Group 1: Natural Rubber Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core View Short - term rubber prices rebound due to macro - sentiment, but the weak fundamental expectation remains unchanged. Adopt a short - selling approach on rallies, and consider short positions in the 14,000 - 14,500 range. Pay attention to raw material supply in each production area and US tariff changes [2]. Summary by Related Catalogs - **Spot Prices and Basis**: The price of Yunnan state - owned standard rubber (SCRWF) in Shanghai increased by 100 yuan/ton to 14,350 yuan/ton, with a 0.70% increase. The basis of whole - milk rubber (switched to the 2509 contract) rose by 145 to - 10, a 93.55% increase. Other raw material prices showed various changes [2]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: The 9 - 1 spread increased by 10 to - 860, a 1.15% increase; the 1 - 5 spread increased by 15 to - 40, a 27.27% increase; the 5 - 9 spread decreased by 25 to 900, a - 2.70% decrease [2]. - **Fundamental Data**: In May, Thailand's rubber production increased by 166,500 tons to 272,200 tons, a 157.52% increase. The operating rates of semi - steel and all - steel tires increased. The domestic tire production decreased slightly, while the tire export volume increased. The import volume of natural rubber decreased [2]. - **Inventory Changes**: The bonded - area inventory increased by 14,802 tons to 632,090 tons, a 2.40% increase. The factory - warehouse futures inventory of natural rubber on the SHFE increased by 7,258 tons to 36,994 tons, a 24.41% increase [2]. Group 2: Glass and Soda Ash Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core View For soda ash, although the futures price rebounded due to macro - sentiment and spot trading improved, the supply - demand situation remains in an obvious surplus, and inventory is accumulating. It is recommended to wait and look for short - selling opportunities after the sentiment fades. For glass, although the futures price is strong due to macro - sentiment, the demand is under pressure in the off - season, and the industry needs capacity reduction. It is recommended to wait and see [4]. Summary by Related Catalogs - **Glass - related Prices and Spreads**: The prices of glass in North China, East China, Central China, and South China showed small changes. The prices of glass futures contracts 2505 and 2509 increased slightly [4]. - **Soda - ash - related Prices and Spreads**: The prices of soda ash in different regions remained stable. The prices of soda ash futures contracts 2505 and 2509 decreased slightly [4]. - **Supply Data**: The operating rate of soda ash remained unchanged, and the weekly production was stable. The daily melting volume of float glass increased slightly, while the daily melting volume of photovoltaic glass remained unchanged [4]. - **Inventory Data**: The glass market inventory decreased by 198,300 square meters to 67.102 million square meters, a - 2.87% decrease. The soda - ash factory inventory and delivery - warehouse inventory increased [4]. - **Real - estate Data**: The year - on - year changes in new construction area, construction area, completion area, and sales area showed different trends [4]. Group 3: Log Futures Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core View In the fundamental aspect, the demand for logs enters the off - season from June to August. The arrival volume remains low, and the supply is expected to decrease seasonally. The 09 contract is expected to fluctuate weakly. Be vigilant against emotional price increases [5]. Summary by Related Catalogs - **Futures and Spot Prices**: The prices of log futures contracts 2507, 2509, and 2511 decreased slightly. The prices of some spot logs decreased, while the outer - market quotation increased [5]. - **Supply**: The port shipment volume increased by 228,000 cubic meters to 1.955 million cubic meters, a 13.20% increase. The number of ships from New Zealand to China, Japan, and South Korea decreased by 5 to 58, a - 7.94% decrease [5]. - **Inventory**: The total inventory of coniferous logs in China decreased by 130,000 cubic meters to 3.23 million cubic meters, a - 3.87% decrease [5]. - **Demand**: The average daily outbound volume increased by 12,000 cubic meters to 669,000 cubic meters [5]. Group 4: Industrial Silicon Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core View The price of industrial silicon increased due to the expectation of anti - involution policies, with less impact from supply - demand fundamentals. The supply is expected to increase further. Technically, it shows a strong - side fluctuation. In the short - term, it is expected to remain strong, but short - selling can be considered if large - scale enterprises resume production or the price of polysilicon drops. Risk management is recommended [6]. Summary by Related Catalogs - **Spot Prices and Basis**: The prices of different grades of industrial silicon in East China and Xinjiang increased. The basis of different grades decreased [6]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: The spreads between different contracts showed various changes [6]. - **Fundamental Data**: In June, the national industrial silicon production increased by 20,000 tons to 327,700 tons, a 6.50% increase. The production of related downstream products also changed [6]. - **Inventory Changes**: The factory - warehouse inventory in Xinjiang decreased by 26,200 tons to 123,900 tons, a - 17.46% decrease. The social inventory decreased slightly [6]. Group 5: Polysilicon Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core View The price of polysilicon increased rapidly under the expectation of policies, but the market is cautious about the new price. There is a large discount in the futures market, and there is room for price repair. The market may fluctuate greatly next week. Attention should be paid to the price of P - type cauliflower - like polysilicon and risk management [7]. Summary by Related Catalogs - **Spot Prices and Basis**: The average prices of different types of polysilicon remained stable, while the basis of some types increased slightly [7]. - **Futures Prices and Inter - month Spreads**: The prices of polysilicon futures contracts and the spreads between different contracts showed various changes [7]. - **Fundamental Data**: The weekly production of silicon wafers and polysilicon decreased. The monthly production of polysilicon increased, while the import and export volumes changed [7]. - **Inventory Changes**: The polysilicon inventory increased by 4,000 tons to 276,000 tons, a 1.47% increase. The silicon - wafer inventory decreased [7].

Group 1: Natural Rubber Industry Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned Core View - With the improvement of rainfall in overseas production areas, the raw material prices in Thailand are gradually weakening, and the cost - side support is weakening. The capacity utilization rate of tire sample enterprises is declining, and the inventory in Qingdao continues to accumulate. It is recommended to hold short positions above 14,000 and pay attention to the raw material supply in each production area and the change of US tariffs [1]. Summary by Directory - **Spot Price and Basis**: The prices of Yunnan state - owned standard rubber, Thai standard mixed rubber, etc. remained unchanged on July 9 compared with July 8. The full - milk basis and non - standard price difference decreased significantly, and the prices of cup rubber and glue in the international market slightly declined [1]. - **Monthly Spread**: The 1 - 5 spread increased by 8.33%, the 5 - 9 spread decreased by 0.53%, and the 9 - 1 spread remained unchanged [1]. - **Fundamental Data**: In May, the production of Thailand, Indonesia, India, and China increased. The production of Thailand increased by 157.52%. The production of domestic tires decreased slightly, and the export volume increased by 7.72%. The import volume of natural rubber decreased by 13.35%. The production cost of dry glue in Thailand decreased slightly, and the production profit of STR20 increased by 13.40% [1]. - **Inventory Change**: The bonded area inventory and the factory - warehouse futures inventory of natural rubber in the Shanghai Futures Exchange increased, while the inbound and outbound rates of dry glue in Qingdao decreased [1]. Group 2: Polysilicon Industry Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned Core View - The polysilicon futures opened high and moved high, and the spot price continued to rise. The downstream demand is weak, and the polysilicon still faces the pressure of over - supply and inventory accumulation. Although the price is rising under the policy expectation, attention should be paid to the acceptance of downstream enterprises for the rising raw material prices and the subsequent terminal demand and consumption situation [3]. Summary by Directory - **Spot Price and Basis**: The average price of N - type re -投料 and N - type granular silicon increased, with increases of 2.56% and 4.11% respectively. The N - type material basis increased by 18.70%, and the cauliflower material basis decreased by 28.41% [3]. - **Futures Price and Monthly Spread**: The PS2506 contract increased by 2.31%. The spreads between some contracts changed significantly, such as the PS2506 - PS2507 spread decreased by 298.85% [3]. - **Fundamental Data**: The weekly output of silicon wafers decreased by 11.46%, and the monthly output of polysilicon increased by 5.10%. The import volume of polysilicon decreased by 67.16%, and the export volume decreased by 37.06% [3]. - **Inventory Change**: The polysilicon inventory increased by 0.74%, and the silicon wafer inventory decreased by 4.43% [3]. Group 3: Industrial Silicon Industry Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned Core View - The spot price of industrial silicon is stable, and the futures price fluctuates. The supply is expected to remain high in July, and the demand from polysilicon and organic silicon is mixed. The short - term price is expected to fluctuate strongly under the support of production reduction, but the long - term over - supply pressure may increase. Attention should be paid to the impact of polysilicon production changes on demand and the impact of policies [4]. Summary by Directory - **Spot Price and Main Contract Basis**: The price of Xinjiang 99 silicon increased by 1.24%, and the basis of different types of industrial silicon increased to varying degrees [4]. - **Monthly Spread**: The spreads between some contracts changed, such as the 2507 - 2508 spread decreased by 88.00% [4]. - **Fundamental Data**: In June, the national industrial silicon production increased by 6.50%, and the production in Xinjiang, Yunnan, and Sichuan increased, while the production in Inner Mongolia decreased. The production of organic silicon DMC and polysilicon increased [4]. - **Inventory Change**: The inventory in Xinjiang factories decreased by 13.19%, and the social inventory increased by 1.85% [4]. Group 4: Glass and Soda Ash Industry Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned Core View - **Soda Ash**: Although the soda ash market rebounded under the influence of short - term news, the overall supply is still in an over - supply pattern. After the end of maintenance, inventory accumulation may accelerate. It is recommended to wait and look for opportunities to short on the rebound [6]. - **Glass**: The glass market rebounded under the influence of policy expectations, but the current demand is in the off - season, and the rigid demand is under pressure. It is necessary to wait for more cold - repair measures to achieve a real reversal of the market, and it is recommended to wait and see [6]. Summary by Directory - **Glass - Related Price and Spread**: The prices of glass in different regions remained unchanged. The glass 2505 and 2509 contracts increased slightly, and the 05 - 09 spread decreased [6]. - **Soda Ash - Related Price and Spread**: The prices of soda ash in North China and Central China remained unchanged, and the price in East China decreased by 1.60%. The soda ash 2505 and 2509 contracts increased by 0.81%, and the 05 - 09 spread decreased [6]. - **Supply**: The soda ash production rate and weekly output decreased slightly, the float glass daily melting volume increased by 0.64%, and the photovoltaic daily melting volume decreased by 4.02% [6]. - **Inventory**: The glass factory inventory decreased slightly, the soda ash factory inventory increased by 2.41%, and the soda ash delivery warehouse inventory decreased by 17.99% [6]. - **Real Estate Data**: The new - construction area, completion area, and sales area increased year - on - year, while the construction area decreased [6]. Group 5: Log Industry Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned Core View - The log futures fluctuated, and the prices of main benchmark delivery products decreased. The inventory decreased significantly last week, and the demand increased slightly. From the fundamental perspective, the log market will enter a period of weak supply and demand in the high - temperature and rainy season from June to August, and the 09 contract is expected to fluctuate weakly [8]. Summary by Directory - **Futures and Spot Price**: The prices of log futures contracts 2509 and 2511 decreased slightly. The prices of main benchmark delivery products in Shandong and Jiangsu decreased by 10 yuan per cubic meter [8]. - **Cost**: The import theoretical cost increased by 4% due to the change of RMB - US dollar exchange rate [8]. - **Supply**: The port shipping volume increased by 13.20%, and the number of departing ships from New Zealand to China, Japan, and South Korea decreased by 7.94% [8]. - **Inventory**: The national log inventory decreased by 3.87% week - on - week, and the inventory in Shandong and Jiangsu decreased [8]. - **Demand**: The national log daily average outbound volume increased by 2%, and the demand in Shandong increased by 10% [8].

| 工业硅&多晶硅日评20250708："反内卷"情绪推动，硅系价格走势坚挺 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 近期趋势 2025/7/8 指标 | 单位 | 今值 | 变动 | | 不通氧553#（华东）平均价格 | 元/吨 | 8,500.00 | 0.00% | | 工业硅期现价格 期货主力合约收盘价 | 元/吨 | 8,045.00 | 0.81% | | 基差（华东553#-期货主力） | 元/吨 | 455.00 | -65.00 | | N型多晶硅料 | 元/千克 | 34.50 | 0.00% | | 多晶硅期现价格 期货主力合约收盘价 | 元/吨 | 36,515.00 | 2.83% | | 基差 | 元/吨 | -2,015.00 | -1,005.00 | | 不通氧553#（华东）平均价格 | 元/吨 | 8,500.00 | 0.00% | | 不通氧553#（黄埔港）平均价格 | 元/吨 | 8,500.00 | 0.00% | | 不通氧553#（天津港）平均价格 | 元/吨 | 8,400.00 | 0.00% | | 不通氧553#（昆 ...

x产业期现目报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年6月27日 现货价格及基差 品种 6月26日 6月25日 涨跌 涨跌幅 单位 云南国营全乳胶(SCRWF):上海 13850 13750 100 0.73% 全乳基差(切换至2509合约) -190 -20 -170 -850.00% 元/吨 泰标混合胶报价 13700 13600 100 0.74% 非标价差 -340 -170 -170 -100.00% 杯胶:国际市场:FOB中间价 46.95 47.20 -0.25 -0.53% 泰铢/公斤 胶水：国际市场：FOB中间价 57.50 -0.25 57.25 -0.43% 天然橡胶:胶块:西双版纳州 12600 12600 0 0.00% 13200 0 天然橡胶：胶水：西双版纳州 13200 0.00% 元/吨 原料：市场主流价：海南 12400 12400 0 0.00% 外胶原料：市场主流价：海南 9000 9000 0.00 0.00% 合约 6月26日 6月25日 涨跌 涨跌幅 单位 9-1价差 -845 -850 5 0.59% 1-5价差 -25 -5 -20.00 ...

x产业期现目报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年6月27日 现货价格及基差 品种 6月26日 6月25日 涨跌 涨跌幅 单位 云南国营全乳胶(SCRWF):上海 13850 13750 100 0.73% 全乳基差(切换至2509合约) -190 -20 -170 -850.00% 元/吨 泰标混合胶报价 13700 13600 100 0.74% 非标价差 -340 -170 -170 -100.00% 杯胶:国际市场:FOB中间价 46.95 47.20 -0.25 -0.53% 泰铢/公斤 胶水：国际市场：FOB中间价 57.50 -0.25 57.25 -0.43% 天然橡胶:胶块:西双版纳州 12600 12600 0 0.00% 13200 0 天然橡胶：胶水：西双版纳州 13200 0.00% 元/吨 原料：市场主流价：海南 12400 12400 0 0.00% 外胶原料：市场主流价：海南 9000 9000 0.00 0.00% 合约 6月26日 6月25日 涨跌 涨跌幅 单位 9-1价差 -845 -850 5 0.59% 1-5价差 -25 -5 -20.00 ...

2025 年 06 月 16 日 工业硅：空配思路为主 多晶硅：现货弱势，盘面具下行驱动 张 航 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0018008 zhanghang2@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 工业硅、多晶硅基本面数据 | | | 指标名称 | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-22 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | Si2507收盘价（元/吨） | 7,345 | -110 | 55 | -885 | | | | Si2507成交量（手） | 370,370 | 60,742 | -296,013 | 39,770 | | | | Si2507持仓量（手） | 103,689 | -17,815 | -57,503 | -58,610 | | 工业硅、多晶硅期货市场 | | PS2507收盘价（元/吨） | 33,695 | 110 | -1,045 | - | | | | PS2507成交量（手） | 82,151 | 16,560 | -52,292 | - | | | | PS2507持仓量（手） | 56,863 | -4,835 ...

然橡胶产业期现目报 中的信息均来源于被广发期货有限公司认为可靠的已公开资料，但广发明货对这些信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告反映研究人员的不同消 分析方法，并不代表广发期货或晨附属机构的立场。在任何情况下，报告内容仅供参考，报告中的信息或所表达的意见并不构成所述品种买卖的出价或润 者据此得资,风险自相,本报告宣布发送给广发期货特定客户及其他专业人士,版权归广发期货所有,未经广发期货书面授 任何形式的发布、复制。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为"广发期货" 知识图强,求实奉献,客户至上,合作共矿 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年6月12日 Z0021810 寇帝斯 | 现货价格及基差 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 6月11日 | 6月10日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 云南国营全乳胶(SCRWF):上海 | 13750 | 13850 | -100 | -0.72% | | | 全乳基差(切换至2509合约) | -140 | વર્ત | -185 | -411.11% | 元/吨 | ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent reports suggested that Hoshine Silicon Industry (合盛硅业) is seeking to transfer its equity, with TBEA being a potential buyer, but the company has denied these claims, labeling them as rumors [1][2] Group 1: Equity Transfer Rumors - A source close to Hoshine Silicon indicated that the company is looking for a share transfer, with TBEA as a potential buyer [1] - Negotiations regarding the price have not yielded positive results, with Hoshine's controlling shareholder, the Luo family, reportedly seeking a price in the range of billions, which TBEA finds excessive [1] - Hoshine's securities department confirmed that there has been no contact or negotiation regarding equity transfer with TBEA or its affiliates [1] Group 2: Company Performance - For 2024, Hoshine Silicon reported a revenue of 26.692 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.41%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 33.6% to 1.740 billion yuan [2] - The company's performance has been affected by a decline in core product prices, although it remains profitable [2] - As of June 9, Hoshine's stock closed at 47.58 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 56.2 billion yuan [2] Group 3: Industry Context - Hoshine Silicon is a leading player in the industrial silicon and organic silicon sectors, with an annual production capacity of 1.22 million tons for industrial silicon and 1.73 million tons for organic silicon by the end of 2024 [1] - The company has also ventured into the photovoltaic sector, specifically in multi-crystalline silicon, but has faced challenges due to a downturn in the photovoltaic industry over the past two years [1]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - On June 5, polysilicon and industrial silicon both showed a weak and volatile trend. The main polysilicon contract 2507 closed at 34,540 yuan/ton, with an intraday decline of 0.27%, and the position decreased by 2,071 lots to 65,802 lots. The SMM N-type polysilicon price was 36,500 yuan/ton, and the price of the lowest deliverable N-type polysilicon remained stable at 36,500 yuan/ton, with the spot premium over the main contract expanding to 1,960 yuan/ton. The main industrial silicon contract 2507 closed at 7,135 yuan/ton, with an intraday decline of 0.56%, and the position decreased by 3,637 lots to 184,000 lots. The Baichuan industrial silicon spot reference price was 8,777 yuan/ton, down 27 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The price of the lowest deliverable 553 silicon dropped to 7,600 yuan/ton, and the spot premium expanded to 460 yuan/ton [2]. - The reduction of electricity prices during the wet season in the southwest has led to the resumption of production, and large factories in the northwest will not cut production as in previous years. Downstream procurement has significantly decreased. It is expected that the lower support for industrial silicon comes from the cash cost line of large factories in Xinjiang, and the upper pressure stems from high inventory and increasing supply pressure. The polysilicon self - discipline meeting will be held again in June. In addition to spontaneous production cuts by enterprises, under the pressure of collapsing demand, the industry is expected to clarify an expanded production limit quota. For industrial silicon, a short - selling strategy on rallies can be maintained under marginal pressure. For polysilicon, pay attention to production cut news. The one - sided decline of near - month contracts is limited due to warehouse receipt restrictions, and fluctuations will intensify [2]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Daily Data Monitoring - **Industrial Silicon**: The futures settlement price of the main and near - month contracts decreased by 35 yuan/ton to 7,140 yuan/ton. Among the 421 silicon spot prices, the prices in some regions such as the East China, Tianjin Port, and Xinjiang decreased by 50 - 100 yuan/ton, while most 553 silicon spot prices remained unchanged. The current lowest deliverable price was 7,600 yuan/ton, and the spot premium expanded by 35 yuan to 460 yuan/ton. The industrial silicon warehouse receipts decreased by 494 to 61,309, and the weekly inventory in various ports and factories decreased, with the total social inventory decreasing by 11,800 tons to 409,100 tons [3]. - **Polysilicon**: The futures settlement price of the main contract decreased by 515 yuan/ton to 34,540 yuan/ton, and the near - month contract decreased by 1,875 yuan/ton to 36,115 yuan/ton. The polysilicon spot prices remained stable, with the current lowest deliverable price at 36,500 yuan/ton, and the spot premium expanding by 515 yuan to 1,960 yuan/ton. The polysilicon warehouse receipts increased by 110 to 2,030. The weekly inventory in the GFE increased by 13,000 tons to 14,100 tons, the factory inventory decreased by 1,000 tons to 268,000 tons, and the total social inventory decreased by 1,000 tons to 268,000 tons [3]. - **Downstream**: The prices of silicon wafers (single - crystal M10/G12) and battery cells (single - crystal M10/G12) remained unchanged [3]. 2. Chart Analysis 2.1 Industrial Silicon and Cost - side Prices - Charts show the prices of different grades of industrial silicon, grade spreads, regional spreads, electricity prices, silica prices, and clean coal prices [4][5][7][10]. 2.2 Downstream Finished Product Prices - Charts display the prices of DMC, organic silicon finished products, polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and components [13][14][17]. 2.3 Inventory - Charts present the industrial silicon futures inventory, factory inventory, weekly industry inventory, weekly inventory changes, DMC weekly inventory, and polysilicon weekly inventory [18][21]. 2.4 Cost - Profit - Charts show the average cost and profit levels of main production areas, weekly cost - profit of industrial silicon, profit of the aluminum alloy processing industry, DMC cost - profit, and polysilicon cost - profit [24][25][30]. 3. Team Introduction - The non - ferrous metals team includes Zhan Dapeng, the current director of non - ferrous research at Everbright Futures Research Institute, a senior precious metals researcher, and a gold intermediate investment analyst, with over a decade of commodity research experience. Wang Heng, a researcher focusing on aluminum and silicon, and Zhu Xi, a researcher focusing on lithium and nickel, are also members of the team [32][33].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant achievements and technological advancements of Yongxiang Co., a large high-tech enterprise under Tongwei, specializing in high-purity silicon and related materials [1][2][5] - Yongxiang Co. has received numerous prestigious awards, including "National High-tech Enterprise," "National Green Factory," and "China Construction Engineering Luban Award," showcasing its commitment to innovation and quality [2][3] - The company boasts an advanced team of technical talents and research capabilities, with over 800 independent intellectual property research results in various technology fields, including cold hydrogenation and energy recovery [5] Group 2 - Yongxiang Co. has developed the "Eighth Generation Yongxiang Method" for high-purity silicon production, with research reserves extending to the "Ninth Generation," achieving product purity levels exceeding 99.999999999% [5] - The company's products cover both electronic-grade and solar-grade silicon, with quality and comprehensive technical indicators reaching international advanced levels, representing "China Intelligent Manufacturing" in high-purity silicon [5]