Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The demand for pork is expected to support prices as the year-end peak season approaches, despite a decline in prices due to overproduction and accelerated culling of sows [3][12] - The suspension of imports of Japanese seafood is beneficial for the domestic aquaculture sector, as it reduces competition and supports local prices [4][18] - The pet industry is experiencing growth driven by consumer upgrades and increased domestic production, with significant market potential projected for the coming years [22] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The culling of breeding sows has accelerated, with the national average price of live pigs at 11.62 yuan/kg as of November 21, 2025, down 0.01 yuan/kg week-on-week and down 4.75% year-on-year [11][12] - The average weight of pigs slaughtered is 128.81 kg, showing a slight increase week-on-week [11] - Cold weather is expected to boost pork consumption, providing support for prices during the peak season [12] Weekly Insights - The pig farming sector is facing losses, leading to accelerated culling of sows. Recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [22] - The feed sector is benefiting from strong demand, with domestic production expected to improve due to recovery in livestock numbers [22] - The pet market is projected to grow significantly, with a focus on domestic brands due to rising consumer preferences and tariff barriers [22] Market Performance (November 17-21) - The agricultural sector outperformed the market by 0.45 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 3.90% and the agricultural index down 3.45% [24] - The fishery sector led gains, with notable increases in stocks such as Zhongshui Fishery (+61.05%) and others [24][30] Price Tracking (November 17-21) - The average price of live pigs was 11.64 yuan/kg, down 0.09 yuan/kg from the previous week, while the price of piglets increased to 19.15 yuan/kg [35] - The price of corn futures rose slightly to 2183.00 yuan/ton, while soybean meal futures decreased to 2427.00 yuan/ton [46][50]

Market Overview - The feed sector experienced a decline of 0.61% on November 21, with Lude Technology leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3834.89, down 2.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12538.07, down 3.41% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Haida Group (002311) closed at 59.40, up 1.45% with a trading volume of 62,700 shares and a turnover of 371 million yuan [1] - Tianma Technology (603668) closed at 15.22, up 1.33% with a trading volume of 457,900 shares and a turnover of 684 million yuan [1] - Lude Technology (688156) closed at 16.70, down 5.54% with a trading volume of 22,700 shares and a turnover of 38.53 million yuan [2] - Other notable declines include Zhongchong Co. (002891) down 3.88% and Zhenghong Technology (000702) down 3.80% [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The feed sector saw a net outflow of 23.28 million yuan from institutional investors and 63.42 million yuan from speculative funds, while retail investors had a net inflow of 86.71 million yuan [2] - Tianma Technology had a net inflow of 89.55 million yuan from institutional investors, while Lude Technology experienced a net outflow of 3.64 million yuan [3] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment among different investor categories within the feed sector [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities indicates that in Q3 2025, the profitability of listed pig companies has significantly declined due to falling pig prices and rising raw material costs, while the cost variance within the industry remains substantial, leading to an expansion of cost advantages for high-quality pig companies. The overall demand is showing signs of recovery in the later cycle, suggesting a potential increase in pig prices in 2026 due to accelerated sow capacity reduction [1][2]. Group 1: Swine Farming - In Q3 2025, the profitability of 18 listed pig companies dropped to 5.54 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 71% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 38% [2]. - The cost variance in the industry remains significant, with high-quality pig companies further enhancing their cost advantages [2]. - The operational cash flow of listed pig companies continues to improve, while capital expenditures remain low and debt ratios are high [2]. - The report anticipates an acceleration in sow capacity reduction, which may elevate the average pig price in 2026 [2]. - Recommended companies include Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuff Group, with additional attention on Shennong Group, Dekang Agriculture, Dongrui Co., and COFCO Joycome [2][5]. Group 2: Poultry Farming - The white feather chicken market is expected to see an increase in the import of grandparent stock chickens in 2024, but it will not return to pre-disruption levels until 2025 [3]. - The supply of parent stock chickens is expected to tighten in the second half of 2025, impacting the supply of commercial chickens in 2026 [3]. - The yellow feather chicken sector is experiencing a reduction in parent stock numbers to historically low levels, which may support future price increases [3]. - Recommended companies in poultry farming include San Nong Development for white feather chickens and Lihua Food for yellow feather chickens [3][5]. Group 3: Post-Cycle Demand - The demand for feed in the swine and poultry sectors is gradually recovering, leading to a notable improvement in feed demand [4]. - The demand for aquaculture feed is also expected to rise as the aquaculture sector recovers [4]. - The report forecasts continued demand growth for livestock feed in Q4 2025, while aquaculture feed demand may enter a seasonal decline [4]. - Recommended companies for feed include Haida Group, which is expected to benefit from overseas expansion [4][5]. - In the animal health sector, demand is recovering due to sustained profitability in the downstream farming sector, with major animal health companies expected to see improved profitability [4]. Recommended companies include Kexin Biological and attention on BioStock and Reap Biological [4][5].

数据显示，国泰基金旗下1只基金位居美农生物十大流通股东。国泰中证畜牧养殖ETF（159865）三季 度增持33.45万股，持有股数115.59万股，占流通股的比例为1.55%。根据测算，今日浮亏损失约119.06 万元。 国泰中证畜牧养殖ETF（159865）成立日期2021年3月1日，最新规模60.97亿。今年以来收益14.05%， 同类排名3172/4208；近一年收益10.32%，同类排名3087/3972；成立以来亏损35.31%。 国泰中证畜牧养殖ETF（159865）基金经理为梁杏。 11月21日，美农生物跌5.13%，截至发稿，报19.06元/股，成交1.16亿元，换手率7.79%，总市值26.83亿 元。 资料显示，上海美农生物科技股份有限公司位于上海市嘉定区沥红路151号，成立日期1997年10月14 日，上市日期2022年6月17日，公司主营业务涉及饲料添加剂及酶解蛋白饲料原料的研发、生产、销 售。主营业务收入构成为：功能性饲料添加剂58.94%，营养性饲料添加剂21.25%，酶解蛋白饲料原料 13.33%，浓缩饲料5.53%，其他(补充)0.94%。 从美农生物十大流通股东角度 截至发稿 ...

11月21日，通威股份跌5.04%，截至发稿，报23.35元/股，成交4.63亿元，换手率0.44%，总市值1051.21 亿元。 永赢合享混合发起A（014598）成立日期2021年12月22日，最新规模6576.44万。今年以来收益11.3%， 同类排名5413/8136；近一年收益9.43%，同类排名5539/8056；成立以来收益26.67%。 永赢合享混合发起A（014598）基金经理为曾琬云。 截至发稿，曾琬云累计任职时间4年196天，现任基金资产总规模12.07亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 27.96%， 任职期间最差基金回报0.28%。 责任编辑：小浪快报 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，永赢基金旗下1只基金重仓通威股份。永赢合享混合发起A（014598）三季度持有股数4.44万 股，占基金净值比例为1.17%，位居第十大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮亏损失约5.51万元。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 资料显示，通威股份有限公司位于中国(四川) ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that the company's aquatic feed business is experiencing relatively stable growth, primarily focused on the cultivation of Litopenaeus vannamei (Pacific white shrimp) [2]

Core Viewpoint - The feed sector experienced a decline of 1.6% on November 20, with Tianma Technology leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.4% and the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.76% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The feed sector's individual stock performance showed mixed results, with Hai Da Group slightly increasing by 0.02% to close at 58.55, while Tianma Technology dropped significantly by 9.90% to 15.02 [1][2]. - The total trading volume for the feed sector was substantial, with Hai Da Group recording a transaction amount of 2.12 billion, and Tianma Technology reaching 10.94 billion [1][2]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The feed sector saw a net outflow of 498 million from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 239 million [2]. - Specific stocks like Hai Da Group and He Feng Co. experienced varying levels of net inflow and outflow from different investor categories, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the pig price remains weak, and the logic of destocking may gradually strengthen. The price of pigs is currently at 11.85 yuan/kg, with the industry facing losses [3][18] - The agricultural policy is undergoing a profound transformation, focusing on protecting farmers' rights and activating enterprise innovation. The report anticipates that under the influence of capacity control policies, pig prices may stop falling and rebound earlier than expected [4][19] - The report highlights the importance of high-quality development in the industry, with a clear direction for capacity control policies. Companies that lead in cost and connect with farmers are expected to enjoy excess profits and valuation premiums [4][19] Summary by Sections 1. Swine Industry - The swine sector is experiencing fluctuations, with DeKang Agriculture leading the gains at +9% week-on-week. The number of breeding sows has decreased significantly, and futures prices are rising, but the stock market has not reacted [3][18] - The report emphasizes the need for solution-oriented enterprises as the industry policy shifts towards protecting farmers' rights and promoting innovation [4][19] 2. Poultry Industry - The poultry sector continues to face a "high capacity, weak consumption" contradiction, with the price of broiler chickens at 3.50 yuan/kg and chick prices at 3.60 yuan each. The report suggests that integrated enterprises may increase their market share due to losses forcing breeding farms to reduce capacity [5][19] 3. Feed Industry - The report recommends Haida Group due to the recovery of the domestic industry, improved management effects, and increased capacity utilization. The company is expected to achieve growth beyond expectations [6][20] 4. Pet Industry - The pet industry shows a strong concentration of leading brands, with the top five brands remaining stable. The report notes that the competition among leading brands is intensifying, leading to potential pressure on profit margins, but sales growth remains high [9][21] - The report predicts that the market concentration will increase, with the CR5 expected to reach nearly 40% in the next five years [11][23] 5. Agricultural Products - The USDA's November supply and demand report did not exceed expectations, leading to a significant drop in soybean prices. The report indicates that domestic soybean inventories are high, and the supply remains sufficient [13][25] 6. Market and Price Situation - The report notes that the agricultural index increased by 2.70% week-on-week, with agricultural product processing performing the best at +6.40% [26]

Group 1: Company Overview and Growth Strategy - The company has achieved double-digit growth in revenue and profit for the first three quarters, driven by a focus on product innovation and market expansion [2][3] - The company implements a "product-leading, value service, partner growth" strategy, emphasizing product development and market penetration [3][4] - The company has established a comprehensive marketing network across China and is expanding internationally, particularly in countries along the "Belt and Road" initiative [3][4] Group 2: International Market Strategy - The company has developed a mature internationalization strategy over 20 years, focusing on selecting quality distributors and providing comprehensive services to partners [4][5] - The company has established sales networks in over 40 countries and regions, enhancing its brand image and market share [4][5] - Future plans include expanding direct sales models and becoming a global resource integration platform for the livestock industry [5] Group 3: Customer Structure and Value Proposition - The main customers include feed production companies, breeding enterprises, and distributors, with notable clients such as Haida Group and New Hope [5][6] - The company has built a robust marketing management system and a customer-centric value service system to enhance customer loyalty [5][6] Group 4: Pricing and Product Line Management - Pricing strategies are based on market conditions, competition, and customer negotiations, ensuring flexibility and responsiveness [6][7] - The company focuses on a diverse product line supported by core technologies, emphasizing research and development to meet various customer needs [6][7] Group 5: Operational Efficiency and Digitalization - The company has implemented automated production lines and digital management systems to enhance operational efficiency [7][8] - Investments in smart manufacturing and customer relationship management systems aim to improve responsiveness to customer needs [7][8] Group 6: Future Development Plans - The company aims to become a global leader in animal nutrition technology, focusing on both domestic and international market expansion [9] - Plans include continuous product innovation and addressing industry challenges to improve animal production performance and food safety [9] - The company emphasizes talent development through internal training and external recruitment to build a strong workforce [9]

Core Viewpoint - He Feng Co., Ltd. (禾丰股份) has shown a positive trend in financing activities, with a net financing purchase of 67.85 million yuan on November 19, 2025, indicating strong investor interest [1][4]. Financing Activities - On November 19, 2025, the financing buy amounted to 499.39 million yuan, while financing repayment was 431.55 million yuan, resulting in a net financing purchase of 67.85 million yuan [1]. - The financing balance reached 1.37 billion yuan, with a net increase of 138.77 million yuan over the last three trading days and 14 out of the last 20 trading days showing net financing purchases [1][4]. Margin Trading - On the same day, the margin trading saw a sell-off of 3,800 shares, with a net sell of 3,300 shares, leading to a margin balance of 101.68 million yuan [2][3]. - The margin balance has shown fluctuations, with a total of 12.92 million shares remaining in the margin trading account [3]. Market Sentiment - The increase in financing balance by 0.52% on November 19, 2025, suggests a bullish market sentiment, as investors are leaning towards buying [4][5]. - The overall trend indicates that the market is currently more favorable for buyers, as evidenced by the consistent net financing purchases over the recent trading days [1][5].