internal market, with companies like Cambricon seeing increased AI chip shipments [1] Group 2 - Despite competitive pressures, Taiwan's critical position in the global semiconductor supply chain remains unchanged, with TSMC expected to achieve a revenue growth rate of 22% to 26% by 2026 [2] - The global wafer foundry market is projected to grow by about 20% by 2026, with TSMC maintaining a dominant market share of approximately 73% [2] - Taiwan's packaging and testing industry is anticipated to experience a compound annual growth rate of about 9.1% from this year to 2029, driven by strong AI orders [2]

Group 1 - The global semiconductor market is projected to reach $889 billion by 2026, driven by AI advancements and companies like NVIDIA and AMD [1] - Chinese mainland IC design companies are expected to surpass Taiwan's market share by 2025, with projections indicating a market share of approximately 45% for mainland China and about 40% for Taiwan by 2026 [1] - The lack of self-developed AI chips is a key factor in Taiwan's declining market share, as most Taiwanese firms, except for MediaTek, have minimal AI chip revenue [1] Group 2 - The rapid expansion of China's IC design landscape is supported by semiconductor self-sufficiency policies and domestic market demand, with companies like Huawei's HiSilicon and Cambricon making significant technological advancements [2] - Despite competitive pressures, Taiwan's critical position in the global semiconductor supply chain remains unchanged, with TSMC's revenue growth rate projected to be between 22% and 26% by 2026, maintaining a market share of approximately 73% [2] - The advanced packaging sector is expected to see a significant increase in TSMC's CoWoS capacity by about 72% by 2026, but demand from AI giants will keep the market in a supply-demand imbalance [2]

Core Insights - The global wafer foundry market is expected to grow by 20% next year, primarily driven by TSMC, which is projected to see revenue growth of 22% to 26%, while other companies will only see growth of 6% to 10%, indicating a trend of "the big get bigger" [1] - The global semiconductor market is anticipated to grow by 11% by 2026, reaching a size of $890 billion, with the potential to challenge the $1 trillion mark by 2028 [1] - The computing market is expected to grow by 18% by 2026, making it the largest growth area in the semiconductor sector, accounting for 46% of the overall semiconductor market [1] Group 1: Wafer Foundry Market - TSMC's market share is projected to reach 73.1% [1] - Other foundries are expected to grow at a rate of 6% to 10% [1] Group 2: Semiconductor Applications - The AI accelerator market is expected to surge by 78%, while application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) may see a growth of 113%, surpassing the 66% growth of graphics processing units (GPUs) [1] - The global foundry market, including traditional foundry and non-memory integrated device manufacturing (IDM), is expected to grow by approximately 14% by 2026 [2] Group 3: Mature Process and Capacity Utilization - After two years of adjustment, mature process capacity utilization is expected to stabilize above 80% by 2026, supported by strong demand for high-speed transmission chips and efficient power management chips [2] - Chinese manufacturers are expected to exceed 90% capacity utilization due to domestic substitution policies [2] Group 4: IC Design and Market Trends - China's IC design output is projected to surpass Taiwan's by 2025, becoming the leader in the Asia-Pacific region [2] - The Asia-Pacific IC design market is expected to grow by 11% by 2026, with China's market share anticipated to expand to 45% [2] Group 5: Semiconductor Packaging and Testing - The global packaging and testing market is expected to grow by 11% by 2026, with advanced packaging capacity (CoWoS) projected to increase by 72% [2] - TSMC's annual capacity is estimated to expand to 1.1 million units, facing strong demand from companies like NVIDIA and AMD, leading to a supply-demand imbalance [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the semiconductor market is expected to grow significantly, driven by major players like TSMC, with a projected growth of 20% in the wafer foundry market next year and TSMC's revenue expected to grow by 22% to 26% [2][3] - The global semiconductor market is anticipated to reach $890 billion by 2026, with a growth rate of 11%, and could challenge the $1 trillion mark by 2028 [2] - The computing market is expected to grow by 18%, making it the largest application area for semiconductors, accounting for 46% of the overall market [2] Group 2 - The traditional wafer foundry and non-memory integrated device manufacturing (IDM) markets are projected to grow by approximately 14% by 2026 [3] - The mature process segment is recovering, with capacity utilization expected to remain above 80% due to strong demand from AI data centers [3] - China's wafer foundry capacity is expected to surpass Taiwan by 2028, driven by domestic policies and resource allocation [3] Group 3 - The IC design market in China is projected to surpass Taiwan by 2025, becoming the leader in the Asia-Pacific region [3] - The global packaging and testing market is expected to grow by 11% by 2026, with advanced packaging capacity increasing by 72% [3] - The semiconductor revenue is expected to grow by 22.5% in 2025 and by 26.3% in 2026, reaching $975 billion [5][6] Group 4 - The Americas region is expected to see the most significant growth in semiconductor revenue, with a projected increase of 34.4% [6] - The demand for logic chips is expected to grow by 37.1% in 2025, making it the largest product category in terms of revenue growth [5] - The third quarter of 2025 saw a significant increase in global chip sales, driven by demand for various semiconductor products [7]

Group 1: Technology Industry - The outlook for 2026 suggests that the artificial intelligence (AI) supercycle may continue, with strong growth in AI infrastructure expected at least until 2026, driven by significant capital expenditure increases from major cloud providers, projected to grow over 30% in 2026 following over 60% growth in 2024 and 2025 [1][2] - The report highlights a persistent supply-demand imbalance in computing acceleration and network communication chips, with overall demand remaining high despite potential increases in supply [1] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is expected to accelerate domestic substitution opportunities in key industrial chains, supported by favorable policies during this period [1] Group 2: Semiconductor and AI Infrastructure - The recovery in terminal demand is noted to be moderate, with strong demand for servers closely related to AI, while global consumer electronics demand for 2026 is viewed with caution due to the prolonged price increases in memory chips [2] - Investment recommendations include overseas chip design and foundry companies such as NVIDIA (NVDA US), Broadcom (AVGO US), and TSMC (TSM US), which are expected to benefit from AI infrastructure development [2] - Domestic AI and substitution opportunities are also highlighted, with companies like Northern Huachuang (002371 CH), OmniVision (603501 CH), Zhongwei Company (688012 CH), and Huahong Semiconductor (1347 HK) recommended for investment [2] Group 3: Pharmaceutical Industry - The report indicates that the transition to an inquiry-based procurement model for the 1-8 batch of national procurement may limit overall price reductions, suggesting a smaller-than-expected impact on Hong Kong prescription drug companies [3] - The healthcare sector's performance is noted, with the Hang Seng Healthcare Index rising by 0.5%, although it underperformed the broader market [3] - Investment insights suggest a focus on innovative drugs and stable traditional companies, with a positive outlook on the innovation theme in the long term [3][6] Group 4: Economic Data and Market Performance - The report includes key economic data releases from the US and China, with manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI figures indicating varying market expectations [7] - The performance of major global indices is summarized, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 25,936, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 29.05% [4] - Commodity prices and foreign exchange rates are also provided, showing significant fluctuations in various markets, which may impact investment strategies [5]