Core Viewpoint - CICC reports a decrease in stock positions among public funds in Q4, with an increase in A-shares and a continued decline in Hong Kong stocks [2] Group 1: Public Fund Position Changes - In Q4, the overall stock position of public funds decreased, while A-share positions increased and Hong Kong stock positions continued to decline [2] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.2% in Q4, with the ChiNext Index down by 1.1% and the STAR Market down by 10.1% [2] - The median return of actively managed equity public funds dropped to -1.5%, marking the lowest quarterly return of the year [2] Group 2: Asset Scale and Composition - The total asset value of public funds increased from 38.1 trillion yuan to 39.5 trillion yuan in Q4, with stock assets slightly rising to over 9 trillion yuan [3] - The proportion of equity assets decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 22.9%, while bond assets increased by 0.6 percentage points to 53.4% [3] Group 3: Active Equity Fund Characteristics - The total value of actively managed equity funds decreased from 3.1 trillion yuan to 3 trillion yuan, with stock asset scale declining to 2.6 trillion yuan [4] - A-share positions rose from 71.7% to 72.3%, remaining at a relatively low level over the past decade [4] - The net redemption scale of actively managed equity funds decreased to 128.2 billion yuan in Q4 [4] Group 4: Heavyweight Stock Configuration - The concentration of holdings in leading companies decreased, with the market value of the top 100 companies held by actively managed equity funds dropping from 60.3% to 58.8% [5] - The top 50 companies' market value share fell from 47.7% to 46.7% [5] - The positions in the ChiNext increased by 1.2 percentage points to 24.9%, while the STAR Market positions decreased by 1.1 percentage points to 16.7% [5] Group 5: Sector Adjustments - Increased allocations were seen in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, communication, and non-bank financials, while reductions occurred in consumer electronics and innovative pharmaceuticals [6][7] - Non-ferrous metals saw a 2.3 percentage point increase in positions, supported by strong industry fundamentals [6] - The communication sector's position rose by 2 percentage points, while consumer electronics saw a decrease of 2.5 percentage points [7] Group 6: ETF Fund Developments - The total asset value of public ETFs rose from 6.6 trillion yuan to 7.1 trillion yuan, with stock assets accounting for 65% [8] - The total asset value of stock ETFs reached 3.8 trillion yuan, reflecting a slight increase [8] Group 7: Future Market Outlook - The A-share market is expected to show a "long-term" and "steady" trend, supported by multiple factors including industry hotspots and improved liquidity [9] - The market is anticipated to perform strongly at the beginning of the year, with trading volumes reaching new highs [9] Group 8: Investment Recommendations - Suggested areas for investment include AI technology, overseas expansion opportunities, cyclical reversals, high dividend stocks, and sectors with promising annual report highlights [10]

点击小程序查看报告原文 公募基金四季度仓位变动：股票仓位有所下降；A股仓位上升，港股继续下降 2025年四季度，A股整体窄幅震荡。11月中上旬，受中美关系阶段性缓和与"十五五"政策预期带动，上证指数一度刷新年内高点；其后在美联储降息节奏 反复、市场对AI估值泡沫担忧升温等因素扰动下，风险偏好有所回落；至12月中旬跨年行情启动，市场再度走强。总体来看，四季度上证指数上涨 2.2%；前期表现强势的成长风格回调，科创50下跌10.1%，跌幅靠前，创业板指收跌1.1%；偏大盘的上证50上涨1.4%而沪深300微跌0.2%；偏中小盘的中 证1000和中证2000分别上涨0.3%和3.6%；红利风格有所表现，中证红利指数上涨0.8%。在此背景下，主动偏股型公募基金单季度收益率中位数为-1.5%， 较上季度显著下降，单季收益为年内最低。 公募基金资产规模继续扩张，权益资产占比下降，债券资产占比回升。 公募基金整体资产规模连续三个季度扩张，四季度资产总值由上季度的38.1万亿元 升至39.5万亿元。其中，股票资产规模小幅上升至9万亿元以上，股票占资产总值的比重较上季度下降0.7个百分点至22.9%；债券资产占比较上季度上升 ...

本报记者 方凌晨 作为以追求超额收益为主要目标的基金品类，主动权益基金的相关动向备受市场关注。随着公募基金 2025年四季报披露完毕，主动权益基金的规模、收益、重仓行业等最新情况一一揭晓。 整体来看，2025年第四季度，主动权益基金维持较高的股票仓位运作，价值风格的主动权益基金表现更 优。持仓A股方面，电子、医药生物和电力设备为主动权益基金前三大重仓行业，中际旭创、新易盛、 宁德时代为其前三大重仓个股。 具体到重仓个股，截至2025年末，主动权益基金在A股市场的前十大重仓股依次为中际旭创、新易盛、 宁德时代、紫金矿业、寒武纪、立讯精密、贵州茅台、东山精密、美的集团和阳光电源。 调仓动作方面，2025年第四季度，主动权益基金增持前三名个股分别是中际旭创、中国平安和东山精 密。 从管理人维度来看，截至2025年末，仅有易方达基金、中欧基金两家管理人的主动权益基金规模突破 2000亿元，分别达2660.46亿元、2316.10亿元；广发基金、富国基金、汇添富基金、华夏基金等管理规 模则均在1000亿元以上。在这些主动权益基金规模靠前的公募基金管理人中，中欧基金的主动权益基金 规模占其在管产品总规模的比例最高，为33 ...

近期A股整体呈现震荡上行格局，市场成交维持高位，赚钱效应明显修复。与此同时，主要宽基指数涨 跌互现，市场风格分化进一步加剧。代表大盘蓝筹的上证50和沪深300指数表现较弱，而中证500和中证 1000等中小盘指数则大幅领涨。逆周期调节政策落地后，春季行情将如何演绎？市场结构性分化会否延 续？请看本周机构研判。 中信证券： 市场信心持续恢复中消费链的增配时点就是当下 近期宽基ETF的赎回规模继续放大，在此背景下，不同行业和个股的承接力相差较大。从结构上来看， 主动型机构超配的板块和个股在宽基ETF赎回潮中反而超额收益更明显。往后看，市场信心处于持续恢 复过程中，只要估值处于相对低位、具备增长逻辑且非宽基权重股的行业，预计都将出现修复。其中消 费链的增配时点就是当下到3月前后，地产链亦可能在此阶段发生明显修复。 此外，在"资源+传统制造定价权重估"的基本思路下，围绕化工、有色、新能源、电力设备构建的基础 组合，仍然是优先配置方向。在此基础上，投资者可逢低增配非银（证券、保险），同时通过部分内需 品种（如免税、航空、建材等）或高景气品种（半导体设备、材料等）增强收益。 兴业证券： 2月是主要指数全年胜率最高的月份之 ...

Group 1: National Unified Market Construction - The construction of a national unified market has been elevated to a core economic strategy, emphasizing the need to eliminate market barriers and facilitate economic circulation[8] - The central economic work conference in 2025 highlighted the importance of deepening the construction of a unified market, marking a transition from framework establishment to systematic implementation[9] - The construction process has seen significant progress, with improvements in property rights protection, market access, fair competition, and social credit systems[9] Group 2: Key Areas and Policies - The modern service industry is expected to be a crucial driver in the unified market construction, with coastal regions likely to be the first to pilot reforms[1] - Tax incentives and government subsidies have been adjusted, primarily affecting key industries such as electronics, automotive, and pharmaceuticals, which may accelerate industry restructuring[1] - The establishment of a unified market will require reforms in the fiscal and tax systems, as well as optimization of local performance evaluation systems[1] Group 3: Economic Impact and Participation - The participation of different provinces in the unified market varies significantly, with coastal provinces showing higher engagement levels[1] - The share of external factors in total inputs is over 50% for resource-related and some high-tech manufacturing industries, indicating smoother domestic flow of factors[14] - Service industries show lower external factor input ratios, with public administration, accommodation, and comprehensive technical services at 7.23%, 11.54%, and 11.99% respectively, suggesting potential bottlenecks in factor circulation[14]

来源：上海证券报·中国证券网 上证报中国证券网讯（记者 汪友若）近期A股整体呈现震荡上行格局，市场成交维持高位，赚钱效应明 显修复。与此同时，主要宽基指数涨跌互现，市场风格分化进一步加剧。代表大盘蓝筹的上证50和沪深 300指数表现较弱，而中证500和中证1000等中小盘指数则大幅领涨。逆周期调节政策落地后，春季行情 将如何演绎？市场结构性分化会否延续？请看本周机构研判。 中信证券：市场信心持续恢复中 消费链的增配时点就是当下 近期宽基ETF的赎回规模继续放大，在此背景下，不同行业和个股的承接力相差较大。从结构上来看， 主动型机构超配的板块和个股在宽基ETF赎回潮中反而超额收益更明显。往后看，市场信心处于持续恢 复过程中，只要估值处于相对低位、具备增长逻辑且非宽基权重股的行业，预计都将出现修复。其中消 费链的增配时点就是当下到3月前后，地产链亦可能在此阶段发生明显修复。 此外，在"资源+传统制造定价权重估"的基本思路下，围绕化工、有色、新能源、电力设备构建的基础 组合，仍然是优先配置方向。在此基础上，投资者可逢低增配非银（证券、保险），同时通过部分内需 品种（如免税、航空、建材等）或高景气品种（半导体设备、材 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the pharmaceutical sector [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes three main investment themes for 2026: innovation, overseas expansion, and turnaround impulses, with a focus on BD2.0, small nucleic acids, and supply chain (CXO and upstream) [2][3] - The report suggests that the pharmaceutical sector is currently experiencing a rotation in investment focus, particularly in areas such as brain-computer interfaces, AI integration, small nucleic acids, and medical robotics [3] Summary by Sections Public Fund Holdings Update for Q4 2025 - Overall, the market value of public funds holding pharmaceutical stocks has decreased, with a total market value of 217.6 billion yuan, down by 51 billion yuan from the previous quarter [14] - The pharmaceutical sector's allocation in public funds is 7.96%, a decrease of 1.74 percentage points [19] - Chemical preparations remain the most heavily weighted sub-industry, while allocations to medical devices have increased [14][25] Market Review and Analysis - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology index decreased by 0.39% week-on-week, outperforming the CSI 300 index but underperforming the ChiNext index [1] - The total trading volume in the pharmaceutical sector was 554.24 billion yuan, accounting for 4.00% of the total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets [1] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies specific companies for potential investment, including: - CXO and innovative drug companies such as Tigermed, Zhaoyan New Drug, and Hai Si Ke, which have seen significant increases in fund holdings [16][38] - AI innovative drug companies like Jingtai Holdings and small nucleic acid firms such as Frontier Biotech and Yuyuan Pharmaceutical [3][38] - The report also highlights the importance of exploring CROs, essential drugs, and companies showing signs of bottoming out [3]

北交所策略专题报告 2026 年 01 月 25 日 北交所主题基金 2025 年成绩单平均 55.53%，把脉 2026 年结构性机会 ——北交所策略专题报告 北交所研究团队 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 公布 2025Q4 季报，11 家主题基金 2025 年收益率均值达 55.53% 从公募机构在北交所配置家数来看，2024 年末共计 29 家公募机构配置北交所股 票，同比增长 31.82%，2025 年末公募基金重仓北交所企业的数量分别为 41 家， 同比 2024 年末增长 41.38%。从公募机构在北交所重仓配置金额角度来看，2025 年末公募机构在北交所重仓配置金额 90.50 亿元，重仓配置占比达 0.12%。其中 2025 年单季度末公募机构在北交所重仓配置金额分别为 67.43 亿元、98.92 亿元、 103.07 亿元、90.50 亿元，重仓配置占比达 0.11%、0.17%、0.14%、0.12%。从被 动指数基金规模角度来看，2025 年北证 50 指数基金规模高增长。2022-2026 年 北证 50 指数基金规模 ...

北交所策略专题报告 2026 年 01 月 25 日 动力电池回收产业迎政策元年：市场复合增速达 57%，布局北交所稀缺标的 北交所研究团队 ——北交所策略专题报告 | 诸海滨（分析师） | 余中天（分析师） | | --- | --- | | zhuhaibin@kysec.cn | yuzhongtian@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522080007 | 证书编号：S0790525050003 | 动力电池回收利用暂行办法出台，北证标的提前布局锂电循环 2026 年 1 月 23 日，工信部等六部门联合发布《新能源汽车废旧动力电池回收和 综合利用管理暂行办法》。中国内地的退役锂电池总量由 2020 年的 157,100 吨增 至 2024 年的 455,100 吨，复合年增长率为 30.5%。2020 年至 2024 年，全球处理 量由 338,400 吨增至 1.3 百万吨，复合年增长率为 40.6%。同期，中国内地处理 量由 113,900 吨增至 695,700 吨，复合年增长率为 57.2%。目前北交所内锂电池 回收相关的企业共有四家，截至 2026 年 1 月 23 日总市值 ...

Group 1 - The spring market is progressing along a predetermined path, driven by the principle of "steady progress," with a foundation for a perfect spring market established through incremental gaming and favorable conditions for long positions [3][4][5] - The spring market is characterized by a complete rotation of sectors and a broad diffusion of profit effects, with short-term investments in cyclical Alpha expanding towards more cyclical turning points [3][4][5] - The overall profit effect is nearing a high point, which may limit the time and space for subsequent market movements after the initial surge [3][4][5] Group 2 - The spring market is essentially an extension and expansion phase of the high valuation area of the 2025 technology structural market, with some investment directions entering a high volatility phase [5][6] - After the spring market, a consolidation phase is likely, focusing on waiting for clearer clues regarding the next phase of industrial trends and the digestion of performance and valuation [5][6] - The second half of 2026 is expected to see a new upward phase driven by cyclical improvements in fundamentals, new stages in technology industry trends, and increased asset allocation towards equities by residents [5][6] Group 3 - Short-term focus is on cyclical Alpha as a key direction for market exploration of low positions, with resistance likely increasing as profit effects expand to high levels [6][8] - Subsequent rotation directions include opportunities for rebounds in previously strong sectors like commercial aerospace and AI applications, while sectors with relatively low profit effects may see a rotation and recovery [6][8] - The long-term outlook remains positive for both cyclical Alpha and technology sectors, with a focus on sectors such as overseas computing chains, AI applications, semiconductors, energy storage, and commercial aerospace [6][8]