乘用车

Search documents
光大期货金融期货日报-20250610
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-06-10 03:27
Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core Viewpoints - The current large basis of stock index futures reflects market hedging demand, which depends on the existence of obvious Alpha returns. The market's focus remains on the consumer and technology sectors. The high - tech manufacturing industry in China is in a capital expenditure expansion cycle, and the consumer sector benefits from policy support. In June, these two sectors are expected to be the main focus of the market. The bond market's focus has returned to changes in the capital side. Although there were concerns about capital tightening in June, after the central bank's operations, the expectation of capital tightening has weakened, and the bond market is expected to oscillate strongly [1]. - The stock index futures are expected to oscillate, and the bond futures are also expected to oscillate [1]. Summary by Directory Research Views - **Stock Index Futures**: The large basis of stock index futures reflects market hedging demand, which depends on Alpha returns. Last week, the market's focus was on consumer and technology sectors. The high - tech manufacturing industry is in a capital expenditure expansion cycle, and the consumer sector benefits from policies. In May, the retail of three major white - goods maintained a high year - on - year growth rate (over 60% each), and passenger car retail remained booming (16% year - on - year). There may be a pulse in overseas demand for textile, clothing, and electronic products due to "rush - to - export" [1]. - **Bond Futures**: On June 10, 2025, the 30 - year bond futures main contract rose 0.35%, the 10 - year main contract rose 0.09%, and the 5 - year and 2 - year main contracts were basically stable. The central bank conducted 173.8 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations with a stable interest rate of 1.4%, resulting in a net injection of 173.8 billion yuan. Capital interest rates declined slightly. The bond market's focus has returned to the capital side. Due to large maturing pressure of inter - bank certificates of deposit and increased government bond issuance, there were concerns about capital tightening in June, but after the central bank's operations, the expectation of capital tightening has weakened, and the bond market is expected to oscillate strongly [1]. Daily Price Changes - **Stock Index Futures**: On June 9, 2025, compared with June 6, 2025, IH rose 3.0 points (0.11%), IF rose 12.4 points (0.32%), IC rose 41.0 points (0.72%), and IM rose 67.6 points (1.11%) [4]. - **Stock Indexes**: The Shanghai Composite 50 Index fell 2.0 points (- 0.08%), the CSI 300 Index rose 11.3 points (0.29%), the CSI 500 Index rose 43.6 points (0.76%), and the CSI 1000 Index rose 66.1 points (1.07%) [4]. - **Bond Futures**: TS remained unchanged (0.00%), TF fell 0.015 points (- 0.01%), T rose 0.075 points (0.07%), and TL rose 0.36 points (0.30%) [4]. Market News - In May 2025, China's exports denominated in US dollars increased 4.8% year - on - year (previous value: 8.1%), and imports decreased 3.4% year - on - year (previous value: - 0.2%) [5]. - In May 2025, the national consumer price index decreased 0.1% year - on - year. From January to May, the average national consumer price index decreased 0.1% compared with the same period last year [5]. Chart Analysis - **Stock Index Futures**: There are charts showing the trends of IH, IF, IM, IC main contracts and their respective basis trends [7][8][11]. - **Bond Futures**: There are charts showing the trends of bond futures main contracts, bond spot yields, basis, inter - period spreads, cross - variety spreads, and capital interest rates [14][16][18]. - **Exchange Rates**: There are charts showing the central parity rates of the US dollar, euro against the RMB, forward US dollar against the RMB for 1M and 3M, forward euro against the RMB for 1M and 3M, US dollar index, euro against the US dollar, pound against the US dollar, and US dollar against the yen [21][22][25].
5月乘用车销量193.2万辆 同比增长13.3%
Bei Jing Ri Bao Ke Hu Duan· 2025-06-09 12:51
新能源市场呈现强势增长态势,5月,新能源车国内零售渗透率提升到52.9%;新能源乘用车市场零售 102.1万辆,同比增长28.2%,环比增长12.1%;1至5月累计零售435.1万辆,增长34.1%。5月,自主品牌 新能源车渗透率达68.7%;豪华车中的新能源车渗透率达37.5%;而主流合资品牌新能源车渗透率仅有 4.3%。 出口方面,1至5月自主燃油乘用车出口105万辆,同比下降14%,自主新能源汽车出口64万,同比增长 95%,新能源占自主出口比重为37.9%。虽然年初,自主品牌在俄罗斯主动去库存,对俄罗斯出口下 降,但自主品牌的俄罗斯市场份额依旧保持55%以上高位,考虑到俄罗斯汽车工业现状,中国汽车对俄 出口还会恢复到一定水平。 6月9日,乘用车市场信息联席分会发布月度市场数据,5月全国乘用车市场零售193.2万辆,同比增长 13.3%,环比增长10.1%。今年累计零售881.1万辆,同比增长9.1%。乘联会分析,相比前几年国内车市 零售呈现"前低后高"走势,今年5月零售较2018年5月181万的最高水平增长6%,呈现超强增长态势。 5月乘用车厂商零售、批发和生产数据均创当月历史新高。乘联分会认为,在国 ...
汽车和汽车零部件行业周报:乘用车需求向好 智驾下沉与高端跃迁共振
Minsheng Securities· 2025-06-09 00:30
汽车和汽车零部件行业周报 20250608 乘用车需求向好 智驾下沉与高端跃迁共振 2025 年 06 月 08 日 ➢ 本周数据:2025 年 5 月第 5 周(5.26-6.1)乘用车销量 46.6 万辆,同比 +18.3%,环比+16.7%;新能源乘用车销量 24.7 万辆,同比+30.1%,环比 +11.6%;新能源渗透率 53.1%,环比-2.4pct。 ➢ 本周行情:汽车板块本周表现弱于市场。本周(6 月 3 日-6 月 6 日)A 股汽 车板块下跌 0.01%,在申万子行业中排名第 25 位,表现弱于沪深 300(0.96%)。 细分板块中,摩托车及其他、汽车服务、汽车零部件分别上涨 2.66%、0.92%、 0.48%,乘用车、商用载客车、商用载货车分别下跌 0.12%、2.67%、5.93%。 ➢ 本周观点:本月建议关注核心组合【吉利汽车、比亚迪、小鹏汽车、小米集 团、伯特利、拓普集团、新泉股份、沪光股份、春风动力】。 ➢ 智驾下沉与高端跃迁共振,看好智驾加速落地。2025 年 5 月 28 日小鹏 M03 加推 Max 版(含 502km/600km 续航)及 Plus 版,上市 1 小时 ...
乘用车需求向好,智驾下沉与高端跃迁共振
Minsheng Securities· 2025-06-08 15:31
汽车和汽车零部件行业周报 20250608 乘用车需求向好 智驾下沉与高端跃迁共振 2025 年 06 月 08 日 ➢ 本周数据:2025 年 5 月第 5 周(5.26-6.1)乘用车销量 46.6 万辆,同比 +18.3%,环比+16.7%;新能源乘用车销量 24.7 万辆,同比+30.1%,环比 +11.6%;新能源渗透率 53.1%,环比-2.4pct。 ➢ 本周行情:汽车板块本周表现弱于市场。本周(6 月 3 日-6 月 6 日)A 股汽 车板块下跌 0.01%,在申万子行业中排名第 25 位,表现弱于沪深 300(0.96%)。 细分板块中,摩托车及其他、汽车服务、汽车零部件分别上涨 2.66%、0.92%、 0.48%,乘用车、商用载客车、商用载货车分别下跌 0.12%、2.67%、5.93%。 ➢ 本周观点:本月建议关注核心组合【吉利汽车、比亚迪、小鹏汽车、小米集 团、伯特利、拓普集团、新泉股份、沪光股份、春风动力】。 ➢ 智驾下沉与高端跃迁共振,看好智驾加速落地。2025 年 5 月 28 日小鹏 M03 加推 Max 版(含 502km/600km 续航)及 Plus 版,上市 1 小时 ...
二手房销售再探底——实体经济图谱 2025年第21期【陈兴团队·财通宏观】
陈兴宏观研究· 2025-06-07 12:20
核 心 内 容 月度商品价格预测: 黄金区间震荡,铜、油震荡上行。 内需: 地产后劲不足,汽车小幅回落;假期消费表现良好 。 ①新房、二手房和乘用车均降,家电月均销售价同比增速涨多跌少。6月新房销量增速降幅走扩,而二手房延续价升量跌。商品消费中,乘用车零售小幅回落、而 批发稳中有升,半钢胎开工率低于去年同期。本周家电销售均价多数下降,月均销售价同比增速涨多跌少。 ②假期消费表现良好。节前一周,酒店每间可售房均价同比增速上行。端午假期期间,全国国内出游人次和出游花费分别同比增长5.7%和5.9%;端午档票房收入录 得4.6亿元,同比增长33.3%。 外需: 出口整体放缓,韩国5月出口增速回落 。 ①6月高频出口数量指标增速多有回落,运价同比增速也有下行,指向出口整体放缓。 ②中国至美国集装箱到港周同比由升转降,而传统转口贸易地区港口停靠量周同比大幅回落,指向抢转口规模减少。 ③韩国5月出口同比增速下降,品类中钢铁制品和石油拖累明显。 生产: 淡季需求偏弱运行,迎峰度夏或提振煤电需求。 ①随着淡季来临,钢材需求走弱压力相对明显。本周高炉开工率、电炉开工率和产能利用率均有所下降,螺纹钢产量转降,库存去化速度放缓,价 ...
6月6日晚间重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-06-06 10:24
Group 1 - Baiyunshan received drug registration certificate for Tadalafil tablets (2.5mg, 5mg) from the National Medical Products Administration, indicating its entry into the erectile dysfunction treatment market [1] - Huayin Power plans to invest approximately 1.398 billion yuan in three renewable energy projects with a total installed capacity of 230 MW [2] - GAC Group reported a 24.8% year-on-year decline in May automobile sales, with total sales of 117,700 units [3] Group 2 - Honghui Fruits and Vegetables announced a potential change in control due to share transfer negotiations, leading to a temporary suspension of its stock and convertible bonds [4] - Fuyuan Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received a drug registration certificate for Bromhexine Hydrochloride oral solution, aimed at treating respiratory diseases [5][6] - Jianghan New Materials plans to repurchase shares worth 200 million to 400 million yuan, with a maximum price of 30 yuan per share [7][8] Group 3 - Sinan Navigation received an administrative regulatory decision from the Shanghai Securities Regulatory Bureau due to multiple issues in its 2024 annual report [9][10] - Hesheng Co. received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for a stock issuance to specific investors [11] - Daqin Railway reported a 1.85% year-on-year decrease in cargo transportation volume in May, totaling 32.96 million tons [13] Group 4 - Ningbo Construction's subsidiary won a design and construction project with a bid of 787 million yuan [14] - Yuehongyuan A announced the termination of a major asset restructuring plan due to failure to reach an agreement on key terms [15][16] - Mingyang Smart Energy reached a 190 million yuan repurchase agreement with Haiji New Energy [18] Group 5 - CNE Group's subsidiary plans to reduce registered capital from 430 million yuan to 330 million yuan [19] - ST Baili received an administrative penalty for failing to disclose non-operating fund occupation matters, resulting in a fine of 4 million yuan [21] - Baichuan Co. completed the repurchase of a 7.14% stake in its subsidiary for 50 million yuan [22] Group 6 - Dongrui Co. reported May sales of 155,400 pigs, generating revenue of 203 million yuan, a decrease of 8.77% month-on-month [25][26] - Pengding Holdings reported a 22.43% year-on-year increase in May consolidated revenue, totaling 2.598 billion yuan [27] - Dabeinong reported May sales of 727,600 pigs, with total revenue of 1.248 billion yuan [28] Group 7 - Lihua Co. reported a 4.77% year-on-year decrease in May chicken sales revenue, totaling 1.118 billion yuan [29][30] - Jindan Technology plans to use up to 300 million yuan of idle funds for entrusted wealth management [31] - Youxunda won a project from the State Grid worth approximately 176 million yuan [33][34] Group 8 - Shenglan Co. received approval for its convertible bond issuance from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [35][36] - Jingfang Technology's shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 2% of the company's shares [37] - Shiji Information's subsidiary signed a significant contract with Marriott for cloud services [39] Group 9 - Northeast Securities' subsidiary plans to terminate its listing on the New Third Board [40] - Yaji International's supervisor is under investigation for insider trading [42][43] - Yian Technology signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Shenzhen Hive Interconnect Technology [44] Group 10 - Jinyu Group's subsidiary acquired a real estate project for 3.364 billion yuan [46][47] - Kaiweite's major shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 3% of the company's shares [48] - Ningbo Energy's subsidiary plans to publicly transfer fixed assets valued at approximately 17.4372 million yuan [49]
【会讯】2025年6月乘用车市场分析发布会会议通知
乘联分会· 2025-06-06 08:55
点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共 683 字,阅读全文约需 2 分钟 为了便于大家进一步及时掌握全国乘用车市场产销动态,并了解行业政策、价格、二手车、新能源汽 车、商用车市场、上海汽车市场等情况,中国汽车流通协会乘用车市场信息联席分会秘书处现决定举行"2025 年6月乘用车市场分析发布会",本次会议以 网上发布 的形式举行。 请大家关注微信订阅号:cpca2024和官网www.cpcaauto.com,届时报告将通过以上两种渠道发布。感谢各 位的支持! 会议相关信息如下: 主办方: 中国汽车流通协会乘用车市场信息联席分会 协办方: 搜狐·汽车事业部 上海市信息中心 益普索(中国)咨询有限公司 上海安路勤企业管理咨询有限公司 上海福蓝汽车技术有限公司 广州威尔森信息科技有限公司 科瑞卓信(北京)咨询有限公司 广州市佩升前研市场信息咨询股份有限公司 会议报告网上发布时间: 2025年6月9日(星期一)下午16:00 会议报告内容: 1)2025年5月份上海汽车市场上牌情况 ——上海市信息中心; 2)2025年4月价格指数报告 ——福蓝汽车; 会议报告网上发布渠道: 2025年6月6日 3) 关于国家鼓励 ...
汽车行业2025下半年展望:混动加速新能源渗透 智驾与机器人产业化提速
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-06 02:40
Group 1: Passenger Vehicles - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China is expected to reach 55% by 2025, with multiple hybrid models launching in the second half of the year [1] - The retail and export of passenger vehicles in mainland China are projected to grow by 2.9% and 10% year-on-year, respectively, in 2025 [1] - The price of intelligent driving models is anticipated to drop below 200,000 RMB, with domestic software like Momenta leading the market [1] - Increased competition in the automotive market is expected in the second half of the year, with a focus on companies like BYD and XPeng Motors [1] Group 2: Heavy Trucks - Heavy truck sales in China are projected to reach 950,000 units (including exports) in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5% [1] - The market performance for heavy trucks has been relatively flat, with cumulative sales of 350,000 units in the first four months of 2025 [2] - Local policies are expected to boost market conditions in the second half of the year, enhancing the market share of leading companies [2] Group 3: Two-Wheelers - The new national standards and trade-in policies are expected to support a recovery in the two-wheeler market, with sales projected to reach 56 million units in 2025 [2] - The new standards raise production technology requirements and emphasize the importance of smart technology in the industry [2] - Industry leader Yadea is favored for its strong market position [2] Group 4: Batteries - The trend is shifting towards range-extending large batteries, with a focus on commercial vehicle batteries [2] - The recent phase of tariff agreements between China and the U.S. introduces uncertainties, while South Korean companies are increasing their presence in the North American market [2] - CATL is recommended for its technological advancements and overseas expansion [2] Group 5: Robotics - The industrialization of robotics is approaching, with companies like Tesla and UBTECH announcing mass production plans [2] - Chinese companies are expected to benefit from cost advantages and technological accumulation [2] - Attention is drawn to core components with low domestic production rates and high value proportions, such as planetary roller screws and six-dimensional force sensors [2]
财经早报:6月6日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-06 00:02
Group 1 - China will approve compliant rare earth export license applications and urges the US to lift all trade restrictions, including the 301 tariffs [2][2] - The Ministry of Commerce will actively cooperate with relevant departments to address the "involution" competition in the automotive industry, promoting fair market order [2][2] - The National Bureau of Statistics announced the establishment of 10 national data element comprehensive pilot zones to enhance the integration of the real economy and digital economy [2][2] Group 2 - In May, retail sales of new energy vehicles in China reached 1.056 million units, a year-on-year increase of 30%, with a market penetration rate of 53.5% [2][2] - The Hong Kong stock market's total market capitalization reached HKD 40.9 trillion by the end of May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 24% [2][2] - A total of 439 A-share companies conducted buybacks in the past month, with a total amount of CNY 26.689 billion, a year-on-year increase of 51.83% [2][2] Group 3 - The People's Bank of China will conduct a 1 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a term of 3 months, enhancing policy transparency [2][2] - The China Securities Index Company will officially launch the CSI Haitong Asset Management Technology Theme Bond Index and the CSI Haitong Asset Management Green Theme Bond Index [2][2] - The A-share listed companies are entering a concentrated phase for profit distribution, with nearly 1,300 companies executing their 2024 annual distribution plans [2][2]
中证港美上市全球智能驾驶主题指数报6479.62点,前十大权重包含Marvell Technology Group Ltd等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-06-05 10:42
从中证港美上市全球智能驾驶主题指数持仓样本的行业来看,乘用车占比22.53%、数字媒体占比 2.98%、光学光电子占比2.66%、汽车零部件与轮胎占比0.33%。 资料显示,指数样本每半年调整一次,样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。权重因子随样本定期调整而调整,调整时间与指数样本定期调整实施时间相同。在下一个定期 调整日前,权重因子一般固定不变。特殊情况下将对指数进行临时调整。当样本退市时,将其从指数样 本中剔除。样本公司发生收购、合并、分拆等情形的处理,参照计算与维护细则处理。 本文源自:金融界 作者:行情君 据了解,中证港美上市全球智能驾驶主题指数从中国香港和美国市场上市的证券中选取50只业务涉及感 知定位、决策规划、控制执行以及车联网等智能驾驶相关领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本,反映中国 香港和美国市场上市的智能驾驶主题上市公司证券的整体表现。该指数以2016年12月30日为基日,以 1000.0点为基点。 从指数持仓来看,中证港美上市全球智能驾驶主题指数十大权重分别为:NVIDIA Corp(10.74%)、理 想汽车-W(9.89%)、Tesla Motors In ...