证券日报网讯海大集团（002311）10月20日发布公告，在公司回答调研者提问时表示，截至目前，公司 资产负债率按计划逐步下降。未来，公司将根据实际经营情况以更丰富的利润分配方式回馈股东。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported an increase in feed production capacity utilization year-on-year, attributed to strong growth in feed sales [1] Group 1 - The company, Haida Group, announced on October 20 that its feed sales have shown good growth [1] - The increase in feed sales has positively impacted the company's feed production capacity utilization rate [1]

证券日报网讯海大集团（002311）10月20日发布公告，在公司回答调研者提问时表示，公司三季度饲料 销量延续上半年良好的增长态势。公司将紧咬战略目标——2030年达到5150万吨销售总量，稳步提升国 内产能利用率和市场份额，进一步加快海外饲料业务的拓展。 ...

Market Overview - The feed sector experienced a decline of 2.12% on October 20, with Hai Da Group leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3863.89, up 0.63%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12813.21, up 0.98% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Hai Da Group's stock price fell by 6.02% to 57.41, with a trading volume of 201,400 shares and a total transaction value of 1.174 billion [2] - Tianma Technology and Guai Bao Pet Products also saw declines of 3.82% and 2.12%, respectively [2] - Other notable stocks in the feed sector included Baiyang Co., which rose by 1.86%, and Boen Group, which increased by 1.80% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The feed sector saw a net outflow of 80.8455 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 118 million [2] - The capital flow data indicates that major stocks like Dabeinong and Aonong Biological experienced varying levels of net inflow and outflow from different investor categories [3]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - The planting industry is focusing on enhancing crop yields and ensuring food security through advanced agricultural technologies and policies [1][12] - The pig farming sector is currently experiencing significant losses, with average losses per head reaching 244.70 yuan for self-bred pigs and 375.29 yuan for purchased piglets, indicating a need for capacity reduction [2][13] - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in pig prices due to government policies aimed at reducing breeding sow numbers and improving overall industry efficiency [5][13] Summary by Sections Planting Industry - The Ministry of Agriculture emphasized the importance of increasing crop yields and implementing comprehensive solutions tailored to specific regions and crops [1][12] - The report highlights the potential for genetically modified crops to significantly enhance yields and self-sufficiency in key varieties [1][12] - Recommended stocks in the planting sector include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, with a focus on leading seed companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][12] Pig Farming - The average price of live pigs is reported at 11.14 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 4.95%, reflecting an oversupply in the market [2][13] - The industry is facing deep losses, prompting a proactive reduction in production capacity, with a target to decrease the breeding sow population by approximately 1 million [5][13] - Recommended stocks in the pig farming sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, and other companies with strong financial positions and cost improvements [5][13] Key Agricultural Products - Corn: The average price is 2276.08 yuan/ton, down 1.61% week-on-week [26] - Wheat: The average price is 2450.11 yuan/ton, up 0.30% week-on-week [29] - Soybeans: The average price is 3988.53 yuan/ton, with a slight increase of 0.03% [41] - Cotton: The average price is 14580 yuan/ton, down 0.98% week-on-week [45] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.64 yuan/kg, down 0.75% week-on-week [52] - Vitamin E is priced at 43.10 yuan/kg, reflecting a significant decrease of 12.58% [52]

Core Insights - The report from Huazhong Securities indicates that Haida Group's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first nine months of 2025 reached 4.14 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.3%, with Q3 profit growth slowing due to losses in the pig farming business [1][2] - The company has announced a plan for a spin-off listing, focusing on deepening its development in overseas markets [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's feed sales amounted to approximately 14.7 million tons (including 1.05 million tons of domestic sales), reflecting a year-on-year increase of 25% [1] - The external sales of feed increased by approximately 2.84 million tons, with poultry feed external sales up 24%, pig feed external sales up 43%, and aquatic feed external sales up 16% [1] Group 2: Future Projections - The company aims for a total external feed sales increase of over 5 million tons for the entire year, with overseas feed sales expected to maintain a high growth rate of 40% [2] - Projections for external feed sales from 2025 to 2027 are 29.53 million tons, 32.46 million tons, and 35.67 million tons, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.9%, 9.9%, and 9.9% respectively [2] - The expected number of pigs slaughtered is 6.48 million heads for 2025 and 2026, and 6.8 million heads for 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 8%, 0%, and 5% respectively [2] Group 3: Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve main business revenues of 141.48 billion yuan, 159.84 billion yuan, and 181.16 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.5%, 13.0%, and 13.3% respectively [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 5.01 billion yuan, 5.80 billion yuan, and 6.22 billion yuan for the same period, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.3%, 15.7%, and 7.3% respectively [2] - The previous estimates for net profit in 2025, 2026, and 2027 were 5.16 billion yuan, 5.50 billion yuan, and 5.91 billion yuan, with the downward adjustment mainly due to changes in feed sales, feed profit per ton, pig slaughter volume, and pig price expectations [2]

Core Insights - Guangdong Yuehai Feed Group's subsidiary Anhui Yuehai Feed has officially launched its 100,000-ton aquatic feed production facility in Wuhu, marking the completion of the company's strategic triangle layout in East China [1][2] Company Overview - Anhui Yuehai was established in July 2019 and is the core implementation entity of Yuehai Feed's listed fundraising projects, with a total investment of 170 million yuan (approximately 24.1 million USD), of which 110 million yuan (approximately 15.5 million USD) is raised funds [1] - The new facility covers over 60 acres with a building area of 43,000 square meters and includes two production lines for puffed feed with a capacity of 10 tons per hour and one production line for shrimp feed with a capacity of 5 tons per hour, achieving an annual production capacity exceeding 100,000 tons [1] Product and Market Strategy - The product matrix includes over ten core products under the "Yuehai" and "Haixuan" brands, such as shrimp feed, bass feed, and yellow catfish feed, with a sales network covering East and Central China [1] - The facility aims to meet the diverse needs of specialized aquatic farming in Anhui and surrounding provinces, providing localized supply services within a 300-kilometer radius to reduce procurement and transportation costs [1] Technological and Quality Control Advancements - Anhui Yuehai leverages two provincial-level research platforms to synchronize production processes with industry advancements, employing cutting-edge production equipment to enhance feed stability and palatability [2] - The company has established a comprehensive quality control system and adheres to the group's "four guarantees" standards, with over 25% of its 135 employees being professional technical personnel [2] Strategic Goals and Market Positioning - The chairman of Yuehai Feed, Zheng Shixuan, outlined a "three highs and three lows" technical strategy aimed at increasing growth rates by 10%, reducing feed conversion ratios by 10%, and cutting losses by 50%, thereby providing low-cost and efficient solutions [2] - The new facility is positioned as a high-quality, high-price, and high-cost-performance operation, with a goal of securing 37,000 tons of orders through special investment policies and promotional activities [2] - The establishment of the Anhui base is seen as a critical step in the company's national expansion strategy, enhancing its capacity network and solidifying its position in the specialized aquatic feed sector [2]

农产品团队 | 作者： | 王亮亮 | | --- | --- | | 从业资格证号： | F03096306 | | 投资咨询证号： | Z0017427 | | 联系方式： | 010-68578697 | | 作者： | 侯芝芳 | | 从业资格证号： | F3042058 | | 投资咨询证号： | Z0014216 | | 联系方式： | 010-68578922 | | 作者： | 王一博 | | 从业资格证号： | F3083334 | | 投资咨询证号： | Z0018596 | | 联系方式： | 010-68578169 | | 作者： | 宋从志 | | 从业资格证号： | F03095512 | | 投资咨询证号： | Z0020712 | | 联系方式： | 18001936153 | 投资咨询业务资格：京证监许可【2012】75号 成文时间：2025年10月19日星期日 更多精彩内容请关注方正中期官方微信 期货研究院 养殖油脂产业链周度策略报告 摘要 豆油：本周，豆油主力期货价格震荡调整。当前我国豆油库存继续 积累，供应充足，弱现实持续。四季度是豆油传统的消费旺季，并 且豆油是目前 ...

Core Insights - Guangdong Haid Group Co., Ltd. held a performance briefing on October 18-19, 2025, attracting participation from 172 institutions, including Cephei Capital Management (Hong Kong) Limited [1] - The company reported a strong performance for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a revenue of 96.094 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.24%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.142 billion yuan, up 14.31% year-on-year [1] Business Highlights and Spin-off Dynamics - The company plans to spin off its subsidiary Haid Holdings for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with ongoing restructuring of relevant subsidiaries to enhance global competitiveness and market influence [2] - The company aims for a total feed sales target of 51.5 million tons by 2030, with a focus on increasing domestic capacity utilization and market share while expanding overseas [3] - The overseas feed sales saw a year-on-year growth of approximately 40% in the first half of the year, with continued growth in the third quarter [3] - The company is shifting towards a light-asset expansion model for poultry feed production, while the aquaculture sector is expected to maintain profitability or break-even in most species [3] - The spin-off is intended to enhance international influence, broaden financing channels, and improve overall value and capital structure [3]

Core Insights - The banking sector is expected to become a key focus in the current market environment due to its stable dividends and improved yield attractiveness after recent corrections [6][4] - The agricultural sector is showing defensive characteristics amidst market adjustments, with the agricultural index performing relatively well [6][4] Market Overview - As of October 17, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index have P/E ratios at 99.42%, 82.55%, and 47.9% respectively, indicating varying levels of market valuation [1] - The overall market has experienced a decline, with the banking sector demonstrating resilience [6][4] Sector Performance - The banking sector has shown a slight decline of 0.32% but remains above key moving averages, indicating stability [6] - The agricultural sector's index has also shown resilience, with a minor drop of 0.79%, suggesting it may be a good time for investment [6] Fund Flows - The top inflow sector is retail trade with a net inflow of 0.02 billion, while the electronic sector saw the largest outflow of 179.55 billion [2] - The banking ETF has a trading volume of 29.22 billion with a turnover rate of 14.07%, indicating strong investor interest [4] Investment Opportunities - The banking sector is highlighted for its potential as a mainline investment due to stable dividends and attractive yield post-correction [6] - The agricultural sector is considered a good investment opportunity due to its low valuation and defensive nature during market volatility [6]