Group 1 - Fluorine is a highly reactive chemical element widely found in various organic and inorganic compounds, with fluorinated refrigerants being a significant branch of organic fluorine products [2] - The fluorochemical industry chain starts with fluorite, a strategic mineral resource in China, which has seen tightened domestic policies leading to a shift from a net exporter to a net importer since 2018, with net imports expected to reach 1.1 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 72% [2] - The price of fluorite has shown a long-term upward trend due to strengthened mining regulations, which directly impacts the cost structure of downstream fluorinated compounds [2] Group 2 - The first generation of refrigerants has been globally phased out due to significant damage to the ozone layer, while the second generation, which has a relatively lower impact, is also being phased out in developed countries and is subject to quota production in China, leading to continuous reductions [3] - According to the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, the production quota for second-generation refrigerants has decreased from 426,000 tons in 2013 to 164,000 tons by 2025, with R22 accounting for the highest share at 91% of the total quota, making it the mainstream product among second-generation refrigerants [4]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the chemical industry, particularly in segments like potassium fertilizers and carbon fiber, indicating potential investment opportunities in leading companies with scale and technological advantages [5][6][7]. Core Insights - The potassium fertilizer market is expected to maintain its favorable conditions following the signing of a major contract between Russia and India at a price of $349 per ton, reflecting a 23.3% increase from the previous year [6][15]. - The carbon fiber industry is undergoing accelerated consolidation, with significant players like Dow and SGL exiting the market, which may create opportunities for companies with strong technological capabilities [7][16][17]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry News and Events - The Indian potassium fertilizer contract was finalized at $349 per ton, with a shipment volume of 600,000 tons, indicating a strong market outlook [6][15]. - The carbon fiber sector is seeing consolidation, with Dow selling its stake in DowAksa and SGL closing its factory in Portugal, suggesting a shift towards companies with competitive advantages [7][16][17]. 2. Chemical Sector Performance - The basic chemical index rose by 2.61% in the week of June 2-6, 2025, outperforming the broader market [21][22]. - Notable stock performances included significant gains in companies like Lianhua Technology and Dazhi Technology, while some companies faced declines [26][28]. 3. Price Trends - Key products such as sulfuric acid and caustic soda saw price increases of 4.67% and 4.56% respectively, while vitamin E prices dropped by 13.46% [32][33]. - The price spread for products like PVC and PET bottles showed significant increases, indicating market dynamics favoring certain chemical products [34][35]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on integrated players in the refining and chemical sectors, as well as leaders in the refrigerant and agricultural chemical markets [19][20]. - Companies involved in domestic substitution for high-end materials, such as semiconductor materials and advanced engineering plastics, are highlighted as potential beneficiaries of the domestic manufacturing trend [20].

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年06月10日 [table_invest] 标配 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 吴骏燕 S0630517120001 wjyan@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 谢建斌 S0630522020001 xjb@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 张晶磊 S0630524090001 zjlei@longone.com.cn 联系人 花雨欣 hyx@longone.com.cn [table_stockTrend] -26% -17% -7% 2% 11% 20% 29% 24-06 24-09 24-12 25-03 申万行业指数:基础化工(0722) 沪深300 [相关研究 table_product] 1.碳纤维行业整合加速，关注具有规 模和技术优势的龙头企业 ——化工 新材料行业简评 2.供给端扰动背景下，关注相关化工 板块配置机会——基础化工行业周 报（2025/05/26-2025/06/01） 3.日本三井化学退出三氟化氮业务， 我国电子特气竞争力有望加强—— 化工新材料行业简评 [Table_NewTitle 印度钾肥大 ...

826只股公布截至5月31日最新股东户数，相比上期股东户数下降的有377只，降幅居前的是哈三联、中 欣氟材、光智科技等。 投资者除了在定期报告中获得股东信息数据外，还可以在交易所互动平台上通过提问方式了解部分公司 更及时（每月10日、20日、月末）的股东户数信息。以往3期分别有731家、670家、657家公司在互动平 台透露了股东户数，截至发稿，共有826家公司公布了截至5月31日股东户数。 上期筹码集中股回测：62%跑赢沪指 证券时报·数据宝对上一期(5月20日)筹码集中股监测显示，这些股5月11日以来平均上涨4.82%，走势强 于同期沪指表现（上涨1.73%），其中，62%的筹码集中股相对大盘获超额收益。 上期股东户数降逾一成个股中，*ST和科涨幅最高，5月11日以来累计上涨31.87%，涨幅居前的还有万 通智控、速达股份等。 27股最新股东户数降逾一成 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，共有826只个股公布了5月31日股东户数，与上期（5月20日）相比，股东户 数下降的有377只。其中股东户数降幅超一成的有27只。 股东户数降幅最多的是哈三联，截至5月31日最新股东户数为40260户，较5月20日下降25.74 ...

化学原料 2025 年 06 月 07 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -29% -19% -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 化学原料 沪深300 相关研究报告 《制冷剂 4 月外贸均价持续抬升，积 极关注回调后布局机会—氟化工行业 周报》-2025.5.25 《巨化股份、三美股份市值破历史新 高，行情向上趋势不变—氟化工行业 周报》-2025.5.11 《制冷剂报价进一步上涨，需求、政 策助力行情延续—氟化工行业周报》 -2025.4.27 《制冷剂行业深度报告三：蓄势双 击，或迎主升》（2024.12.17） 《制冷剂政策点评：制冷剂 2025 年 配额方案征求意见稿下发，看好制冷 剂景气向上趋势延续》（2024.9.16） 《东阳光首次覆盖报告：原有主业或 迎业绩反转，制冷剂开启长景气周 期》（2024.8.27） 《制冷剂行业深度报告二：拐点已 现，行则将至》（2024.2.6） 《制冷剂行业深度报告：十年轮回， 未来已来》（2021.10.20） 《金石资源深度报告（三）：新兴产 业创造新的需求增长极，萤石供给将 现缺口》 ...

随着人工智能应用催生出前所未有的算力需求，数据中心能耗与热量管理问题日益突出。 风冷正在逐步 被液冷技术所取代，尤其是 浸没式液冷 ，被视为下一代绿色高效的数据中心散热技术。 在这个新型散热系统中，真正藏在"水面"下的，是一种对性能要求极其苛刻的 冷却液材料 。 目前，常用 的浸没式冷却液分为三大类：氟化液 、合成油、有机硅类 等主要类型， 对 比其他类型的冷却液， 氟化 液 的综合性能较好，是理想的液冷材 料 。 氟化液可分为氢氟饱和化合物（如氢氟醚）、全氟饱和化合物（如全氟聚醚）等。 就供给端方面，全球 高性能电子氟化液份额主要被3M、索尔维、旭硝子和科慕 等外企占据。 在2 0 22年3M宣布将退出全氟 烷基和多氟烷基物质（PFAS）的生产，并努力在 2025 年底前停止在其产品组合中使用 PFAS。 此时，约80%的全球冷却液市场处于供应商切换窗口，2025将成为氟化液企业竞争的关键。 根据公开披 露的数据 2025 年全球数据中心浸没式冷却液总市场规模有望达到10万吨，以200元/kg均价对应全球数 据中心领域的市场规模约200亿元 。 除了数据中心冷却液，氟化液还可以用于半导体领域的干法刻蚀控温、 ...

Core Viewpoint - The fluorochemical sector experienced a significant rally, with companies such as Sanmei Co. and Juhua Co. reaching historical highs, driven by rising prices and profits in the refrigerant market [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The fluorochemical sector saw a notable increase, with Sanmei Co. and Juhua Co. both achieving record highs, rising over 4% [1] - Yonghe Co. approached the daily limit up, indicating strong market interest [1] - Other companies in the sector, including Jinshi Resources, Xingfa Group, and Haohua Technology, also experienced gains [1] Group 2: Price and Profit Data - The average domestic price of the third-generation refrigerant R32 has surpassed 50,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 42% [1] - As of June 5, the gross profit for the R32 industry reached 35,000 yuan per ton, which is an increase of over 10,000 yuan per ton compared to the same period last year [1]

Group 1 - The third-generation refrigerant R32 has seen a price surge, with the domestic average price exceeding 50,000 yuan per ton, representing a 42% year-on-year increase [2] - As of June 5, the gross profit for R32 reached 35,000 yuan per ton, an increase of over 10,000 yuan per ton compared to the same period last year [2] - Several brokerages are optimistic about the third-generation refrigerant's market cycle, anticipating that leading companies will benefit significantly [2] Group 2 - Dongyue Group (00189) is a leading player in China's fluorosilicon industry, holding the fourth domestic quota for HFCs and the first for R22 [3] - The company has integrated advantages across its two main industrial chains: fluorochemical (hydrofluoric acid, refrigerants, and fluorinated polymers) and silicon chemical (monomers, intermediates, and deep-processing products) [3]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the refrigerant sector, recommending attention to companies such as Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Yonghe Co. due to expected demand growth and price increases in refrigerants [5]. Core Insights - The refrigerant market is entering a demand peak season, with prices and margins for major refrigerant types on the rise. The report highlights the impact of high summer temperatures and supply constraints due to quota policies [5][25]. - The explosion at Youdao Chemical has raised concerns in the pesticide industry, potentially affecting supply and prices of intermediates like K amine, while stricter regulations may benefit leading companies with better safety and management practices [4][5]. Summary by Sections 1. Key Chemical Product Price Tracking - Notable price increases were observed in formic acid (6.52%), dichloromethane (4.36%), and acrylamide (4.55%), while TMA and dichloromethane saw significant declines [13][18]. 2. Polyurethane - MDI prices decreased while TDI prices increased due to seasonal demand fluctuations and maintenance schedules at several production facilities [16]. 3. Agricultural Chemicals - Glyphosate prices rose slightly to 23,397 CNY/ton, supported by strong demand and reduced supply from some factories [18]. 4. Fluorinated Chemicals - Prices for third-generation refrigerants R32 and R134a increased, driven by seasonal demand and supply constraints. R32 is priced at 51,000 CNY/ton, and R134a at 48,500 CNY/ton [25][32]. 5. Phosphate Fertilizers - Prices for monoammonium phosphate and diammonium phosphate remained stable, with production pressures and inventory levels being closely monitored [20][21]. 6. Urea and Potassium Chloride - Urea prices decreased to 1,863 CNY/ton due to market adjustments and reduced export volumes, while potassium chloride prices remained stable at 2,956 CNY/ton [21][24].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for specific companies in the agricultural chemicals sector, including Yangnong Chemical and Runfeng Co., while recommending "Hold" for others like Haier and Guangxin Co. [20] Core Insights - The recent explosion incident has tightened the supply-demand dynamics for K-amine and other intermediates, which is expected to accelerate the recovery of the pesticide industry and potentially drive up nitrocellulose prices [5][12] - The agricultural chemicals sector is gradually returning to rationality, with high-priced inventories being depleted and procurement demand recovering, although supply-side pressures remain [5][12] - The report highlights the potential for stricter safety and environmental regulations following the recent incidents, which could further enhance the agricultural chemicals industry's cyclical recovery [5][12] Industry Dynamics - Current macroeconomic judgments indicate that oil prices are under pressure due to geopolitical factors and OPEC+ production increases, while coal prices are expected to decline in the medium to long term [6] - The chemical industry is experiencing a gradual recovery in PPI, with April's chemical industry PPI showing a year-on-year decline of 3.2% [8] - The report notes that the recent explosion at a chemical facility has led to increased prices for K-amine and related products, with recommendations to focus on companies like Hongyang and Lier Chemical [5][12] Chemical Product Prices and Trends - The report provides detailed pricing trends for various chemical products, including a stable price for urea at 1830 RMB/ton and fluctuations in pesticide prices, with some herbicides seeing price increases [12][22] - The report indicates that the price of nitrocellulose has risen significantly, with export prices increasing from 2.06 USD/kg in October 2021 to 4.75 USD/kg in April 2025 [5][12] Company Recommendations - Specific companies are highlighted for investment based on their market positions and growth potential, including Yangnong Chemical, Runfeng Co., and others in the agricultural chemicals sector [20] - The report suggests monitoring companies with mature nitrochemical processes, such as Yangnong Chemical and Guangxin Co., due to expected regulatory changes [5][12]