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基础化工周报:尿素价格持续上涨-2025-03-30
Soochow Securities· 2025-03-30 06:57
Report Information - Report Title: Weekly Report on Basic Chemical Industry: Continuous Increase in Urea Price [1] - Report Date: March 30, 2025 [1] - Analyst: Chen Shuxian, CFA [1] - Research Assistant: Zhou Shaowen [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The report presents the weekly data of the basic chemical industry, including the price and profit changes of various chemical products, as well as the performance of related listed companies [2][8][10] Summary by Directory 1. Basic Chemical Weekly Data Briefing - **Related Company Performance** - The basic chemical index had a 0.0% change in the past week, 0.9% in the past month, 2.8% in the past three months, 9.6% in the past year, and 5.3% since the beginning of 2025 [8] - Among related companies, Satellite Chemical had a significant increase in stock price, with a 7.2% increase in the past week, 6.8% in the past month, 23.9% in the past three months, and 38.1% in the past year [8] - The report also provides the profit tracking data of related companies, including total market value, net profit attributable to the parent company, PE, and PB [8] - **Polyurethane Industry Chain** - The average prices of pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI this week were 17,870 yuan/ton, 16,280 yuan/ton, and 11,983 yuan/ton respectively, with a week-on-week change of -170 yuan/ton, -420 yuan/ton, and +18 yuan/ton [2][8] - The corresponding gross profits were 3,971 yuan/ton, 3,407 yuan/ton, and 199 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week change of -100 yuan/ton, -336 yuan/ton, and -44 yuan/ton [2][8] - **Oil, Gas, and Olefin Industry Chain** - The average prices of ethane, propane, steam coal, and naphtha this week were 1,531 yuan/ton, 4,523 yuan/ton, 540 yuan/ton, and 4,593 yuan/ton respectively, with a week-on-week change of -34 yuan/ton, +165 yuan/ton, +0 yuan/ton, and +35 yuan/ton [2][8] - The theoretical profits of ethylene production from ethane cracking, CTO, and naphtha cracking were 1,162 yuan/ton, 2,055 yuan/ton, and -197 yuan/ton respectively, with a week-on-week change of +76 yuan/ton, +47 yuan/ton, and -4 yuan/ton [2][8] - The theoretical profits of propylene production from PDH, CTO, and naphtha cracking were -333 yuan/ton, 1,610 yuan/ton, and -453 yuan/ton respectively, with a week-on-week change of -159 yuan/ton, +0 yuan/ton, and -49 yuan/ton [2][8] - **Coal Chemical Industry Chain** - The average prices of synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid this week were 2,671 yuan/ton, 1,905 yuan/ton, 4,150 yuan/ton, and 2,642 yuan/ton respectively, with a week-on-week change of -29 yuan/ton, +64 yuan/ton, +110 yuan/ton, and -25 yuan/ton [2][10] - The corresponding gross profits were 725 yuan/ton, 218 yuan/ton, -291 yuan/ton, and 12 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week change of +50 yuan/ton, +68 yuan/ton, +213 yuan/ton, and -28 yuan/ton [2][10] 2. Basic Chemical Weekly Report - **2.1 Basic Chemical Index Trend** - Not provided in the report - **2.2 Polyurethane Sector** - The report shows the price and profit trends of pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI [2][8] - **2.3 Oil, Gas, and Olefin Sector** - It presents the price trends of raw materials such as ethane, propane, and naphtha, as well as the profit comparison of different production processes [2][8] - **2.4 Coal Chemical Sector** - The report shows the price and profit trends of coal chemical products such as synthetic ammonia, urea, and DMF [2][10]
石化化工交运行业日报第37期:有机硅行业格局优化,价格有望底部回升-2025-03-20
EBSCN· 2025-03-20 09:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the organic silicon industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - The peak production period for organic silicon has passed, and companies are collaborating to reduce output, leading to a potential price recovery from the bottom [1]. - Domestic organic silicon DMC capacity increased from 1.515 million tons/year in 2019 to 3.44 million tons/year by 2024, with limited new capacity expected in the future [1]. - As of March 19, 2025, the average market price for organic silicon was 14,500 CNY/ton, reflecting an 11.5% increase since the beginning of the year, although profit margins remain negative [1]. - The demand for organic silicon is steadily growing, with a CAGR of approximately 10.7% from 2020 to 2024, driven primarily by the construction and electronics sectors [3]. - The report suggests that the limited new supply and increasing demand will likely stabilize and improve the pricing and profitability of organic silicon products [1][3]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Industry Overview - The organic silicon industry is experiencing a supply reduction due to increased maintenance and repairs among producers, with 182,000 tons of capacity under maintenance as of February 19, 2025 [2]. - The inventory levels of organic silicon DMC are stable, with a slight increase since September 2024, but still within the median range of the past three years [2]. Section 2: Demand and Applications - The apparent consumption of organic silicon DMC in China rose from 1.21 million tons in 2020 to 1.82 million tons in 2024, with significant growth in exports at a CAGR of 22.5% during the same period [3]. - Key application areas for organic silicon include construction and electronics, which account for 25% and 23% of consumption, respectively [3]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in high-end construction sealants and materials for photovoltaic and electric vehicle sectors, driven by policy support and technological advancements [3]. Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies in the organic silicon production sector such as Hoshine Silicon Industry, Xingfa Group, and New安股份, as well as application companies like Ruifeng New Materials and Silica宝科技 [3].
石化化工交运行业日报第35期:红海航运危机加剧原油供应担忧,继续看好油气和油服板块-2025-03-18
EBSCN· 2025-03-18 07:12
2025 年 3 月 18 日 行业研究 红海航运危机加剧原油供应担忧,继续看好油气和油服板块 ——石化化工交运行业日报第 35 期(20250317) 要点 红海冲突加剧,地缘政治风险再度抬升。近期红海危机再度加剧,3 月 12 日 也门胡塞武装宣布恢复对以色列船只的打击, 3 月 15 日美国总统宣布对胡 塞武装采取"果断而有力的军事行动",随后美国对也门展开空袭,宣布将 继续对胡塞武装进行打击,3 月 17 日胡塞武装宣布对美国航母发射导弹,称 将把所有位于红海和阿拉伯海的美军军舰作为其袭击目标,并继续对以色列 船只采取封锁行动。此前加沙停火协议宣布,红海冲突一度降温,本次红海 冲突加剧再次对原油市场供给前景产生影响。截至 3 月 14 日,亚丁湾原油 轮运抵量较去年同期下降 13%,苏伊士运河原油轮通过量较去年同期下降 2%,地缘政治风险溢价的提升有望支撑油价。 需求前景向好叠加页岩油成本边际影响,油价有望获得支撑。IEA 预计 25 年 原油需求增长 103 万桶/日,OPEC 预计 25 年原油需求增长 145 万桶/日, 全球原油需求稳中向好。根据达拉斯联储 24Q1 的调查,对于新开发油井, ...
一诺威:向不特定合格投资者公开发行股票并在北京证券交易所上市招股意向书
2023-03-09 10:35
证券简称: 一诺威 证券代码: 834261 山东一诺威聚氨酯股份有限公司 山东省淄博市高新区宝山路 5577 号 ShanDong Inov Polyurethane Co., Ltd. 山东一诺威聚氨酯股份有限公司招股意向书 本次股票发行后拟在北京证券交易所上市,该市场具有较高的投资风险。北京证券交易所主 要服务创新型中小企业,上市公司具有经营风险高、业绩不稳定、退市风险高等特点,投资者面 临较大的市场风险。投资者应充分了解北京证券交易所市场的投资风险及本公司所披露的风险因 素,审慎作出投资决定。 保荐机构(主承销商) (注册地址:苏州工业园区星阳街5号) 1-1-1 中国证监会和北京证券交易所对本次发行所作的任何决定或意见,均不表明其对注册 申请文件及所披露信息的真实性、准确性、完整性作出保证,也不表明其对发行人的盈利 能力、投资价值或者对投资者的收益作出实质性判断或者保证。任何与之相反的声明均属 虚假不实陈述。 根据《证券法》的规定,股票依法发行后,发行人经营与收益的变化,由发行人自行 负责;投资者自主判断发行人的投资价值,自主作出投资决策,自行承担股票依法发行后 因发行人经营与收益变化或者股票价格变 ...
一诺威:招股说明书(注册稿)
2023-01-10 11:54
山东省淄博市高新区宝山路 5577 号 山东一诺威聚氨酯股份有限公司 ShanDong Inov Polyurethane Co., Ltd. 山东一诺威聚氨酯股份有限公司招股说明书(申报稿) 本次股票发行后拟在北京证券交易所上市,该市场具有较高的投资风险。北京证券交易所主 要服务创新型中小企业,上市公司具有经营风险高、业绩不稳定、退市风险高等特点,投资者面 临较大的市场风险。投资者应充分了解北京证券交易所市场的投资风险及本公司所披露的风险因 素,审慎作出投资决定。 保荐机构(主承销商) 1-1-1 证券简称: 一诺威 证券代码: 834261 (注册地址:苏州工业园区星阳街5号) 本公司的发行申请尚未经中国证监会注册。本招股说明书申报稿不具有据以发行股票的法律 效力,投资者应当以正式公告的招股说明书全文作为投资决定的依据。 中国证监会和北京证券交易所对本次发行所作的任何决定或意见,均不表明其对注册 申请文件及所披露信息的真实性、准确性、完整性作出保证,也不表明其对发行人的盈利 能力、投资价值或者对投资者的收益作出实质性判断或者保证。任何与之相反的声明均属 虚假不实陈述。 根据《证券法》的规定,股票依法发行后 ...